Record
3-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordNevada
2026 season
Mountain West
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Nevada's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 86.5 across 8 systems; best 77, worst 96, so they disagree by 19 places.
- Lab EPA
- #77
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #96
- up 72026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #89
- up 62026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #79
- up 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #94
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #84
- up 4 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #95
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #79
- up 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #117 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #130 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #69 of 138
- Game control
- #100 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #94 of 138
- Offense
- #111 of 138
- Defense
- #76 of 138
- Special teams
- #28 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Nevada · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.023 net EPA/play
#77
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-4.87 points
#96 · Up 7 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +4.13 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -8.61, schedule #133 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -6.18. That is worth -4.48 on its own; the preseason prior of -6.03 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -4.87.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Nevada · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Western Kentucky home · 2026-09-06 · ID 401864432 | +35.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.40% | -7.94 | 3.054 | -0.746 | 2.307 |
| Week 2 · Montana State home · 2026-09-13 · ID 401864500 | -13.00 → -13.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.77% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | -1.514 | -2.441 | -3.955 |
| Week 3 · Middle Tennessee away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401864443 | -7.00 → -7.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.15% | -8.22 | -0.457 | -0.834 | -1.291 |
| Week 4 · Air Force home · 2026-09-27 · ID 401864509 | -3.00 → -1.00 (OT) | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.55% | -1.75 | -0.369 | -0.185 | -0.554 |
| Week 6 · UTEP away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401864517 | +17.00 → +17.00 | +2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.39% | -16.91 | 2.221 | -1.927 | 0.295 |
| Week 7 · North Dakota State away · 2026-10-17 · ID 401864520 | -14.00 → -14.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 11.84% | +5.92 | -1.361 | 0.701 | -0.661 |
| Week 8 · San José State home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401864528 | +15.00 → +15.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 12.30% | -8.63 | 1.538 | -1.062 | 0.476 |
Game terms -3.38 points; prior term -1.48 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -4.87 points. The preseason prior is -6.03 with 24.61% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-3.1 SP+ points
#89 · Up 6 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-4.46 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#84 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -4.34 on 362 plays; defense 0.13 on 375 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Nevada 19 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 3-4 · conf 2-2 · home 2-2 · away 1-2 · expected wins 3.0
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 4-2-1 ATS (+5.0 avg) · 2025: 5-7 ATS (+0.1 avg)
- Head coach
- Jeff Choate · hired 2023-12-04 · 6-19 over 3 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #127 (113 pts) · 2025 #88 (159 pts) · 2026 #98 (177 pts)
- Returning
- 36% of production · 44% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing -130% 71% Receiving 41% 20% Rushing -12% 39% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 10 | 2.90 | 0.8290 | 8.29 |
| Defensive Line | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8388 | 7.55 |
| Linebacker | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8329 | 5.83 |
| Offensive Line | 16 | 2.94 | 0.8211 | 13.14 |
| Quarterback | 5 | 3.00 | 0.8417 | 4.21 |
| Receiver | 10 | 3.00 | 0.8350 | 8.35 |
| Running Back | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8371 | 5.86 |
| Special Teams | 14 | 2.93 | 0.8355 | 11.70 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dominic Kelley · RBCFBD athlete 5265178. Nevada (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.198 | 98 | 27.8% | Pass 10.1% · Rush 43.1%1st 23.8% · 2nd 34.2% · 3rd 22.3% Standard downs 30.6% · Passing downs 22.1% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8400 |
Carter Jones · QBCFBD athlete 5205097. Nevada (2025–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.191 | 96 | 44.6% | Pass 94.9% · Rush 14.2%1st 41.2% · 2nd 32.5% · 3rd 75.5% Standard downs 40.8% · Passing downs 53.2% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8533 |
Herschel Turner · RBCFBD athlete 5220671. Utah State (2024–2024); Nevada (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.318 | 56 | 15.7% | Pass 6.0% · Rush 24.1%1st 16.7% · 2nd 21.9% · 3rd 6.4% Standard downs 17.4% · Passing downs 12.3% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8500 |
Joe McFadden · PKCFBD athlete 4690467. UConn (2021–2023); Nevada (2025–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 5.490 | 11 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
