Record
5-2 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordNorth Texas
2026 season
American Athletic
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
North Texas's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 43 across 8 systems; best 22, worst 72, so they disagree by 50 places.
- Lab EPA
- #22
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #42
- down 22026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #72
- up 52026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #36
- no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #56
- up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #44
- up 8 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #49
- down 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #23
- up 142026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #47 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #66 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #98 of 138
- Game control
- #44 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #49 of 138
- Offense
- #17 of 138
- Defense
- #85 of 138
- Special teams
- #120 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
North Texas · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
0.113 net EPA/play
#22
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
5.88 points
#42 · Down 2 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +10.74 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -4.35, schedule #89 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -0.95. That is worth +6.39 on its own; the preseason prior of +4.35 still carries 25% of the weight, giving +5.88.
How each game enters this SRS rating
North Texas · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Indiana away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401858425 | -36.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.48% | +17.33 | -3.081 | 1.643 | -1.438 |
| Week 2 · UNLV home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401862705 | +38.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.85% | -0.87 | 3.202 | -0.085 | 3.116 |
| Week 3 · Texas State away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401860889 | -14.00 → -14.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.24% | +2.15 | -1.177 | 0.220 | -0.957 |
| Week 4 · Houston Christian home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401862783 | +49.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.64% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 3.458 | -2.660 | 0.798 |
| Week 5 · Tulsa away · 2026-10-02 · ID 401862786 | +1.00 → +1.00 (OT) | +2.50 | 0.8909 | 11.06% | -1.22 | 0.387 | -0.135 | 0.252 |
| Week 6 · Charlotte home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401862796 | +40.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.49% | -17.17 | 3.735 | -1.973 | 1.762 |
| Week 8 · Navy away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401862810 | +10.00 → +10.00 | +2.50 | 1.0000 | 12.41% | -2.28 | 1.552 | -0.283 | 1.269 |
Game terms +4.80 points; prior term +1.08 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +5.88 points. The preseason prior is +4.35 with 24.83% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-0.6 SP+ points
#72 · Up 5 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
5.86 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#44 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 14.01 on 359 plays; defense 8.16 on 352 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks North Texas 20 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 6-2 · conf 4-0 · home 4-0 · away 2-2 · expected wins 5.3
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 5-2-1 ATS (+6.9 avg) · 2025: 10-4 ATS (+7.1 avg)
- Head coach
- Neal Brown · hired 2025-12-02 · 0-0 over 1 captured season
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #70 (172 pts) · 2025 #112 (130 pts) · 2026 #137 (128 pts)
- Returning
- 3% of production · 2% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 2% 0% Receiving 2% 4% Rushing 3% 1% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 8 | 3.00 | 0.8450 | 6.76 |
| Defensive Line | 8 | 3.00 | 0.8334 | 6.67 |
| Linebacker | 10 | 3.00 | 0.8290 | 8.29 |
| Offensive Line | 11 | 3.00 | 0.8313 | 9.14 |
| Quarterback | 2 | 3.00 | 0.8532 | 1.71 |
| Receiver | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8364 | 10.87 |
| Running Back | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8441 | 3.38 |
| Special Teams | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8424 | 3.37 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tayven Jackson · QBCFBD athlete 4801307. Indiana (2023–2024); North Texas (2026–2026); UCF (2025–2025); Tennessee (2022–2022) | Passing WEPA | 0.547 | 220 | 50.2% | Pass 91.5% · Rush 9.6%1st 45.8% · 2nd 46.1% · 3rd 64.5% Standard downs 47.0% · Passing downs 58.1% | 2022: 4★ · 0.9221 |
Jahiem White · RBCFBD athlete 4911971. North Texas (2026–2026); West Virginia (2023–2025) | Rushing WEPA | 0.383 | 112 | 31.0% | Pass 13.0% · Rush 51.1%1st 32.9% · 2nd 32.6% · 3rd 24.3% Standard downs 32.3% · Passing downs 27.5% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8769 |
Brendon Haygood · RBCFBD athlete 5238020. Missouri (2025–2025); North Texas (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.140 | 41 | 9.4% | Pass 0.4% · Rush 20.0%1st 9.6% · 2nd 11.2% · 3rd 6.3% Standard downs 9.6% · Passing downs 8.9% | 2025: 4★ · 0.8955 |
Dominic De Freitas · PKCFBD athlete 5257313. North Texas (2026–2026); App State (2025–2025) | Kicker PAAR | 0.620 | 12 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | 2025: stars unavailable |
Adarion Nettles · RBCFBD athlete 5334231. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.2% | Pass 1.5% · Rush 8.5%1st 2.6% · 2nd 9.1% · 3rd 7.1% Standard downs 2.8% · Passing downs 11.4% | Not linked |
