Record
6-2 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordToledo
2026 season
Mid-American
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Toledo's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 61 across 8 systems; best 39, worst 79, so they disagree by 40 places.
- Lab EPA
- #39
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #63
- up 42026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #64
- up 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #59
- up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #79
- up 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #45
- up 4 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #69
- up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #39
- up 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #72 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #134 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #134 of 138
- Game control
- #103 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #82 of 138
- Offense
- #72 of 138
- Defense
- #74 of 138
- Special teams
- #128 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Toledo · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
0.074 net EPA/play
#39
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
1.38 points
#63 · Up 4 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +9.07 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -8.27, schedule #130 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -6.14. That is worth +0.80 on its own; the preseason prior of +3.43 still carries 22% of the weight, giving +1.38.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Toledo · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Michigan State away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401858429 | -10.00 → -10.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 8.47% | +0.05 | -0.635 | 0.004 | -0.631 |
| Week 2 · Central Connecticut home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401866419 | +53.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.80% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 2.860 | -2.200 | 0.660 |
| Week 3 · Temple home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401862774 | +1.00 → +1.00 (OT) | -2.50 | 0.8249 | 9.15% | -6.53 | -0.137 | -0.597 | -0.734 |
| Week 4 · San Diego State home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401860893 | +25.00 → +25.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 9.51% | -5.79 | 2.139 | -0.550 | 1.588 |
| Week 5 · Ball State away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401866431 | +15.00 → +15.00 | +2.50 | 0.8909 | 9.88% | -12.59 | 1.729 | -1.244 | 0.485 |
| Week 6 · Buffalo home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401866437 | -15.00 → -15.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 10.27% | -9.25 | -1.797 | -0.950 | -2.747 |
| Week 7 · Eastern Michigan away · 2026-10-17 · ID 401866444 | +20.00 → +20.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 10.67% | -9.30 | 2.401 | -0.992 | 1.409 |
| Week 8 · Western Michigan home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401866450 | +7.00 → +7.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 11.09% | +0.84 | 0.499 | 0.093 | 0.592 |
Game terms +0.62 points; prior term +0.76 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +1.38 points. The preseason prior is +3.43 with 22.18% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.7 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
2.0 SP+ points
#64 · Up 1 place
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
5.83 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#45 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 2.20 on 471 plays; defense -3.62 on 463 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Toledo 24 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 6-2 · conf 3-1 · home 4-1 · away 2-1 · expected wins 5.9
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 4-3-1 ATS (+1.5 avg) · 2025: 10-3 ATS (+5.6 avg)
- Head coach
- Mike Jacobs · hired 2025-12-10 · 0-0 over 1 captured season
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #66 (179 pts) · 2025 #73 (176 pts) · 2026 #121 (163 pts)
- Returning
- 66% of production · 56% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 99% 86% Receiving 58% 61% Rushing 26% 26% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 12 | 3.00 | 0.8453 | 10.14 |
| Defensive Line | 13 | 2.92 | 0.8387 | 10.90 |
| Linebacker | 6 | 3.00 | 0.8457 | 5.07 |
| Offensive Line | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8423 | 10.95 |
| Quarterback | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8418 | 2.53 |
| Receiver | 11 | 3.00 | 0.8489 | 9.34 |
| Running Back | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8486 | 2.55 |
| Special Teams | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8348 | 5.84 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
John Alan Richter · QBCFBD athlete 5082330. Toledo (2022–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.387 | 251 | 47.9% | Pass 97.4% · Rush 4.4%1st 39.2% · 2nd 51.4% · 3rd 62.4% Standard downs 42.3% · Passing downs 61.2% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8100 |
CJ Miller · RBCFBD athlete 5092811. Mercer (2022–2022); Mercer (2024–2025); Toledo (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.298 | 105 | 21.3% | Pass 5.2% · Rush 36.4%1st 25.1% · 2nd 23.5% · 3rd 11.9% Standard downs 23.5% · Passing downs 15.9% | 2022: stars unavailable |
Connor Walendzak · RBCFBD athlete 5078063. Toledo (2023–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.274 | 73 | 18.2% | Pass 6.6% · Rush 29.1%1st 21.0% · 2nd 12.7% · 3rd 18.6% Standard downs 20.2% · Passing downs 13.3% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8170 |
