Virginia

2026 season

ACC

2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Virginia's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 57 across 8 systems; best 50, worst 97, so they disagree by 47 places.

Lab EPA: #80; Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS: #57; up 32026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+: #53; down 42026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo: #54; up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI: #50; no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE: #97; no change · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS: #57; up 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA: #80; up 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record: #76 of 138
Schedule strength: #64 of 138
Remaining schedule strength: #49 of 138
Game control: #56 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall: #53 of 138
Offense: #79 of 138
Defense: #35 of 138
Special teams: #60 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Virginia · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

4-4 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.029 net EPA/play

#80

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

2.49 points

#57 · Up 3 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +3.55 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -1.30, schedule #55 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average +1.72. That is worth +2.25 on its own; the preseason prior of +3.36 still carries 22% of the weight, giving +2.49.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Virginia · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

Game	Raw margin → transformed	Venue adjustment	Recency weight	Fit share	Opponent rating	Margin term	Opponent term	Total term
Week 1 · NC State home · 2026-08-29 · ID 401858202	+26.00 → +26.00	-2.50	0.7637	8.47%	-2.52	1.990	-0.214	1.776
Week 2 · Norfolk State home · 2026-09-11 · ID 401858220	+56.00 → +35.00	-2.50	0.7937	8.80%	-25.00 (fixed lower division)	2.860	-2.200	0.660
Week 3 · West Virginia neutral · 2026-09-19 · ID 401856802	-11.00 → -11.00	0.00	0.8249	9.15%	+0.46	-1.006	0.042	-0.964
Week 4 · Delaware home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401858239	+39.00 → +35.00	-2.50	0.8572	9.51%	-5.85	3.089	-0.556	2.533
Week 5 · Florida State away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401858253	-31.00 → -31.00	+2.50	0.8909	9.88%	+6.69	-2.815	0.661	-2.154
Week 6 · Syracuse home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401858258	+3.00 → +3.00	-2.50	0.9259	10.27%	-1.04	0.051	-0.107	-0.056
Week 7 · SMU away · 2026-10-17 · ID 401858268	-10.00 → -10.00	+2.50	0.9622	10.67%	+7.81	-0.800	0.834	0.033
Week 8 · Duke home · 2026-10-23 · ID 401858271	-3.00 → -3.00	-2.50	1.0000	11.09%	+4.78	-0.610	0.530	-0.080

Game terms +1.75 points; prior term +0.75 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +2.49 points. The preseason prior is +3.36 with 22.18% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.7 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

5.8 SP+ points

#53 · Down 4 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

-7.35 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#97 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -4.62 on 417 plays; defense 2.73 on 388 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE rating CORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Virginia 23 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches

Record: 4-4 · conf 2-3 · home 4-1 · away 0-2 · expected wins 4.7
Polls (Week 9): unranked
CFP latest: not published
CFP final: not published
Against the spread: 2026: 3-4-1 ATS (-2.6 avg) · 2025: 9-5 ATS (+4.8 avg)
Head coach: Tony Elliott · hired 2021-12-10 · 19-19 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes: 2024 #88 (160 pts) · 2025 #58 (196 pts) · 2026 #111 (172 pts)
Returning: 10% of production · 14% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage
Passing 1% 0%
Receiving 9% 21%
Rushing 21% 21%
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Category	Production	Usage
Passing	1%	0%
Receiving	9%	21%
Rushing	21%	21%

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position group	Commits	Avg. stars	Avg. rating	Total rating
Defensive Back	12	3.00	0.8621	10.35
Defensive Line	11	3.00	0.8621	9.48
Linebacker	5	3.00	0.8696	4.35
Offensive Line	10	3.00	0.8619	8.62
Quarterback	5	3.00	0.8565	4.28
Receiver	14	3.00	0.8575	12.00
Running Back	3	3.00	0.8547	2.56
Special Teams	9	2.89	0.8506	7.66

