San José State

2026 season

Mountain West

2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

San José State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 108 across 8 systems; best 78, worst 120, so they disagree by 42 places.

Lab EPA: #78; Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS: #119; down 72026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+: #114; down 42026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo: #102; down 112026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI: #117; down 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE: #96; up 3 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS: #120; down 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA: #78; down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record: #108 of 138
Schedule strength: #112 of 138
Remaining schedule strength: #86 of 138
Game control: #106 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall: #116 of 138
Offense: #129 of 138
Defense: #80 of 138
Special teams: #100 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

San José State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

4-4 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.024 net EPA/play

#78

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-8.63 points

#119 · Down 7 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -1.18 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -8.10, schedule #129 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -5.91. That is worth -9.28 on its own; the preseason prior of -6.40 still carries 22% of the weight, giving -8.63.

How each game enters this SRS rating

San José State · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

Game	Raw margin → transformed	Venue adjustment	Recency weight	Fit share	Opponent rating	Margin term	Opponent term	Total term
Week 1 · USC away · 2026-08-29 · ID 401864494	-16.00 → -16.00	+2.50	0.7637	8.56%	+7.22	-1.155	0.618	-0.538
Week 1 · Eastern Michigan away · 2026-09-04 · ID 401864495	+6.00 → +6.00	+2.50	0.7637	8.56%	-9.30	0.727	-0.796	-0.068
Week 2 · Cal Poly home · 2026-09-13 · ID 401864504	+10.00 → +10.00	-2.50	0.7937	8.89%	-25.00 (fixed lower division)	0.667	-2.223	-1.556
Week 3 · Fresno State home · 2026-09-20 · ID 401860888	-16.00 → -16.00	-2.50	0.8249	9.24%	+0.87	-1.710	0.080	-1.630
Week 5 · Hawai'i away · 2026-10-04 · ID 401864513	+4.00 → +4.00	+2.50	0.8909	9.98%	-7.39	0.649	-0.738	-0.089
Week 6 · Wyoming home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401864519	-3.00 → -1.00 (OT)	-2.50	0.9259	10.37%	-8.25	-0.363	-0.856	-1.219
Week 7 · UTEP away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401864523	+13.00 → +13.00	+2.50	0.9622	10.78%	-16.91	1.671	-1.823	-0.152
Week 8 · Nevada away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401864528	-15.00 → -15.00	+2.50	1.0000	11.20%	-4.87	-1.401	-0.545	-1.946

Game terms -7.20 points; prior term -1.43 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -8.63 points. The preseason prior is -6.40 with 22.41% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-11.3 SP+ points

#114 · Down 4 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

-7.33 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#96 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -9.19 on 419 plays; defense -1.86 on 484 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE rating CORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks San José State 41 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches

Record: 4-4 · conf 2-2 · home 1-2 · away 3-2 · expected wins 4.1
Polls (Week 9): unranked
CFP latest: not published
CFP final: not published
Against the spread: 2026: 4-4 ATS (+0.2 avg) · 2025: 4-8 ATS (-10.6 avg)
Head coach: Ken Niumatalolo · hired 2024-01-21 · 10-15 over 3 captured seasons
Recruiting classes: 2024 #104 (145 pts) · 2025 #117 (124 pts) · 2026 #129 (159 pts)
Returning: 4% of production · 14% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage
Passing -8% 13%
Receiving 3% 6%
Rushing 36% 26%
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Category	Production	Usage
Passing	-8%	13%
Receiving	3%	6%
Rushing	36%	26%

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position group	Commits	Avg. stars	Avg. rating	Total rating
Defensive Back	5	3.00	0.8207	4.10
Defensive Line	11	2.73	0.8214	9.03
Linebacker	5	2.80	0.8194	4.10
Offensive Line	14	2.79	0.8229	11.52
Quarterback	4	2.75	0.8203	3.28
Receiver	9	3.00	0.8391	7.55
Running Back	4	2.75	0.8110	3.24
Special Teams	6	2.83	0.8309	4.99