Baron Tipton · WRCFBD athlete 5149220. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.7% | Pass 7.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.7% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 5.4% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Brec Long · TECFBD athlete 5295066. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.0% | Pass 5.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.7% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 1.1% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 4.1% | Not linked |
Chaston Ditta · QBCFBD athlete 5215310. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.4% | Pass 16.3% · Rush 3.5%1st 9.0% · 2nd 9.3% · 3rd 10.0% Standard downs 9.1% · Passing downs 10.3% | Not linked |
Chris Jimerson Jr. · QBCFBD athlete 5175092. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.2% | Pass 2.4% · Rush 8.1%1st 5.8% · 2nd 8.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.0% · Passing downs 3.6% | Not linked |
Colin Page · RBCFBD athlete 5081966. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.2% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 10.0%1st 3.1% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 7.1% Standard downs 5.9% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Corri Milliner · WRCFBD athlete 5125905. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.0% | Pass 16.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 7.7% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 8.5% Standard downs 7.3% · Passing downs 9.4% | Not linked |
Dalton Carnes · WRCFBD athlete 5103852. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.2% | Pass 5.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 6.1% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 7.1% | Not linked |
Grayson O'Bara · WRCFBD athlete 5085503. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.6% | Pass 8.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 6.3% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 2.4% Standard downs 4.5% · Passing downs 1.5% | Not linked |
Josiah Martin · WRCFBD athlete 5108225. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.4% | Pass 7.9% · Rush 3.0%1st 6.9% · 2nd 5.8% · 3rd 1.1% Standard downs 6.3% · Passing downs 3.0% | Not linked |
Justin Stevenson · WRCFBD athlete 5122082. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 10.9% | Pass 21.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 10.5% · 2nd 10.7% · 3rd 12.1% Standard downs 10.7% · Passing downs 11.4% | Not linked |
Keenan Jackson · RBCFBD athlete 5306635. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 10.4% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 18.9%1st 7.9% · 2nd 9.5% · 3rd 25.0% Standard downs 10.9% · Passing downs 8.3% | Not linked |
Kyle Koch · WRCFBD athlete 5194308. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.2% | Pass 15.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 6.8% · 2nd 8.9% · 3rd 12.7% Standard downs 8.2% · Passing downs 8.3% | Not linked |
Max Reese · TECFBD athlete 4827049. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.6% | Pass 10.2% · Rush 1.1%1st 5.6% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 8.4% Standard downs 5.2% · Passing downs 6.6% | Not linked |
Nick Osho · RBCFBD athlete 5227742. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.4% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 9.9%1st 2.9% · 2nd 7.8% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 3.4% | Not linked |
TJ Chukwurah · WRCFBD athlete 5163636. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 4.9% · Rush 0.5%1st 1.4% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 4.7% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 3.6% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 49 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Alexander · LB | Arkansas State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Andrew Cunningham · IOL | Charlotte | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Brandon Jones · S | McNeese | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Brec Long · TE | South Alabama | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8100 | Immediate |
| Brendon Haygood · RB | Missouri | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| C.J. Coombes · S | Wofford | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Caden Jenkins · CB | Baylor | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Cameren Jenkins · S | Baylor | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Cedric Roberts · LB | Alcorn State | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Chandler Strong · IOL | Georgia Southern | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Chantz Johnson · LB | Texas State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Chaston Ditta · QB | East Carolina | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Christian Lorenzo · DL | Illinois State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Colin Page · RB | Texas | 2026-01-09 | — / — | Immediate |
| Corri Milliner · WR | UAB | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8300 | TBD |
