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South Alabama

2026 season

Sun Belt
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

South Alabama's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 97 across 8 systems; best 90, worst 115, so they disagree by 25 places.

Lab EPA
#90
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#93
down 32026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#115
up 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#100
down 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#99
down 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#99
down 4 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#95
down 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#90
down 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#92 of 138
Schedule strength
#102 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#106 of 138
Game control
#50 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#97 of 138
Offense
#60 of 138
Defense
#131 of 138
Special teams
#36 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

South Alabama · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

4-3 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.054 net EPA/play

#90

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-4.49 points

#93 · Down 3 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +2.78 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -7.56, schedule #122 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -5.05. That is worth -4.78 on its own; the preseason prior of -3.59 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -4.49.

How each game enters this SRS rating

South Alabama · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · SE Louisiana
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401868316
+25.00 → +25.00-2.500.76379.48%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.133-2.370-0.237
Week 2 · Tulane
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401864575
-4.00 → -4.00+2.500.79379.85%-2.97-0.148-0.293-0.440
Week 3 · Ohio
home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401866423
+5.00 → +5.00-2.500.824910.24%-1.240.256-0.1270.129
Week 4 · Kentucky
away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401864576
-24.00 → -24.00+2.500.857210.64%+8.46-2.2880.900-1.388
Week 5 · UL Monroe
home · 2026-10-03 · ID 401871089
+17.00 → +17.00-2.500.890911.06%-17.751.603-1.963-0.359
Week 6 · Arkansas State
away · 2026-10-08 · ID 401869933
+7.00 → +7.00+2.500.925911.49%-4.891.092-0.5620.529
Week 8 · Marshall
away · 2026-10-20 · ID 401871092
-7.00 → -7.00+2.501.000012.41%-10.24-0.559-1.272-1.830

Game terms -3.60 points; prior term -0.89 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -4.49 points. The preseason prior is -3.59 with 24.83% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-11.5 SP+ points

#115 · Up 1 place

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

-8.27 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#99 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 4.91 on 393 plays; defense 13.18 on 368 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks South Alabama 3 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
4-3 · conf 2-1 · home 3-0 · away 1-3 · expected wins 3.8
Polls (Week 9)
unranked
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 4-3 ATS (+2.2 avg) · 2025: 5-7 ATS (-4.3 avg)
Head coach
Major Applewhite · hired 2024-01-18 · 11-14 over 3 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #84 (163 pts) · 2025 #118 (121 pts) · 2026 #77 (187 pts)
Returning
79% of production · 76% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing95%100%
Receiving80%81%
Rushing62%57%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back113.000.84549.30
Defensive Line103.000.84658.46
Linebacker73.000.83355.83
Offensive Line103.000.84238.42
Quarterback43.000.85173.41
Receiver123.000.846310.16
Running Back73.000.84875.94
Special Teams63.000.82694.96

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Jared Hollins · QB

CFBD athlete 5148858. South Alabama (2024–2026)

Passing WEPA0.36913335.8%
Pass 81.9% · Rush 10.7%

1st 31.7% · 2nd 30.6% · 3rd 47.1%

Standard downs 31.7% · Passing downs 45.7%

2024: 3★ · 0.8600
PJ Martin · RB

CFBD athlete 5124334. South Alabama (2023–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.2209322.4%
Pass 5.3% · Rush 33.8%

1st 26.2% · 2nd 22.6% · 3rd 17.5%

Standard downs 26.9% · Passing downs 12.2%

2023: 3★ · 0.8304
Keenan Phillips · RB

CFBD athlete 5295070. South Alabama (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.2818820.9%
Pass 5.9% · Rush 30.9%

1st 22.4% · 2nd 20.8% · 3rd 20.4%

Standard downs 21.0% · Passing downs 20.5%

2025: stars unavailable
Trae'von Dunbar · RB

CFBD athlete 5079412. South Alabama (2025–2026); West Virginia (2024–2024)

Rushing WEPA0.2554010.7%
Pass 2.7% · Rush 16.1%

1st 12.6% · 2nd 11.3% · 3rd 7.8%

Standard downs 12.3% · Passing downs 7.1%

2024: 3★ · 0.8769
Davis Little · PK

CFBD athlete 5185701. South Alabama (2024–2026)

Kicker PAAR-0.98012—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

2024: 3★ · 0.8075
Anthony Eager · WR

CFBD athlete 5075529. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.5%
Pass 20.0% · Rush 0.0%

1st 8.5% · 2nd 7.2% · 3rd 6.9%

Standard downs 7.2% · Passing downs 8.3%

Not linked
Bishop Davenport · QB

CFBD athlete 4869553. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——47.5%
Pass 100.0% · Rush 16.7%

