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Week 9 games

Sources & model

Frozen Week 9 · Oct 27, 2026, 14:41:04 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Original selections and spreads stay fixed.

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Card generated Oct 27, 2026, 06:02:35 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Chicago times (CST/CDT). These are saved snapshots; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations.

Output:
Home margin and model–spread gap (points)
Model:
EPA-OLS
Training:
2026, weeks 5, 6, 7, 8; 229 games. Exact training snapshot unavailable
Features:
EPA net difference; exact feature snapshot unavailable
Evaluation:
EPA-OLS 2025 historical ATS reference. Matching probability calibration unavailable; reference buckets do not validate this card.

Training: 229 games · weeks 5, 6, 7, 8.

Training-only RMSE: 15.64 points. This describes the fitted games, not predictive accuracy or a cover probability.

Gaps are points of disagreement, not cover probabilities. Matching cover-probability calibration is unavailable. Historical bucket results do not validate this fit or SP+.

Games sort by the size of the model and market difference. A minus line gives points; a plus line receives points.

Picks require a gap of at least 3 points and an EPA-OLS historical reference group. 2025 spread accuracy: 50.7% across 505 games. Break-even at −110: 52.4%.

Source checks · Full backtest · Forecast manifest

2026 · 33 picks · frozen

Press Alt and slash outside a form field to find a team. Escape clears the team search.

Notre Dame @ NavySat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Navy +30.5

CFBD median spread

Notre Dame -30.5

The forecast has Notre Dame winning by 12.91. 17.59 points toward Navy versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · NavyAway spread · Notre DameOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada+30.5-30.5+29.5Unavailable17.59 points toward Navy
DraftKings+30.5-30.5+28.5Unavailable17.59 points toward Navy

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Mississippi State +21

CFBD median spread

Texas -21

The forecast has Texas winning by 6.50. 14.50 points toward Mississippi State versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · TexasAway spread · Mississippi StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-21+21-20.5Unavailable14.50 points toward Mississippi State
Bovada-21+21-21Unavailable14.50 points toward Mississippi State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Wisconsin @ IowaSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Wisconsin +3.5

CFBD median spread

Iowa -3.5

The forecast has Wisconsin winning by 8.25. 11.75 points toward Wisconsin versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · IowaAway spread · WisconsinOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-3.5+3.5-4.5Unavailable11.75 points toward Wisconsin
Bovada-3.5+3.5-3.5Unavailable11.75 points toward Wisconsin

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

San José State +14.75

CFBD median spread

New Mexico -14.75

The forecast has New Mexico winning by 5.60. 9.15 points toward San José State versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · San José StateAway spread · New MexicoOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+14.5-14.5+14.5Unavailable8.90 points toward San José State
Bovada+15-15+15Unavailable9.40 points toward San José State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Sacramento State +10

CFBD median spread

Kent State -10

The forecast has Kent State winning by 1.50. 8.50 points toward Sacramento State versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · Sacramento StateAway spread · Kent StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+10-10+9.5Unavailable8.50 points toward Sacramento State
Bovada+10-10+10.5Unavailable8.50 points toward Sacramento State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

SMU @ SyracuseSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Syracuse +10

CFBD median spread

SMU -10

The forecast has SMU winning by 1.71. 8.29 points toward Syracuse versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · SyracuseAway spread · SMUOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+10-10+12.5Unavailable8.29 points toward Syracuse
Bovada+10-10+9.5Unavailable8.29 points toward Syracuse

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Boise State -11

CFBD median spread

Boise State -11

The forecast has Boise State winning by 18.50. 7.50 points toward Boise State versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · Boise StateAway spread · Texas StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-11.5+11.5-12.5Unavailable7.00 points toward Boise State
Bovada-10.5+10.5-11Unavailable8.00 points toward Boise State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Pittsburgh -7.5

CFBD median spread

Pittsburgh -7.5

The forecast has Pittsburgh winning by 14.66. 7.16 points toward Pittsburgh versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · PittsburghAway spread · Georgia TechOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-7.5+7.5-7Unavailable7.16 points toward Pittsburgh
Bovada-7.5+7.5-7.5Unavailable7.16 points toward Pittsburgh