| Curlee Thomas IV · EDGE | California | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| David Onuoha · EDGE | Massachusetts | 2026-01-27 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Davion Rhodes · EDGE | Georgia Southern | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Dominic De Freitas · K | App State | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Drew Clemens · TE | Utah | 2026-01-22 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Graham Gillespie · S | Texas | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Grayson O'Bara · WR | Dartmouth | 2026-01-26 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Henry Fenuku · IOL | Missouri | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Ian Ratliff · P | App State | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Ja'Bree Bickham · S | Boise State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jacob Poff · LS | App State | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jaden Allen · CB | Arkansas | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Jahiem White · RB | West Virginia | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jahzari Priester · DL | Virginia Tech | 2026-01-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| James Tyre · WR | Western Carolina | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Jason Cross Jr. · S | West Virginia | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Johnny Williams IV · OT | Missouri | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Josiah Martin · WR | Oklahoma | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Justin Benton · DL | East Carolina | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Justin Stevenson · WR | Utah | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Keshawn Davila · CB | Arkansas | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Max Reese · TE | Mississippi State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Mouhamed Diawara · EDGE | Sioux Falls | 2026-01-09 | — / — | Immediate |
| Neto Umeozulu · IOL | Texas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Nick Osho · RB | Indiana State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Peyton Taylor · CB | Emporia State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Steven Curtis · DL | Minnesota | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| TJ Chukwurah · WR | Black Hills State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Taye Seymore · S | Auburn | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Tayven Jackson · QB | UCF | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Udoka Ezeani · EDGE | UTEP | 2026-01-22 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Wesley Hudson · DL | Central Oklahoma | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Zach Johnson · CB | Not reported | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Zakye Barker · LB | SMU | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 38 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gray · RB | East Carolina | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Blake Fann · LB | Not reported | 2025-12-29 | — / — | Immediate |
| Brandon Young Jr. · TE | UTSA | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Braydon Nelson · OT | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Caden Yates · LS | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | — / — | Immediate |
| Caleb Hawkins · RB | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-04 | 4★ / 0.9400 | Immediate |
| Christian Pettway · OT | Stephen F. Austin | 2026-02-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Dennis Moody · RB | Not reported | 2026-01-13 | — / — | Immediate |
| Desmond Magiya · OT | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Drew Mestemaker · QB | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-03 | 5★ / 0.9800 | Immediate |
| Ethan Day · DL | Utah | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Ethan Wesloski · LB | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Evan Jackson · S | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Fatafehi Vailea II · DL | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Gabe Stroud · CB | Montana | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| JJ Jean-Louis · LB | Not reported | 2025-12-28 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jayden Becks · RB | Not reported | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Withdrawn |
| Jayden Williams · DL | California | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Jaydon Smith · S | Not reported | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jaymon Lamb · OT | UTEP | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Johnny Dickson III · IOL | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Joshua Pierce · EDGE | California | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Keviyan Huddleston · EDGE | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Kiefer Sibley · RB | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kollin Lewis · CB | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Landon Sides · WR | East Carolina | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Makenzie McGill II · RB | Abilene Christian | 2026-01-26 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Miguel Arenas · K | Not reported | 2026-01-01 | — / — | Immediate |
| Miles Coleman · WR | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Patrick Smith-Young · S | Duke | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Quinton Hammonds · S | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Reese Poffenbarger · QB | Akron | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Saadiq Clements · DL | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Terrence Lewis · WR | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Tyler Brown · WR | Midwestern State | 2026-02-19 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Tyrane Stewart · CB | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Will Smith · EDGE | Southern Miss | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Wyatt Young · WR | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-04 | 4★ / 0.9300 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at North Texas. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Neal Brown · career 72–51 across 11 seasons and 3 schools
Tenure timeline · 17 appointments
2026–present · Neal Brown · active at capture
0–0 · 0 attributed games · 1 seasons
Hired 2025-12-02. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2025–2025 · Drew Svoboda · interim
1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons
Hired 2025-12-09. Effective dates: 2025-12-27 to unknown.
