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UTSA

2026 season

American Athletic
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

UTSA's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 58 across 8 systems; best 50, worst 70, so they disagree by 20 places.

Lab EPA
#57
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#50
up 152026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#59
up 102026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#52
up 102026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#67
up 102026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#70
down 10 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#61
up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#57
down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#23 of 138
Schedule strength
#82 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#97 of 138
Game control
#70 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#63 of 138
Offense
#55 of 138
Defense
#77 of 138
Special teams
#30 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

UTSA · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

7-1 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.028 net EPA/play

#57

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

3.69 points

#50 · Up 15 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +7.61 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -3.38, schedule #76 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -0.74. That is worth +4.23 on its own; the preseason prior of +1.79 still carries 22% of the weight, giving +3.69.

How each game enters this SRS rating

UTSA · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · UT Rio Grande Valley
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401862700
+29.00 → +29.00-2.500.76378.47%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.244-2.1170.127
Week 2 · Texas State
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401860884
+5.00 → +5.00+2.500.79378.80%+2.150.6600.1890.849
Week 3 · Texas
away · 2026-09-20 · ID 401856693
-24.00 → -24.00+2.500.82499.15%+13.57-1.9661.241-0.725
Week 4 · Colorado State
home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401860896
+14.00 → +14.00-2.500.85729.51%-8.171.093-0.7770.316
Week 5 · Rice
away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401862788
+2.00 → +2.00+2.500.89099.88%-9.250.445-0.914-0.469
Week 6 · South Florida
home · 2026-10-08 · ID 401862794
+7.00 → +7.00-2.500.925910.27%+3.080.4620.3170.779
Week 7 · Navy
home · 2026-10-18 · ID 401862804
+4.00 → +4.00-2.500.962210.67%-2.280.160-0.243-0.083
Week 8 · Tulane
away · 2026-10-25 · ID 401862811
+23.00 → +23.00+2.501.000011.09%-2.972.828-0.3292.498

Game terms +3.29 points; prior term +0.40 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +3.69 points. The preseason prior is +1.79 with 22.18% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

3.5 SP+ points

#59 · Up 10 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

-0.39 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#70 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 4.30 on 469 plays; defense 4.69 on 461 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks UTSA 7 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
7-1 · conf 4-0 · home 4-0 · away 3-1 · expected wins 5.5
Polls (Week 9)
unranked
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 5-2-1 ATS (+2.6 avg) · 2025: 7-6 ATS (+4.2 avg)
Head coach
Jeff Traylor · hired 2019-12-09 · 23-16 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #123 (122 pts) · 2025 #107 (139 pts) · 2026 #79 (186 pts)
Returning
67% of production · 70% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing93%99%
Receiving61%50%
Rushing36%57%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back73.000.84855.94
Defensive Line83.000.84876.79
Linebacker43.000.84763.39
Offensive Line73.000.84055.88
Quarterback33.000.85272.56
Receiver133.000.846011.00
Running Back43.250.87653.51
Special Teams33.000.84272.53

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Owen McCown · QB

CFBD athlete 4775136. Colorado (2022–2022); UTSA (2023–2026)

Passing WEPA0.26823051.8%
Pass 98.0% · Rush 11.5%

1st 44.5% · 2nd 57.8% · 3rd 55.7%

Standard downs 44.5% · Passing downs 70.3%

2022: 3★ · 0.8670
Will Henderson III · RB

CFBD athlete 5223167. UTSA (2024–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.21710323.3%
Pass 7.5% · Rush 38.7%

1st 26.3% · 2nd 23.3% · 3rd 20.0%

Standard downs 23.7% · Passing downs 22.6%

2024: 3★ · 0.8800
Brandon High · RB

CFBD athlete 5078422. California (2025–2025); UTSA (2023–2024); UTSA (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1985712.5%
Pass 2.4% · Rush 22.2%

1st 13.6% · 2nd 12.8% · 3rd 11.3%

Standard downs 14.7% · Passing downs 7.1%

2023: 3★ · 0.8714
A'Marion Peterson · RB

CFBD athlete 4918111. USC (2023–2024); UTSA (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.3835611.4%
Pass 2.7% · Rush 19.7%