AJ Bianco · QBCFBD athlete 4819250. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 26.2% | Pass 43.7% · Rush 10.2%1st 21.1% · 2nd 25.0% · 3rd 40.0% Standard downs 20.7% · Passing downs 35.3% | Not linked |
Carter Eck · TECFBD athlete 5219600. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 4.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 4.2% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Carter Jackson · RBCFBD athlete 5148658. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.1% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 7.1%1st 3.7% · 2nd 10.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.7% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
DJ Asiasi · TECFBD athlete 5216506. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.3% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 2.8% | Not linked |
Damien Moun · WRCFBD athlete 5158756. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.7% | Pass 22.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 10.0% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 12.8% Standard downs 9.7% · Passing downs 9.7% | Not linked |
Don Henry · WRCFBD athlete 5388802. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Donnie Cheers · WRCFBD athlete 5153499. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.0% | Pass 9.5% · Rush 3.6%1st 8.6% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 2.1% Standard downs 5.8% · Passing downs 6.5% | Not linked |
Gary Givens III · WRCFBD athlete 5226511. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 8.4% | Pass 19.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.7% · 2nd 6.2% · 3rd 18.1% Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 14.3% | Not linked |
Jaceon Doss · WRCFBD athlete 5151405. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 5.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.3% · 2nd 2.0% · 3rd 5.6% Standard downs 1.4% · Passing downs 5.3% | Not linked |
Janerious Jackson · RBCFBD athlete 5388800. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.7% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.4%1st 3.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Ky Woods · RBCFBD athlete 4833591. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.2% | Pass 1.5% · Rush 4.7%1st 5.2% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 1.1% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 1.9% | Not linked |
Luke Duncan · QBCFBD athlete 5077500. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 23.8% | Pass 47.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 19.8% · 2nd 19.0% · 3rd 37.8% Standard downs 19.1% · Passing downs 32.0% | Not linked |
Marshaun Brown · WRCFBD athlete 5103836. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.9% | Pass 12.5% · Rush 0.5%1st 6.3% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 8.6% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 5.5% | Not linked |
Reeve Slone · QBCFBD athlete 5265060. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 3.0% · Rush 2.4%1st 2.9% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 4.5% | Not linked |
Trace Estes · TECFBD athlete 5219598. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 6.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.7% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 5.4% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 3.4% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 14 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Amaniampong · EDGE | Indiana State | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Chris Kalu · DL | Western New Mexico | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Donnie Cheers · WR | Southeast Missouri State | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Ethan Newman · IOL | Memphis | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jaceon Doss · WR | Towson | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jacob Norcross · IOL | Memphis | 2026-01-09 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| James Gillespie · DL | Sacramento State | 2026-01-16 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jaylen Webb · S | Boise State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jeremy Naborne-Owens · LB | Colorado State | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jose Balver-Mendoza · OT | Montana | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Joshua Scott · CB | Eastern Michigan | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Luke Duncan · QB | UCLA | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Poasa Utu · LB | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Selman Bridges · CB | Arkansas | 2026-01-10 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
Outgoing · 21 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ailama Morton · IOL | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Anthony Wolter · QB | Mercyhurst | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Ashton Hayes · RB | Not reported | 2025-12-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Austin Harnetiaux · LB | Rice | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Dorian Hoze · RB | Not reported | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Edward Rhambo · CB | Not reported | 2025-12-16 | — / — | Immediate |
| Hadine Diaby · IOL | Jacksonville State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jack Foster · OT | Not reported | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Withdrawn |