2023–2025 · Eric Morris
22–16 · 38 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2022-12-13. Effective dates: unknown to 2025-12-27.
2022–2022 · Phil Bennett · interim
0–1 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2022-12-04. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2016–2022 · Seth Littrell
44–44 · 88 attributed games · 7 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2015-12-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2015–2015 · Mike Canales · interim
0–0 · 0 attributed games · 0 seasons
Hired 2015-10-11. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2011–2015 · Dan McCarney
22–32 · 54 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2010-11-30. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2010–2010 · Mike Canales
2–3 · 5 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2010-10-20. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2007–2010 · Todd Dodge
6–37 · 43 attributed games · 4 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2006-12-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1998–2006 · Darrell Dickey
42–64 · 106 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1995–1997 · Matt Simon
11–22 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1982–1982 · Corky Nelson
2–9 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1981–1981 · Bob Tyler
2–9 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1979–1980 · Jerry Moore
11–11 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1978 · Hayden Fry
38–25–3 · 66 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1967–1972 · Rod Rust
29–32–1 · 62 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1953–1966 · Odus Mitchell
69–63–7 · 139 attributed games · 14 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Neal Brown · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -0.9 | 5.6 | 137 | — |
| 2025 · Eric Morris | 11–2 | 7–1 | 0–0 | 13.8 | 10.6 | 112 | 24 |
| 2025 · Drew Svoboda | 1–0 | 0–0 | 1–0 | 13.8 | 10.6 | 112 | 24 |
| 2024 · Eric Morris | 6–7 | 3–5 | 0–1 | -4.5 | -5.5 | 70 | — |
| 2023 · Eric Morris | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -6.7 | -9.6 | 99 | — |
| 2022 · Seth Littrell · incomplete attribution | 7–6 | — | — | -1.5 | -4.6 | 118 | — |
| 2022 · Phil Bennett · incomplete attribution | 0–1 | — | — | -1.5 | -4.6 | 118 | — |
| 2021 · Seth Littrell | 6–7 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -6.5 | -12.1 | 80 | — |
| 2020 · Seth Littrell | 4–6 | 3–4 | 0–1 | -8 | -19.8 | 68 | — |
| 2019 · Seth Littrell | 4–8 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -6.1 | -11.8 | 75 | — |
| 2018 · Seth Littrell | 9–4 | 5–3 | 0–1 | 2.1 | -2.3 | 101 | — |
| 2017 · Seth Littrell | 9–5 | 7–2 | 0–1 | -4.5 | -8.2 | 115 | — |
| 2016 · Seth Littrell | 5–8 | 3–5 | 0–1 | -14.6 | -16.5 | 102 | — |
| 2015 · Dan McCarney · incomplete attribution | 0–5 | — | — | -25 | -24.4 | 94 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:08:57 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 9 / 138 | 94.2 | 69 / 138 | 50.4 |
| Success rate | 14 / 138 | 90.5 | 84 / 138 | 39.4 |
| Explosiveness | 16 / 138 | 89.1 | 87 / 138 | 37.2 |
| Standard-down success | 11 / 138 | 92.7 | 72 / 138 | 48.2 |
| Passing-down success | 31 / 138 | 78.1 | 90 / 138 | 35.0 |
| Pass PPA | 6 / 138 | 96.4 | 107 / 138 | 22.6 |
| Rush PPA | 37 / 138 | 73.7 | 54 / 138 | 61.3 |
| Pass explosiveness | 72 / 138 | 48.2 | 123 / 138 | 10.9 |
| Rush explosiveness | 23 / 138 | 83.9 | 56 / 138 | 59.9 |
| Line yards | 54 / 138 | 61.3 | 35 / 138 | 75.2 |
| Second-level yards | 42 / 138 | 70.1 | 49 / 138 | 65.0 |
| Open-field yards | 32 / 138 | 77.4 | 115 / 138 | 16.8 |
| Stuff rate | 82 / 138 | 40.9 | 74 / 138 | 46.7 |
| Power success | T96 / 138 | 30.3 | 70 / 138 | 49.6 |
| Havoc | T9 / 138 | 93.8 | 61 / 138 | 56.2 |
| Front-seven havoc | T14 / 138 | 90.1 | T29 / 138 | 78.8 |
| DB havoc | T24 / 138 | 82.8 | T105 / 138 | 21.9 |
| Points / opportunity | 16 / 138 | 89.1 | 104 / 138 | 24.8 |
| Average field position | 52 / 138 | 62.8 | T122 / 138 | 10.6 |
| Field-position expected points | 61 / 138 | 56.2 | 119 / 138 | 13.9 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Tayven Jackson · QBUsage 48.6% · Avg PPA 0.478 · Total 116.576