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / history	Metric	Value	Plays / attempts	Overall usage	Usage detail	Recruiting
Beau Pribula · QB CFBD athlete 4685696. Missouri (2025–2025); Penn State (2022–2024); Virginia (2026–2026)	Passing WEPA	0.199	198	48.1%	Pass 87.1% · Rush 20.9% 1st 50.8% · 2nd 38.3% · 3rd 59.1% Standard downs 43.0% · Passing downs 59.8%	2022: 3★ · 0.8859
Jekail Middlebrook · RB CFBD athlete 5121721. Virginia (2026–2026); Middle Tennessee (2023–2025)	Rushing WEPA	0.250	104	21.4%	Pass 6.9% · Rush 33.7% 1st 20.4% · 2nd 25.0% · 3rd 18.2% Standard downs 25.5% · Passing downs 11.8%	2023: stars unavailable
Beau Pribula · QB CFBD athlete 4685696. Missouri (2025–2025); Penn State (2022–2024); Virginia (2026–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.191	65	48.1%	Pass 87.1% · Rush 20.9% 1st 50.8% · 2nd 38.3% · 3rd 59.1% Standard downs 43.0% · Passing downs 59.8%	2022: 3★ · 0.8859
Xay Davis · RB CFBD athlete 5210729. Virginia (2025–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.042	41	10.4%	Pass 3.4% · Rush 16.3% 1st 11.3% · 2nd 10.0% · 3rd 9.1% Standard downs 12.1% · Passing downs 6.5%	2025: 3★ · 0.8592
Xavier Brown · RB CFBD athlete 4873442. Virginia (2022–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.187	32	7.5%	Pass 3.4% · Rush 11.1% 1st 8.3% · 2nd 8.9% · 3rd 4.5% Standard downs 8.5% · Passing downs 5.3%	2022: 3★ · 0.8619
Will Bettridge · PK CFBD athlete 4871220. Virginia (2022–2026)	Kicker PAAR	0.280	11	—	Pass — · Rush — 1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs —	2022: 3★ · 0.8300
CJ Spence · WR CFBD athlete 5141705. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.1%	Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.2% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 12.5% Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Cole Geer · QB CFBD athlete 5145789. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	8.6%	Pass 11.0% · Rush 6.8% 1st 5.8% · 2nd 5.8% · 3rd 20.8% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 14.0%	Not linked
Connor Cox · TE CFBD athlete 4923057. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.6%	Pass 6.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.6% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Dakota Twitty · TE CFBD athlete 4685594. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.3%	Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.3% · 2nd 2.9% · 3rd 2.4% Standard downs 3.5% · Passing downs 2.5%	Not linked
Dashawn Martin · WR CFBD athlete 5222394. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	5.7%	Pass 13.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.2% · 2nd 6.7% · 3rd 7.3% Standard downs 4.4% · Passing downs 8.9%	Not linked
Eli Holstein · QB CFBD athlete 4870819. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	14.6%	Pass 27.4% · Rush 2.7% 1st 8.7% · 2nd 15.4% · 3rd 25.0% Standard downs 9.3% · Passing downs 27.9%	Not linked
Hayden Rollison · TE CFBD athlete 5150896. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.6%	Pass 4.2% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 12.5% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 6.3%	Not linked
Isaiah Robinson · WR CFBD athlete 5141657. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.5%	Pass 7.5% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.3% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 4.7% Standard downs 3.1% · Passing downs 4.4%	Not linked
Jack Rhodes · WR CFBD athlete 5294501. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 1.4% · Rush 1.3% 1st 3.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jacquon Gibson · WR CFBD athlete 4900879. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.0%	Pass 7.0% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.3% · 2nd 1.2% · 3rd 6.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 5.3%	Not linked
John Rogers · TE CFBD athlete 5143920. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.5%	Pass 9.5% · Rush 0.6% 1st 6.4% · 2nd 1.9% · 3rd 5.6% Standard downs 5.4% · Passing downs 2.7%	Not linked
Josiah Abdullah · WR CFBD athlete 5141351. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.9%	Pass 3.9% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.8% · 2nd 1.0% · 3rd 6.2% Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 3.9%	Not linked
Kameron Courtney · WR CFBD athlete 5147376. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	5.7%	Pass 13.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.8% · 2nd 5.1% · 3rd 10.0% Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 9.7%	Not linked
Lukas Ungar · TE CFBD athlete 4430954. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.3%	Pass 4.1% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 3.6% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 3.7%	Not linked
Noah Vaughn · RB CFBD athlete 5078110. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	7.3%	Pass 1.7% · Rush 12.3% 1st 7.0% · 2nd 11.7% · 3rd 2.5% Standard downs 8.7% · Passing downs 4.0%	Not linked
Peyton Lewis · RB CFBD athlete 5122553. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	7.4%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 10.8% 1st 9.7% · 2nd 6.7% · 3rd 4.3% Standard downs 6.6% · Passing downs 10.3%	Not linked
Rico Flores · WR CFBD athlete 4870713. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.6%	Pass 13.1% · Rush 0.0% 1st 5.6% · 2nd 5.4% · 3rd 10.5% Standard downs 4.7% · Passing downs 10.5%	Not linked
Solomon Beebe · RB CFBD athlete 5219693. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.5%	Pass 2.0% · Rush 1.2% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Tekai Kirby · WR CFBD athlete 5077816. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 2.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 4.7%	Not linked
Trevor Ladd · WR CFBD athlete 5219297. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.6%	Pass 4.2% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 12.5% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 6.3%	Not linked
Tylyric Coleman · WR CFBD athlete 5085246. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.3%	Pass 5.6% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.3% · 2nd 1.7% · 3rd 0.9% Standard downs 2.8% · Passing downs 1.2%	Not linked
Willem Thurber · TE CFBD athlete 5210204. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 2.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 4.7%	Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 31 reported

