Record
3-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook record2026 season
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
Western Kentucky's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 114.5 across 8 systems; best 111, worst 121, so they disagree by 10 places.
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Results earned and schedule difficulty
Performance by unit
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Western Kentucky · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
3-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook record-0.125 net EPA/play
#120
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD plays-7.94 points
#112 · Down 1 place since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -5.65 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -4.57, schedule #91 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -1.17. That is worth -10.22 on its own; the preseason prior of -1.11 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -7.94.
Western Kentucky · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Nevada away · 2026-09-06 · ID 401864432 | -35.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.52% | -4.87 | -3.095 | -0.464 | -3.559 |
| Week 2 · Georgia away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401856673 | -50.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.90% | +15.97 | -3.217 | 1.581 | -1.636 |
| Week 3 · Indiana away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401858449 | -38.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.29% | +17.33 | -3.343 | 1.783 | -1.561 |
| Week 4 · Mercyhurst home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401870745 | +45.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.69% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 3.475 | -2.673 | 0.802 |
| Week 5 · New Mexico State away · 2026-10-02 · ID 401871049 | -21.00 → -21.00 | +2.50 | 0.8909 | 11.11% | -6.78 | -2.055 | -0.753 | -2.809 |
| Week 6 · Missouri State home · 2026-10-08 · ID 401871052 | +21.00 → +21.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.55% | -11.70 | 2.136 | -1.351 | 0.786 |
| Week 7 · Sam Houston away · 2026-10-15 · ID 401871068 | +13.00 → +13.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 12.00% | -12.92 | 1.860 | -1.550 | 0.310 |
Game terms -7.67 points; prior term -0.28 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -7.94 points. The preseason prior is -1.11 with 24.94% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scores-11.5 SP+ points
#116 · Down 1 place
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbook-14.33 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#121 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -11.96 on 368 plays; defense 2.37 on 298 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Western Kentucky 8 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence| Category | Production | Usage |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 95% | 99% |
| Receiving | 85% | 78% |
| Rushing | 55% | 49% |
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 8 | 3.00 | 0.8422 | 6.74 |
| Defensive Line | 12 | 3.00 | 0.8450 | 10.14 |
| Linebacker | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8539 | 2.56 |
| Offensive Line | 8 | 3.00 | 0.8353 | 6.68 |
| Quarterback | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8405 | 2.52 |
| Receiver | 12 | 3.00 | 0.8512 | 10.21 |
| Running Back | 5 | 3.00 | 0.8426 | 4.21 |
| Special Teams | 1 | 3.00 | 0.8250 | 0.82 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Brock Glenn · QBCFBD athlete 4920158. Florida State (2023–2025); Western Kentucky (2026–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.176 | 123 | 42.6% | Pass 54.8% · Rush 30.4%1st 40.3% · 2nd 39.9% · 3rd 50.7% Standard downs 41.2% · Passing downs 45.1% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8878 |
Rodney Tisdale Jr. · QBCFBD athlete 5196864. Western Kentucky (2024–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.155 | 103 | 33.9% | Pass 55.9% · Rush 10.1%1st 28.0% · 2nd 36.2% · 3rd 39.3% Standard downs 29.1% · Passing downs 43.0% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8156 |
Ajay Allen · RBCFBD athlete 4878394. Western Kentucky (2026–2026); Nebraska (2021–2022); Tulsa (2025–2025); Miami (2023–2024) | Rushing WEPA | 0.102 | 77 | 20.4% | Pass 9.2% · Rush 33.7%1st 21.0% · 2nd 22.3% · 3rd 16.4% Standard downs 22.9% · Passing downs 15.7% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8837 |
Brock Glenn · QBCFBD athlete 4920158. Florida State (2023–2025); Western Kentucky (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.265 | 70 | 42.6% | Pass 54.8% · Rush 30.4%1st 40.3% · 2nd 39.9% · 3rd 50.7% Standard downs 41.2% · Passing downs 45.1% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8878 |
Karl Campbell · PKCFBD athlete 5394214. Western Kentucky (2026–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 6.130 | 8 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
CC Ezirim · TECFBD athlete 5125726. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.4% | Pass 8.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.6% · 2nd 7.0% · 3rd 4.9% Standard downs 4.6% · Passing downs 4.0% | Not linked |
Caleb McMickle · QBCFBD athlete 5077114. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.5% | Pass 6.3% · Rush 3.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 16.7% Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 5.6% | Not linked |
Cameron Flowers · WRCFBD athlete 5155579. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.8% | Pass 10.1% · Rush 1.6%1st 5.8% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 8.0% Standard downs 5.2% · Passing downs 7.1% | Not linked |
Coleson Arends · TECFBD athlete 5159815. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 5.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.2% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 2.8% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 2.7% | Not linked |
Devin Hamilton · WRCFBD athlete 5291156. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 2.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 3.0% | Not linked |
Jaden McGill · RBCFBD athlete 5225936. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.8% | Pass 7.6% · Rush 10.5%1st 11.2% · 2nd 9.3% · 3rd 5.3% Standard downs 10.8% · Passing downs 4.9% | Not linked |
Jay Rockwell · WRCFBD athlete 4689118. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 2.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Jeremiah Carroll · WRCFBD athlete 5164039. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 3.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.6% | Not linked |
