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UCF

2026 season

Big 12
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

UCF's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 48.5 across 8 systems; best 28, worst 72, so they disagree by 44 places.

Lab EPA
#41
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#52
up 22026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#56
up 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#72
up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#45
up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#53
up 8 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#28
up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#41
down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#40 of 138
Schedule strength
#30 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#71 of 138
Game control
#34 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#38 of 138
Offense
#48 of 138
Defense
#32 of 138
Special teams
#58 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

UCF · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

4-3 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.064 net EPA/play

#41

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

3.51 points

#52 · Up 2 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +3.01 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging +2.17, schedule #20 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average +6.10. That is worth +5.18 on its own; the preseason prior of -1.53 still carries 25% of the weight, giving +3.51.

How each game enters this SRS rating

UCF · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Bethune-Cookman
home · 2026-09-03 · ID 401856767
+67.00 → +35.00-2.500.76379.48%-25.00 (fixed lower division)3.081-2.3700.711
Week 2 · Pittsburgh
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401856790
-5.00 → -5.00+2.500.79379.85%+4.19-0.2460.4130.167
Week 3 · Georgia State
home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401856800
+14.00 → +14.00-2.500.824910.24%-2.141.177-0.2190.958
Week 4 · TCU
home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401856815
+8.00 → +8.00-2.500.857210.64%+4.380.5850.4661.051
Week 5 · Houston
away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401856819
-10.00 → -10.00+2.500.890911.06%+9.98-0.8291.1040.275
Week 6 · Oklahoma State
away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401856824
-14.00 → -14.00+2.500.925911.49%+7.38-1.3220.848-0.473
Week 8 · BYU
home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401856835
+8.00 → +1.00 (OT)-2.501.000012.41%+11.22-0.1861.3921.206

Game terms +3.89 points; prior term -0.38 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +3.51 points. The preseason prior is -1.53 with 24.83% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

4.5 SP+ points

#56 · Up 1 place

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

2.71 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#53 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -5.06 on 376 plays; defense -7.78 on 416 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks UCF 11 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
4-3 · conf 2-2 · home 4-0 · away 0-3 · expected wins 3.6
Polls (Week 9)
unranked
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 5-2 ATS (+6.5 avg) · 2025: 4-8 ATS (-1.0 avg)
Head coach
Scott Frost · hired 2024-12-07 · 5-7 over 2 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #35 (213 pts) · 2025 #79 (171 pts) · 2026 #66 (194 pts)
Returning
25% of production · 20% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing4%1%
Receiving58%53%
Rushing-17%9%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back103.300.88098.81
Defensive Line103.200.88608.86
Linebacker73.290.87666.14
Offensive Line93.110.86117.75
Quarterback53.200.88194.41
Receiver123.250.879410.55
Running Back33.330.88442.65
Special Teams33.000.85442.56

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Keyone Jenkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5085337. UCF (2026–2026); Florida International (2023–2025)

Passing WEPA0.40816843.9%
Pass 75.2% · Rush 15.0%

1st 42.5% · 2nd 39.9% · 3rd 50.5%

Standard downs 41.1% · Passing downs 50.4%

2023: 3★ · 0.8508
Duke Watson · RB

CFBD athlete 5136049. Louisville (2024–2025); UCF (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.2417519.6%
Pass 4.6% · Rush 35.0%

1st 22.0% · 2nd 23.6% · 3rd 9.9%

Standard downs 20.9% · Passing downs 16.8%

2024: 4★ · 0.8983
Keyone Jenkins · QB

CFBD athlete 5085337. UCF (2026–2026); Florida International (2023–2025)

Rushing WEPA0.1303843.9%
Pass 75.2% · Rush 15.0%

1st 42.5% · 2nd 39.9% · 3rd 50.5%

Standard downs 41.1% · Passing downs 50.4%

2023: 3★ · 0.8508
Landen Chambers · RB

CFBD athlete 5078144. Central Arkansas (2024–2025); UCF (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.189318.8%
Pass 2.3% · Rush 15.5%

1st 7.0% · 2nd 7.4% · 3rd 14.3%

Standard downs 10.1% · Passing downs 5.8%

2023: 3★ · 0.8361
Will Stone · P

CFBD athlete 4868929. Texas (2022–2025); UCF (2026–2026)