Player	From	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Alex Payne · OT	USC	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Beau Pribula · QB	Missouri	2026-01-13	4★ / 0.9000	Immediate
Brandyn Hillman · S	Michigan	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8800	Immediate
Christian Ellis · S	Virginia Tech	2026-01-04	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Connor Cox · TE	North Carolina	2026-01-10	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Da'Shawn Martin · WR	Kent State	2026-01-17	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Darrion Henry-Young · DL	Coastal Carolina	2026-01-17	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Devon Baxter · EDGE	Michigan	2026-01-11	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Eli Holstein · QB	Pittsburgh	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Ezekiel Larry · EDGE	Yale	2026-01-09	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Jacobie Henderson · CB	Rutgers	2026-01-05	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Jacquon Gibson · WR	Massachusetts	2026-01-17	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Jalen McNair · S	Buffalo	2026-01-16	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Jaylen Jones · S	Georgia State	2026-01-10	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Jekail Middlebrook · RB	Middle Tennessee	2026-01-04	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Jonathan Allen · DL	UAB	2026-01-18	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Justin Ross · CB	Navy	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Justin Townsend · EDGE	Columbia	2026-04-17	— / —	Immediate
Kervins Choute · DL	UConn	2026-01-16	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Lukas Ungar · TE	New Mexico State	2026-01-26	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Matthew Fobbs-White · EDGE	Baylor	2026-01-07	3★ / 0.8900	Immediate
Nnanna Anyanwu · EDGE	UTSA	2026-01-09	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Omillio Agard · CB	Wisconsin	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Patrick Campbell · CB	Dartmouth	2026-02-02	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Peyton Lewis · RB	Tennessee	2026-01-07	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Rico Flores Jr. · WR	UCLA	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Ryan Brubaker · IOL	South Carolina	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Solomon Beebe · RB	UAB	2026-01-10	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Tyson Davis · WR	Central Michigan	2026-01-18	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Wyatt Rubinoff · LS	New Hampshire	2026-01-09	— / —	Immediate
Zion Wilson · DL	East Carolina	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8800	Immediate