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Miami @ North CarolinaSat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

North Carolina +14.5

CFBD median spread

Miami -14.5

The forecast has Miami winning by 7.82. 6.68 points toward North Carolina versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · North CarolinaAway spread · MiamiOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+14.5-14.5+14.5Unavailable6.68 points toward North Carolina
Bovada+14.5-14.5+14.5Unavailable6.68 points toward North Carolina

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Northwestern @ OregonSat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Northwestern +3.75

CFBD median spread

Oregon -3.75

The forecast has Northwestern winning by 2.85. 6.60 points toward Northwestern versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · OregonAway spread · NorthwesternOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-3.5+3.5-7.5Unavailable6.35 points toward Northwestern
Bovada-4+4-3.5Unavailable6.85 points toward Northwestern

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Northern Illinois +23.75

CFBD median spread

UNLV -23.75

The forecast has UNLV winning by 17.34. 6.41 points toward Northern Illinois versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · UNLVAway spread · Northern IllinoisOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-23.5+23.5-24.5Unavailable6.16 points toward Northern Illinois
Bovada-24+24-24Unavailable6.66 points toward Northern Illinois

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

UL Monroe +3.5

CFBD median spread

Southern Miss -3.5

The forecast has UL Monroe winning by 2.59. 6.09 points toward UL Monroe versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · UL MonroeAway spread · Southern MissOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+3.5-3.5+3Unavailable6.09 points toward UL Monroe
Bovada+3.5-3.5+3Unavailable6.09 points toward UL Monroe

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Virginia @ Wake ForestSat, Oct 31, 2:45 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Wake Forest -12.75

CFBD median spread

Wake Forest -12.75

The forecast has Wake Forest winning by 18.61. 5.86 points toward Wake Forest versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Wake ForestAway spread · VirginiaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-12.5+12.5-13.5Unavailable6.11 points toward Wake Forest
Bovada-13+13-14Unavailable5.61 points toward Wake Forest

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Illinois @ MarylandSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Maryland +2.5

CFBD median spread

Illinois -2.5

The forecast has Maryland winning by 2.90. 5.40 points toward Maryland versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · MarylandAway spread · IllinoisOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+2.5-2.5+3Unavailable5.40 points toward Maryland
Bovada+2.5-2.5+2.5Unavailable5.40 points toward Maryland

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Georgia State -6.5

CFBD median spread

Georgia State -6.5

The forecast has Georgia State winning by 11.73. 5.23 points toward Georgia State versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Georgia StateAway spread · Coastal CarolinaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-6.5+6.5-6.5Unavailable5.23 points toward Georgia State
Bovada-6.5+6.5-6.5Unavailable5.23 points toward Georgia State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Washington @ NebraskaSat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Nebraska -7.5

CFBD median spread

Nebraska -7.5

The forecast has Nebraska winning by 12.67. 5.17 points toward Nebraska versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · NebraskaAway spread · WashingtonOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada-7.5+7.5-8Unavailable5.17 points toward Nebraska
DraftKings-7.5+7.5-9.5Unavailable5.17 points toward Nebraska

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

North Texas -13.75

CFBD median spread

North Texas -13.75

The forecast has North Texas winning by 18.81. 5.06 points toward North Texas versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · North TexasAway spread · Florida AtlanticOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-13.5+13.5-12.5Unavailable5.31 points toward North Texas
Bovada-14+14-13Unavailable4.81 points toward North Texas

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Sam Houston +5.5

CFBD median spread

Missouri State -5.5

The forecast has Missouri State winning by 0.53. 4.97 points toward Sam Houston versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Missouri StateAway spread · Sam HoustonOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-5.5+5.5-6Unavailable4.97 points toward Sam Houston
Bovada-5.5+5.5-6Unavailable4.97 points toward Sam Houston

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Georgia Southern -5.5

CFBD median spread

Georgia Southern -5.5

The forecast has Georgia Southern winning by 10.18. 4.68 points toward Georgia Southern versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Georgia SouthernAway spread · App StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-5.5+5.5-3.5Unavailable4.68 points toward Georgia Southern
Bovada-5.5+5.5-4.5Unavailable4.68 points toward Georgia Southern