1st 35.3% · 2nd 53.7% · 3rd 59.4%

Standard downs 38.2% · Passing downs 67.3%

Not linked
Brendan Jenkins · WR

CFBD athlete 5156183. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.4%
Pass 25.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 8.4% · 2nd 8.9% · 3rd 10.7%

Standard downs 7.6% · Passing downs 13.5%

Not linked
Caleb Wynn · RB

CFBD athlete 5290624. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.2%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.9%

1st 6.2% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 3.4%

Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Everett Hunter · TE

CFBD athlete 5151609. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 3.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.4%

Not linked
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas · WR

CFBD athlete 5295064. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.4%
Pass 17.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 7.0% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 9.7%

Standard downs 6.4% · Passing downs 6.4%

Not linked
Micah Woods · WR

CFBD athlete 5151368. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.9%
Pass 10.3% · Rush 0.4%

1st 2.2% · 2nd 6.2% · 3rd 3.5%

Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 5.7%

Not linked
Noah Toster · WR

CFBD athlete 5220194. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.8%
Pass 4.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 0.9% · Passing downs 4.2%

Not linked
Rod Gibbs · TE

CFBD athlete 5220195. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.6%
Pass 8.9% · Rush 0.4%

1st 3.2% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 5.6%

Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 4.2%

Not linked
Trae Stevenson · WR

CFBD athlete 5222214. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.2%
Pass 11.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 6.5% · 3rd 9.7%

Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 11.1%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 12 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Andrew Hines · DLEastern Kentucky2026-01-183★ / 0.8200Immediate
Christian Ross · EDGEHoly Cross2026-05-07— / —Immediate
D.J. Moore · SGeorgia Tech2026-01-173★ / 0.8200Immediate
Dylan Chiedo · EDGEFurman2026-01-193★ / 0.8200Immediate
Dylan Freebury · KColorado State2026-01-163★ / —Immediate
Everett Hunter · TENicholls2026-01-123★ / 0.8200Immediate
Jaylen Moson · CBUtah2026-01-173★ / 0.8200Immediate
Khayree Lee Jr. · IOLLSU2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Masey Lewis · EDGEMcNeese2026-01-093★ / 0.8300Immediate
Peyton Argent · KSouth Carolina2026-02-04— / —Immediate
Seidrion Langston · LBUL Monroe2026-01-173★ / 0.8500Immediate
Shalik Hubbard · IOLMonmouth2026-01-173★ / 0.8300Immediate
Outgoing · 30 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Achilles Woods · DLLSU2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Adrian Griffin · DLNot reported2026-01-053★ / —Immediate
Asher Hale · IOLBaylor2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Blayne Myrick · LBMiami (OH)2026-01-143★ / 0.8400Immediate
Brayden Ramey · OTNot reported2026-01-153★ / —Immediate
Brec Long · TENorth Texas2026-01-133★ / 0.8100Immediate
Brian Dillard · CBNot reported2026-01-063★ / —TBD
Bubba Thompson · QBWest Florida2026-01-143★ / —Immediate
Dalton Hughes · LBTulane2026-01-143★ / 0.8200Immediate
Dominic Wiseman · DLKentucky2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ed Smith IV · DLTulane2026-01-123★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ethan Hubbard · OTNot reported2025-12-193★ / 0.8600Immediate
Hamilton DiBoyan · KAustin Peay2026-01-25— / —Immediate
Janier Armstead · DLNot reported2025-12-12— / —Immediate
Jeremy Scott · WRTCU2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jordan Davis · OTUCLA2026-01-183★ / 0.8600Immediate
Kenton Jerido · IOLNot reported2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Withdrawn
Leavy Johnson · IOLNorth Alabama2026-01-14— / —Immediate
Malachi Preciado · IOLTulsa2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Nathan Jennings · DLFlorida International2026-01-113★ / 0.8200Immediate
Nehemiah Chandler · CBFlorida State2026-01-033★ / 0.8600Immediate
Ni Mansell · IOLNot reported2026-01-10— / —Immediate
Noah Toster · WRNot reported2025-12-05— / —Immediate
RJ Moss Jr. · DLFlorida International2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ti Mims · WRNot reported2026-01-123★ / —Immediate
Trent Thomas · TETennessee2026-01-173★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ty Goodwill · SCincinnati2026-01-083★ / 0.8600Immediate
Tyler Thomas · EDGEKentucky2026-01-193★ / 0.8300Immediate
Tywon Wray Jr. · SNorthwestern State2026-01-313★ / —Immediate
Wesley Miller · SFlorida International2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at South Alabama. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Major Applewhite · career 26–25 across 6 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 4 appointments
  1. 2024–present · Major Applewhite · active at capture

    11–14 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 2024-01-18. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2021–2023 · Kane Wommack

    22–16 · 38 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2020-12-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2018–2021 · Steve Campbell

    9–26 · 35 attributed games · 4 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2020-12-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2012–2017 · Joey Jones