Outgoing · 22 reported

Player	To	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Andre Greene Jr. · WR	Georgia Southern	2026-01-15	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Bjorn Jurgensen · QB	Hawai'i	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Da'Marcus Crosby · S	Not reported	2026-01-17	— / —	Immediate
Daniel Kaelin · QB	Nebraska	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Davis Lane Jr. · WR	Rice	2026-01-19	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Dre Walker · CB	App State	2026-01-09	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Eli Wood · WR	Utah State	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Emmanuel Karnley · CB	Washington	2026-01-08	3★ / 0.8800	Immediate
Grady Brosterhous · QB	Utah State	2026-01-20	3★ / 0.8200	Immediate
Hunter Osborne · DL	Arkansas	2026-01-06	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Ja'Son Prevard · CB	Kansas State	2026-01-09	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Jorge Diaz Nicolas · K	Marshall	2026-01-21	— / —	Immediate
Kameron Courtney · WR	Not reported	2026-01-16	3★ / —	Withdrawn
Maddox Marcellus · LB	Not reported	2026-01-02	— / —	Immediate
Mekhi Buchanan · EDGE	Not reported	2025-12-14	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Stevie Bracey · LB	Buffalo	2026-01-17	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Suderian Harrison · WR	East Tennessee State	2026-01-11	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Terrell Jones · DL	South Florida	2026-01-09	3★ / —	Immediate
Trell Harris · WR	Oklahoma	2026-01-05	4★ / 0.9300	Immediate
Trey McDonald · LB	Not reported	2025-12-29	3★ / —	Immediate
Tyshawn Wyatt · OT	Not reported	2025-12-09	3★ / —	Immediate
Wallace Unamba · OT	Not reported	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Virginia. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Tony Elliott · career 22–26 across 5 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 36 appointments

2022–present · Tony Elliott · active at capture
22–26 · 48 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2021-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2016–2021 · Bronco Mendenhall
36–38 · 74 attributed games · 6 seasons
Hired 2015-12-04. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2010–2015 · Mike London
27–46 · 74 attributed games · 6 seasons
Hired 2009-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2001–2009 · Al Groh
59–53 · 112 attributed games · 9 seasons
Hired 2000-12-30. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1982–2000 · George Welsh
134–86–3 · 223 attributed games · 19 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1976–1981 · Dick Bestwick
16–49–1 · 66 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1974–1975 · Sonny Randle
5–17 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1971–1973 · Don Lawrence
11–22 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1965–1970 · George Blackburn
28–33 · 61 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1961–1964 · William Elias
16–23–1 · 40 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1958–1960 · Richard Voris
1–29 · 30 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1956–1957 · Ben Martin
6–13–1 · 20 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1953–1955 · Ned McDonald
5–23 · 28 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1946–1952 · Arthur Guepe
47–17–2 · 66 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1937–1945 · Frank Murray
41–34–5 · 80 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1934–1936 · Gus Tebell
6–18–4 · 28 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1931–1933 · Fred Dawson
8–17–4 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1929–1930 · Earl Abell
8–9–2 · 19 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1923–1928 · Greasy Neale
28–22–5 · 55 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1922–1922 · Thomas Campbell
4–4–1 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1920–1921 · W. Warren
10–6–2 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1919–1919 · Harris Coleman
2–5–2 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1916–1916 · Peyton Evans
4–5 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1915–1915 · Harry Varner
8–1 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1914–1914 · Joseph Wood
8–1 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1913–1913 · W. Warren
7–1 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1912–1912 · Speed Elliott
6–3 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1911–1911 · Kemper Yancey
8–2 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1910–1910 · Charles Crawford
6–2 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1909–1909 · John Neff
7–1 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1908–1908 · M.T. Cooke
7–0–1 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1907–1907 · Edward Johnson
6–3–1 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1905–1905 · William Cole
5–4 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1904–1904 · Foster Sanford
6–3 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1903–1903 · Gresham Poe
7–2–1 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1902–1902 · John DeSaulles
8–1–1 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coach	Record	Conference	Postseason	SP+	SRS	Recruiting rank	Final poll
2026 · Tony Elliott · incomplete attribution	0–0	—	—	6.6	3.3	111	—
2025 · Tony Elliott	11–3	7–1	1–0	11.1	9.8	58	16
2024 · Tony Elliott	5–7	3–5	0–0	-5.1	-1.9	88	—
2023 · Tony Elliott	3–9	2–6	0–0	-10.8	-4.4	64	—
2022 · Tony Elliott	3–7	1–6	0–0	-9	-6	66	—
2021 · Bronco Mendenhall	6–6	4–5	0–0	7.2	2.1	31	—
2020 · Bronco Mendenhall	5–5	4–5	0–0	0.9	—	48	—
2019 · Bronco Mendenhall	9–5	6–3	0–1	6.3	6.3	39	—
2018 · Bronco Mendenhall	8–5	4–4	1–0	7.1	7.6	59	—
2017 · Bronco Mendenhall	6–7	3–5	0–1	0.8	-0.8	58	—
2016 · Bronco Mendenhall	2–10	1–7	0–0	-3.8	-5.4	63	—
2015 · Mike London	4–8	3–5	0–0	1.4	1.3	50	—

Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 23:14:58 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

Statistic	Offense rank / population	Percentile	Defense rank / population	Percentile
PPA / play	71 / 138	48.9	40 / 138	71.5
Success rate	76 / 138	45.3	43 / 138	69.3
Explosiveness	110 / 138	20.4	37 / 138	73.7
Standard-down success	44 / 138	68.6	51 / 138	63.5
Passing-down success	130 / 138	5.8	25 / 138	82.5
Pass PPA	73 / 138	47.4	39 / 138	72.3
Rush PPA	66 / 138	52.6	75 / 138	46.0
Pass explosiveness	100 / 138	27.7	87 / 138	37.2
Rush explosiveness	78 / 138	43.8	37 / 138	73.7
Line yards	39 / 138	72.3	76 / 138	45.3
Second-level yards	65 / 138	53.3	52 / 138	62.8
Open-field yards	114 / 138	17.5	72 / 138	48.2
Stuff rate	58 / 138	58.4	T81 / 138	41.2
Power success	22 / 138	84.7	87 / 138	37.2
Havoc	T38 / 138	70.8	T53 / 138	60.9
Front-seven havoc	T84 / 138	37.2	T99 / 138	27.4
DB havoc	16 / 138	89.1	T11 / 138	92.0
Points / opportunity	60 / 138	56.9	71 / 138	48.9
Average field position	T34 / 138	74.8	T31 / 138	77.7
Field-position expected points	42 / 138	70.1	36 / 138	74.5

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Beau Pribula · QBUsage 48.1% · Avg PPA 0.146 · Total 39.029

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.146	39.029	48.1%
Pass	0.170	34.443	87.1%
Rush	0.166	10.622	20.9%
1st down	0.028	3.423	50.8%
2nd down	0.223	15.408	38.3%
3rd down	0.230	14.921	59.1%
Standard downs	0.208	34.819	43.0%
Passing downs	0.042	4.210	59.8%

Jekail Middlebrook · RBUsage 21.4% · Avg PPA 0.250 · Total 29.782

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.250	29.782	21.4%
Pass	0.196	3.136	6.9%
Rush	0.259	26.647	33.7%
1st down	0.092	4.519	20.4%
2nd down	0.108	4.848	25.0%
3rd down	0.444	8.875	18.2%
Standard downs	0.208	20.609	25.5%
Passing downs	0.459	9.173	11.8%