Jonathan Stafford Jr. · WRCFBD athlete 5290902. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 12.8% | Pass 21.8% · Rush 3.6%1st 11.9% · 2nd 13.8% · 3rd 13.6% Standard downs 11.3% · Passing downs 15.7% | Not linked |
Kalib Hicks · RBCFBD athlete 4920135. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.1% | Pass 0.9% · Rush 9.3%1st 4.4% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 2.0% Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 6.8% | Not linked |
Le'Kamren Meadows · RBCFBD athlete 5290447. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.7% | Pass 1.2% · Rush 10.6%1st 9.6% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 0.8% Standard downs 7.6% · Passing downs 2.2% | Not linked |
Lofton Howard · TECFBD athlete 5091828. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.5% | Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.1% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 3.6% Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 3.4% | Not linked |
Moussa Barry · WRCFBD athlete 5095915. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.6% | Pass 8.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.9% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 5.0% Standard downs 4.1% · Passing downs 5.4% | Not linked |
Nigel Johnson · WRCFBD athlete 5159234. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 2.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.1% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 2.0% Standard downs 1.4% · Passing downs 1.4% | Not linked |
Qua'Vez Humphreys · WRCFBD athlete 5151200. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.1% | Pass 6.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.9% · 2nd 1.8% · 3rd 4.8% Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 2.2% | Not linked |
Quincy Burroughs · WRCFBD athlete 4716507. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.2% | Pass 9.9% · Rush 0.4%1st 5.3% · 2nd 3.2% · 3rd 7.1% Standard downs 4.4% · Passing downs 6.9% | Not linked |
Sincere Baines · RBCFBD athlete 5300775. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 3.8% | Not linked |
Zion Taylor · WRCFBD athlete 4921322. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.5% | Pass 5.3% · Rush 1.7%1st 2.9% · 2nd 5.7% · 3rd 2.5% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 5.2% | Not linked |
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Johnson · IOL | Georgia State | 2026-01-12 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Alex Lopez · IOL | Mississippi State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Brock Glenn · QB | Florida State | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| CC Ezirim · TE | Toledo | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| D'Cambren Verrett · S | Texas A&M-Kingsville | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Garrison Madden · LB | USC | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Geajorm Akpaloo · LB | Coastal Carolina | 2026-01-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jacob Cosby-Mosley · S | Wake Forest | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jeremiah Carroll · WR | Not reported | 2025-11-19 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jyzaiah Rockwell · WR | Prairie View A&M | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kalib Hicks · RB | Oklahoma State | 2026-04-02 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Kiawan Murphy · DL | Akron | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Nathan Gonzales · EDGE | Indiana State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Nonso Omezi · IOL | Houston Christian | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Rhett Larson · IOL | Sam Houston | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Roq Montgomery · IOL | Alabama | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Sincere Baines · RB | Maine | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Tai Ray · OT | Pittsburgh | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Tyreek Major · IOL | South Florida | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branden Hollis · OT | Not reported | 2025-12-01 | — / — | Immediate |
| Caleb Nitta · IOL | Oklahoma | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Chukwunedu Okeke · DL | James Madison | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Damari Jefferson · WR | Not reported | 2026-01-05 | — / — | Immediate |
| Dylan Flowers · CB | Duke | 2026-01-03 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Dylan Vickerson · WR | Alabama State | 2025-12-15 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Harper Holloman · EDGE | West Virginia | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Isaiah Myers · WR | Missouri State | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jaavan Mack · CB | Not reported | 2026-01-17 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jack Cassidy · K | West Virginia | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Jai Eugene Jr. · S | Syracuse | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jalen Emery · CB | Not reported | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kennon Loftin · LB | Not reported | 2025-12-15 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Konner Olson · K | New Mexico | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Koron Hayward · EDGE | TCU | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| La'Vell Wright · RB | Pittsburgh | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Laurence Seymore III · IOL | Texas | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Miller Malone · LB | Houston | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Moussa Barry · WR | Not reported | 2025-12-02 | — / — | Immediate |
| Nazir Ward · CB | Syracuse | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Noah Meyers · TE | Syracuse | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Robby Harrison · DL | Colorado State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Victory Vaka · DL | Middle Tennessee | 2026-08-20 | — / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Continuous appointments at Western Kentucky. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Tyson Helton · career 57–36 across 8 seasons and 1 schools
2019–present · Tyson Helton · active at capture
57–36 · 93 attributed games · 8 seasons
Hired 2018-11-27. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2017–2018 · Mike Sanford Jr.