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Tulane @ CharlotteFri, Oct 30, 6:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Charlotte +10.25

CFBD median spread

Tulane -10.25

The forecast has Tulane winning by 5.61. 4.64 points toward Charlotte versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · CharlotteAway spread · TulaneOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+10-10+13.5Unavailable4.39 points toward Charlotte
Bovada+10.5-10.5+10Unavailable4.89 points toward Charlotte

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Auburn @ Ole MissSat, Oct 31, 11:45 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Auburn +13.25

CFBD median spread

Ole Miss -13.25

The forecast has Ole Miss winning by 8.62. 4.63 points toward Auburn versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Ole MissAway spread · AuburnOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-13.5+13.5-10.5Unavailable4.88 points toward Auburn
Bovada-13+13-13.5Unavailable4.38 points toward Auburn

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Kansas State @ ColoradoSat, Oct 31, 1:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Colorado +2.25

CFBD median spread

Kansas State -2.25

The forecast has Colorado winning by 2.16. 4.41 points toward Colorado versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · ColoradoAway spread · Kansas StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+2.5-2.5+3.5Unavailable4.66 points toward Colorado
Bovada+2-2+3Unavailable4.16 points toward Colorado

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Fresno State +5.5

CFBD median spread

Oregon State -5.5

The forecast has Oregon State winning by 1.15. 4.35 points toward Fresno State versus the spread.

Compare sportsbooks (2)

Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · Fresno StateAway spread · Oregon StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+5.5-5.5+7Unavailable4.35 points toward Fresno State
Bovada+5.5-5.5+6.5Unavailable4.35 points toward Fresno State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Iowa State +8.75

CFBD median spread

Oklahoma State -8.75

The forecast has Oklahoma State winning by 4.55. 4.20 points toward Iowa State versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Iowa StateAway spread · Oklahoma StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+8.5-8.5+9.5Unavailable3.95 points toward Iowa State
Bovada+9-9+9.5Unavailable4.45 points toward Iowa State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Marshall @ Old DominionSat, Oct 31, 12:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Old Dominion +2.5

CFBD median spread

Marshall -2.5

The forecast has Old Dominion winning by 1.36. 3.86 points toward Old Dominion versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Old DominionAway spread · MarshallOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada+2.5-2.5+3Unavailable3.86 points toward Old Dominion
DraftKings+2.5-2.5+2.5Unavailable3.86 points toward Old Dominion

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Arizona State @ BYUSat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

BYU -16.25

CFBD median spread

BYU -16.25

The forecast has BYU winning by 20.00. 3.75 points toward BYU versus the spread.

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · BYUAway spread · Arizona StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada-16+16-16Unavailable4.00 points toward BYU
DraftKings-16.5+16.5-17.5Unavailable3.50 points toward BYU

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Middle Tennessee -2.75

CFBD median spread

Middle Tennessee -2.75

The forecast has Middle Tennessee winning by 6.46. 3.71 points toward Middle Tennessee versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Middle TennesseeAway spread · Kennesaw StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-2.5+2.5-2.5Unavailable3.96 points toward Middle Tennessee
Bovada-3+3-3Unavailable3.46 points toward Middle Tennessee

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Missouri @ ArkansasSat, Oct 31, 6:45 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Arkansas +10

CFBD median spread

Missouri -10

The forecast has Missouri winning by 6.35. 3.65 points toward Arkansas versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · ArkansasAway spread · MissouriOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+10-10+10.5Unavailable3.65 points toward Arkansas
Bovada+10-10+10Unavailable3.65 points toward Arkansas

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Minnesota @ IndianaSat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Indiana -20.5

CFBD median spread

Indiana -20.5

The forecast has Indiana winning by 24.06. 3.56 points toward Indiana versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · IndianaAway spread · MinnesotaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-20.5+20.5-22.5Unavailable3.56 points toward Indiana
Bovada-20.5+20.5-20Unavailable3.56 points toward Indiana

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Michigan @ RutgersSat, Oct 31, 11:30 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Rutgers +14

CFBD median spread

Michigan -14

The forecast has Michigan winning by 10.49. 3.51 points toward Rutgers versus the spread.

