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Ohio

2026 season

Mid-American
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Ohio's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 78.5 across 8 systems; best 68, worst 97, so they disagree by 29 places.

Lab EPA
#75
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#78
down 42026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#79
up 42026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#85
down 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#97
down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#68
down 6 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#93
down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#75
no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#69 of 138
Schedule strength
#110 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#126 of 138
Game control
#97 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#85 of 138
Offense
#88 of 138
Defense
#103 of 138
Special teams
#2 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Ohio · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

6-2 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.016 net EPA/play

#75

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-1.24 points

#78 · Down 4 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +7.84 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -9.46, schedule #137 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -7.30. That is worth -1.62 on its own; the preseason prior of +0.09 still carries 22% of the weight, giving -1.24.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Ohio · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Nebraska
away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401858430
-28.00 → -28.00+2.500.76378.47%+10.82-2.1590.916-1.243
Week 2 · Jacksonville State
home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401866418
+2.00 → +1.00 (OT)-2.500.79378.80%-2.80-0.132-0.246-0.378
Week 3 · South Alabama
away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401866423
-5.00 → -5.00+2.500.82499.15%-4.49-0.229-0.410-0.639
Week 4 · Stonehill
home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401866428
+28.00 → +28.00-2.500.85729.51%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.424-2.3760.048
Week 5 · Kent State
away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401866434
+3.00 → +3.00+2.500.89099.88%-11.950.543-1.180-0.637
Week 6 · Central Michigan
home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401866438
+17.00 → +17.00-2.500.925910.27%-8.471.489-0.8690.619
Week 7 · Sacramento State
away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401866445
+41.00 → +35.00+2.500.962210.67%-20.334.001-2.1691.832
Week 8 · Eastern Michigan
home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401866449
+4.00 → +4.00-2.501.000011.09%-9.300.166-1.031-0.865

Game terms -1.26 points; prior term +0.02 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -1.24 points. The preseason prior is +0.09 with 22.18% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.7 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-1.5 SP+ points

#79 · Up 4 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

0.48 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#68 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 3.67 on 372 plays; defense 3.20 on 387 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Ohio 3 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
6-2 · conf 4-0 · home 4-0 · away 2-2 · expected wins 5.1
Polls (Week 9)
unranked
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 3-4-1 ATS (+3.2 avg) · 2025: 7-6 ATS (+0.8 avg)
Head coach
John Hauser · hired 2025-12-26 · 1-0 over 2 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #92 (156 pts) · 2025 #121 (115 pts) · 2026 #107 (175 pts)
Returning
63% of production · 83% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing94%100%
Receiving17%34%
Rushing100%100%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back83.000.83166.65
Defensive Line133.000.834810.85
Linebacker82.880.82316.58
Offensive Line93.000.83957.56
Quarterback33.000.83922.52
Receiver103.000.84048.40
Running Back53.000.84074.20
Special Teams92.890.83087.48

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Nick Poulos · QB

CFBD athlete 5228762. Ohio (2024–2026)

Passing WEPA0.39710742.5%
Pass 79.1% · Rush 18.8%

1st 41.3% · 2nd 42.1% · 3rd 47.8%

Standard downs 38.3% · Passing downs 52.6%

Not linked
Duncan Brune · RB

CFBD athlete 5167252. Ohio (2024–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1038423.3%
Pass 4.2% · Rush 36.3%

1st 26.2% · 2nd 20.6% · 3rd 18.2%

Standard downs 27.2% · Passing downs 13.8%

2024: 3★ · 0.8230
Victor Rosa · RB

CFBD athlete 4873234. UConn (2022–2025); Ohio (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.0945816.3%
Pass 3.5% · Rush 25.0%

1st 16.3% · 2nd 19.8% · 3rd 11.8%

Standard downs 18.7% · Passing downs 10.3%

2022: 3★ · 0.8341
Nick Poulos · QB

CFBD athlete 5228762. Ohio (2024–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.2293742.5%
Pass 79.1% · Rush 18.8%

1st 41.3% · 2nd 42.1% · 3rd 47.8%

Standard downs 38.3% · Passing downs 52.6%

Not linked
Will Hryszko · PK

CFBD athlete 4917286. Ohio (2026–2026); Kent State (2022–2025)

Kicker PAAR2.39012—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

2022: stars unavailable
AJ Miller · TE

CFBD athlete 5228783. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.8%
Pass 4.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.8% · 2nd 1.6% · 3rd 1.3%

Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 1.7%

Not linked
Andrew Metzger · TE

CFBD athlete 5031158. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.6%
Pass 3.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.5% · 2nd 2.9% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 1.0%

Not linked
Blake Guffey · WR

CFBD athlete 5228768. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.6%
Pass 3.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.6% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.1% · Passing downs 2.6%

Not linked
Delaney Crawford · WR

CFBD athlete 4908401. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.0%
Pass 9.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 9.1%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 11.1%

Not linked
Dom Dorwart · WR

CFBD athlete 5193110. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.1%
Pass 14.6% · Rush 0.7%

1st 5.7% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 9.8%

Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 7.6%

Not linked
Eian Pugh · WR

CFBD athlete 4711434. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.2%
Pass 11.4% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.8% · 2nd 3.0% · 3rd 7.1%

Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 8.5%

Not linked
Irving Brown · RB

CFBD athlete 5236380. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.5%
Pass 1.5% · Rush 11.9%

1st 9.2% · 2nd 6.4% · 3rd 6.2%

Standard downs 8.4% · Passing downs 5.3%

Not linked
Jake Furtney · TE

CFBD athlete 5221306. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.2%
Pass 12.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.7% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 1.3%

Standard downs 4.6% · Passing downs 3.0%

Not linked
Levi Davis · QB

CFBD athlete 5244755. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——13.2%
Pass 24.8% · Rush 7.0%

1st 8.5% · 2nd 18.1% · 3rd 14.3%

Standard downs 9.6% · Passing downs 22.7%

Not linked
Matt Vezza · QB

CFBD athlete 5171031. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——24.6%
Pass 44.9% · Rush 12.6%

1st 23.7% · 2nd 22.5% · 3rd 30.8%

Standard downs 22.7% · Passing downs 29.2%

Not linked
Matthew Papas · QB

CFBD athlete 5228763. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.4%

1st 3.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Mike Taylor Jr. · RB

CFBD athlete 5211768. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.3%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 10.9%

1st 5.3% · 2nd 6.4% · 3rd 7.7%

Standard downs 6.3% · Passing downs 6.3%

Not linked
Preston Bowman · WR

CFBD athlete 5211691. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.3%
Pass 15.7% · Rush 2.0%

1st 7.5% · 2nd 6.0% · 3rd 7.8%

Standard downs 5.8% · Passing downs 11.0%

Not linked
Riley Neer · WR

CFBD athlete 5228764. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——11.4%
Pass 29.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 12.8% · 2nd 8.4% · 3rd 13.7%

Standard downs 11.0% · Passing downs 12.4%

Not linked
Riley Palmeter · TE

CFBD athlete 5394410. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.2%
Pass 4.3% · Rush 0.9%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 5.7%

Standard downs 2.9% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Zach Hackleman · WR

CFBD athlete 5302804. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 4.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 19 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Barry Dillon · CBIncarnate Word2026-01-09— / —Immediate
CJ Dawson · IOLGardner-Webb2026-01-173★ / 0.8500Immediate
Cassius Hulbert · DLTiffin University2026-01-173★ / 0.8000Immediate
Cody Raymond · EDGEWisconsin2026-01-103★ / —Immediate
Darren James-Hamilton · SElon2026-01-173★ / 0.8300Immediate
Eli Thompson · CBHoly Cross2026-01-133★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ian VerSteeg · WRWake Forest2026-01-173★ / 0.8000Immediate
Isaiah Street · EDGEWestern Michigan2026-01-133★ / 0.8200Immediate
Jake Furtney · TEIllinois2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
KJ Sejour · CBChattanooga2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Lance Blakely · IOLNot reported2026-04-212★ / —Immediate
Matt Vezza · QBNew Hampshire2026-01-10— / —Immediate
Preston Bowman · WRKentucky2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Riley Palmeter · TENot reported2026-02-033★ / 0.8400Immediate
Sandro Malicevic · OTEastern Illinois2026-01-173★ / 0.8400Immediate
Trumain Lawson · OTNot reported2026-01-173★ / 0.8300Immediate
Tyler Gillison · EDGEMichigan State2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Victor Rosa · RBUConn2026-01-103★ / —Immediate
Will Hryszko · KKent State2026-02-04— / —Immediate
Outgoing · 16 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Alfred Jordan Jr. · WRNot reported2026-01-11— / —Immediate
Anas Luqman · EDGEUConn2026-01-143★ / 0.8400Immediate
Chase Hendricks · WRCalifornia2026-01-084★ / 0.9300Immediate
Danny Novickas · EDGENot reported2025-12-153★ / —Immediate
David Dellenbach · KNot reported2026-01-05— / —Immediate
Davion Weatherspoon · IOLArkansas2026-01-173★ / 0.8600Immediate
Duncan Brune · RBNot reported2026-01-063★ / —Withdrawn
Ibrahim Kebe · OTUTSA2026-01-163★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jalen Thomeson · SSan Diego State2026-01-062★ / —Immediate
Jay Crable · EDGEFlorida Atlantic2026-01-053★ / —Immediate
Jordon Jones · OTTroy2026-01-173★ / 0.8300Immediate
Mason Williams · TEOhio State2026-01-043★ / 0.8500Immediate
Nehemiah Dukes · DLNot reported2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Withdrawn
Nick Segarra · TEFurman2026-01-233★ / —Immediate
Parker Navarro · QBNot reported2026-01-163★ / 0.8700PendingAppeal
Rodney Harris II · WROklahoma State2026-01-163★ / 0.8500Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Ohio. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