    29–46 · 75 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Hired 2008-02-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Major Applewhite · incomplete attribution0–0——-11.2-7.577—
2025 · Major Applewhite4–83–50–0-12.7-12.8118—
2024 · Major Applewhite7–65–31–02.8-1.784—
2023 · Kane Wommack7–64–41–05.1-0.890—
2022 · Kane Wommack10–37–10–110.81.1104—
2021 · Steve Campbell · incomplete attribution0–0——-7.2-8.6122—
2021 · Kane Wommack · incomplete attribution5–7——-7.2-8.6122—
2020 · Steve Campbell4–73–50–0-11.3-8.5109—
2019 · Steve Campbell2–101–70–0-20.3-17.2126—
2018 · Steve Campbell3–92–60–0-17.7-22.1115—
2017 · Joey Jones4–83–50–0-12-16.3116—
2016 · Joey Jones6–72–60–1-9.4-1087—
2015 · Joey Jones5–73–50–0-10.4-17.688—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:17:18 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play51 / 13863.5128 / 1387.3
Success rate77 / 13844.5137 / 1380.7
Explosiveness22 / 13884.7101 / 13827.0
Standard-down success97 / 13829.9136 / 1381.5
Passing-down success42 / 13870.1134 / 1382.9
Pass PPA50 / 13864.2110 / 13820.4
Rush PPA25 / 13882.5130 / 1385.8
Pass explosiveness11 / 13892.731 / 13878.1
Rush explosiveness22 / 13884.7124 / 13810.2
Line yards52 / 13862.898 / 13829.2
Second-level yards76 / 13845.3126 / 1388.8
Open-field yards87 / 13837.2137 / 1380.7
Stuff rate21 / 13885.473 / 13847.4
Power success27 / 13881.059 / 13857.7
HavocT38 / 13870.8T58 / 13857.7
Front-seven havoc69 / 13850.487 / 13837.2
DB havocT26 / 13880.7T27 / 13880.3
Points / opportunity48 / 13865.7128 / 1387.3
Average field positionT28 / 13879.9T119 / 13813.5
Field-position expected points33 / 13876.6120 / 13813.1