Kicker PAAR-1.0308—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

2022: 3★ · 0.8300
Agyeman Addae · RB

CFBD athlete 5296077. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.3%
Pass 2.3% · Rush 5.7%

1st 5.0% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 4.6% · Passing downs 3.3%

Not linked
Alonza Barnett · QB

CFBD athlete 4911929. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——56.9%
Pass 91.1% · Rush 26.8%

1st 53.6% · 2nd 48.6% · 3rd 77.3%

Standard downs 53.8% · Passing downs 63.2%

Not linked
Arthur Lewis IV · RB

CFBD athlete 5271370. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.6%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.7%

1st 2.9% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Caden Piening · TE

CFBD athlete 5148656. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.0%
Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.0% · 2nd 4.1% · 3rd 5.5%

Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 5.8%

Not linked
Caleb Rollerson · WR

CFBD athlete 5221393. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.6%
Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.8% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 2.1%

Standard downs 2.6% · Passing downs 2.6%

Not linked
Duane Thomas Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 5151048. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.0%
Pass 7.1% · Rush 5.0%

1st 11.8% · 2nd 3.2% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 6.6% · Passing downs 4.5%

Not linked
Dylan Wade · TE

CFBD athlete 4922996. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.8%
Pass 13.2% · Rush 0.0%

1st 6.4% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 3.3%

Standard downs 5.0% · Passing downs 7.9%

Not linked
Grayson Brousseau · TE

CFBD athlete 5168802. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 2.8% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 3.4%

Standard downs 1.5% · Passing downs 1.2%

Not linked
Jonathan Bibbs · WR

CFBD athlete 5193217. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.4%
Pass 6.2% · Rush 0.9%

1st 3.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 4.2%

Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 2.6%

Not linked
Jordyn Bridgewater · WR

CFBD athlete 5161780. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 3.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.4% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 3.2%

Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 2.1%

Not linked
Joshua Derry · WR

CFBD athlete 5153889. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.9%
Pass 20.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 9.0% · 2nd 9.5% · 3rd 12.1%

Standard downs 8.9% · Passing downs 12.4%

Not linked
Kaj Baker · RB

CFBD athlete 5172096. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.7%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 16.2%

1st 5.7% · 2nd 10.5% · 3rd 25.0%

Standard downs 6.4% · Passing downs 20.0%

Not linked
Kaleb Annett · QB

CFBD athlete 5154248. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.1%
Pass 4.8% · Rush 3.6%

1st 1.7% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 8.7%

Standard downs 1.2% · Passing downs 10.3%

Not linked
Ric'Darious Farmer · WR

CFBD athlete 5079386. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.7%
Pass 11.4% · Rush 0.5%

1st 6.6% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 6.8%

Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 7.0%

Not linked
Rocco Marriott · QB

CFBD athlete 5209923. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 3.9%

1st 4.3% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 2.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Taevion Swint · RB

CFBD athlete 5141668. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.5%
Pass 2.3% · Rush 16.7%

1st 9.6% · 2nd 14.5% · 3rd 2.7%

Standard downs 9.8% · Passing downs 8.7%

Not linked
Tyren Hornes · WR

CFBD athlete 5385726. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.7%
Pass 10.6% · Rush 1.3%

1st 7.5% · 2nd 4.7% · 3rd 4.4%

Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 5.8%

Not linked
Waden Charles · WR

CFBD athlete 5142600. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.6%
Pass 13.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 7.3% · 2nd 3.9% · 3rd 7.2%