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.478 | 116.576 | 48.6% |
| Pass | 0.499 | 111.345 | 89.9% |
| Rush | 0.249 | 5.231 | 8.7% |
| 1st down | 0.449 | 48.001 | 43.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.252 | 16.889 | 44.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.866 | 51.075 | 64.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.461 | 72.799 | 44.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.509 | 43.776 | 59.3% |
Jahiem White · RBUsage 29.9% · Avg PPA 0.408 · Total 61.137
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.408 | 61.137 | 29.9% |
| Pass | 0.425 | 14.454 | 13.7% |
| Rush | 0.402 | 46.682 | 47.9% |
| 1st down | 0.294 | 22.675 | 31.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.483 | 23.657 | 32.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.430 | 9.027 | 22.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.322 | 36.356 | 31.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.670 | 24.780 | 25.5% |
Brendon Haygood · RBUsage 11.5% · Avg PPA -0.022 · Total -0.879
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.022 | -0.879 | 11.5% |
| Pass | -0.258 | -0.258 | 0.6% |
| Rush | -0.016 | -0.621 | 24.4% |
| 1st down | 0.127 | 2.534 | 12.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.210 | -2.933 | 13.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.753 | 3.765 | 7.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.026 | -0.766 | 12.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.011 | -0.113 | 9.9% |
Keenan Jackson · RBUsage 10.4% · Avg PPA 0.205 · Total 1.434
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.205 | 1.434 | 10.4% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.205 | 1.434 | 18.9% |
| 1st down | -0.320 | -0.959 | 7.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.152 | 0.304 | 9.5% |
| 3rd down | 1.045 | 2.089 | 25.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.206 | 1.233 | 10.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.201 | 0.201 | 8.3% |
Justin Stevenson · WRUsage 10.0% · Avg PPA 0.948 · Total 47.412
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.948 | 47.412 | 10.0% |
| Pass | 0.948 | 47.412 | 20.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.014 | 25.355 | 10.2% |
| 2nd down | 0.609 | 7.911 | 8.6% |
| 3rd down | 1.589 | 15.888 | 10.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.879 | 29.891 | 9.5% |
| Passing downs | 1.095 | 17.521 | 11.0% |
Chaston Ditta · QBUsage 9.4% · Avg PPA 0.292 · Total 7.602
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.292 | 7.602 | 9.4% |
| Pass | 0.308 | 6.467 | 16.3% |
| Rush | 0.227 | 1.135 | 3.5% |
| 1st down | 0.241 | 2.893 | 9.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.358 | 2.866 | 9.3% |
| 3rd down | 1.199 | 5.995 | 10.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.238 | 4.283 | 9.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.415 | 3.319 | 10.3% |
Corri Milliner · WRUsage 8.0% · Avg PPA 0.581 · Total 17.441
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.581 | 17.441 | 8.0% |
| Pass | 0.581 | 17.441 | 16.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.408 | 5.716 | 7.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.726 | 5.807 | 7.1% |
| 3rd down | 1.162 | 6.971 | 8.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.416 | 7.898 | 7.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.868 | 9.543 | 9.4% |
Kyle Koch · WRUsage 6.9% · Avg PPA 0.909 · Total 22.726
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.909 | 22.726 | 6.9% |
| Pass | 0.909 | 22.726 | 13.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.910 | 8.192 | 5.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.251 | 2.258 | 8.3% |
| 3rd down | 1.754 | 12.277 | 10.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.688 | 11.015 | 6.0% |
| Passing downs | 1.301 | 11.712 | 9.1% |
Josiah Martin · WRUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA 0.135 · Total 3.503
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.135 | 3.503 | 6.3% |
| Pass | 0.155 | 3.103 | 9.6% |
