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      "conference": "Big 12",
      "rank": 90,
      "rating": -3.4571323460257988,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 124,
      "rank_change": 34,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Jacksonville State",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 91,
      "rating": -3.4617569921864906,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 97,
      "rank_change": 6,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Georgia Tech",
      "conference": "ACC",
      "rank": 92,
      "rating": -3.588382140025013,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 72,
      "rank_change": -20,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Old Dominion",
      "conference": "Sun Belt",
      "rank": 93,
      "rating": -3.6598744710918183,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 69,
      "rank_change": -24,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "UConn",
      "conference": "FBS Independents",
      "rank": 94,
      "rating": -3.6834838884819945,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 54,
      "rank_change": -40,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Missouri State",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 95,
      "rating": -3.8172680081679857,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 125,
      "rank_change": 30,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "California",
      "conference": "ACC",
      "rank": 96,
      "rating": -3.9204382797132133,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 117,
      "rank_change": 21,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Georgia Southern",
      "conference": "Sun Belt",
      "rank": 97,
      "rating": -4.030040944658726,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 81,
      "rank_change": -16,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "East Carolina",
      "conference": "American Athletic",
      "rank": 98,
      "rating": -4.059698257699251,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 104,
      "rank_change": 6,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Akron",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 99,
      "rating": -4.265272237048164,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 122,
      "rank_change": 23,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Miami (OH)",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 100,
      "rating": -4.316628283977768,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 123,
      "rank_change": 23,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Massachusetts",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 101,
      "rating": -4.446520963555948,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 106,
      "rank_change": 5,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Temple",
      "conference": "American Athletic",
      "rank": 102,
      "rating": -4.478562653568646,
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      "previous_rank": 98,
      "rank_change": -4,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "UNLV",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 103,
      "rating": -4.715161852452642,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 55,
      "rank_change": -48,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Ohio",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 104,
      "rating": -5.2205980604838516,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 111,
      "rank_change": 7,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Boston College",
      "conference": "ACC",
      "rank": 105,
      "rating": -5.272995265345676,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 112,
      "rank_change": 7,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Washington State",
      "conference": "Pac-12",
      "rank": 106,
      "rating": -5.597399244315105,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 71,
      "rank_change": -35,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Texas State",
      "conference": "Pac-12",
      "rank": 107,
      "rating": -5.752537616559953,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 109,
      "rank_change": 2,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Troy",
      "conference": "Sun Belt",
      "rank": 108,
      "rating": -5.882331446171695,
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      "previous_rank": 101,
      "rank_change": -7,
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    },
    {
      "team": "Southern Miss",
      "conference": "Sun Belt",
      "rank": 109,
      "rating": -5.928170395100671,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 73,
      "rank_change": -36,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "New Mexico State",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 110,
      "rating": -6.192621855510522,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 100,
      "rank_change": -10,
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    },
    {
      "team": "San Jos\u00e9 State",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 111,
      "rating": -6.230745002208329,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 89,
      "rank_change": -22,
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    },
    {
      "team": "Middle Tennessee",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 112,
      "rating": -6.337635537622713,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 110,
      "rank_change": -2,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Oregon State",
      "conference": "Pac-12",
      "rank": 113,
      "rating": -6.656984416341302,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 113,
      "rank_change": 0,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Arkansas",
      "conference": "SEC",
      "rank": 114,
      "rating": -6.883088502152281,
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      "previous_rank": 93,
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    },
    {
      "team": "Stanford",
      "conference": "ACC",
      "rank": 115,
      "rating": -7.057617552944312,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 114,
      "rank_change": -1,
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    },
    {
      "team": "Rice",
      "conference": "American Athletic",
      "rank": 116,
      "rating": -7.193500256588988,
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      "previous_rank": 103,
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    },
    {
      "team": "Marshall",
      "conference": "Sun Belt",
      "rank": 117,
      "rating": -7.2019147044511955,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 118,
      "rank_change": 1,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Hawai'i",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 118,