Eli Holstein · QBUsage 14.6% · Avg PPA 0.559 · Total 12.302

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.559	12.302	14.6%
Pass	0.741	14.817	27.4%
Rush	-1.258	-2.515	2.7%
1st down	-0.470	-2.822	8.7%
2nd down	0.313	2.503	15.4%
3rd down	2.032	12.195	25.0%
Standard downs	0.333	3.334	9.3%
Passing downs	0.747	8.968	27.9%

Xay Davis · RBUsage 10.4% · Avg PPA 0.047 · Total 2.705

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.047	2.705	10.4%
Pass	0.971	7.767	3.4%
Rush	-0.101	-5.062	16.3%
1st down	-0.205	-5.531	11.3%
2nd down	0.130	2.340	10.0%
3rd down	0.473	4.726	9.1%
Standard downs	-0.034	-1.621	12.1%
Passing downs	0.393	4.326	6.5%

Cole Geer · QBUsage 8.6% · Avg PPA 0.361 · Total 4.689

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.361	4.689	8.6%
Pass	0.330	2.637	11.0%
Rush	0.410	2.051	6.8%
1st down	-0.518	-2.071	5.8%
2nd down	-0.292	-0.877	5.8%
3rd down	1.105	5.524	20.8%
Standard downs	-0.041	-0.286	6.5%
Passing downs	0.829	4.975	14.0%

Xavier Brown · RBUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA 0.096 · Total 4.051

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.096	4.051	7.5%
Pass	0.310	2.481	3.4%
Rush	0.046	1.570	11.1%
1st down	-0.152	-3.047	8.3%
2nd down	0.206	3.299	8.9%
3rd down	1.613	8.063	4.5%
Standard downs	0.118	3.891	8.5%
Passing downs	0.018	0.160	5.3%

Peyton Lewis · RBUsage 7.4% · Avg PPA -0.175 · Total -1.751

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.175	-1.751	7.4%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.175	-1.751	10.8%
1st down	-0.532	-3.193	9.7%
2nd down	0.475	1.426	6.7%
3rd down	0.016	0.016	4.3%
Standard downs	-0.160	-1.117	6.6%
Passing downs	-0.211	-0.634	10.3%

Noah Vaughn · RBUsage 7.3% · Avg PPA 0.024 · Total 0.734

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.024	0.734	7.3%
Pass	-0.306	-0.917	1.7%
Rush	0.059	1.651	12.3%
1st down	0.146	1.896	7.0%
2nd down	-0.110	-1.753	11.7%
3rd down	0.295	0.591	2.5%
Standard downs	0.067	1.740	8.7%
Passing downs	-0.201	-1.007	4.0%

Rico Flores · WRUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA 0.615 · Total 11.693

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.615	11.693	6.6%
Pass	0.615	11.693	13.1%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.531	3.719	5.6%
2nd down	0.578	2.890	5.4%
3rd down	0.316	1.894	10.5%
Standard downs	0.780	7.020	4.7%
Passing downs	0.467	4.674	10.5%

Dashawn Martin · WRUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA 0.210 · Total 6.735

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.210	6.735	5.7%
Pass	0.210	6.735	13.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.262	2.615	4.2%
2nd down	0.618	7.418	6.7%
3rd down	-0.233	-1.862	7.3%
Standard downs	0.510	8.678	4.4%
Passing downs	-0.130	-1.943	8.9%

Kameron Courtney · WRUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA 0.534 · Total 12.815

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.534	12.815	5.7%
Pass	0.534	12.815	13.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.334	3.007	4.8%
2nd down	0.721	5.048	5.1%
3rd down	0.595	4.761	10.0%
Standard downs	0.255	3.062	4.0%
Passing downs	0.813	9.753	9.7%

John Rogers · TEUsage 4.5% · Avg PPA 0.798 · Total 11.974

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.798	11.974	4.5%
Pass	0.735	10.288	9.5%
Rush	1.686	1.686	0.6%
1st down	0.376	3.381	6.4%
2nd down	0.076	0.151	1.9%
3rd down	2.110	8.442	5.6%
Standard downs	0.455	5.460	5.4%
Passing downs	2.172	6.515	2.7%