9–16 · 25 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2016-12-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2014–2016 · Jeff Brohm
30–10 · 40 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2014-01-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2013–2013 · Bobby Petrino
8–4 · 12 attributed games · 1 seasons
Hired 2012-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2010–2012 · Willie Taggart
16–20 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2009-11-23. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2007–2009 · David Elson
9–27 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2003-03-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Tyson Helton · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -11.2 | -11.5 | 81 | — |
| 2025 · Tyson Helton | 9–4 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 1.6 | -4.2 | 96 | — |
| 2024 · Tyson Helton | 8–6 | 6–3 | 0–1 | -2.2 | -5.4 | 111 | — |
| 2023 · Tyson Helton | 8–5 | 5–3 | 1–0 | -2 | -2.8 | 134 | — |
| 2022 · Tyson Helton | 9–5 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 1.7 | -0.1 | 94 | — |
| 2021 · Tyson Helton | 9–5 | 7–2 | 1–0 | 13.3 | 5 | 136 | — |
| 2020 · Tyson Helton | 5–7 | 4–3 | 0–1 | -3.2 | -10.2 | 80 | — |
| 2019 · Tyson Helton | 9–4 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 1.7 | 0 | 86 | — |
| 2018 · Mike Sanford Jr. | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -16.1 | -15.2 | 84 | — |
| 2017 · Mike Sanford Jr. | 6–7 | 4–4 | 0–1 | -4.9 | -15 | 82 | — |
| 2016 · Jeff Brohm · incomplete attribution | 10–3 | — | — | 15.5 | 10.1 | 101 | — |
| 2015 · Jeff Brohm | 12–2 | 9–0 | 1–0 | 10.8 | 9.7 | 111 | 24 |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-19 18:21:54 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 116 / 138 | 16.1 | 94 / 138 | 32.1 |
| Success rate | 130 / 138 | 5.8 | 54 / 138 | 61.3 |
| Explosiveness | 58 / 138 | 58.4 | 133 / 138 | 3.6 |
| Standard-down success | 127 / 138 | 8.0 | 44 / 138 | 68.6 |
| Passing-down success | 109 / 138 | 21.2 | 88 / 138 | 36.5 |
| Pass PPA | 115 / 138 | 16.8 | 20 / 138 | 86.1 |
| Rush PPA | 117 / 138 | 15.3 | 135 / 138 | 2.2 |
| Pass explosiveness | 15 / 138 | 89.8 | 126 / 138 | 8.8 |
| Rush explosiveness | 124 / 138 | 10.2 | 129 / 138 | 6.6 |
| Line yards | 120 / 138 | 13.1 | 123 / 138 | 10.9 |
| Second-level yards | 109 / 138 | 21.2 | 117 / 138 | 15.3 |
| Open-field yards | 125 / 138 | 9.5 | 133 / 138 | 3.6 |
| Stuff rate | 115 / 138 | 16.8 | 104 / 138 | 24.8 |
| Power success | T88 / 138 | 35.8 | 134 / 138 | 2.9 |
| Havoc | T83 / 138 | 38.7 | T71 / 138 | 48.5 |
| Front-seven havoc | T106 / 138 | 23.0 | T84 / 138 | 38.7 |
| DB havoc | T44 / 138 | 67.5 | T49 / 138 | 63.5 |
| Points / opportunity | 97 / 138 | 29.9 | 110 / 138 | 20.4 |
| Average field position | T96 / 138 | 29.9 | T63 / 138 | 54.0 |
| Field-position expected points | 107 / 138 | 22.6 | 81 / 138 | 41.6 |
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.107 | 15.806 | 39.5% |
| Pass | 0.139 | 17.627 | 65.8% |
| Rush | -0.087 | -1.821 | 11.9% |
| 1st down | -0.263 | -13.665 | 33.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.106 | 5.215 | 41.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.636 | 25.445 | 43.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.045 | -3.610 | 34.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.290 | 19.416 | 48.9% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.155 | 30.740 | 38.6% |
| Pass | 0.092 | 11.655 | 49.2% |
| Rush | 0.272 | 19.019 | 28.6% |
| 1st down | 0.056 | 4.011 | 34.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.163 | 10.132 | 37.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.401 | 24.482 | 48.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.059 | 7.133 | 36.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.307 | 23.607 | 42.1% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.043 | -4.562 | 20.5% |
| Pass | 0.110 | 2.630 | 9.3% |
| Rush | -0.089 | -7.192 | 33.1% |
| 1st down | -0.174 | -7.639 | 21.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.038 | -1.344 | 21.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.219 | 4.821 | 17.6% |
| Standard downs | -0.155 | -11.924 | 23.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.263 | 7.361 | 15.3% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.241 | 16.892 | 13.6% |
| Pass | 0.344 | 20.616 | 23.3% |
| Rush | -0.372 | -3.724 | 4.1% |
| 1st down | -0.157 | -4.384 | 13.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.064 | 1.603 | 15.1% |
| 3rd down | 1.157 | 19.674 | 13.6% |
| Standard downs | -0.015 | -0.604 | 12.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.603 | 17.496 | 15.8% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.469 | -6.100 | 8.1% |