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Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · RutgersAway spread · MichiganOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+14-14+14Unavailable3.51 points toward Rutgers
Bovada+14-14+14Unavailable3.51 points toward Rutgers

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Troy @ James MadisonThu, Oct 29, 6:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Troy +21

CFBD median spread

James Madison -21

The forecast has James Madison winning by 17.54. 3.46 points toward Troy versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · James MadisonAway spread · TroyOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-21+21-17.5Unavailable3.46 points toward Troy
Bovada-21+21-21Unavailable3.46 points toward Troy

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

UConn @ Air ForceSat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

Air Force -2.75

CFBD median spread

Air Force -2.75

The forecast has Air Force winning by 5.91. 3.16 points toward Air Force versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Air ForceAway spread · UConnOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-2.5+2.5-3Unavailable3.41 points toward Air Force
Bovada-3+3-3Unavailable2.91 points toward Air Force

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

Utah State -6.5

CFBD median spread

Utah State -6.5

The forecast has Utah State winning by 9.55. 3.05 points toward Utah State versus the spread.

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BookHome spread · Utah StateAway spread · Colorado StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-6.5+6.5-3.5Unavailable3.05 points toward Utah State
Bovada-6.5+6.5-6.5Unavailable3.05 points toward Utah State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Army @ MemphisSat, Oct 31, 7:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Memphis -6

The forecast has Memphis winning by 8.94. 2.94 points toward Memphis versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · MemphisAway spread · ArmyOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-6+6-6Unavailable2.94 points toward Memphis
Bovada-6+6-7Unavailable2.94 points toward Memphis

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Temple @ East CarolinaSat, Oct 31, 2:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

East Carolina -6

The forecast has East Carolina winning by 3.09. 2.91 points toward Temple versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · East CarolinaAway spread · TempleOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-6+6-4.5Unavailable2.91 points toward Temple
Bovada-6+6-6Unavailable2.91 points toward Temple

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Clemson @ Florida StateSat, Oct 31, 6:00 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Florida State -5.75

The forecast has Florida State winning by 8.60. 2.85 points toward Florida State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · Florida StateAway spread · ClemsonOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-6+6+1.5Unavailable2.60 points toward Florida State
Bovada-5.5+5.5-6Unavailable3.10 points toward Florida State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

California @ NC StateSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

NC State -7

The forecast has NC State winning by 9.71. 2.71 points toward NC State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · NC StateAway spread · CaliforniaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada-7+7-8.5Unavailable2.71 points toward NC State
DraftKings-7+7-8.5Unavailable2.71 points toward NC State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Western Kentucky -0.25

The forecast has Western Kentucky winning by 2.85. 2.60 points toward Western Kentucky versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · Western KentuckyAway spread · DelawareOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-1.5+1.5+2.5Unavailable1.35 points toward Western Kentucky
Bovada+1-1+1Unavailable3.85 points toward Western Kentucky

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Liberty -14

The forecast has Liberty winning by 16.47. 2.47 points toward Liberty versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · LibertyAway spread · Florida InternationalOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-14+14-11.5Unavailable2.47 points toward Liberty
Bovada-14+14-14Unavailable2.47 points toward Liberty

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Stanford @ LouisvilleSat, Oct 31, 2:15 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Louisville -22.5

The forecast has Louisville winning by 24.94. 2.44 points toward Louisville versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · LouisvilleAway spread · StanfordOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-22.5+22.5-21Unavailable2.44 points toward Louisville
Bovada-22.5+22.5-23Unavailable2.44 points toward Louisville

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Purdue @ Penn StateSat, Oct 31, 3:15 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Penn State -7.75

The forecast has Penn State winning by 10.16. 2.41 points toward Penn State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · Penn StateAway spread · PurdueOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-7.5+7.5-8.5Unavailable2.66 points toward Penn State
Bovada-8+8-8Unavailable2.16 points toward Penn State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Arizona @ Texas TechSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Texas Tech -3.5