1st 13.6% · 2nd 7.8% · 3rd 12.2%

Standard downs 14.7% · Passing downs 3.2%

2023: 4★ · 0.8967
Owen McCown · QB

CFBD athlete 4775136. Colorado (2022–2022); UTSA (2023–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.2143251.8%
Pass 98.0% · Rush 11.5%

1st 44.5% · 2nd 57.8% · 3rd 55.7%

Standard downs 44.5% · Passing downs 70.3%

2022: 3★ · 0.8670
Michael Petro · PK

CFBD athlete 5160464. UTSA (2023–2026)

Kicker PAAR0.79014—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Braydon Doane · PK

CFBD athlete 5394641. UTSA (2026–2026)

Kicker PAAR1.0301—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
AJ Wilson · WR

CFBD athlete 5084802. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.4%
Pass 13.3% · Rush 0.4%

1st 4.2% · 2nd 8.3% · 3rd 7.0%

Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 9.7%

Not linked
Brandon Tennison · QB

CFBD athlete 5151316. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.3%
Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 10.0%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 18.2%

Not linked
Brandon Young Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5146987. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.4%
Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.8%

1st 2.3% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 2.9%

Standard downs 3.0% · Passing downs 4.4%

Not linked
DJ Allen · WR

CFBD athlete 4702790. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.9%
Pass 12.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.2% · 2nd 7.8% · 3rd 6.1%

Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 11.0%

Not linked
David Amador · WR

CFBD athlete 4917054. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——10.7%
Pass 22.4% · Rush 0.4%

1st 10.2% · 2nd 13.3% · 3rd 7.8%

Standard downs 10.8% · Passing downs 10.3%

Not linked
Isaiah Butler-Tanner · TE

CFBD athlete 5215185. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.6%
Pass 3.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.9% · 2nd 1.7% · 3rd 1.3%

Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 1.0%

Not linked
Jamel Hardy · WR

CFBD athlete 4923281. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.3%
Pass 4.8% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.1% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 5.7%

Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 5.7%

Not linked
James Madison II · WR

CFBD athlete 5079571. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.3% · 3rd 3.6%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.6%

Not linked
Mark Wiepert · QB

CFBD athlete 5296013. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.3%

1st 1.6% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Mekhi Anderson · WR

CFBD athlete 5194309. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.4%
Pass 14.5% · Rush 1.1%

1st 8.5% · 2nd 7.2% · 3rd 5.2%

Standard downs 7.7% · Passing downs 6.5%

Not linked
Miles Campbell · TE

CFBD athlete 4683417. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.3%
Pass 5.0% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.8% · 2nd 0.9% · 3rd 1.4%

Standard downs 3.0% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
TJ West · WR

CFBD athlete 4916987. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.9%
Pass 7.0% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.1% · 2nd 2.9% · 3rd 2.5%

Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 5.1%

Not linked
Trysten Laughlin · TE

CFBD athlete 5326881. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 2.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 6.7%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 3.8%