John Hauser · career 1–0 across 2 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 11 appointments
  1. 2025–present · John Hauser · active at capture

    1–0 · 1 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Hired 2025-12-26. Effective dates: 2025-12-23 to unknown.

  2. 2025–2025 · Brian Smith

    8–4 · 12 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Hired 2024-12-18. Effective dates: unknown to 2025-12-23.

  3. 2021–2024 · Tim Albin

    34–19 · 53 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2021-07-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2005–2020 · Frank Solich

    115–82 · 197 attributed games · 16 seasons

    Hired 2004-12-16. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 2001–2004 · Brian Knorr

    11–35 · 46 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2000-12-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  6. 1995–2000 · Jim Grobe

    33–33–1 · 67 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  7. 1990–1994 · Tom Lichtenberg

    8–45–2 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  8. 1985–1989 · Cleve Bryant

    9–44–2 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  9. 1979–1984 · Brian Burke

    31–34–1 · 66 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  10. 1978–1978 · Bob Kappes

    3–8 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  11. 1962–1977 · Bill Hess

    80–83–3 · 166 attributed games · 16 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · John Hauser · incomplete attribution0–0——-2-7.3107—
2025 · Brian Smith8–46–20–0-4-3.5121—
2025 · John Hauser1–00–01–0-4-3.5121—
2024 · Tim Albin11–38–11–02.31.792—
2023 · Tim Albin10–36–21–0-1.6-5.897—
2022 · Tim Albin10–47–21–0-4.6-3.6132—
2021 · Tim Albin3–93–50–0-11.6-13.899—
2020 · Frank Solich2–12–10–0-3.2—129—
2019 · Frank Solich7–65–31–03.7-4.7103—
2018 · Frank Solich9–46–21–047.4121—
2017 · Frank Solich9–45–31–03.32.8103—
2016 · Frank Solich8–66–30–1-2.1-4.6115—
2015 · Frank Solich8–55–30–1-0.5-4.992—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:10:15 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play47 / 13866.481 / 13841.6
Success rate35 / 13875.256 / 13859.9
Explosiveness119 / 13813.988 / 13836.5
Standard-down success24 / 13883.238 / 13873.0
Passing-down success61 / 13856.297 / 13829.9
Pass PPA61 / 13856.285 / 13838.7
Rush PPA39 / 13872.376 / 13845.3
Pass explosiveness102 / 13826.345 / 13867.9
Rush explosiveness74 / 13846.7113 / 13818.2
Line yards14 / 13890.563 / 13854.7
Second-level yards27 / 13881.073 / 13847.4
Open-field yards76 / 13845.366 / 13852.6
Stuff rate13 / 13891.262 / 13855.5
Power successT37 / 13873.419 / 13886.9
HavocT38 / 13870.834 / 13875.9
Front-seven havocT59 / 13855.827 / 13881.0
DB havocT35 / 13874.5T62 / 13854.0
Points / opportunity59 / 13857.794 / 13832.1
Average field positionT64 / 13853.3T66 / 13851.5
Field-position expected points60 / 13856.9T60 / 13856.6