| Pass | 0.024 | 0.097 | 5.5% |
| Rush | -0.689 | -6.197 | 10.8% |
| 1st down | -0.418 | -2.509 | 9.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.269 | -1.345 | 9.4% |
| 3rd down | -1.123 | -2.247 | 4.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.284 | -2.845 | 10.0% |
| Passing downs | -1.085 | -3.255 | 5.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.412 | 12.353 | 5.8% |
| Pass | 0.491 | 12.775 | 10.1% |
| Rush | -0.106 | -0.422 | 1.6% |
| 1st down | -0.136 | -1.628 | 5.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.561 | 4.485 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | 0.950 | 9.496 | 8.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.078 | -1.332 | 5.2% |
| Passing downs | 1.053 | 13.685 | 7.1% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.212 | -6.144 | 5.7% |
| Pass | 0.085 | 0.256 | 1.2% |
| Rush | -0.246 | -6.400 | 10.6% |
| 1st down | 0.008 | 0.162 | 9.6% |
| 2nd down | -0.735 | -5.878 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | -0.428 | -0.428 | 0.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.272 | -6.793 | 7.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.162 | 0.649 | 2.2% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.166 | -1.829 | 5.1% |
| Pass | -0.694 | -0.694 | 0.9% |
| Rush | -0.113 | -1.135 | 9.3% |
| 1st down | -0.758 | -3.031 | 4.4% |
| 2nd down | -0.236 | -1.179 | 7.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.222 | -0.222 | 2.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.150 | -0.900 | 4.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.186 | -0.929 | 6.8% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.492 | 6.395 | 4.6% |
| Pass | 0.492 | 6.395 | 9.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.621 | 1.862 | 2.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.567 | 3.399 | 6.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.284 | 1.134 | 6.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.269 | 2.425 | 5.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.992 | 3.970 | 3.8% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.319 | 0.956 | 4.5% |
| Pass | -0.716 | -1.432 | 6.3% |
| Rush | 2.388 | 2.388 | 3.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.716 | -1.432 | 16.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.644 | 1.287 | 4.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.331 | -0.331 | 5.6% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.049 | 1.133 | 4.5% |
| Pass | 0.073 | 1.613 | 8.5% |
| Rush | -0.480 | -0.480 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | -0.127 | -1.268 | 4.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.500 | -2.001 | 2.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.069 | 8.555 | 6.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.521 | -6.256 | 3.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.672 | 7.389 | 6.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.315 | 6.307 | 3.9% |
| Pass | 0.315 | 6.307 | 7.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.067 | -0.336 | 2.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.013 | 0.126 | 6.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.130 | 4.519 | 3.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.250 | 3.247 | 3.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.437 | 3.060 | 3.8% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.298 | 5.959 | 3.9% |
| Pass | 0.310 | 5.894 | 7.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.513 | 4.621 | 4.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.092 | -0.554 | 3.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.379 | 1.893 | 4.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.361 | 3.966 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.222 | 1.994 | 4.9% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.388 | 5.428 | 3.3% |
| Pass | 0.350 | 3.852 | 5.1% |
| Rush | 0.525 | 1.576 | 1.5% |
| 1st down | 0.875 | 5.249 | 3.4% |
| 2nd down | -0.170 | -1.018 | 4.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.598 | 1.196 | 1.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.613 | 4.289 | 2.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.163 | 1.139 | 4.6% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.081 | 1.301 | 3.1% |
| Pass | 0.081 | 1.301 | 6.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.136 | -0.815 | 2.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.521 | 1.563 | 1.8% |
| 3rd down | 0.788 | 4.727 | 4.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.226 | -2.714 | 3.6% |