Autavius Ison · RBCFBD athlete 5164730. Charleston Southern (2023–2024); Mercer (2025–2025); Toledo (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.089 | 61 | 12.5% | Pass 2.2% · Rush 22.2%1st 12.2% · 2nd 15.3% · 3rd 9.2% Standard downs 14.1% · Passing downs 8.8% | Not linked |
Reice Griffith · PKCFBD athlete 5153413. Mercer (2023–2025); Toledo (2026–2026) | Kicker PAAR | -3.020 | 12 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Adjatay Dabbs · WRCFBD athlete 5153399. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 11.7% | Pass 24.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 8.7% · 2nd 12.0% · 3rd 15.6% Standard downs 10.6% · Passing downs 14.1% | Not linked |
Anthony Simpson · WRCFBD athlete 4712328. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 3.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Bryson Hammer · WRCFBD athlete 5162858. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.8% | Pass 12.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.5% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 7.4% Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 6.2% | Not linked |
Cooper Rusk · WRCFBD athlete 5109511. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 6.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.9% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 3.6% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 2.7% | Not linked |
Corey Smith · RBCFBD athlete 5079699. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.2% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 15.6%1st 5.6% · 2nd 13.6% · 3rd 13.3% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 20.0% | Not linked |
Dane Nauman · RBCFBD athlete 5220125. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.2%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 6.7% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Daryl Barnett Jr. · WRCFBD athlete 5230932. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.7% | Pass 10.0% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.8% · 2nd 6.6% · 3rd 4.6% Standard downs 3.0% · Passing downs 8.8% | Not linked |
Jacob Newell · TECFBD athlete 4882061. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.2% | Pass 4.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.4% · 2nd 1.0% · 3rd 6.8% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 2.2% | Not linked |
Kadale Williams · RBCFBD athlete 5211771. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.2%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 4.0% | Not linked |
Khamoni Robinson · QBCFBD athlete 5394415. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.1% | Pass 9.4% · Rush 4.3%1st 6.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 9.7% Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 7.1% | Not linked |
Noah Sanders · RBCFBD athlete 5211696. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.0% | Pass 1.2% · Rush 7.5%1st 6.9% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 2.3% Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 3.7% | Not linked |
Peyton Strickland · TECFBD athlete 5083458. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.6% | Pass 11.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.5% · 2nd 9.1% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.3% · Passing downs 3.7% | Not linked |
Rico Bond · WRCFBD athlete 5225646. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.9% | Pass 10.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.4% · 2nd 3.1% · 3rd 7.1% Standard downs 4.6% · Passing downs 5.3% | Not linked |
Sam Lee · TECFBD athlete 5220133. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.3% | Pass 9.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.1% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 5.0% Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 4.6% | Not linked |
Seth Elchert · WRCFBD athlete 5209951. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 3.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Tanner Rubinstein · FBCFBD athlete 5304415. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.3% | Pass 5.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 5.6% Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Tashi Braceful · WRCFBD athlete 5084698. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Terrell Crosby Jr. · WRCFBD athlete 4812374. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.8% | Pass 13.4% · Rush 1.1%1st 6.1% · 2nd 7.7% · 3rd 6.9% Standard downs 6.3% · Passing downs 7.8% | Not linked |
Walter Moses · QBCFBD athlete 5200190. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 1.9% · Rush 3.2%1st 1.5% · 2nd 2.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 33 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adjatay Dabbs · WR | Mercer | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ahmad Carwise · IOL | Gardner-Webb | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Andrew Zock · EDGE | Mercer | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Anthony Simpson · WR | Michigan | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Armorion Smith · S | Michigan State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Autavius Ison · RB | Mercer | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Ben Sahakian · EDGE | Cornell | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| CJ Miller · RB | Mercer | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Caden Camese · DL | Mercer | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Cam Jones · CB | Holy Cross | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Corey Smith · RB | Penn State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Dominic