Standard downs 5.9% · Passing downs 8.2%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 32 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Alonza Barnett III · QBJames Madison2026-01-043★ / 0.8600Immediate
Artavius Jones · DLMiami2026-01-213★ / 0.8600Immediate
Atticus Bertrams · PWisconsin2026-01-082★ / —Immediate
Brad Gurley Jr. · DLEastern Kentucky2026-01-143★ / 0.8500Immediate
Brady Wayburn · OTUConn2026-01-043★ / 0.8600Immediate
Bruno Dall · EDGEAkron2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Caleb Flagg · SMissouri2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Cooper Terpstra · IOLMichigan State2026-01-042★ / —Immediate
Dean Miller · EDGEKansas2026-06-223★ / 0.8600Immediate
Duke Watson · RBLouisville2026-01-103★ / 0.8700Immediate
Grayson Brousseau · TEOklahoma State2026-01-153★ / 0.8400Immediate
Henry Tabansi · OTBuffalo2026-01-063★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jahleel Culbreath · LBOld Dominion2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jailen Duffie · CBNorth Dakota State2026-01-083★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jonathan Bibbs · WRUL Monroe2026-01-083★ / 0.8500Immediate
Josh Derry · WRMonmouth2026-01-083★ / 0.8500Immediate
Josh Schell · DLTennessee2026-01-113★ / 0.8300Immediate
Kahmel Johnson · SNot reported2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kaleb Annett · QBBoise State2026-01-183★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ken Talley · EDGEArkansas2026-01-123★ / 0.8500Immediate
Keyone Jenkins · QBFlorida International2026-01-203★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kyle Hicks · LSTennessee State2026-01-19— / —Immediate
L A Jessie Harrold · EDGEFlorida State2026-01-133★ / 0.8700Immediate
Landen Chambers · RBCentral Arkansas2026-01-043★ / —Immediate
Matt Irwin · SIdaho2026-01-103★ / 0.8600Immediate
Rashad Henry · LBMassachusetts2026-01-113★ / 0.8300Immediate
TJ Branch · SColorado2026-01-153★ / 0.8500Immediate
Tackett Curtis · LBWisconsin2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Thomas Collins · DLOregon State2026-01-103★ / 0.8600Immediate
Ty Bartrum · SHarvard2026-01-083★ / 0.8300Immediate
Tyler Gibson · OTCharlotte2026-01-063★ / 0.8400Immediate
Will Stone · KTexas2026-01-102★ / —Immediate
Outgoing · 35 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Andrew Rumph · DLJacksonville State2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Bredell Richardson · WRTulane2026-01-273★ / 0.8400Immediate
Cam Fancher · QBMichigan State2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Carl Jenkins Jr. · WRNot reported2026-01-033★ / —Immediate
Carter Miller · IOLSouth Carolina2026-01-063★ / 0.8600Immediate
Christian Peterson · SEast Carolina2026-01-053★ / 0.8500Immediate
DJ Black · WRSouth Carolina2026-01-193★ / 0.8600Immediate
Dalton Riggs · LSOhio State2026-01-06— / —Immediate
Davi Belfort · QBJames Madison2026-01-133★ / 0.8300Immediate
Derrick LeBlanc · DLMaryland2026-01-093★ / 0.8600Immediate
Horace Lockett · DLNot reported2026-01-053★ / 0.8700Withdrawn
Isaiah Reed · CBMassachusetts2026-01-133★ / 0.8000Immediate
Ja'Cari Henderson · CBApp State2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jacurri Brown · QBRice2026-01-064★ / —Immediate
Jaeden Gould · STemple2026-01-084★ / —Immediate
Jakob Gude · SApp State2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Jamaal Johnson · EDGENorthwestern2026-01-063★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jaquez Joiner · IOLMarshall2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jaylen Heyward · SArkansas State2026-01-113★ / 0.8300Immediate
John Walker · DLOhio State2026-01-063★ / 0.8700Immediate
Josh Dorsainvil · EDGENot reported2026-01-08— / —TBD
Jyaire Brown · CBSouthern Miss2026-01-133★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kam Moore · LBArkansas State2026-01-293★ / 0.8200Immediate
Keshaun Hudson · DLNot reported2026-01-08— / —Immediate
Kylan Fox · TEPurdue2026-01-113★ / 0.8600Immediate
Malakhi Boone · LBBethune-Cookman2026-02-053★ / 0.8400Immediate
Max Drag · TESouth Carolina2026-01-173★ / 0.8500Immediate
Patrick Barnett · IOLFresno State2026-01-223★ / 0.8200Immediate
Rodney Lora · DLPurdue2026-01-083★ / 0.8600Immediate
Stacy Gage · RBLSU2026-01-173★ / 0.8500Immediate
TJ Bullard · LBFlorida2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Tayven Jackson · QBNorth Texas2026-01-123★ / 0.8600Immediate
Tony Williams · SKennesaw State2026-01-113★ / 0.8600Immediate
Troy Ford · LBNot reported2026-01-033★ / —Immediate
Tyreek'e Robinson · DLEast Tennessee State2026-01-123★ / —Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at UCF. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Scott Frost · career 40–45 across 9 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 8 appointments
  1. 2025–present · Scott Frost · active at capture