      "rating": -7.339507351109172,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 119,
      "rank_change": 1,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "UTEP",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 119,
      "rating": -7.424115080870053,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 133,
      "rank_change": 14,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Florida Atlantic",
      "conference": "American Athletic",
      "rank": 120,
      "rating": -7.655599801318198,
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      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Liberty",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 121,
      "rating": -8.04642919608036,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 85,
      "rank_change": -36,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Rutgers",
      "conference": "Big Ten",
      "rank": 122,
      "rating": -8.065866209998713,
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      "previous_rank": 120,
      "rank_change": -2,
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    },
    {
      "team": "Sacramento State",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 123,
      "rating": -8.220432619782947,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 83,
      "rank_change": -40,
      "prior_available": false
    },
    {
      "team": "Sam Houston",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 124,
      "rating": -8.418593169078834,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 116,
      "rank_change": -8,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "UAB",
      "conference": "American Athletic",
      "rank": 125,
      "rating": -8.476334472196509,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 121,
      "rank_change": -4,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Eastern Michigan",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 126,
      "rating": -8.770521691606085,
      "games": 3,
      "previous_rank": 96,
      "rank_change": -30,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Ball State",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 127,
      "rating": -9.075020324126433,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 131,
      "rank_change": 4,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Nevada",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 128,
      "rating": -9.39259898744616,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 42,
      "rank_change": -86,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Utah State",
      "conference": "Pac-12",
      "rank": 129,
      "rating": -9.4308931591293,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 136,
      "rank_change": 7,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Buffalo",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 130,
      "rating": -11.064189655548265,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 129,
      "rank_change": -1,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Kent State",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 131,
      "rating": -11.165043065589902,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 134,
      "rank_change": 3,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "UL Monroe",
      "conference": "Sun Belt",
      "rank": 132,
      "rating": -11.841701820676349,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 135,
      "rank_change": 3,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Wyoming",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 133,
      "rating": -11.924485602451583,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 127,
      "rank_change": -6,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Central Michigan",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 134,
      "rating": -13.42973005781911,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 126,
      "rank_change": -8,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Western Kentucky",
      "conference": "Conference USA",
      "rank": 135,
      "rating": -16.550692727887164,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 128,
      "rank_change": -7,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Bowling Green",
      "conference": "Mid-American",
      "rank": 136,
      "rating": -16.608910601337584,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 137,
      "rank_change": 1,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Northern Illinois",
      "conference": "Mountain West",
      "rank": 137,
      "rating": -16.79194743727363,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 130,
      "rank_change": -7,
      "prior_available": true
    },
    {
      "team": "Charlotte",
      "conference": "American Athletic",
      "rank": 138,
      "rating": -17.015250963513573,
      "games": 2,
      "previous_rank": 138,
      "rank_change": 0,
      "prior_available": true
    }
  ],
  "coverage": {
    "fbs_teams": 138,
    "rated_teams": 138,
    "completed_games": 185,
    "missing_prior_teams": [
      "North Dakota State",
      "Sacramento State"
    ]
  },
  "methodology": {
    "home_field": 2.5,
    "lower_rating": -25.0,
    "margin_cap": 35.0,
    "half_life_weeks": 18.0,
    "prior_carryover": 0.5,
    "prior_game_weight": 2.0,
    "overtime": "one-point result",
    "prior_inputs": "Previous season regular season and postseason",
    "probabilities": "No per-game probabilities exported by this board"
  },
  "sources": {
    "results_snapshot": "data/external/cfbd_results/2026/20260917T110023896211Z",
    "results_manifest_sha256": "4b7785f700835daa514c97dc54b2460999852dd63deecc3280d848de4c9211f5",
    "games_sha256": "c79857e27e530ff5b52d723a4b31f1769485af9dfafc5e7db746f4950be9a4f8",
    "teams_sha256": "15611e4d36965423f96b01f58fbe1ea9de04f88c2909a490ddbfcab4511ea2c2",
    "historical_games_sha256": "b3f08c7510f35acdd9e722e452c15d61bb9bd6e8bbe1634192943f041bc43b2f",
    "engine_sha256": "ad79d3a3f65c833896ff8c13e373dc2c9c07beb5a6dbd62247d0960f34384630"
  },
  "evidence": {
    "confirmation_years": "2024\u20132025 (previously inspected)",
    "early_games": 389,
    "early_mae": 14.778581865566403,
    "all_games": 1514,
    "all_mae": 12.927245323333526,
    "brier": 0.185175722875071,
    "brier_scope": "all confirmation games",
    "calibration_summary": "Frozen forecast mapping trained through 2023. Retrospective calibration intercept -0.002, slope 1.048 (ideal 0 and 1); not a guarantee for future games.",
    "interpretation": "Event-time historical replay; not a pristine holdout or betting-edge claim.",
    "source_sha256": {
      "summary.json": "e329ed96b22f1f2427923bf438a6428d30cde717b66560dad1862a7eb1a5a201",
      "metrics.csv": "7cbcc055561842630581f888444cd60c2dbb5a9767598f42a85e37f5f7caee86",
      "calibration.csv": "06b9818026d945005812da75f02d25ddb24c43ed048ffe1c22f8d8a8bf3df34d",
      "stability.csv": "81a1a81cfc7bad91657a205cc7035bd6d4350c959c5070baf905a874963ac81d"
    }
  }
}