| Rush | 0.067 | 0.400 | 3.0% |
| 1st down | 0.345 | 5.862 | 8.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.279 | -2.235 | 6.3% |
| 3rd down | -0.124 | -0.124 | 1.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.223 | 4.909 | 7.3% |
| Passing downs | -0.352 | -1.407 | 3.5% |
Nick Osho · RBUsage 5.4% · Avg PPA -0.132 · Total -1.451
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.132 | -1.451 | 5.4% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.132 | -1.451 | 9.9% |
| 1st down | -0.200 | -0.600 | 2.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.347 | 1.736 | 7.8% |
| 3rd down | -0.862 | -2.587 | 8.3% |
| Standard downs | -0.143 | -1.288 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.082 | -0.163 | 3.4% |
Adarion Nettles · RBUsage 5.2% · Avg PPA -0.075 · Total -0.599
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.075 | -0.599 | 5.2% |
| Pass | 0.231 | 0.231 | 1.5% |
| Rush | -0.119 | -0.830 | 8.5% |
| 1st down | 0.169 | 0.338 | 2.6% |
| 2nd down | -0.327 | -1.310 | 9.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.187 | 0.373 | 7.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.416 | 1.247 | 2.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.369 | -1.846 | 11.4% |
Chris Jimerson Jr. · QBUsage 5.2% · Avg PPA 0.374 · Total 7.101
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.374 | 7.101 | 5.2% |
| Pass | 1.522 | 6.089 | 2.4% |
| Rush | 0.067 | 1.012 | 8.1% |
| 1st down | 0.336 | 3.356 | 5.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.416 | 3.745 | 8.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.356 | 5.340 | 6.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.440 | 1.761 | 3.6% |
Max Reese · TEUsage 4.4% · Avg PPA 0.903 · Total 19.860
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.903 | 19.860 | 4.4% |
| Pass | 0.950 | 19.959 | 8.5% |
| Rush | -0.099 | -0.099 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | 0.761 | 6.086 | 3.3% |
| 2nd down | 1.044 | 6.263 | 4.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.112 | 6.674 | 6.5% |
| Standard downs | 1.075 | 15.047 | 3.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.602 | 4.813 | 5.5% |
Baron Tipton · WRUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA 0.902 · Total 16.236
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.902 | 16.236 | 4.2% |
| Pass | 0.902 | 16.236 | 8.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.925 | 6.472 | 3.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.342 | 2.055 | 4.6% |
| 3rd down | 1.542 | 7.709 | 6.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.875 | 9.621 | 3.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.945 | 6.614 | 5.7% |
Colin Page · RBUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA -0.355 · Total -1.065
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.355 | -1.065 | 4.2% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.355 | -1.065 | 10.0% |
| 1st down | -0.145 | -0.145 | 3.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.534 | -0.534 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | -0.386 | -0.386 | 7.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.355 | -1.065 | 5.9% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Grayson O'Bara · WRUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA 0.245 · Total 1.962
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.245 | 1.962 | 3.6% |
| Pass | 0.245 | 1.962 | 8.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.388 | 2.719 | 6.3% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.757 | -0.757 | 2.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.388 | 2.719 | 4.5% |
| Passing downs | -0.757 | -0.757 | 1.5% |
Brec Long · TEUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA 0.605 · Total 7.257
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.605 | 7.257 | 3.1% |
| Pass | 0.605 | 7.257 | 6.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.829 | 4.147 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.155 | -0.774 | 4.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.548 | 1.548 | 1.3% |
| Standard downs | 1.147 | 8.031 | 2.7% |
| Passing downs | -0.155 | -0.774 | 4.0% |