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Bishop Davenport · QBUsage 47.5% · Avg PPA 0.315 · Total 24.269
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.31524.26947.5%
Pass0.28617.474100.0%
Rush0.4256.79616.7%
1st down0.2656.36735.3%
2nd down0.2627.59453.7%
3rd down0.95318.10359.4%
Standard downs0.1907.98138.2%
Passing downs0.46516.28867.3%
Jared Hollins · QBUsage 35.8% · Avg PPA 0.193 · Total 30.286
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.19330.28635.8%
Pass0.25332.09881.9%
Rush0.1574.55910.7%
1st down-0.090-5.21331.7%
2nd down0.52723.19130.6%
3rd down0.1365.59347.1%
Standard downs0.0535.24431.7%
Passing downs0.43225.04245.7%
PJ Martin · RBUsage 22.4% · Avg PPA 0.078 · Total 8.974
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0788.97422.4%
Pass-0.383-3.8305.3%
Rush0.12212.80433.8%
1st down0.0874.84426.2%
2nd down0.0381.46122.6%
3rd down0.1242.22417.5%
Standard downs0.0716.76926.9%
Passing downs0.1162.20512.2%
Keenan Phillips · RBUsage 20.9% · Avg PPA 0.228 · Total 24.394
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.22824.39420.9%
Pass-0.136-1.4985.9%
Rush0.27025.89230.9%
1st down-0.136-6.53422.4%
2nd down0.42414.82420.8%
3rd down0.51810.88220.4%
Standard downs0.0926.89721.0%
Passing downs0.54717.49720.5%
Trae'von Dunbar · RBUsage 10.7% · Avg PPA 0.231 · Total 12.690
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.23112.69010.7%
Pass-0.788-3.9392.7%
Rush0.33316.62816.1%
1st down-0.010-0.26312.6%
2nd down0.55010.45711.3%
3rd down0.8276.6127.8%
Standard downs0.1376.02312.3%
Passing downs0.6066.6677.1%
Brendan Jenkins · WRUsage 9.4% · Avg PPA 0.516 · Total 24.750
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.51624.7509.4%
Pass0.51624.75025.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.124-2.2298.4%
2nd down0.96314.4438.9%
3rd down0.92010.11610.7%
Standard downs0.3479.3817.6%
Passing downs0.73215.36813.5%
Anthony Eager · WRUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA 0.487 · Total 15.596
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.48715.5967.5%
Pass0.48715.59620.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.5968.9398.5%
2nd down0.4414.4147.2%
3rd down1.0486.2876.9%
Standard downs0.3797.9507.2%
Passing downs0.6957.6468.3%
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas · WRUsage 6.4% · Avg PPA 0.542 · Total 17.882
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.54217.8826.4%
Pass0.54217.88217.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.3334.9937.0%
2nd down1.0797.5544.2%
3rd down0.4134.1309.7%
Standard downs0.3488.0156.4%
Passing downs0.9879.8676.4%
Trae Stevenson · WRUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA 0.410 · Total 2.462
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4102.4624.2%
Pass0.4102.46211.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.267-0.8026.5%
3rd down1.0883.2649.7%
Standard downs1.9321.9321.0%
Passing downs0.1060.53111.1%
Micah Woods · WRUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.365 · Total 6.207
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3656.2073.9%
Pass0.4336.93010.3%
Rush-0.723-0.7230.4%
1st down0.6222.4902.2%
2nd down-0.024-0.2186.2%
3rd down0.1850.5563.5%
Standard downs0.1591.5913.2%
Passing downs0.6594.6165.7%
Rod Gibbs · TEUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA 0.634 · Total 10.140
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.63410.1403.6%
Pass0.4626.9328.9%
Rush3.2083.2080.4%
1st down0.2061.2383.2%
2nd down0.4560.9111.4%
3rd down-0.536-2.6825.6%
Standard downs0.6326.3163.3%
Passing downs0.6373.8254.2%
Caleb Wynn · RBUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA 0.412 · Total 2.058
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4122.0583.2%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.4122.0584.9%
1st down0.1330.5316.2%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down1.5271.5273.4%
Standard downs0.4122.0584.2%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Noah Toster · WRUsage 1.8% · Avg PPA 0.326 · Total 0.979
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3260.9791.8%
Pass0.3260.9794.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down0.3260.9795.6%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.1000.1000.9%
Passing downs0.4400.8804.2%
Everett Hunter · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.315 · Total 0.629
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3150.6291.4%
Pass0.3150.6293.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down0.3150.6294.3%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs0.3150.6295.4%
Where South Alabama sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.183 (64th percentile; 138 teams)64thOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.425 (45th percentile; 138 teams)45thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.328 (85th percentile; 138 teams)85thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.264 (64th percentile; 138 teams)64thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.195 (82nd percentile; 138 teams)82ndDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.241 (7th percentile; 138 teams)7thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.512 (1st percentile; 138 teams)1stDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.283 (27th percentile; 138 teams)27thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.164 (58th percentile; 138 teams)58th
Values and percentiles
South Alabama metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.18364th138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.42545th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.32885th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.26464th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.19582nd138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.2417th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.5121st138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.28327th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.16458th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 100% of 184 attempts charted. Average depth of target 10.1 yards (83rd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.2 per completion. Completion 58.7%, 7.9 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.30.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense57.1%58.9%-1.9156 / 184
Defense allowed66.8%62.0%+4.8190 / 216

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is South Alabama.

Target mix by zone, South Alabama offense
Short left26% · 46Short middle22% · 39Short right40% · 72Deep left3% · 6Deep middle3% · 5Deep right7% · 12

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
South Alabama passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense184100%10.15.258.7%0.30-1.9 pp156
Passing defense21696%7.76.467.1%0.35+4.8 pp190

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense3194.845.3%0.233.301.101.0012.4%79.1%
Defense allowed2045.453.2%0.313.001.102.2016.0%70.3%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense315 / 31931097350299 / 307 · 97.4%
Defense allowed193 / 2041891512441187 / 188 · 99.5%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -1.9 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-19.7-0.518.8W1W2W2 vs Tulane: +9.8 ppW3W3 vs Ohio: -1.1 ppW4W4 vs Kentucky: -6.4 ppW5W5 vs UL Monroe: +18.8 ppW6W6 vs Arkansas State: -1.9 ppW8W8 vs Marshall: -19.7 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1SE Louisiana270———7.60.26594.50.15
W2Tulane323268.8%58.9%+9.8 pp10.30.51404.60.13
W3Ohio202065.0%66.0%-1.1 pp6.50.68505.30.29
W4Kentucky434353.5%59.9%-6.4 pp9.20.03322.80.19
W5UL Monroe191973.7%54.9%+18.8 pp13.81.25465.40.10
W6Arkansas State10955.6%57.5%-1.9 pp10.30.36505.70.55
W8Marshall333336.4%56.0%-19.7 pp13.3-0.31424.20.21

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

21 punts · 37.9 gross yards/punt · 37.3 net yards/punt

6 inside the 20 · 0 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 21/21 punts. Known net yards: 14/21 punts.

Our punt returns

2 returns · 10.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 2/2 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 8 · Marshall537.833.54/5
Week 6 · Arkansas State236.548.01/2
Week 5 · UL Monroe337.339.52/3
Week 4 · Kentucky537.643.73/5
Week 3 · Ohio328.726.33/3
Team style
Rating history