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / history	Metric	Value	Plays / attempts	Overall usage	Usage detail	Recruiting
Luke Weaver · QB CFBD athlete 5295238. San José State (2026–2026); Hawai'i (2025–2025)	Passing WEPA	0.286	198	57.7%	Pass 91.5% · Rush 19.9% 1st 53.0% · 2nd 55.8% · 3rd 69.1% Standard downs 54.3% · Passing downs 63.9%	2025: 3★ · 0.8200
Jabari Bates · RB CFBD athlete 4685254. San José State (2022–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.040	103	30.3%	Pass 5.7% · Rush 60.7% 1st 35.9% · 2nd 31.3% · 3rd 18.6% Standard downs 33.8% · Passing downs 24.1%	2022: 3★ · 0.8528
Viliami Teu · RB CFBD athlete 5151338. San José State (2023–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.304	44	9.8%	Pass 0.4% · Rush 20.2% 1st 12.2% · 2nd 8.7% · 3rd 7.4% Standard downs 11.7% · Passing downs 6.3%	2022: 3★ · 0.8006
Luke Weaver · QB CFBD athlete 5295238. San José State (2026–2026); Hawai'i (2025–2025)	Rushing WEPA	0.192	33	57.7%	Pass 91.5% · Rush 19.9% 1st 53.0% · 2nd 55.8% · 3rd 69.1% Standard downs 54.3% · Passing downs 63.9%	2025: 3★ · 0.8200
Trajan Sinatra · PK CFBD athlete 5298628. San José State (2026–2026); Idaho State (2025–2025)	Kicker PAAR	2.170	18	—	Pass — · Rush — 1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs —	Not linked
Anthony Ivey · WR CFBD athlete 4685396. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.7%	Pass 9.1% · Rush 0.0% 1st 5.5% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 4.1% Standard downs 4.8% · Passing downs 4.5%	Not linked
Carson Clark · WR CFBD athlete 5161012. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	13.1%	Pass 25.5% · Rush 0.0% 1st 11.2% · 2nd 12.5% · 3rd 17.1% Standard downs 13.0% · Passing downs 13.3%	Not linked
Cooper Hoch · WR CFBD athlete 5151342. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	8.0%	Pass 15.2% · Rush 0.0% 1st 8.5% · 2nd 6.3% · 3rd 9.6% Standard downs 8.2% · Passing downs 7.7%	Not linked
Daniel Rolovich · QB CFBD athlete 5215357. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	30.8%	Pass 51.9% · Rush 13.3% 1st 21.3% · 2nd 38.1% · 3rd 35.7% Standard downs 26.9% · Passing downs 38.5%	Not linked
Dominique McKenzie · WR CFBD athlete 5219662. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.7%	Pass 6.6% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.7% · 2nd 2.6% · 3rd 5.7% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 4.1%	Not linked
Isaiah Carlson · RB CFBD athlete 4870662. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.8%	Pass 0.6% · Rush 9.9% 1st 6.3% · 2nd 2.6% · 3rd 4.5% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 2.0%	Not linked
Jase Nix · WR CFBD athlete 5214408. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.3%	Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.5% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 6.4% Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 7.6%	Not linked
Jerry Mcclure · WR CFBD athlete 4920229. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	8.9%	Pass 17.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 8.5% · 2nd 8.2% · 3rd 10.8% Standard downs 8.6% · Passing downs 9.4%	Not linked
Jordan Anderson · WR CFBD athlete 5079299. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.1%	Pass 7.8% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.4% · 2nd 6.3% · 3rd 2.4% Standard downs 4.1% · Passing downs 4.2%	Not linked
Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole · TE CFBD athlete 5151350. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.6%	Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.1% · 2nd 2.3% · 3rd 1.1% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 1.4%	Not linked
Malachi Riley · WR CFBD athlete 4870994. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.4%	Pass 2.5% · Rush 0.0% 1st 3.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Robert McDaniel · QB CFBD athlete 5205684. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	33.3%	Pass 53.3% · Rush 11.5% 1st 22.7% · 2nd 28.6% · 3rd 57.1% Standard downs 21.2% · Passing downs 50.0%	Not linked
Tama Amisone · WR CFBD athlete 5296610. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.8%	Pass 7.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 6.3% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 5.9%	Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 17 reported