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Nick Poulos · QBUsage 42.5% · Avg PPA 0.316 · Total 43.242
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.31643.24242.5%
Pass0.31331.90579.1%
Rush0.32411.33818.8%
1st down0.1579.27441.3%
2nd down0.37516.85542.1%
3rd down0.47815.30947.8%
Standard downs0.32528.26638.3%
Passing downs0.30014.97652.6%
Matt Vezza · QBUsage 24.6% · Avg PPA 0.184 · Total 17.491
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.18417.49124.6%
Pass0.1127.40344.9%
Rush0.34810.08812.6%
1st down0.2259.00823.7%
2nd down0.43812.69922.5%
3rd down-0.098-2.34930.8%
Standard downs0.18611.51522.7%
Passing downs0.1815.97629.2%
Duncan Brune · RBUsage 23.3% · Avg PPA 0.074 · Total 6.492
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0746.49223.3%
Pass0.4862.9184.2%
Rush0.0443.57436.3%
1st down0.0351.55226.2%
2nd down-0.044-1.13420.6%
3rd down0.85711.99918.2%
Standard downs0.0684.93827.2%
Passing downs0.1041.55413.8%
Victor Rosa · RBUsage 16.3% · Avg PPA 0.068 · Total 5.651
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0685.65116.3%
Pass-0.022-0.1513.5%
Rush0.0846.30425.0%
1st down0.0692.55816.3%
2nd down-0.163-5.39219.8%
3rd down0.6237.48111.8%
Standard downs0.1016.88718.7%
Passing downs-0.082-1.23610.3%
Levi Davis · QBUsage 13.2% · Avg PPA 0.403 · Total 16.913
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.40316.91313.2%
Pass0.2757.69024.8%
Rush0.6599.2237.0%
1st down-0.169-2.0308.5%
2nd down0.5049.57218.1%
3rd down1.20810.86814.3%
Standard downs0.2996.5789.6%
Passing downs0.51710.33522.7%
Riley Neer · WRUsage 11.4% · Avg PPA 0.640 · Total 37.126
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.64037.12611.4%
Pass0.64037.12629.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.58616.99012.8%
2nd down0.5327.4448.4%
3rd down0.77810.88813.7%
Standard downs0.80532.18011.0%
Passing downs0.2754.94512.4%
Irving Brown · RBUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA 0.378 · Total 9.456
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3789.4567.5%
Pass-1.456-2.9131.5%
Rush0.53812.36911.9%
1st down0.1892.6469.2%
2nd down0.1631.1446.4%
3rd down1.4175.6676.2%
Standard downs0.4839.6708.4%
Passing downs-0.043-0.2135.3%
Preston Bowman · WRUsage 7.3% · Avg PPA 0.208 · Total 7.710
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2087.7107.3%
Pass0.2828.74915.7%
Rush-0.173-1.0392.0%
1st down-0.111-1.8827.5%
2nd down0.4434.4346.0%
3rd down0.8867.0877.8%
Standard downs0.1032.1705.8%
Passing downs0.3465.54011.0%
Mike Taylor Jr. · RBUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA -0.014 · Total -0.284
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.014-0.2846.3%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.014-0.28410.9%
1st down-0.406-3.2495.3%
2nd down0.1040.7316.4%
3rd down0.3191.5977.7%
Standard downs-0.062-0.9286.3%
Passing downs0.1070.6446.3%
Dom Dorwart · WRUsage 6.1% · Avg PPA 0.789 · Total 24.464
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.78924.4646.1%
Pass0.74321.56114.6%
Rush1.4512.9030.7%
1st down1.00513.0705.7%
2nd down0.5424.3394.8%
3rd down0.7067.0559.8%
Standard downs0.78315.6665.5%
Passing downs0.8008.7997.6%
Eian Pugh · WRUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA -0.446 · Total -3.565
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.446-3.5654.2%
Pass-0.446-3.56511.4%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.409-1.2263.8%
2nd down-0.357-0.7153.0%
3rd down-0.541-1.6247.1%
Standard downs-0.409-1.2262.3%
Passing downs-0.468-2.3388.5%
Jake Furtney · TEUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA 0.226 · Total 3.612
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2263.6124.2%
Pass0.2263.61212.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.3512.8084.7%
2nd down0.2411.6855.6%
3rd down-0.881-0.8811.3%
Standard downs0.2563.3274.6%
Passing downs0.0950.2853.0%
Delaney Crawford · WRUsage 3.0% · Avg PPA -0.158 · Total -0.316
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.158-0.3163.0%
Pass-0.158-0.3169.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.408-0.4084.5%
3rd down0.0930.0939.1%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-0.158-0.31611.1%
Riley Palmeter · TEUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA -1.028 · Total -4.113
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-1.028-4.1132.2%
Pass1.0113.0334.3%
Rush-7.146-7.1460.9%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.150-0.2993.3%
3rd down-1.907-3.8145.7%
Standard downs-1.028-4.1132.9%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
AJ Miller · TEUsage 1.8% · Avg PPA 0.067 · Total 0.471
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0670.4711.8%
Pass0.0670.4714.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.6755.0241.8%
2nd down-0.092-0.1831.6%
3rd down-0.307-0.3071.3%
Standard downs0.1690.8461.9%
Passing downs-0.187-0.3751.7%
Andrew Metzger · TEUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 0.238 · Total 1.188
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2381.1881.6%
Pass0.2381.1883.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.3680.7351.5%
2nd down0.1510.4522.9%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.2370.9481.8%
Passing downs0.2390.2391.0%
Blake Guffey · WRUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 0.460 · Total 0.920
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4600.9201.6%
Pass0.4600.9203.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.388-0.3881.6%
2nd down1.3081.3082.4%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.388-0.3881.1%
Passing downs1.3081.3082.6%
Matthew Papas · QBUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -1.522 · Total -1.522
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-1.522-1.5221.5%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-1.522-1.5222.4%
1st down-1.522-1.5223.1%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-1.522-1.5222.1%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Zach Hackleman · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 0.950 · Total 1.901
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.9501.9011.5%
Pass0.9501.9014.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down0.9501.9014.5%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.9501.9011.9%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Where Ohio sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.191 (66th percentile; 138 teams)66thOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.470 (75th percentile; 138 teams)75thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.136 (14th percentile; 138 teams)14thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.230 (56th percentile; 138 teams)56thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.161 (72nd percentile; 138 teams)72ndDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.088 (42nd percentile; 138 teams)42ndDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.397 (60th percentile; 138 teams)60thDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.250 (36th percentile; 138 teams)36thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.177 (76th percentile; 138 teams)76th
Values and percentiles
Ohio metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.19166th138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.47075th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.13614th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.23056th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.16172nd138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.08842nd138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.39760th138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.25036th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.17776th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 97% of 188 attempts charted. Average depth of target 9.4 yards (72nd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.6 per completion. Completion 61.7%, 7.5 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.29.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense60.2%59.5%+0.8161 / 188
Defense allowed64.0%64.5%-0.5200 / 221