Johnson · IOL | Georgia State | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Donovan Watkins · CB | Mercer | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Dylan Senda · OT | Auburn | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Ethan Malafa · TE | Butler | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Ezra Odinjor · EDGE | UAB | 2026-01-23 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Israel Petite · CB | Robert Morris | 2026-01-11 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Jake Newell · TE | Akron | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| KJ Thomas · CB | Mercer | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kaleb Hutchinson · S | Mercer | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Kalvin Gilbert Jr. · WR | Southeast Missouri State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Kari Jackson · LB | Penn State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Khamoni Robinson · QB | Not reported | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| LaDavion Osborn · CB | Northern Colorado | 2026-01-27 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Luke Rector · IOL | Gardner-Webb | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Markus Meincke · P | Mercer | 2026-01-15 | — / — | Immediate |
| Max Allen · LS | Mercer | 2026-01-17 | — / — | Immediate |
| Mo Conteh · CB | Ohio Dominican | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Nick Thomas · OT | Rhode Island | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Reice Griffith · K | Mercer | 2026-01-17 | — / — | Immediate |
| Rico Bond · WR | Lindenwood | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Tucker Kelleher · TE | BYU | 2026-03-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Zach Johnson · EDGE | UAB | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 38 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amare Snowden · CB | Syracuse | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Anthony Boswell · IOL | Houston | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8800 | Immediate |
| Avery Dunn · EDGE | UConn | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Braden Awls · S | Iowa State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Braedyn Moore · S | Not reported | 2026-01-08 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| CC Ezirim · TE | Western Kentucky | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Carlos Hazelwood · DL | Michigan State | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Chamberlain Campbell · EDGE | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Chris D'Appolonia · LB | Syracuse | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Cole Rhett · OT | Baylor | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| DJ Kelly · CB | James Madison | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Dominic Rivera · OT | UConn | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Dylan Cunanan · K | Texas State | 2026-01-20 | — / — | Immediate |
| Esean Carter · DL | Not reported | 2025-12-27 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Hudson Miller · LB | Purdue | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Isiah Switzer · IOL | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| James Roe · LS | Wisconsin | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Javon Brown · WR | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jayden Price · S | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jediyah Willoughby · WR | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| John Baker IV · EDGE | Bowling Green | 2026-02-04 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Julian Allen · WR | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| K'Von Sherman · LB | UConn | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Kalieb Osborne · QB | UConn | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kamren Flowers · WR | UConn | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kenji Christian · RB | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Maddox Marcotte · IOL | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Malachi Davis · EDGE | Rutgers | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Owen Gibbs · LB | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | — / — | Immediate |
| Raphael Greene-Nyarko · IOL | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Rickey Williams · LB | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Robert Hammond III · K | Kansas State | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Ryder Treadway · WR | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Sean Persson · TE | UAB | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Stephen Gales · OT | Not reported | 2026-01-30 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Withdrawn |
| Terrence Moore · IOL | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Tyler McKinstry · CB | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Zy'marion Lang · WR | UConn | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Toledo. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Mike Jacobs · career 0–0 across 1 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 13 appointments
2026–present · Mike Jacobs · active at capture
0–0 · 0 attributed games · 1 seasons
Hired 2025-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2025–2025 · Robert Weiner · interim
0–1 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons
Hired 2025-12-07. Effective dates: 2025-12-23 to unknown.
2015–2025 · Jason Candle
81–44 · 125 attributed games · 11 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2015-12-02. Effective dates: unknown to 2025-12-23.