| Jackson Barton · S | San José State | 2026-02-01 | 3★ / 0.8100 | Immediate |
| Jett Carpenter · TE | Texas Tech | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jonathan Maldonado · EDGE | Ole Miss | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Jordan Brown · WR | Not reported | 2025-12-04 | — / — | Immediate |
| Keaton Emmett · K | Oregon | 2026-01-06 | — / — | Immediate |
| Nahji Logan · LB | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Nakian Jackson · LB | James Madison | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Nate Burleson II · WR | New Haven | 2026-01-21 | — / — | Immediate |
| Nehemiah Burleson · EDGE | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | — / — | Immediate |
| Stone Combs · LB | Not reported | 2025-12-31 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Zach Cochnauer · OT | Not reported | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Withdrawn |
| Zaiden Wallace · DL | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Zedekiah Anahu-Ambrosio · WR | Idaho State | 2026-02-01 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Nevada. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Jeff Choate · career 6–19 across 3 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 13 appointments
2024–present · Jeff Choate · active at capture
6–19 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2023-12-04. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2022–2023 · Ken Wilson
4–20 · 24 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2021-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2021–2021 · Vai Taua
0–1 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2021-12-06. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2017–2021 · Jay Norvell
33–26 · 59 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2016-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2013–2016 · Brian Polian
23–27 · 50 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2013-01-11. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2004–2012 · Chris Ault
70–46 · 116 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
2000–2003 · Chris Tormey
16–31 · 47 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 1999-12-09. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1996–1999 · Jeff Tisdel
23–22 · 45 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1994–1995 · Chris Ault
18–5 · 23 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1993–1993 · Jeff Horton
7–4 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1992–1992 · Chris Ault
7–5 · 12 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1947–1950 · Joseph Sheeketski
24–18 · 42 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1946–1946 · Jim Aiken
7–2 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Jeff Choate · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -4.6 | -7.5 | 98 | — |
| 2025 · Jeff Choate | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -13.4 | -13.3 | 88 | — |
| 2024 · Jeff Choate | 3–10 | 0–7 | 0–0 | -15.2 | -9.2 | 127 | — |
| 2023 · Ken Wilson | 2–10 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -22 | -17 | 107 | — |
| 2022 · Ken Wilson | 2–10 | 0–8 | 0–0 | -22.4 | -17.1 | 115 | — |
| 2021 · Jay Norvell · incomplete attribution | 8–4 | — | — | 3.6 | 6.3 | 86 | — |
| 2021 · Vai Taua · incomplete attribution | 0–1 | — | — | 3.6 | 6.3 | 86 | — |
| 2020 · Jay Norvell | 7–2 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 1.9 | 2.1 | 119 | — |
| 2019 · Jay Norvell | 7–6 | 4–4 | 0–1 | -12.3 | -12.6 | 93 | — |
| 2018 · Jay Norvell | 8–5 | 5–3 | 1–0 | -0.5 | -3.9 | 82 | — |
| 2017 · Jay Norvell | 3–9 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -16.4 | -9.2 | 95 | — |
| 2016 · Brian Polian | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -13 | -13.7 | 105 | — |
| 2015 · Brian Polian | 7–6 | 5–4 | 1–0 | -7.1 | -9.4 | 98 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:28:30 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 98 / 138 | 29.2 | 85 / 138 | 38.7 |
| Success rate | 92 / 138 | 33.6 | 34 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Explosiveness | 68 / 138 | 51.1 | 40 / 138 | 71.5 |
| Standard-down success | 93 / 138 | 32.8 | 45 / 138 | 67.9 |
| Passing-down success | 89 / 138 | 35.8 | 20 / 138 | 86.1 |
| Pass PPA | 116 / 138 | 16.1 | 67 / 138 | 51.8 |
| Rush PPA | 64 / 138 | 54.0 | 99 / 138 | 28.5 |
| Pass explosiveness | 30 / 138 | 78.8 | 99 / 138 | 28.5 |
| Rush explosiveness | 44 / 138 | 68.6 | 58 / 138 | 58.4 |
| Line yards | 98 / 138 | 29.2 | 120 / 138 | 13.1 |
| Second-level yards | 30 / 138 | 78.8 | 86 / 138 | 38.0 |
| Open-field yards | 44 / 138 | 68.6 | 14 / 138 | 90.5 |
| Stuff rate | 128 / 138 | 7.3 | 130 / 138 | 5.8 |
| Power success | 112 / 138 | 19.0 | 21 / 138 | 85.4 |
| Havoc | T56 / 138 | 58.8 | T88 / 138 | 35.8 |
| Front-seven havoc | T42 / 138 | 69.7 | T97 / 138 | 29.6 |
| DB havoc | T74 / 138 | 44.2 | T54 / 138 | 59.5 |
| Points / opportunity | 46 / 138 | 67.2 | 73 / 138 | 47.4 |
| Average field position | T116 / 138 | 15.7 | T119 / 138 | 13.5 |
| Field-position expected points | T110 / 138 | 20.1 | 112 / 138 | 19.0 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Carter Jones · QBUsage 44.6% · Avg PPA 0.051 · Total 5.830
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.051 | 5.830 | 44.6% |
| Pass | 0.088 | 8.194 | 94.9% |
| Rush | -0.107 | -2.363 | 14.2% |
| 1st down | -0.068 | -3.346 | 41.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.081 | -2.195 | 32.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.347 | 12.832 | 75.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.054 | 3.936 | 40.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.045 | 1.894 | 53.2% |