Player	From	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Agenhart Ellis IV · S	Cal Lutheran	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Aizik Mahuka · LB	Weber State	2026-01-11	3★ / —	Immediate
Anthony Ivey · WR	Penn State	2026-01-18	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Brian Dukes Jr. · S	Cal Poly	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Brian Tapu · OT	Nebraska	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Dominique McKenzie · WR	BYU	2026-01-07	3★ / —	Immediate
Dylan Aguilera · LS	Lafayette	2026-02-03	— / —	Immediate
Ian Shewell · DL	Arizona State	2026-01-15	3★ / 0.8200	Immediate
Ikinasio Tupou · OT	BYU	2026-01-16	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Isaiah Buxton · CB	San Diego State	2026-01-11	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Jackson Barton · S	Nevada	2026-02-01	3★ / 0.8100	Immediate
Jayland McGlothen · DL	Sacramento State	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Jerry McClure · WR	San Diego State	2026-01-09	3★ / —	Immediate
Jonathan Watts · S	Idaho State	2026-02-02	3★ / 0.8000	Immediate
Lavaka Taukeiaho · IOL	Oklahoma State	2026-01-20	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Luke Weaver · QB	Hawai'i	2026-01-09	3★ / —	Immediate
Tyler Jacklich · RB	West Virginia	2026-01-22	3★ / 0.8200	Immediate

Outgoing · 16 reported

Player	To	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Caleb Presley · CB	Colorado State	2026-01-15	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Danny Scudero · WR	Colorado	2026-01-04	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Denaris DeRosa · IOL	Not reported	2026-01-03	3★ / —	Immediate
Isiah Revis · S	Not reported	2026-01-14	3★ / —	Immediate
JT Taylor · CB	Eastern Washington	2026-01-30	3★ / —	Immediate
Jaylen Thomas · CB	Washington State	2026-01-04	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Jireh Moe · DL	Utah	2026-01-11	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Joseph Bey · S	Not reported	2025-12-31	3★ / —	Immediate
Kyri Shoels · WR	Utah	2026-01-08	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Leland Smith · WR	UCLA	2026-01-07	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Matthew Coleman · WR	Sacramento State	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Nate Hale · OT	Arizona	2026-01-11	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Noah McNeal-Franklin · LB	Not reported	2026-01-17	3★ / —	Immediate
Steve Chavez-Soto · RB	Utah	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8800	Immediate
Vili Taufatofua · EDGE	Colorado	2026-01-09	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Walker Eget · QB	Duke	2026-01-26	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at San José State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Ken Niumatalolo · career 119–98 across 19 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 19 appointments

2024–present · Ken Niumatalolo · active at capture
10–15 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2024-01-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2017–2023 · Brent Brennan
34–48 · 82 attributed games · 7 seasons
Hired 2016-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2013–2016 · Ron Caragher
19–30 · 49 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2012-12-17. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2010–2012 · Mike MacIntyre
16–21 · 37 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2009-12-16. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2005–2009 · Dick Tomey
25–35 · 60 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2004-12-28. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2001–2004 · Fitz Hill
14–33 · 47 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2000-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1997–2000 · Dave Baldwin
18–27 · 45 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1993–1996 · John Ralston
11–34 · 45 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1992–1992 · Ron Turner
7–4 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1990–1991 · Terry Shea
15–6–2 · 23 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1984–1989 · Claude Gilbert
38–30–1 · 69 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1979–1983 · Jack Elway
35–20–1 · 56 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1976–1978 · Lynn Stiles
18–16 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1975 · Darryl Rogers
22–9–3 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1970–1972 · DeWayne King
10–20–1 · 31 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1969–1970 · Joe McMullen
3–10 · 13 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1965–1968 · Harry Anderson
13–26 · 39 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1957–1964 · Robert Titchenal
33–45–1 · 79 attributed games · 8 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1950–1956 · Robert Bronzan
32–30–5 · 67 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coach	Record	Conference	Postseason	SP+	SRS	Recruiting rank	Final poll
2026 · Ken Niumatalolo · incomplete attribution	0–0	—	—	-9.3	-13.7	129	—
2025 · Ken Niumatalolo	3–9	2–6	0–0	-14.3	-14.4	117	—
2024 · Ken Niumatalolo	7–6	3–4	0–1	-5.5	-7.1	104	—
2023 · Brent Brennan	7–6	6–2	0–1	-3.4	2.8	112	—
2022 · Brent Brennan	7–5	5–3	0–1	-4.3	-6.5	75	—
2021 · Brent Brennan	5–7	3–5	0–0	-1.9	-9.9	120	—
2020 · Brent Brennan	7–1	7–0	0–1	0.1	8.6	114	24
2019 · Brent Brennan	5–7	2–6	0–0	-7.2	-7.5	118	—
2018 · Brent Brennan	1–11	1–7	0–0	-17.1	-14.1	94	—
2017 · Brent Brennan	2–11	1–7	0–0	-20	-26.7	98	—
2016 · Ron Caragher	4–8	3–5	0–0	-13.6	-17.2	84	—
2015 · Ron Caragher	6–7	4–4	1–0	-4.5	-6.9	62	—

Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:23:40 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

Statistic	Offense rank / population	Percentile	Defense rank / population	Percentile
PPA / play	89 / 138	35.8	67 / 138	51.8
Success rate	T118 / 138	14.2	106 / 138	23.4
Explosiveness	107 / 138	22.6	12 / 138	92.0
Standard-down success	84 / 138	39.4	112 / 138	19.0
Passing-down success	136 / 138	1.5	77 / 138	44.5
Pass PPA	76 / 138	45.3	48 / 138	65.7
Rush PPA	106 / 138	23.4	92 / 138	33.6
Pass explosiveness	122 / 138	11.7	29 / 138	79.6
Rush explosiveness	83 / 138	40.1	28 / 138	80.3
Line yards	61 / 138	56.2	97 / 138	29.9
Second-level yards	92 / 138	33.6	122 / 138	11.7
Open-field yards	118 / 138	14.6	34 / 138	75.9
Stuff rate	66 / 138	52.6	88 / 138	36.5
Power success	T86 / 138	37.6	86 / 138	38.0
Havoc	T94 / 138	31.4	T76 / 138	44.5
Front-seven havoc	T84 / 138	37.2	T67 / 138	50.7
DB havoc	103 / 138	25.5	T73 / 138	46.7
Points / opportunity	111 / 138	19.7	30 / 138	78.8
Average field position	T96 / 138	29.9	T84 / 138	39.1
Field-position expected points	91 / 138	34.3	80 / 138	42.3

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Luke Weaver · QBUsage 57.7% · Avg PPA 0.212 · Total 57.147

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.212	57.147	57.7%
Pass	0.272	61.512	91.5%
Rush	0.041	1.718	19.9%
1st down	0.148	15.526	53.0%
2nd down	0.128	11.620	55.8%
3rd down	0.397	26.580	69.1%
Standard downs	0.286	46.906	54.3%
Passing downs	0.097	10.241	63.9%

Robert McDaniel · QBUsage 33.3% · Avg PPA -0.458 · Total -8.701

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.458	-8.701	33.3%
Pass	-0.512	-8.192	53.3%
Rush	-0.170	-0.509	11.5%
1st down	-0.807	-4.036	22.7%
2nd down	-0.014	-0.084	28.6%
3rd down	-0.573	-4.580	57.1%
Standard downs	-0.191	-1.336	21.2%
Passing downs	-0.614	-7.365	50.0%

Daniel Rolovich · QBUsage 30.8% · Avg PPA 0.143 · Total 5.161

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.143	5.161	30.8%
Pass	0.138	3.858	51.9%
Rush	0.163	1.303	13.3%
1st down	-0.196	-1.957	21.3%
2nd down	0.478	7.656	38.1%
3rd down	-0.054	-0.538	35.7%
Standard downs	0.338	7.106	26.9%
Passing downs	-0.130	-1.945	38.5%

Jabari Bates · RBUsage 30.3% · Avg PPA -0.013 · Total -1.896

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.013	-1.896	30.3%
Pass	0.245	3.430	5.7%
Rush	-0.042	-5.326	60.7%
1st down	-0.137	-9.743	35.9%
2nd down	0.071	3.606	31.3%
3rd down	0.446	8.025	18.6%
Standard downs	-0.035	-3.592	33.8%
Passing downs	0.042	1.695	24.1%