2011–2015 · Matt Campbell
35–15 · 50 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2011-12-09. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2009–2010 · Tim Beckman
13–12 · 25 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2008-12-04. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2001–2008 · Tom Amstutz
58–41 · 99 attributed games · 8 seasons
Hired 2000-12-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1991–2000 · Gary Pinkel
73–37–3 · 113 attributed games · 10 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1990–1990 · Nick Saban
9–2 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1982–1989 · Dan Simrell
49–38–2 · 89 attributed games · 8 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1977–1981 · Chuck Stobart
24–31–1 · 56 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1971–1976 · Jack Murphy
35–32 · 67 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1963–1970 · Frank Lauterbur
48–32–2 · 82 attributed games · 8 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1962–1962 · Clive Rush
3–6 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Mike Jacobs · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | 1.8 | 0.1 | 121 | — |
| 2025 · Jason Candle | 8–4 | 6–2 | 0–0 | 6 | 6.2 | 73 | — |
| 2025 · Robert Weiner | 0–1 | 0–0 | 0–1 | 6 | 6.2 | 73 | — |
| 2024 · Jason Candle | 8–5 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -2.5 | -2 | 66 | — |
| 2023 · Jason Candle | 11–3 | 8–1 | 0–1 | 3.7 | 0.8 | 102 | — |
| 2022 · Jason Candle | 9–5 | 6–3 | 1–0 | -3.7 | -3.4 | 92 | — |
| 2021 · Jason Candle | 7–6 | 5–3 | 0–1 | 6.9 | 0.4 | 67 | — |
| 2020 · Jason Candle | 4–2 | 4–2 | 0–0 | -3.6 | — | 69 | — |
| 2019 · Jason Candle | 6–6 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -13.7 | -16.2 | 73 | — |
| 2018 · Jason Candle | 7–6 | 5–3 | 0–1 | 2 | -1.6 | 67 | — |
| 2017 · Jason Candle | 11–3 | 8–1 | 0–1 | 6.6 | 3.8 | 78 | — |
| 2016 · Jason Candle | 9–4 | 6–2 | 0–1 | 12.3 | 5 | 88 | — |
| 2015 · Matt Campbell · incomplete attribution | 9–2 | — | — | 7.7 | 10.2 | 84 | — |
| 2015 · Jason Candle · incomplete attribution | 1–0 | — | — | 7.7 | 10.2 | 84 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:17:03 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 30 / 138 | 78.8 | 23 / 138 | 83.9 |
| Success rate | 56 / 138 | 59.9 | 4 / 138 | 97.8 |
| Explosiveness | 14 / 138 | 90.5 | 129 / 138 | 6.6 |
| Standard-down success | 50 / 138 | 64.2 | 3 / 138 | 98.5 |
| Passing-down success | 71 / 138 | 48.9 | 26 / 138 | 81.8 |
| Pass PPA | 22 / 138 | 84.7 | 53 / 138 | 62.0 |
| Rush PPA | 78 / 138 | 43.8 | 22 / 138 | 84.7 |
| Pass explosiveness | 32 / 138 | 77.4 | 88 / 138 | 36.5 |
| Rush explosiveness | 41 / 138 | 70.8 | 128 / 138 | 7.3 |
| Line yards | 48 / 138 | 65.7 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Second-level yards | 60 / 138 | 56.9 | 16 / 138 | 89.1 |
| Open-field yards | 68 / 138 | 51.1 | 78 / 138 | 43.8 |
| Stuff rate | 53 / 138 | 62.0 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Power success | T115 / 138 | 16.4 | 3 / 138 | 98.5 |
| Havoc | T33 / 138 | 76.3 | T65 / 138 | 52.6 |
| Front-seven havoc | 33 / 138 | 76.6 | T67 / 138 | 50.7 |
| DB havoc | T48 / 138 | 65.0 | T49 / 138 | 63.5 |
| Points / opportunity | 54 / 138 | 61.3 | 41 / 138 | 70.8 |
| Average field position | 25 / 138 | 82.5 | T96 / 138 | 29.6 |
| Field-position expected points | 25 / 138 | 82.5 | 84 / 138 | 39.4 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
John Alan Richter · QBUsage 47.9% · Avg PPA 0.351 · Total 96.438
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.351 | 96.438 | 47.9% |
| Pass | 0.416 | 109.016 | 97.4% |
| Rush | -0.968 | -12.578 | 4.4% |
| 1st down | 0.360 | 37.090 | 39.2% |
| 2nd down | 0.415 | 38.972 | 51.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.624 | 42.400 | 62.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.220 | 37.561 | 42.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.566 | 58.877 | 61.2% |
CJ Miller · RBUsage 21.3% · Avg PPA 0.213 · Total 26.009
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.213 | 26.009 | 21.3% |
| Pass | -0.010 | -0.138 | 5.2% |
| Rush | 0.242 | 26.147 | 36.4% |
| 1st down | 0.098 | 6.479 | 25.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.370 | 15.923 | 23.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.277 | 3.607 | 11.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.179 | 17.041 | 23.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.332 | 8.968 | 15.9% |