Dominic Kelley · RBUsage 27.8% · Avg PPA 0.113 · Total 14.517
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.113 | 14.517 | 27.8% |
| Pass | 0.254 | 5.082 | 10.1% |
| Rush | 0.087 | 9.435 | 43.1% |
| 1st down | 0.174 | 8.716 | 23.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.045 | 2.227 | 34.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.381 | 8.010 | 22.3% |
| Standard downs | 0.116 | 11.011 | 30.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.103 | 3.506 | 22.1% |
AJ Bianco · QBUsage 26.2% · Avg PPA 0.162 · Total 11.491
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.162 | 11.491 | 26.2% |
| Pass | 0.178 | 9.816 | 43.7% |
| Rush | 0.551 | 7.717 | 10.2% |
| 1st down | -0.389 | -10.118 | 21.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.176 | -3.701 | 25.0% |
| 3rd down | 1.076 | 23.663 | 40.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.192 | -6.722 | 20.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.506 | 18.213 | 35.3% |
Luke Duncan · QBUsage 23.8% · Avg PPA -0.108 · Total -5.278
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.108 | -5.278 | 23.8% |
| Pass | -0.030 | -1.431 | 47.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.020 | 0.353 | 19.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.360 | -4.322 | 19.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.376 | 6.384 | 37.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.182 | 4.539 | 19.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.409 | -9.817 | 32.0% |
Herschel Turner · RBUsage 15.7% · Avg PPA 0.352 · Total 25.694
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.352 | 25.694 | 15.7% |
| Pass | 0.552 | 6.622 | 6.0% |
| Rush | 0.313 | 19.073 | 24.1% |
| 1st down | 0.329 | 11.521 | 16.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.237 | 7.577 | 21.9% |
| 3rd down | 1.099 | 6.596 | 6.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.173 | 9.320 | 17.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.862 | 16.375 | 12.3% |
Damien Moun · WRUsage 9.7% · Avg PPA -0.057 · Total -2.583
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.057 | -2.583 | 9.7% |
| Pass | -0.057 | -2.583 | 22.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.117 | -2.465 | 10.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.360 | -3.595 | 6.8% |
| 3rd down | 0.411 | 4.937 | 12.8% |
| Standard downs | -0.103 | -3.088 | 9.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.034 | 0.505 | 9.7% |
Gary Givens III · WRUsage 8.4% · Avg PPA 0.347 · Total 13.545
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.347 | 13.545 | 8.4% |
| Pass | 0.347 | 13.545 | 19.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.005 | 0.059 | 5.7% |
| 2nd down | 1.015 | 9.138 | 6.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.486 | 8.266 | 18.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.076 | 1.286 | 5.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.557 | 12.259 | 14.3% |
Donnie Cheers · WRUsage 6.0% · Avg PPA -0.019 · Total -0.544
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.019 | -0.544 | 6.0% |
| Pass | -0.073 | -1.389 | 9.5% |
| Rush | 0.094 | 0.844 | 3.6% |
| 1st down | 0.271 | 4.877 | 8.6% |
| 2nd down | -0.213 | -1.488 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | -0.079 | -0.158 | 2.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.271 | 4.877 | 5.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.542 | -5.422 | 6.5% |
Marshaun Brown · WRUsage 5.9% · Avg PPA 0.432 · Total 9.946
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.432 | 9.946 | 5.9% |
| Pass | 0.599 | 13.184 | 12.5% |
| Rush | -3.238 | -3.238 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | -0.068 | -0.750 | 6.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.455 | -2.273 | 4.2% |
| 3rd down | 1.853 | 12.969 | 8.6% |
| Standard downs | -0.114 | -1.821 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 1.681 | 11.767 | 5.5% |
Carter Jackson · RBUsage 5.1% · Avg PPA 0.395 · Total 1.186
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.395 | 1.186 | 5.1% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.395 | 1.186 | 7.1% |
| 1st down | 0.419 | 0.419 | 3.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.384 | 0.767 | 10.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.395 | 1.186 | 6.7% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Ky Woods · RBUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA -0.060 · Total -0.897
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.060 | -0.897 | 3.2% |
| Pass | -0.209 | -0.628 | 1.5% |
| Rush | -0.022 | -0.268 | 4.7% |
| 1st down | -0.006 | -0.065 | 5.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.198 | -0.594 | 2.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.238 | -0.238 | 1.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.033 | -0.392 | 3.9% |
| Passing downs | -0.168 | -0.504 | 1.9% |
DJ Asiasi · TEUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 0.159 · Total 1.435
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.159 | 1.435 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 0.159 | 1.435 | 6.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.641 | -3.207 | 3.3% |
| 2nd down | 1.161 | 4.642 | 3.8% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.086 | -0.519 | 2.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.651 | 1.954 | 2.8% |
Jaceon Doss · WRUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 0.615 · Total 5.533