Carson Clark · WRUsage 13.1% · Avg PPA 0.385 · Total 26.564

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.385	26.564	13.1%
Pass	0.385	26.564	25.5%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.258	6.442	11.2%
2nd down	0.327	7.522	12.5%
3rd down	0.720	13.671	17.1%
Standard downs	0.557	25.053	13.0%
Passing downs	0.063	1.511	13.3%

Viliami Teu · RBUsage 9.8% · Avg PPA 0.305 · Total 13.740

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.305	13.740	9.8%
Pass	-0.585	-0.585	0.4%
Rush	0.326	14.324	20.2%
1st down	0.071	1.715	12.2%
2nd down	0.018	0.251	8.7%
3rd down	1.682	11.773	7.4%
Standard downs	0.351	12.271	11.7%
Passing downs	0.147	1.468	6.3%

Jerry Mcclure · WRUsage 8.9% · Avg PPA 0.274 · Total 12.868

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.274	12.868	8.9%
Pass	0.274	12.868	17.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.032	-0.603	8.5%
2nd down	0.541	8.122	8.2%
3rd down	0.267	3.203	10.8%
Standard downs	0.207	6.203	8.6%
Passing downs	0.392	6.665	9.4%

Cooper Hoch · WRUsage 8.0% · Avg PPA 0.804 · Total 26.547

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.804	26.547	8.0%
Pass	0.804	26.547	15.2%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.407	6.110	8.5%
2nd down	1.416	12.745	6.3%
3rd down	0.717	5.739	9.6%
Standard downs	0.880	19.361	8.2%
Passing downs	0.653	7.186	7.7%

Isaiah Carlson · RBUsage 4.8% · Avg PPA -0.232 · Total -3.713

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.232	-3.713	4.8%
Pass	-0.276	-0.276	0.6%
Rush	-0.229	-3.437	9.9%
1st down	-0.119	-1.067	6.3%
2nd down	0.189	0.566	2.6%
3rd down	0.357	1.070	4.5%
Standard downs	-0.280	-3.927	6.1%
Passing downs	0.107	0.214	2.0%

Anthony Ivey · WRUsage 4.7% · Avg PPA 0.281 · Total 6.184

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.281	6.184	4.7%
Pass	0.281	6.184	9.1%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.035	0.385	5.5%
2nd down	0.905	5.428	3.7%
3rd down	1.018	4.071	4.1%
Standard downs	0.221	3.311	4.8%
Passing downs	0.411	2.874	4.5%

Jordan Anderson · WRUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 0.387 · Total 6.579

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.387	6.579	4.1%
Pass	0.387	6.579	7.8%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.445	2.671	3.4%
2nd down	0.124	1.117	6.3%
3rd down	1.395	2.790	2.4%
Standard downs	0.381	4.189	4.1%
Passing downs	0.398	2.390	4.2%

Tama Amisone · WRUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA -0.739 · Total -2.216

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.739	-2.216	3.8%
Pass	-0.739	-2.216	7.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	-0.983	-1.965	7.1%
3rd down	-0.251	-0.251	6.3%
Standard downs	-1.127	-1.127	2.3%
Passing downs	-0.545	-1.089	5.9%

Dominique McKenzie · WRUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA 0.323 · Total 3.872

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.323	3.872	3.7%
Pass	0.323	3.872	6.6%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	1.011	5.057	3.7%
2nd down	-0.486	-1.457	2.6%
3rd down	0.068	0.273	5.7%
Standard downs	0.658	4.606	3.4%
Passing downs	-0.147	-0.733	4.1%

Jase Nix · WRUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA 0.408 · Total 6.121

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.408	6.121	3.3%
Pass	0.408	6.121	6.5%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.742	2.226	1.5%
2nd down	0.598	3.590	3.7%
3rd down	0.051	0.304	6.4%
Standard downs	0.742	2.226	1.0%
Passing downs	0.325	3.894	7.6%

Kamaehu Kopa-Kaawalauole · TEUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.091 · Total 0.909

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.091	0.909	2.6%
Pass	0.091	0.909	5.1%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.079	-0.396	3.1%
2nd down	-0.202	-0.605	2.3%
3rd down	-0.325	-0.325	1.1%
Standard downs	0.172	1.378	3.2%
Passing downs	-0.234	-0.469	1.4%