Connor Walendzak · RBUsage 18.2% · Avg PPA 0.144 · Total 12.688
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.144 | 12.688 | 18.2% |
| Pass | 0.001 | 0.015 | 6.6% |
| Rush | 0.174 | 12.672 | 29.1% |
| 1st down | 0.209 | 9.618 | 21.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.281 | 5.346 | 12.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.578 | 10.402 | 18.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.041 | 2.798 | 20.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.521 | 9.890 | 13.3% |
Autavius Ison · RBUsage 12.5% · Avg PPA -0.058 · Total -4.151
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.058 | -4.151 | 12.5% |
| Pass | -0.107 | -0.642 | 2.2% |
| Rush | -0.053 | -3.509 | 22.2% |
| 1st down | 0.104 | 3.334 | 12.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.296 | -8.276 | 15.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.282 | 2.822 | 9.2% |
| Standard downs | -0.020 | -1.155 | 14.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.200 | -2.995 | 8.8% |
Adjatay Dabbs · WRUsage 11.7% · Avg PPA 0.654 · Total 43.796
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.654 | 43.796 | 11.7% |
| Pass | 0.654 | 43.796 | 24.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.328 | 7.546 | 8.7% |
| 2nd down | 1.090 | 23.983 | 12.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.110 | 18.869 | 15.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.403 | 17.346 | 10.6% |
| Passing downs | 1.102 | 26.450 | 14.1% |
Corey Smith · RBUsage 9.2% · Avg PPA 0.236 · Total 1.653
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.236 | 1.653 | 9.2% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.236 | 1.653 | 15.6% |
| 1st down | -0.563 | -1.125 | 5.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.172 | 0.515 | 13.6% |
| 3rd down | 1.132 | 2.264 | 13.3% |
| Standard downs | -0.563 | -1.125 | 3.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.556 | 2.779 | 20.0% |
Terrell Crosby Jr. · WRUsage 6.8% · Avg PPA 0.101 · Total 3.626
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.101 | 3.626 | 6.8% |
| Pass | 0.313 | 10.320 | 13.4% |
| Rush | -2.231 | -6.694 | 1.1% |
| 1st down | 0.103 | 1.545 | 6.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.115 | -1.498 | 7.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.353 | 2.472 | 6.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.098 | -2.354 | 6.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.498 | 5.980 | 7.8% |
Khamoni Robinson · QBUsage 6.1% · Avg PPA 0.713 · Total 6.417
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.713 | 6.417 | 6.1% |
| Pass | -0.303 | -1.516 | 9.4% |
| Rush | 1.983 | 7.933 | 4.3% |
| 1st down | -0.156 | -0.624 | 6.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.059 | 0.119 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | 2.308 | 6.923 | 9.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.084 | -0.505 | 5.7% |
| Passing downs | 2.308 | 6.923 | 7.1% |
Bryson Hammer · WRUsage 5.8% · Avg PPA 0.938 · Total 28.137
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.938 | 28.137 | 5.8% |
| Pass | 0.938 | 28.137 | 12.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.328 | 17.261 | 5.5% |
| 2nd down | 1.129 | 9.036 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | 1.437 | 10.058 | 7.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.607 | 12.741 | 5.7% |
| Passing downs | 1.711 | 15.396 | 6.2% |
Peyton Strickland · TEUsage 5.6% · Avg PPA 0.195 · Total 0.974
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.195 | 0.974 | 5.6% |
| Pass | 0.195 | 0.974 | 11.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.177 | -0.354 | 4.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.443 | 1.328 | 9.1% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.116 | 0.465 | 6.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.509 | 0.509 | 3.7% |
Noah Sanders · RBUsage 5.0% · Avg PPA -0.017 · Total -0.185
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.017 | -0.185 | 5.0% |
| Pass | 0.708 | 0.708 | 1.2% |
| Rush | -0.089 | -0.893 | 7.5% |
| 1st down | -0.153 | -1.071 | 6.9% |
| 2nd down | -0.193 | -0.579 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | 1.465 | 1.465 | 2.3% |