    5–7 · 12 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Hired 2024-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2021–2024 · Gus Malzahn

    28–24 · 52 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2021-02-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2018–2020 · Josh Heupel

    28–8 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 2017-12-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2016–2017 · Scott Frost

    19–7 · 26 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Hired 2015-01-01. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 2004–2015 · George O'Leary

    81–68 · 149 attributed games · 12 seasons

    Hired 2003-12-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  6. 2003–2003 · Alan Gooch

    0–2 · 2 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2003-11-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  7. 1998–2003 · Mike Kruczek

    36–30 · 66 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  8. 1996–1997 · Gene McDowell

    10–12 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Scott Frost · incomplete attribution0–0——410.966—
2025 · Scott Frost5–72–70–0-1.2-0.879—
2024 · Gus Malzahn4–82–70–02.86.235—
2023 · Gus Malzahn6–73–60–13.46.950—
2022 · Gus Malzahn9–56–30–110.34.753—
2021 · Gus Malzahn9–45–31–04.80.855—
2020 · Josh Heupel6–45–30–113.6—71—
2019 · Josh Heupel10–36–21–019.113.35924
2018 · Josh Heupel12–19–00–116.514.962—
2017 · Scott Frost13–09–01–014.120.7556
2016 · Scott Frost6–74–40–1-2.2-1.265—
2015 · George O'Leary · incomplete attribution0–8——-15.5-2171—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:28:00 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play66 / 13852.650 / 13864.2
Success rate66 / 13852.659 / 13857.7
Explosiveness74 / 13846.729 / 13879.6
Standard-down success85 / 13838.768 / 13851.1
Passing-down success38 / 13873.037 / 13873.7
Pass PPA82 / 13840.975 / 13846.0
Rush PPA70 / 13849.627 / 13881.0
Pass explosiveness77 / 13844.589 / 13835.8
Rush explosiveness55 / 13860.66 / 13896.4
Line yards103 / 13825.515 / 13889.8
Second-level yards54 / 13861.34 / 13897.8
Open-field yards24 / 13883.236 / 13874.5
Stuff rate87 / 13837.2T52 / 13862.4
Power success121 / 13812.4T49 / 13864.2
HavocT54 / 13860.9T91 / 13833.9
Front-seven havocT77 / 13844.2T99 / 13827.4
DB havocT30 / 13877.4T54 / 13859.5
Points / opportunity10 / 13893.433 / 13876.6
Average field position17 / 13888.3T92 / 13832.8
Field-position expected points14 / 13890.585 / 13838.7