Malachi Riley · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.776 · Total 0.776

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.776	0.776	1.4%
Pass	0.776	0.776	2.5%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.776	0.776	3.7%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.776	0.776	2.1%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Where San José State sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Values and percentiles

San José State metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
Metric	Value	Percentile	Better
Offense PPA/play	0.099	36th138 teams	higher
Offense success rate	0.386	14th138 teams	higher
Offense explosiveness	1.169	23rd138 teams	higher
Offense pass PPA/play	0.210	45th138 teams	higher
Offense rush PPA/play	0.030	23rd138 teams	higher
Defense PPA/play	0.066	52nd138 teams	lower
Defense success rate	0.433	23rd138 teams	lower
Defense explosiveness	1.100	92nd138 teams	lower
Defense havoc created	0.154	45th138 teams	higher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 100% of 260 attempts charted. Average depth of target 10.0 yards (80th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 3.8 per completion. Completion 60.0%, 7.2 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.27.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
Side	Actual	Expected	CPOE (pp)	Qualifying / all attempts
Offense	59.6%	59.5%	+0.1	225 / 260
Defense allowed	65.4%	62.3%	+3.0	231 / 275

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is San José State.

Target mix by zone, San José State offense

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail

San José State passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
Side	Attempts	Charted	ADOT	YAC	Comp %	PPA	CPOE	CPOE att
Passing offense	260	100%	10.0	3.8	60.0%	0.27	+0.1 pp	225
Passing defense	275	99%	8.2	5.0	64.0%	0.20	+3.0 pp	231

Rushing production

Side	Attempts	Yards / carry	Success	PPA	Line yards / rush	Second-level yards / rush	Open-field yards / rush	Stuff rate	Power success
Offense	263	3.9	35.4%	0.04	3.00	1.00	0.80	16.9%	70.4%
Defense allowed	303	3.8	50.6%	0.15	3.20	1.20	0.80	14.6%	73.5%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

Side	Yards recorded	Individual	Unattributed	Sacks	Kneels	Team rushes	Multiple carriers	Direction located / eligible
Offense	259 / 263	257	6	18	2	2	0	242 / 243 · 99.6%
Defense allowed	299 / 303	282	21	28	8	8	0	267 / 267 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

MetricSide

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +0.1 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage

Week	Opponent	Pass att	CPOE att	Comp %*	Expected %*	CPOE	ADOT	Pass PPA	Rush att	Rush yds/carry	Rush PPA
W1	USC	32	32	65.6%	58.9%	+6.7 pp	9.9	0.38	24	4.3	0.06
W1	Eastern Michigan	41	40	57.5%	61.1%	-3.6 pp	8.8	0.39	36	3.7	-0.06
W2	Cal Poly	34	0	—	—	—	10.7	0.42	44	5.7	0.06
W3	Fresno State	38	38	55.3%	59.2%	-3.9 pp	11.0	-0.21	32	2.8	-0.05
W5	Hawai'i	28	28	67.9%	60.1%	+7.7 pp	8.9	0.55	34	2.3	-0.10
W6	Wyoming	38	38	68.4%	60.2%	+8.2 pp	8.8	0.33	28	2.7	0.13
W7	UTEP	23	23	52.2%	59.5%	-7.3 pp	9.5	0.30	35	6.6	0.40
W8	Nevada	26	26	46.2%	56.5%	-10.3 pp	12.5	0.07	30	2.2	-0.18

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

46 punts · 44.5 gross yards/punt · 37.8 net yards/punt

15 inside the 20 · 3 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 46/46 punts. Known net yards: 40/46 punts.

Our punt returns

12 returns · 7.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

3 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 11/12 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games

Game	Punts	Gross yd/punt	Net yd/punt	Known net yards
Week 8 · Nevada	11	46.4	43.3	9/11
Week 7 · UTEP	6	42.3	37.7	6/6
Week 6 · Wyoming	3	45.3	34.0	3/3
Week 5 · Hawai'i	6	49.8	49.8	4/6
Week 3 · Fresno State	7	42.6	29.2	6/7

Team style

Rating history