The forecast has Texas Tech winning by 1.10. 2.40 points toward Arizona versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · Texas TechAway spread · ArizonaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-3.5+3.5-7.5Unavailable2.40 points toward Arizona
Bovada-3.5+3.5-3.5Unavailable2.40 points toward Arizona

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

San Diego State -2.5

The forecast has San Diego State winning by 4.39. 1.89 points toward San Diego State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · San Diego StateAway spread · Washington StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-2.5+2.5-2.5Unavailable1.89 points toward San Diego State
Bovada-2.5+2.5-3Unavailable1.89 points toward San Diego State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Nevada @ UCLASat, Oct 31, 3:15 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

UCLA -22.5

The forecast has UCLA winning by 20.68. 1.82 points toward Nevada versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · UCLAAway spread · NevadaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-22.5+22.5-23.5Unavailable1.82 points toward Nevada
Bovada-22.5+22.5-22.5Unavailable1.82 points toward Nevada

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

North Dakota State -25.5

The forecast has North Dakota State winning by 27.29. 1.79 points toward North Dakota State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · North Dakota StateAway spread · UTEPOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-25.5+25.5-27.5Unavailable1.79 points toward North Dakota State
Bovada-25.5+25.5-25.5Unavailable1.79 points toward North Dakota State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Jacksonville State -3.25

The forecast has Jacksonville State winning by 1.57. 1.68 points toward New Mexico State versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · New Mexico StateAway spread · Jacksonville StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada+3-3+3Unavailable1.43 points toward New Mexico State
DraftKings+3.5-3.5+3Unavailable1.93 points toward New Mexico State

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Kansas @ TCUSat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

TCU -5.75

The forecast has TCU winning by 4.26. 1.49 points toward Kansas versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

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BookHome spread · TCUAway spread · KansasOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-6+6-4.5Unavailable1.74 points toward Kansas
Bovada-5.5+5.5-5Unavailable1.24 points toward Kansas

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Oklahoma -5

The forecast has Oklahoma winning by 6.32. 1.32 points toward Oklahoma versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · OklahomaAway spread · South CarolinaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-5.5+5.5-5.5Unavailable0.82 points toward Oklahoma
Bovada-4.5+4.5-4.5Unavailable1.82 points toward Oklahoma

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Utah @ CincinnatiSat, Oct 31, 2:45 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Utah -6.5

The forecast has Utah winning by 5.21. 1.29 points toward Cincinnati versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · CincinnatiAway spread · UtahOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+6.5-6.5+9.5Unavailable1.29 points toward Cincinnati
Bovada+6.5-6.5+6.5Unavailable1.29 points toward Cincinnati

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Ohio State @ USCSat, Oct 31, 6:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Ohio State -6.5

The forecast has Ohio State winning by 5.36. 1.14 points toward USC versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · USCAway spread · Ohio StateOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+6.5-6.5+7.5Unavailable1.14 points toward USC
Bovada+6.5-6.5+7Unavailable1.14 points toward USC

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Western Michigan -13.5

The forecast has Western Michigan winning by 12.42. 1.08 points toward Bowling Green versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · Western MichiganAway spread · Bowling GreenOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-13.5+13.5-15.5Unavailable1.08 points toward Bowling Green
Bovada-13.5+13.5-14Unavailable1.08 points toward Bowling Green

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Boston College @ DukeSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Duke -7

The forecast has Duke winning by 5.95. 1.05 points toward Boston College versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · DukeAway spread · Boston CollegeOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada-7+7-7.5Unavailable1.05 points toward Boston College
DraftKings-7+7-7Unavailable1.05 points toward Boston College

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Baylor @ UCFFri, Oct 30, 6:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

UCF -1.5

The forecast has UCF winning by 2.48. 0.98 points toward UCF versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · UCFAway spread · BaylorOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada-1.5+1.5-2Unavailable0.98 points toward UCF
DraftKings-1.5+1.5-1.5Unavailable0.98 points toward UCF