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Alonza Barnett · QBUsage 56.9% · Avg PPA -0.041 · Total -2.723
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.041-2.72356.9%
Pass-0.040-2.03491.1%
Rush-0.046-0.68926.8%
1st down0.0541.62953.6%
2nd down-0.410-6.97348.6%
3rd down0.59910.17877.3%
Standard downs-0.327-13.74053.8%
Passing downs0.45911.01763.2%
Keyone Jenkins · QBUsage 43.9% · Avg PPA 0.172 · Total 34.213
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.17234.21343.9%
Pass0.28146.06875.2%
Rush-0.260-8.84715.0%
1st down0.0947.96542.5%
2nd down0.31518.56039.9%
3rd down0.41018.86150.5%
Standard downs-0.045-5.90941.1%
Passing downs0.58140.12250.4%
Duke Watson · RBUsage 19.6% · Avg PPA 0.140 · Total 12.476
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.14012.47619.6%
Pass-0.530-5.3024.6%
Rush0.22517.77835.0%
1st down0.1084.77022.0%
2nd down0.1575.48123.6%
3rd down0.0180.1649.9%
Standard downs0.1248.18920.9%
Passing downs0.1864.28816.8%
Joshua Derry · WRUsage 9.9% · Avg PPA 0.506 · Total 22.771
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.50622.7719.9%
Pass0.50622.77120.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.2574.6229.0%
2nd down0.72210.1099.5%
3rd down0.8769.63712.1%
Standard downs0.3078.5848.9%
Passing downs0.83414.18612.4%
Kaj Baker · RBUsage 9.7% · Avg PPA 0.135 · Total 0.812
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1350.8129.7%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.1350.81216.2%
1st down-0.417-0.8345.7%
2nd down-0.771-1.54310.5%
3rd down1.5943.18825.0%
Standard downs-0.681-2.0426.4%
Passing downs0.9512.85420.0%
Taevion Swint · RBUsage 9.5% · Avg PPA 0.011 · Total 0.392
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0110.3929.5%
Pass-0.348-1.3932.3%
Rush0.0581.78516.7%
1st down-0.038-0.6129.6%
2nd down0.0040.06614.5%
3rd down0.4690.9382.7%
Standard downs-0.094-2.3509.8%
Passing downs0.2742.7428.7%
Landen Chambers · RBUsage 8.8% · Avg PPA 0.346 · Total 13.852
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.34613.8528.8%
Pass1.0565.2812.3%
Rush0.2458.57115.5%
1st down0.1912.6687.0%
2nd down0.3964.3577.4%
3rd down0.7359.55814.3%
Standard downs0.33210.63110.1%
Passing downs0.4033.2215.8%
Waden Charles · WRUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA 0.309 · Total 8.026
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3098.0266.6%
Pass0.3098.02613.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.3904.6827.3%
2nd down0.5772.8833.9%
3rd down1.1957.1727.2%
Standard downs-0.207-3.3075.9%
Passing downs1.13311.3348.2%
Duane Thomas Jr. · WRUsage 6.0% · Avg PPA 0.129 · Total 0.643
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1290.6436.0%
Pass0.2270.6807.1%
Rush-0.018-0.0365.0%
1st down0.1980.79011.8%
2nd down-0.147-0.1473.2%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.1980.7906.6%
Passing downs-0.147-0.1474.5%
Dylan Wade · TEUsage 5.8% · Avg PPA 0.092 · Total 1.663
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0921.6635.8%
Pass0.0921.66313.2%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.363-3.2706.4%
2nd down0.2922.0426.8%
3rd down1.4452.8913.3%
Standard downs-0.317-3.4875.0%
Passing downs0.7365.1507.9%
Ric'Darious Farmer · WRUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA 0.342 · Total 7.187
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3427.1875.7%
Pass0.3406.79111.4%
Rush0.3960.3960.5%
1st down-0.064-0.7076.6%
2nd down0.7563.7804.3%
3rd down0.8234.1136.8%
Standard downs-0.078-1.0155.1%
Passing downs1.0258.2027.0%
Tyren Hornes · WRUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA 0.468 · Total 12.174
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.46812.1745.7%
Pass0.62214.31410.6%
Rush-0.713-2.1401.3%
1st down0.2413.6087.5%
2nd down0.7535.2734.7%
3rd down0.8233.2944.4%
Standard downs0.1853.3225.7%
Passing downs1.1078.8535.8%
Agyeman Addae · RBUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA 1.378 · Total 6.889
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.3786.8894.3%
Pass2.2452.2452.3%
Rush1.1614.6445.7%
1st down0.3521.0555.0%
2nd down2.9175.8335.3%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.1614.6444.6%
Passing downs2.2452.2453.3%
Kaleb Annett · QBUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA -0.048 · Total -0.240
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.048-0.2404.1%
Pass-0.324-0.9724.8%
Rush0.3660.7333.6%
1st down-0.703-0.7031.7%
2nd down-0.420-0.8415.3%
3rd down0.6521.3048.7%
Standard downs-0.703-0.7031.2%
Passing downs0.1160.46310.3%
Caden Piening · TEUsage 4.0% · Avg PPA 0.745 · Total 13.415
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.74513.4154.0%
Pass0.74513.4158.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.1136.6803.0%
2nd down0.1330.8004.1%
3rd down0.6463.2315.5%
Standard downs0.6806.7973.2%
Passing downs0.8276.6185.8%
Jonathan Bibbs · WRUsage 3.4% · Avg PPA 0.317 · Total 2.533
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3172.5333.4%
Pass0.4373.0606.2%
Rush-0.527-0.5270.9%
1st down0.1230.4903.8%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down1.3502.6994.2%
Standard downs-0.681-4.0883.8%
Passing downs3.3116.6212.6%
Caleb Rollerson · WRUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.657 · Total 3.939
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.6573.9392.6%
Pass0.6573.9395.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.8133.2513.8%
2nd down0.7460.7461.4%
3rd down-0.057-0.0572.1%
Standard downs0.8133.2512.6%
Passing downs0.3440.6892.6%
Jordyn Bridgewater · WRUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA -0.471 · Total -1.412
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.471-1.4122.1%
Pass-0.471-1.4123.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.869-1.7383.4%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down0.3260.3263.2%
Standard downs-0.869-1.7382.1%
Passing downs0.3260.3262.1%
Rocco Marriott · QBUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA 0.857 · Total 2.570
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.8572.5702.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.8572.5703.9%
1st down0.8572.5704.3%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.8572.5702.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Arthur Lewis IV · RBUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA -0.471 · Total -0.471
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.471-0.4711.6%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.471-0.4712.7%
1st down-0.471-0.4712.9%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.471-0.4712.1%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Grayson Brousseau · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.962 · Total 3.849
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.9623.8491.4%
Pass0.9623.8492.8%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down1.0672.1342.1%
3rd down0.8581.7153.4%
Standard downs1.5294.5881.5%
Passing downs-0.739-0.7391.2%
Where UCF sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.142 (53rd percentile; 138 teams)53rdOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.433 (53rd percentile; 138 teams)53rdOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.232 (47th percentile; 138 teams)47thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.198 (41st percentile; 138 teams)41stOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.103 (50th percentile; 138 teams)50thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.034 (64th percentile; 138 teams)64thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.399 (58th percentile; 138 teams)58thDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.149 (80th percentile; 138 teams)80thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.148 (34th percentile; 138 teams)34th
Values and percentiles
UCF metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.14253rd138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.43353rd138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.23247th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.19841st138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.10350th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.03464th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.39958th138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.14980th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.14834th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 212 attempts charted. Average depth of target 7.1 yards (11th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.5 per completion. Completion 66.5%, 6.9 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.25.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense66.3%64.7%+1.6187 / 212
Defense allowed59.8%59.6%+0.2209 / 231