| Standard downs | 0.017 | 0.155 | 5.5% |
| Passing downs | -0.170 | -0.340 | 3.7% |
Rico Bond · WRUsage 4.9% · Avg PPA 0.460 · Total 9.209
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.460 | 9.209 | 4.9% |
| Pass | 0.460 | 9.209 | 10.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.486 | 4.863 | 5.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.120 | 0.482 | 3.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.644 | 3.865 | 7.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.536 | 6.970 | 4.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.320 | 2.239 | 5.3% |
Daryl Barnett Jr. · WRUsage 4.7% · Avg PPA 0.713 · Total 19.264
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.713 | 19.264 | 4.7% |
| Pass | 0.713 | 19.264 | 10.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.337 | 3.368 | 3.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.929 | 11.143 | 6.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.951 | 4.754 | 4.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.397 | 4.768 | 3.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.966 | 14.496 | 8.8% |
Sam Lee · TEUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA 0.363 · Total 8.345
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.363 | 8.345 | 4.3% |
| Pass | 0.363 | 8.345 | 9.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.915 | 9.149 | 4.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.437 | 3.059 | 4.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.086 | 0.429 | 5.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.368 | 5.889 | 4.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.351 | 2.456 | 4.6% |
Cooper Rusk · WRUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 2.214 · Total 8.855
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2.214 | 8.855 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 2.214 | 8.855 | 6.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.356 | -0.712 | 2.9% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 4.207 | 4.207 | 3.6% |
| Standard downs | 1.549 | 4.648 | 2.7% |
| Passing downs | 4.207 | 4.207 | 2.7% |
Walter Moses · QBUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 0.399 · Total 1.595
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.399 | 1.595 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 5.360 | 5.360 | 1.9% |
| Rush | -1.255 | -3.765 | 3.2% |
| 1st down | -0.428 | -0.428 | 1.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.029 | 0.029 | 2.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 2.466 | 4.932 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | -1.669 | -3.337 | 4.8% |
Tashi Braceful · WRUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.075 · Total 0.151
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.075 | 0.151 | 2.6% |
| Pass | 0.075 | 0.151 | 6.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.042 | 1.042 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.892 | -0.892 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.075 | 0.151 | 3.9% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Tanner Rubinstein · FBUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 1.085 · Total 2.169
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.085 | 2.169 | 2.3% |
| Pass | 1.085 | 2.169 | 5.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.456 | -0.456 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | 2.625 | 2.625 | 5.6% |
| Standard downs | 1.085 | 2.169 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Jacob Newell · TEUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA 0.289 · Total 2.022
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.289 | 2.022 | 2.2% |
| Pass | 0.289 | 2.022 | 4.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.981 | 1.962 | 1.4% |
| 2nd down | -0.721 | -0.721 | 1.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.195 | 0.780 | 6.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.730 | 3.649 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.814 | -1.628 | 2.2% |
Anthony Simpson · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 0.273 · Total 0.273
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.273 | 0.273 | 1.3% |
| Pass | 0.273 | 0.273 | 3.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.273 | 0.273 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.273 | 0.273 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Dane Nauman · RBUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 0.461 · Total 0.461