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Ohio.

Target mix by zone, Ohio offense
Short left25% · 45Short middle18% · 33Short right40% · 72Deep left6% · 10Deep middle3% · 5Deep right8% · 15

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Ohio passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense18897%9.45.661.7%0.29+0.8 pp161
Passing defense22199%7.35.964.3%0.27-0.5 pp200

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense3144.948.6%0.223.401.201.1011.8%77.8%
Defense allowed2724.139.6%0.102.901.001.1018.0%60.5%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense305 / 3143001413450294 / 296 · 99.3%
Defense allowed269 / 2722611114330254 / 255 · 99.6%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +0.8 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-11.7-1.68.5W1W1 vs Nebraska: -11.7 ppW2W2 vs Jacksonville State: -3.4 ppW3W3 vs South Alabama: +8.5 ppW4W5W5 vs Kent State: -5.6 ppW6W6 vs Central Michigan: +7.1 ppW7W7 vs Sacramento State: +5.5 ppW8W8 vs Eastern Michigan: +5.0 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Nebraska323243.8%55.4%-11.7 pp12.9-0.08334.20.22
W2Jacksonville State201866.7%70.1%-3.4 pp2.90.27463.60.12
W3South Alabama312965.5%57.1%+8.5 pp9.90.45285.00.47
W4Stonehill210———6.00.27506.00.45
W5Kent State141457.1%62.7%-5.6 pp8.4-0.34414.70.16
W6Central Michigan181861.1%54.0%+7.1 pp12.20.56495.2-0.01
W7Sacramento State222268.2%62.7%+5.5 pp8.00.58425.70.48
W8Eastern Michigan302864.3%59.3%+5.0 pp11.60.48253.9-0.23

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

22 punts · 43.8 gross yards/punt · 39.3 net yards/punt

4 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 22/22 punts. Known net yards: 15/22 punts.

Our punt returns

7 returns · 7.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

1 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 7/7 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 8 · Eastern Michigan446.047.03/4
Week 7 · Sacramento State244.525.01/2
Week 6 · Central Michigan444.533.33/4
Week 5 · Kent State240.528.02/2
Week 4 · Stonehill151.055.01/1
Team style
Rating history