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is UCF.

Target mix by zone, UCF offense
Short left30% · 61Short middle25% · 51Short right34% · 70Deep left4% · 9Deep middle3% · 7Deep right3% · 7

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
UCF passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense21299%7.15.566.5%0.25+1.6 pp187
Passing defense23199%8.84.658.9%0.20+0.2 pp209

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense2364.846.0%0.142.801.101.5017.7%62.5%
Defense allowed2573.338.5%-0.012.600.600.7018.0%68.2%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense229 / 23622889010225 / 226 · 99.6%
Defense allowed254 / 257248912660238 / 239 · 99.6%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +1.6 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-19.33.125.6W1W2W2 vs Pittsburgh: -3.2 ppW3W3 vs Georgia State: -19.3 ppW4W4 vs TCU: +25.6 ppW5W5 vs Houston: +0.9 ppW6W6 vs Oklahoma State: +8.8 ppW8W8 vs BYU: -5.2 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Bethune-Cookman220———8.80.05389.20.79
W2Pittsburgh313063.3%66.6%-3.2 pp5.70.09211.3-0.40
W3Georgia State171637.5%56.8%-19.3 pp11.3-0.25417.40.43
W4TCU202095.0%69.4%+25.6 pp4.10.67332.8-0.33
W5Houston383865.8%64.8%+0.9 pp7.70.05213.50.13
W6Oklahoma State424271.4%62.6%+8.8 pp8.90.50412.8-0.15
W8BYU424161.0%66.2%-5.2 pp4.90.40414.10.15

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

27 punts · 46.4 gross yards/punt · 39.8 net yards/punt

7 inside the 20 · 4 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 27/27 punts. Known net yards: 25/27 punts.

Our punt returns

12 returns · 13.4 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 12/12 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 8 · BYU448.047.73/4
Week 6 · Oklahoma State340.332.52/3
Week 5 · Houston543.034.05/5
Week 4 · TCU453.045.34/4
Week 3 · Georgia State350.343.73/3
Team style
Rating history