| Passing downs | 1.004 | 4.015 | 2.2% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.738 | 7.377 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 0.738 | 7.377 | 5.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.086 | 4.345 | 2.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.583 | 1.748 | 2.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.428 | 1.284 | 3.3% |
| Standard downs | 1.003 | 6.020 | 2.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.339 | 1.356 | 3.1% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.331 | -0.331 | 1.5% |
| Pass | -0.331 | -0.331 | 3.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.331 | -0.331 | 8.3% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.331 | -0.331 | 5.6% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.198 | 0.198 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 0.198 | 0.198 | 2.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.198 | 0.198 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.198 | 0.198 | 3.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.717 | 5.152 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 1.717 | 5.152 | 2.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.783 | -0.783 | 1.1% |
| 2nd down | 6.255 | 6.255 | 1.4% |
| 3rd down | -0.319 | -0.319 | 2.0% |
| Standard downs | 2.736 | 5.472 | 1.4% |
| Passing downs | -0.319 | -0.319 | 1.4% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.036 | -0.036 | 1.3% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.036 | -0.036 | 4.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.036 | -0.036 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.036 | -0.036 | 3.8% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.025 | 16th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.366 | 6th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.253 | 58th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.073 | 17th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | -0.020 | 15th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.126 | 32nd138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.395 | 61st138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.402 | 4th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.156 | 49th138 teams | higher |
Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 292 attempts charted. Average depth of target 6.9 yards (7th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.4 per completion. Completion 59.2%, 6.1 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.09.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 57.8% | 64.7% | -7.0 | 258 / 292 |
| Defense allowed | 62.1% | 61.8% | +0.3 | 195 / 241 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Western Kentucky.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 292 | 99% | 6.9 | 5.4 | 59.2% | 0.09 | -7.0 pp | 258 |
| Passing defense | 241 | 99% | 8.9 | 6.2 | 60.2% | 0.14 | +0.3 pp | 195 |
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 291 | 4.1 | 43.1% | 0.09 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 17.5% | 71.1% |
| Defense allowed | 259 | 5.3 | 44.4% | 0.24 | 3.30 | 1.10 | 1.80 | 16.0% | 79.3% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 283 / 291 | 279 | 12 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 268 / 269 · 99.6% |
| Defense allowed | 257 / 259 | 251 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 242 / 243 · 99.6% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -7.0 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Nevada | 40 | 40 | 60.0% | 65.3% | -5.3 pp | 6.8 | 0.18 | 43 | 4.2 | -0.04 |
| W2 | Georgia | 37 | 36 | 50.0% | 65.5% | -15.5 pp | 6.1 | -0.17 | 37 | 3.0 | -0.09 |
| W3 | Indiana | 32 | 32 | 53.1% | 62.6% | -9.5 pp | 7.1 | -0.32 | 29 | 2.3 | -0.39 |
| W4 | Mercyhurst | 31 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.7 | 1.04 | 34 | 5.4 | 0.29 |
| W5 | New Mexico State | 43 | 42 | 69.0% | 66.2% | +2.9 pp | 6.5 | 0.11 | 31 | 1.3 | -0.07 |
| W6 | Missouri State | 35 | 35 | 57.1% | 61.9% | -4.7 pp | 9.8 | 0.28 | 40 | 5.9 | 0.33 |
| W7 | Sam Houston | 31 | 31 | 48.4% | 63.6% | -15.3 pp | 7.5 | 0.10 | 43 | 3.1 | -0.01 |
| W9 | Delaware | 43 | 42 | 61.9% | 66.8% | -4.9 pp | 4.8 | -0.32 | 34 | 6.6 | 0.59 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
41 punts · 43.3 gross yards/punt · 37.1 net yards/punt
4 inside the 20 · 4 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 41/41 punts. Known net yards: 31/41 punts.
7 returns · 10.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 7/7 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · Delaware | 2 | 35.0 | 31.0 | 1/2 |
| Week 7 · Sam Houston | 6 | 42.0 | 34.8 | 4/6 |
| Week 6 · Missouri State | 4 | 49.3 | 35.5 | 2/4 |
| Week 5 · New Mexico State | 6 | 42.5 | 40.4 | 5/6 |
| Week 4 · Mercyhurst | 0 | — | — | 0/0 |