Not linked
Ty Rupe · TE

CFBD athlete 5148607. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 4.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 22 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Brandon High Jr. · RBCalifornia2026-01-093★ / 0.8600Immediate
Brandon Young Jr. · TENorth Texas2026-01-113★ / 0.8300Immediate
Collins Acheampong · EDGEBowling Green2026-01-233★ / 0.8500Immediate
Drenon Fite III · EDGELouisiana2026-01-083★ / —Immediate
Dylan Spencer · EDGETexas Tech2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Eddy Smith · DLTexas Tech2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Elijah Baldwin · EDGEUTEP2026-01-073★ / 0.8400Immediate
Eze Osondu · LBCalifornia2026-01-073★ / —Immediate
Ibrahim Kebe · OTOhio2026-01-163★ / 0.8400Immediate
James Madison II · WRMissouri2026-01-083★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jarrett Henry · IOLOklahoma State2026-01-113★ / 0.8300Immediate
Jeremiah Bailey · EDGEEastern Kentucky2026-01-143★ / 0.8400Immediate
Joel Rogers · SLSU2026-01-153★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jusiah Sampleton · DLNot reported2026-01-063★ / 0.8400Immediate
Mark Wiepert · QBOregon2026-07-073★ / —Immediate
Miles Campbell · TEFlorida A&M2026-01-084★ / —Immediate
Monjaro Senegal · OTColorado State2026-01-07— / —Immediate
Nate Robinson Jr. · SMarist2026-01-10— / —Immediate
T.J. West · WRTexas Tech2026-01-073★ / —Immediate
TJ Laurent · EDGENot reported2026-04-22— / —Immediate
Xavier Walton · SAngelo State2025-11-183★ / 0.8300Immediate
Zahn Coakley · WRApp State2026-01-163★ / 0.8000Immediate
Outgoing · 23 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Brandon Jacob Jr. · SNot reported2026-01-144★ / —Immediate
Breck Chambers · PStephen F. Austin2026-01-173★ / —Immediate
Briley Brown · IOLHouston Christian2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Immediate
Chidera Otutu · DLCincinnati2026-01-043★ / 0.8600Immediate
Daemian Wimberly · DLBaylor2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Davin Martin · CBTexas Tech2026-01-053★ / 0.8700Immediate
Devin McCuin · WROhio State2026-01-073★ / 0.8600Immediate
Devin Scura · TENicholls2026-01-172★ / —Immediate
Houston Thomas · TETexas A&M2026-01-033★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jaelen Smith · WRNot reported2026-01-083★ / —Immediate
Jimmy Wyrick · SNot reported2025-12-203★ / 0.8500Immediate
KK Meier · CBCincinnati2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kaian Roberts-Day · DLNew Mexico State2026-01-163★ / 0.8400Immediate
Kenny Ozowalu · EDGEOklahoma2026-01-063★ / 0.8600Immediate
Kenyan Kelly · STarleton State2026-01-083★ / —Immediate
Kingston Jones · WRGrambling2026-01-173★ / —Immediate
Mark Rayson III · LBPrairie View A&M2026-01-173★ / —Immediate
Mike Williams Jr. · DLMarshall2026-01-113★ / —Immediate
Nnanna Anyanwu · EDGEVirginia2026-01-093★ / 0.8700Immediate
Noah Lugo · QBSouthern Utah2026-01-113★ / —Immediate
Patrick Overmyer · TEHouston2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Travon Sylvester · DLStephen F. Austin2026-01-21— / —Immediate
Vic Shaw · EDGENew Mexico State2026-01-213★ / 0.8500Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at UTSA. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Jeff Traylor · career 53–26 across 7 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 3 appointments
  1. 2020–present · Jeff Traylor · active at capture

    53–26 · 79 attributed games · 7 seasons

    Hired 2019-12-09. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2016–2019 · Frank Wilson

    19–29 · 48 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2016-01-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2012–2015 · Larry Coker

    22–26 · 48 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2009-03-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Jeff Traylor · incomplete attribution0–0——0.72.679—
2025 · Jeff Traylor7–64–41–03.71.5107—
2024 · Jeff Traylor7–64–41–02.2-3.6123—
2023 · Jeff Traylor9–47–11–05.40.459—
2022 · Jeff Traylor11–39–00–17.22.773—
2021 · Jeff Traylor12–28–10–16.56.478—
2020 · Jeff Traylor7–54–20–1-9.6-3.9105—
2019 · Frank Wilson4–83–50–0-23.7-21.196—
2018 · Frank Wilson3–92–60–0-22.1-21.885—
2017 · Frank Wilson6–53–50–0-2.5-975—
2016 · Frank Wilson6–75–30–1-11.2-7.3103—
2015 · Larry Coker3–93–50–0-17.7-18.9103—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:16:52 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play31 / 13878.186 / 13838.0
Success rate34 / 13875.970 / 13849.6
Explosiveness102 / 13826.383 / 13840.1
Standard-down success19 / 13886.969 / 13850.4
Passing-down success75 / 13846.079 / 13843.1
Pass PPA71 / 13848.969 / 13850.4
Rush PPA17 / 13888.3111 / 13819.7
Pass explosiveness99 / 13828.575 / 13846.0
Rush explosiveness71 / 13848.9100 / 13827.7
Line yards64 / 13854.093 / 13832.8
Second-level yards80 / 13842.370 / 13849.6
Open-field yards27 / 13881.0107 / 13822.6
Stuff rate83 / 13840.1105 / 13824.1
Power successT10 / 13893.1T52 / 13862.0
HavocT23 / 13883.6T103 / 13824.8
Front-seven havocT35 / 13874.1T80 / 13841.2
DB havocT24 / 13882.8T105 / 13821.9
Points / opportunity74 / 13846.7T69 / 13850.0
Average field positionT11 / 13892.0T35 / 13874.5
Field-position expected points16 / 13889.144 / 13868.6