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.461 | 0.461 | 1.3% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.461 | 0.461 | 2.2% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.461 | 0.461 | 6.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.461 | 0.461 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Kadale Williams · RBUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -0.216 · Total -0.216
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.216 | -0.216 | 1.3% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.216 | -0.216 | 2.2% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.216 | -0.216 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.216 | -0.216 | 4.0% |
Seth Elchert · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -1.143 · Total -1.143
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -1.143 | -1.143 | 1.3% |
| Pass | -1.143 | -1.143 | 3.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -1.143 | -1.143 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -1.143 | -1.143 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.230 | 79th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.446 | 60th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.341 | 91st138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.394 | 85th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.081 | 44th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | -0.028 | 84th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.329 | 98th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.388 | 7th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.161 | 53rd138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 97% of 268 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.8 yards (57th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.2 per completion. Completion 65.7%, 8.6 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.41.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 66.8% | 60.3% | +6.5 | 232 / 268 |
| Defense allowed | 55.8% | 59.3% | -3.5 | 231 / 265 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Toledo.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 268 | 97% | 8.8 | 6.2 | 65.7% | 0.41 | +6.5 pp | 232 |
| Passing defense | 265 | 100% | 8.9 | 4.2 | 54.0% | 0.19 | -3.5 pp | 231 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 302 | 5.0 | 43.1% | 0.12 | 3.20 | 1.10 | 1.20 | 14.8% | 65.0% |
| Defense allowed | 288 | 3.6 | 29.7% | -0.02 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 1.20 | 19.8% | 51.4% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 297 / 302 | 291 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 284 / 290 · 97.9% |
| Defense allowed | 287 / 288 | 284 | 4 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 263 / 263 · 100.0% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +6.5 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Michigan State | 21 | 20 | 55.0% | 59.3% | -4.3 pp | 10.6 | 0.40 | 20 | 3.9 | 0.05 |
| W2 | Central Connecticut | 32 | 0 | — | — | — | 12.6 | 0.36 | 45 | 5.8 | 0.33 |
| W3 | Temple | 51 | 50 | 70.0% | 59.4% | +10.6 pp | 7.5 | 0.43 | 25 | 4.3 | 0.30 |
| W4 | San Diego State | 22 | 22 | 72.7% | 57.5% | +15.2 pp | 11.4 | 0.87 | 48 | 4.3 | -0.14 |
| W5 | Ball State | 35 | 34 | 52.9% | 59.0% | -6.1 pp | 8.3 | 0.09 | 51 | 6.9 | 0.32 |
| W6 | Buffalo | 36 | 35 | 62.9% | 63.1% | -0.2 pp | 7.0 | 0.16 | 26 | 4.1 | -0.01 |
| W7 | Eastern Michigan | 30 | 30 | 80.0% | 65.8% | +14.2 pp | 5.3 | 0.77 | 40 | 4.8 | -0.13 |
| W8 | Western Michigan | 41 | 41 | 70.7% | 57.9% | +12.9 pp | 10.2 | 0.41 | 47 | 4.2 | 0.20 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
25 punts · 41.4 gross yards/punt · 39.0 net yards/punt
7 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 25/25 punts. Known net yards: 22/25 punts.
Our punt returns
7 returns · 9.0 yards/return · 1 touchdowns
0 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 7/7 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 · Western Michigan | 3 | 37.3 | 30.7 | 3/3 |
| Week 7 · Eastern Michigan | 4 | 41.5 | 39.3 | 3/4 |
| Week 6 · Buffalo | 6 | 43.5 | 43.2 | 5/6 |
| Week 5 · Ball State | 3 | 37.3 | 38.5 | 2/3 |
| Week 4 · San Diego State | 2 | 40.5 | 40.5 | 2/2 |