Dalton Carnes · WRUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA -1.976 · Total -3.952
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -1.976 | -3.952 | 2.8% |
| Pass | -1.976 | -3.952 | 5.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.199 | 0.199 | 4.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -4.151 | -4.151 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.199 | 0.199 | 5.0% |
TJ Chukwurah · WRUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 0.980 · Total 11.755
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.980 | 11.755 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 1.063 | 11.697 | 4.9% |
| Rush | 0.058 | 0.058 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | 2.006 | 6.019 | 1.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.013 | 0.066 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.417 | 5.670 | 4.7% |
| Standard downs | 1.365 | 9.552 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.441 | 2.203 | 3.6% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.319 | 94th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.494 | 91st138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.339 | 89th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.500 | 96th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.165 | 74th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.069 | 50th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.419 | 40th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.249 | 37th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.163 | 56th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 290 attempts charted. Average depth of target 9.2 yards (70th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.0 per completion. Completion 72.4%, 9.7 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.53.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 70.2% | 60.5% | +9.6 | 258 / 290 |
| Defense allowed | 65.2% | 59.2% | +6.0 | 204 / 232 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is North Texas.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 290 | 99% | 9.2 | 6.0 | 72.4% | 0.53 | +9.6 pp | 258 |
| Passing defense | 232 | 100% | 9.1 | 5.6 | 63.8% | 0.38 | +6.0 pp | 204 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 288 | 5.3 | 43.8% | 0.21 | 3.30 | 1.20 | 1.60 | 14.7% | 67.7% |
| Defense allowed | 314 | 4.1 | 39.6% | 0.06 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 1.30 | 18.8% | 65.9% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 285 / 288 | 275 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 0 | 270 / 272 · 99.3% |
| Defense allowed | 308 / 314 | 305 | 9 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 296 / 298 · 99.3% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +9.6 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Indiana | 29 | 29 | 79.3% | 67.1% | +12.2 pp | 5.4 | 0.24 | 38 | 4.0 | -0.00 |
| W2 | UNLV | 29 | 28 | 57.1% | 57.9% | -0.8 pp | 9.9 | 0.56 | 38 | 4.8 | 0.22 |
| W3 | Texas State | 57 | 56 | 75.0% | 61.4% | +13.6 pp | 7.6 | 0.36 | 30 | 3.3 | 0.00 |
| W4 | Houston Christian | 28 | 0 | — | — | — | 11.6 | 1.01 | 38 | 6.5 | 0.71 |
| W5 | Tulsa | 39 | 39 | 61.5% | 56.4% | +5.2 pp | 11.2 | 0.52 | 45 | 5.0 | -0.00 |
| W6 | Charlotte | 39 | 37 | 70.3% | 62.2% | +8.1 pp | 8.4 | 0.60 | 31 | 6.4 | 0.28 |
| W8 | Navy | 23 | 23 | 73.9% | 56.2% | +17.7 pp | 13.9 | 0.77 | 29 | 5.9 | 0.45 |
| W9 | Florida Atlantic | 46 | 46 | 71.7% | 61.2% | +10.6 pp | 8.2 | 0.43 | 39 | 6.2 | 0.16 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
18 punts · 41.3 gross yards/punt · 33.1 net yards/punt
5 inside the 20 · 3 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 18/18 punts. Known net yards: 15/18 punts.
Our punt returns
8 returns · 21.1 yards/return · 1 touchdowns
0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 8/8 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 9 · Florida Atlantic | 2 | 37.5 | 29.0 | 2/2 |
| Week 8 · Navy | 3 | 44.7 | 33.0 | 2/3 |
| Week 6 · Charlotte | 3 | 50.3 | 42.0 | 2/3 |
| Week 5 · Tulsa | 3 | 34.0 | 34.0 | 3/3 |
| Week 4 · Houston Christian | 1 | 48.0 | 28.0 | 1/1 |