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Owen McCown · QBUsage 51.8% · Avg PPA 0.245 · Total 69.222
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.24569.22251.8%
Pass0.24962.35598.0%
Rush0.2156.86711.5%
1st down0.0090.97244.5%
2nd down0.27328.44157.8%
3rd down0.53634.32955.7%
Standard downs0.13222.88744.5%
Passing downs0.42546.33570.3%
Will Henderson III · RBUsage 23.3% · Avg PPA 0.166 · Total 21.050
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.16621.05023.3%
Pass0.0200.3757.5%
Rush0.19120.67538.7%
1st down0.30218.74926.3%
2nd down-0.108-4.54823.3%
3rd down0.2986.84920.0%
Standard downs0.22921.05723.7%
Passing downs0.000-0.00722.6%
Brandon High · RBUsage 12.5% · Avg PPA 0.132 · Total 8.999
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1328.99912.5%
Pass-0.003-0.0152.4%
Rush0.1459.01422.2%
1st down-0.062-1.98513.6%
2nd down0.0851.95112.8%
3rd down0.6959.03311.3%
Standard downs0.0693.95314.7%
Passing downs0.4595.0467.1%
A'Marion Peterson · RBUsage 11.4% · Avg PPA 0.486 · Total 30.141
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.48630.14111.4%
Pass1.0057.0332.7%
Rush0.42023.10819.7%
1st down0.2046.51413.6%
2nd down0.5047.0527.8%
3rd down1.39119.47312.2%
Standard downs0.44825.54514.7%
Passing downs0.9194.5963.2%
David Amador · WRUsage 10.7% · Avg PPA 0.289 · Total 16.791
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.28916.79110.7%
Pass0.30017.08622.4%
Rush-0.296-0.2960.4%
1st down0.0481.14510.2%
2nd down0.3227.72513.3%
3rd down0.7016.3137.8%
Standard downs0.28311.90210.8%
Passing downs0.3064.88810.3%
Mekhi Anderson · WRUsage 7.4% · Avg PPA 0.518 · Total 20.735
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.51820.7357.4%
Pass0.48417.92614.5%
Rush0.9362.8091.1%
1st down0.3957.8998.5%
2nd down0.5577.2367.2%
3rd down0.4852.9095.2%
Standard downs0.54716.4257.7%
Passing downs0.4314.3106.5%
AJ Wilson · WRUsage 6.4% · Avg PPA 0.412 · Total 14.419
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.41214.4196.4%
Pass0.42214.34513.3%
Rush0.0750.0750.4%
1st down-0.279-2.7894.2%
2nd down0.5317.9688.3%
3rd down1.0278.2157.0%
Standard downs-0.020-0.4005.1%
Passing downs0.98814.8199.7%
DJ Allen · WRUsage 5.9% · Avg PPA 0.743 · Total 23.762
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.74323.7625.9%
Pass0.74323.76212.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.3983.9824.2%
2nd down0.5187.2457.8%
3rd down1.3289.2936.1%
Standard downs0.5668.4863.9%
Passing downs0.89915.27611.0%
Brandon Young Jr. · TEUsage 3.4% · Avg PPA 0.805 · Total 13.685
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.80513.6853.4%
Pass0.79411.9146.5%
Rush0.8861.7710.8%
1st down0.4962.4802.3%
2nd down1.0427.2974.3%
3rd down0.0170.0512.9%
Standard downs0.7277.9963.0%
Passing downs0.9485.6894.4%
Brandon Tennison · QBUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA -0.708 · Total -1.416
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.708-1.4163.3%
Pass-0.708-1.4166.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.899-0.8995.0%
3rd down-0.517-0.51710.0%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-0.708-1.41618.2%
TJ West · WRUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 0.459 · Total 2.751
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4592.7512.9%
Pass0.4592.7517.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.5821.7463.1%
2nd down0.7611.5232.9%
3rd down-0.517-0.5172.5%
Standard downs0.4761.9052.4%
Passing downs0.4230.8465.1%
Jamel Hardy · WRUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA -0.447 · Total -4.473
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.447-4.4732.3%
Pass-0.447-4.4734.8%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.955-1.9101.1%
2nd down0.1410.2811.4%
3rd down0.1820.9095.7%
Standard downs-0.654-1.9611.0%
Passing downs-0.359-2.5125.7%
Miles Campbell · TEUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.229 · Total 1.834
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2291.8342.3%
Pass0.2291.8345.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.3702.2223.8%
2nd down0.2850.2850.9%
3rd down-0.673-0.6731.4%
Standard downs0.2291.8343.0%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Isaiah Butler-Tanner · TEUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 0.254 · Total 1.527
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2541.5271.6%
Pass0.2541.5273.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1680.5051.9%
2nd down-0.271-0.5431.7%
3rd down1.5651.5651.3%
Standard downs-0.008-0.0381.9%
Passing downs1.5651.5651.0%
James Madison II · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.643 · Total -1.286
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.643-1.2861.5%
Pass-0.643-1.2863.4%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.899-0.8992.3%
3rd down-0.387-0.3873.6%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-0.643-1.2865.6%
Mark Wiepert · QBUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 1.532 · Total 3.065
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.5323.0651.4%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush1.5323.0652.3%
1st down0.9380.9381.6%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.5323.0651.9%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Trysten Laughlin · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA -0.991 · Total -0.991
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.991-0.9911.4%
Pass-0.991-0.9912.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down-0.991-0.9916.7%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-0.991-0.9913.8%
Ty Rupe · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA -0.323 · Total -0.323
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.323-0.3231.4%
Pass-0.323-0.3234.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.323-0.3234.5%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.323-0.3231.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Where UTSA sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.225 (78th percentile; 138 teams)78thOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.471 (76th percentile; 138 teams)76thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.180 (26th percentile; 138 teams)26thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.217 (49th percentile; 138 teams)49thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.225 (88th percentile; 138 teams)88thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.097 (38th percentile; 138 teams)38thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.406 (50th percentile; 138 teams)50thDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.245 (40th percentile; 138 teams)40thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.140 (25th percentile; 138 teams)25th
Values and percentiles
UTSA metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.22578th138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.47176th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.18026th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.21749th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.22588th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.09738th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.40650th138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.24540th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.14025th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 98% of 247 attempts charted. Average depth of target 6.6 yards (4th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.8 per completion. Completion 68.8%, 7.3 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.28.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense67.9%65.7%+2.3212 / 247
Defense allowed54.9%61.4%-6.5204 / 254