Isaiah Robinson · WRUsage 3.5% · Avg PPA 0.224 · Total 3.364

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.224	3.364	3.5%
Pass	0.224	3.364	7.5%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.110	-0.881	4.3%
2nd down	0.772	2.315	2.1%
3rd down	0.483	1.930	4.7%
Standard downs	0.173	1.557	3.1%
Passing downs	0.301	1.807	4.4%

Dakota Twitty · TEUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA 0.169 · Total 2.365

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.169	2.365	3.3%
Pass	0.169	2.365	8.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.128	1.026	4.3%
2nd down	0.101	0.403	2.9%
3rd down	0.468	0.936	2.4%
Standard downs	0.125	1.370	3.5%
Passing downs	0.332	0.995	2.5%

CJ Spence · WRUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA -0.682 · Total -1.364

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.682	-1.364	3.1%
Pass	-0.682	-1.364	8.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.957	-0.957	3.2%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	-0.407	-0.407	12.5%
Standard downs	-0.682	-1.364	4.2%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jacquon Gibson · WRUsage 3.0% · Avg PPA 0.370 · Total 5.548

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.370	5.548	3.0%
Pass	0.370	5.548	7.0%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.400	2.000	2.3%
2nd down	1.277	2.553	1.2%
3rd down	0.340	2.040	6.0%
Standard downs	1.081	7.568	2.0%
Passing downs	-0.253	-2.020	5.3%

Lukas Ungar · TEUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 1.937 · Total 3.874

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.937	3.874	2.3%
Pass	1.937	3.874	4.1%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	1.257	1.257	3.6%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	2.617	2.617	1.7%
Passing downs	1.257	1.257	3.7%

Tylyric Coleman · WRUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.658 · Total 8.559

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.658	8.559	2.3%
Pass	0.658	8.559	5.6%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.824	6.589	3.3%
2nd down	0.273	0.820	1.7%
3rd down	-1.044	-1.044	0.9%
Standard downs	0.712	7.834	2.8%
Passing downs	0.362	0.724	1.2%

Josiah Abdullah · WRUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA 1.539 · Total 9.236

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.539	9.236	1.9%
Pass	1.539	9.236	3.9%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.900	-0.900	0.8%
2nd down	-0.662	-0.662	1.0%
3rd down	2.700	10.799	6.2%
Standard downs	0.513	1.027	1.0%
Passing downs	2.052	8.210	3.9%

Connor Cox · TEUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA -0.073 · Total -0.147

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.073	-0.147	1.6%
Pass	-0.073	-0.147	6.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.073	-0.147	3.6%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.073	-0.147	2.1%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Hayden Rollison · TEUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 3.088 · Total 3.088

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	3.088	3.088	1.6%
Pass	3.088	3.088	4.2%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	3.088	3.088	12.5%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	3.088	3.088	6.3%

Trevor Ladd · WRUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA -0.334 · Total -0.334

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.334	-0.334	1.6%
Pass	-0.334	-0.334	4.2%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	-0.334	-0.334	12.5%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	-0.334	-0.334	6.3%

Solomon Beebe · RBUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.872 · Total -1.744

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.872	-1.744	1.5%
Pass	-0.614	-0.614	2.0%
Rush	-1.130	-1.130	1.2%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	-0.872	-1.744	4.5%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.872	-1.744	2.2%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jack Rhodes · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -0.771 · Total -1.542

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.771	-1.542	1.3%
Pass	-1.108	-1.108	1.4%
Rush	-0.435	-0.435	1.3%
1st down	-0.771	-1.542	3.1%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.771	-1.542	2.1%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Tekai Kirby · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 0.110 · Total 0.220

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.110	0.220	1.3%
Pass	0.110	0.220	2.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	0.110	0.220	3.8%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	0.110	0.220	4.7%

Willem Thurber · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 1.491 · Total 2.982