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.615 | 5.533 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 0.615 | 5.533 | 5.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.230 | 0.459 | 1.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.645 | -1.289 | 2.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.777 | 3.107 | 5.6% |
| Standard downs | 1.361 | 4.084 | 1.4% |
| Passing downs | 0.241 | 1.449 | 5.3% |
Reeve Slone · QBUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA -2.186 · Total -4.373
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -2.186 | -4.373 | 2.6% |
| Pass | -4.618 | -4.618 | 3.0% |
| Rush | 0.245 | 0.245 | 2.4% |
| 1st down | -4.618 | -4.618 | 2.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.245 | 0.245 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -4.618 | -4.618 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.245 | 0.245 | 4.5% |
Trace Estes · TEUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.930 · Total 6.508
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.930 | 6.508 | 2.6% |
| Pass | 0.930 | 6.508 | 6.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.974 | 1.948 | 1.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.258 | 0.517 | 2.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.348 | 4.043 | 5.4% |
| Standard downs | 1.154 | 4.616 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.631 | 1.892 | 3.4% |
Janerious Jackson · RBUsage 1.7% · Avg PPA -1.121 · Total -1.121
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -1.121 | -1.121 | 1.7% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -1.121 | -1.121 | 2.4% |
| 1st down | -1.121 | -1.121 | 3.7% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -1.121 | -1.121 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Carter Eck · TEUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.715 · Total -1.431
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.715 | -1.431 | 1.5% |
| Pass | -0.715 | -1.431 | 4.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -1.139 | -1.139 | 1.7% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.292 | -0.292 | 4.2% |
| Standard downs | -0.715 | -1.431 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Don Henry · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 2.465 · Total 2.465
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2.465 | 2.465 | 1.5% |
| Pass | 2.465 | 2.465 | 2.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 2.465 | 2.465 | 3.1% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 2.465 | 2.465 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.071 | 29th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.409 | 34th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.242 | 51st138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.070 | 16th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.116 | 54th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.097 | 39th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.374 | 76th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.171 | 72nd138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.149 | 36th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 100% of 198 attempts charted. Average depth of target 7.9 yards (23rd percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.3 per completion. Completion 56.1%, 6.3 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.05.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 56.5% | 61.7% | -5.2 | 161 / 198 |
| Defense allowed | 58.0% | 61.5% | -3.6 | 157 / 182 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Nevada.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 198 | 100% | 7.9 | 6.3 | 56.1% | 0.05 | -5.2 pp | 161 |
| Passing defense | 182 | 99% | 8.1 | 4.2 | 58.8% | 0.21 | -3.6 pp | 157 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 261 | 4.9 | 48.4% | 0.18 | 3.10 | 1.30 | 1.50 | 18.9% | 65.8% |
| Defense allowed | 291 | 4.1 | 40.7% | 0.15 | 3.30 | 1.00 | 0.60 | 11.9% | 62.9% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 255 / 261 | 239 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 243 / 244 · 99.6% |
| Defense allowed | 283 / 291 | 257 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 267 / 270 · 98.9% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -5.2 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Western Kentucky | 16 | 16 | 56.3% | 58.8% | -2.5 pp | 10.9 | 0.23 | 42 | 7.7 | 0.63 |
| W2 | Montana State | 36 | 0 | — | — | — | 7.8 | -0.42 | 35 | 5.2 | 0.09 |
| W3 | Middle Tennessee | 26 | 25 | 60.0% | 63.6% | -3.5 pp | 3.5 | 0.17 | 34 | 2.8 | -0.14 |
| W4 | Air Force | 31 | 31 | 58.1% | 59.9% | -1.9 pp | 10.3 | 0.11 | 35 | 5.3 | 0.41 |
| W6 | UTEP | 22 | 22 | 59.1% | 62.6% | -3.5 pp | 7.8 | 0.24 | 51 | 5.4 | 0.24 |
| W7 | North Dakota State | 36 | 36 | 47.2% | 63.3% | -16.1 pp | 7.1 | -0.12 | 21 | 4.6 | 0.08 |
| W8 | San José State | 31 | 31 | 61.3% | 60.9% | +0.3 pp | 9.0 | 0.41 | 43 | 2.7 | -0.12 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
27 punts · 43.3 gross yards/punt · 40.6 net yards/punt
4 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 27/27 punts. Known net yards: 22/27 punts.
Our punt returns
14 returns · 12.1 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 14/14 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 · San José State | 7 | 44.9 | 42.0 | 5/7 |
| Week 7 · North Dakota State | 4 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 4/4 |
| Week 6 · UTEP | 4 | 43.8 | 42.3 | 3/4 |
| Week 4 · Air Force | 3 | 43.0 | 45.5 | 2/3 |
| Week 3 · Middle Tennessee | 2 | 36.5 | 36.5 | 2/2 |