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is UTSA.

Target mix by zone, UTSA offense
Short left37% · 89Short middle23% · 55Short right30% · 72Deep left5% · 12Deep middle0% · 1Deep right5% · 11

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
UTSA passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense24798%6.65.868.8%0.28+2.3 pp212
Passing defense25499%8.26.355.1%0.15-6.5 pp204

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense2904.853.7%0.263.201.101.3014.8%83.7%
Defense allowed3114.742.9%0.152.801.001.4016.3%66.7%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense285 / 290275151010100267 / 270 · 98.9%
Defense allowed305 / 311296159010299 / 301 · 99.3%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +2.3 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-13.4-0.811.7W1W2W2 vs Texas State: +3.9 ppW3W3 vs Texas: -13.4 ppW4W4 vs Colorado State: -1.5 ppW5W5 vs Rice: +1.4 ppW6W6 vs South Florida: +1.2 ppW7W7 vs Navy: +8.8 ppW8W8 vs Tulane: +11.7 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1UT Rio Grande Valley290———7.80.52296.30.47
W2Texas State434266.7%62.8%+3.9 pp8.20.26314.20.19
W3Texas232360.9%74.2%-13.4 pp1.9-0.24233.3-0.05
W4Colorado State302864.3%65.8%-1.5 pp7.00.64425.80.43
W5Rice292766.7%65.2%+1.4 pp6.00.01433.90.11
W6South Florida323268.8%67.6%+1.2 pp5.50.25436.40.52
W7Navy383873.7%64.9%+8.8 pp7.50.61323.4-0.06
W8Tulane232272.7%61.0%+11.7 pp7.3-0.06474.70.28

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

31 punts · 41.2 gross yards/punt · 36.9 net yards/punt

3 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 31/31 punts. Known net yards: 20/31 punts.

Our punt returns

13 returns · 8.3 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 13/13 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 8 · Tulane439.840.84/4
Week 7 · Navy542.838.02/5
Week 6 · South Florida242.042.02/2
Week 5 · Rice235.025.01/2
Week 4 · Colorado State246.534.01/2
Team style
Rating history