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.491	2.982	1.3%
Pass	1.491	2.982	2.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	1.491	2.982	8.3%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	1.491	2.982	4.7%

Where Virginia sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Values and percentiles

Virginia metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
Metric	Value	Percentile	Better
Offense PPA/play	0.136	49th138 teams	higher
Offense success rate	0.425	45th138 teams	higher
Offense explosiveness	1.157	20th138 teams	higher
Offense pass PPA/play	0.216	48th138 teams	higher
Offense rush PPA/play	0.109	53rd138 teams	higher
Defense PPA/play	0.018	72nd138 teams	lower
Defense success rate	0.382	69th138 teams	lower
Defense explosiveness	1.165	74th138 teams	lower
Defense havoc created	0.166	61st138 teams	higher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 97% of 210 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.8 yards (57th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.9 per completion. Completion 63.8%, 7.6 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.39.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
Side	Actual	Expected	CPOE (pp)	Qualifying / all attempts
Offense	62.6%	61.3%	+1.3	182 / 210
Defense allowed	53.4%	58.0%	-4.6	191 / 226

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Virginia.

Target mix by zone, Virginia offense

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail

Virginia passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
Side	Attempts	Charted	ADOT	YAC	Comp %	PPA	CPOE	CPOE att
Passing offense	210	97%	8.8	5.9	63.8%	0.39	+1.3 pp	182
Passing defense	226	100%	10.7	5.2	53.1%	0.08	-4.6 pp	191

Rushing production

Side	Attempts	Yards / carry	Success	PPA	Line yards / rush	Second-level yards / rush	Open-field yards / rush	Stuff rate	Power success
Offense	331	3.9	44.7%	0.12	3.20	1.10	0.80	15.2%	80.5%
Defense allowed	281	4.0	41.4%	0.08	2.90	0.90	1.10	16.9%	73.5%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

Side	Yards recorded	Individual	Unattributed	Sacks	Kneels	Team rushes	Multiple carriers	Direction located / eligible
Offense	327 / 331	323	8	25	4	4	0	302 / 302 · 100.0%
Defense allowed	275 / 281	262	19	15	5	5	0	261 / 261 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

MetricSide

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +1.3 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage

Week	Opponent	Pass att	CPOE att	Comp %*	Expected %*	CPOE	ADOT	Pass PPA	Rush att	Rush yds/carry	Rush PPA
W1	NC State	11	10	80.0%	60.3%	+19.7 pp	11.0	1.01	57	4.5	0.19
W2	Norfolk State	24	0	—	—	—	7.0	0.63	38	6.0	0.32
W3	West Virginia	33	32	62.5%	63.6%	-1.1 pp	7.4	0.28	37	4.2	0.20
W4	Delaware	44	43	76.7%	62.5%	+14.3 pp	8.0	0.86	41	3.0	-0.11
W5	Florida State	32	32	43.8%	60.3%	-16.6 pp	8.3	0.01	39	1.2	-0.27
W6	Syracuse	20	19	57.9%	61.0%	-3.1 pp	11.2	0.13	35	4.1	0.31
W7	SMU	22	22	59.1%	60.6%	-1.5 pp	9.6	0.09	32	3.8	0.23
W8	Duke	24	24	62.5%	59.1%	+3.4 pp	10.3	0.15	52	3.9	0.01

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

35 punts · 51.1 gross yards/punt · 43.0 net yards/punt

12 inside the 20 · 2 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 35/35 punts. Known net yards: 26/35 punts.

Our punt returns

8 returns · 6.9 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 8/8 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games

Game	Punts	Gross yd/punt	Net yd/punt	Known net yards
Week 8 · Duke	5	56.2	42.5	4/5
Week 7 · SMU	2	55.0	34.5	2/2
Week 6 · Syracuse	6	52.2	45.8	4/6
Week 5 · Florida State	7	56.7	50.5	6/7
Week 4 · Delaware	2	38.0	35.0	1/2

Team style

Rating history