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Louisiana Tech -5.5

The forecast has Louisiana Tech winning by 4.52. 0.98 points toward South Alabama versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · South AlabamaAway spread · Louisiana TechOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings+5.5-5.5+3.5Unavailable0.98 points toward South Alabama
Bovada+5.5-5.5+5.5Unavailable0.98 points toward South Alabama

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Florida @ GeorgiaSat, Oct 31, 2:30 PM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

Georgia -11.75

The forecast has Georgia winning by 11.38. 0.37 points toward Florida versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

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BookHome spread · GeorgiaAway spread · FloridaOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
DraftKings-11.5+11.5-12.5Unavailable0.12 points toward Florida
Bovada-12+12-11.5Unavailable0.62 points toward Florida

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

UAB @ South FloridaSat, Oct 31, 11:00 AM CDT
Full matchup
Pick at captured line

No pick

CFBD median spread

South Florida -8.25

The forecast has South Florida winning by 8.02. 0.23 points toward UAB versus the spread. gap below pick minimum

Compare sportsbooks (2)

Saved card's CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 26, 2026, 20:50:13 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Book update times unavailable. These snapshot quotes have not been reverified now; matchup pages show separately timed provider observations and coverage gaps.

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BookHome spread · South FloridaAway spread · UABOpening home spreadSpread priceModel gap
Bovada-8+8-7.5Unavailable0.02 points toward South Florida
DraftKings-8.5+8.5-9.5Unavailable0.48 points toward UAB

Model gap = projected home margin + home spread. Gaps are points, not cover probabilities or expected returns. Spread prices are not supplied by this source; no −110 price is assumed. Opening lines are provider-reported; snapshots are not verified closes.

Published model record 111–110–2wins · losses · pushes

Review results
Latest card snapshot prices

Saved CFBD odds snapshot captured Oct 30, 2026, 04:00:02 CDT · Snapshot age: calculating…. Saved prices, not quotes reverified now. The frozen selections remain unchanged.

GameHome spread
Delaware at Western Kentucky-2.5
Sam Houston at Missouri State-5.25
Kennesaw State at Middle Tennessee+1.25
Jacksonville State at New Mexico State+3
Florida Atlantic at North Texas-15.5
Troy at James Madison-17.5
Tulane at Charlotte+8.5
Baylor at UCF+1.5
Kent State at Sacramento State+7.25
Illinois at Maryland+2.5
Notre Dame at Navy+30.5
Arizona at Texas Tech-3.5
Bowling Green at Western Michigan-13.5
Wisconsin at Iowa-2.5
Boston College at Duke-7
SMU at Syracuse+10.5
UAB at South Florida-7.75
California at NC State-7.25
Michigan at Rutgers+15.75
Auburn at Ole Miss-11.75
Marshall at Old Dominion+3
Kansas State at Colorado-1.5
Coastal Carolina at Georgia State-4.25
UConn at Air Force-1.25
Temple at East Carolina-4.5
Louisiana Tech at South Alabama+6
Stanford at Louisville-22.5
UTEP at North Dakota State-24.75
Minnesota at Indiana-20.5
Arizona State at BYU-16.5
Colorado State at Utah State-6.75
Florida at Georgia-12.25
Northwestern at Oregon-3.5
Kansas at TCU-6.5
Southern Miss at UL Monroe+3.5
Florida International at Liberty-14
Utah at Cincinnati+7
Virginia at Wake Forest-12.5
New Mexico at San José State+14.75
Nevada at UCLA-22.25
Purdue at Penn State-10.25
South Carolina at Oklahoma-3.5
App State at Georgia Southern-5.5
Washington State at San Diego State-2.5
Clemson at Florida State-6
Oklahoma State at Iowa State+9.5
Georgia Tech at Pittsburgh-7.75
Mississippi State at Texas-20.5
Miami at North Carolina+14
Ohio State at USC+6.5
Missouri at Arkansas+10
Washington at Nebraska-7.5
Army at Memphis-6.25
Texas State at Boise State-11.25
Northern Illinois at UNLV-23.75
Oregon State at Fresno State+6

Statistics/results checked Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:15 CDT. 2026 through Week 8. Teams: 138/138.

Check the source time above; freshness is evaluated when this page opens.

Source