Navy

2026 season

American Athletic

2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Navy's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 75 across 8 systems; best 60, worst 92, so they disagree by 32 places.

Lab EPA: #68; Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS: #85; down 32026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+: #80; down 82026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo: #70; down 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI: #92; down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE: #60; down 9 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS: #91; up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA: #68; down 182026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record: #122 of 138
Schedule strength: #121 of 138
Remaining schedule strength: #58 of 138
Game control: #125 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall: #101 of 138
Offense: #73 of 138
Defense: #123 of 138
Special teams: #93 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Navy · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

2-5 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.000 net EPA/play

#68

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-2.28 points

#85 · Down 3 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +0.32 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -3.86, schedule #83 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -0.89. That is worth -3.54 on its own; the preseason prior of +1.63 still carries 24% of the weight, giving -2.28.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Navy · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

Game	Raw margin → transformed	Venue adjustment	Recency weight	Fit share	Opponent rating	Margin term	Opponent term	Total term
Week 1 · Towson home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401862696	+27.00 → +27.00	-2.50	0.7637	9.32%	-25.00 (fixed lower division)	2.284	-2.330	-0.047
Week 2 · Florida Atlantic away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401862703	-8.00 → -8.00	+2.50	0.7937	9.69%	-5.46	-0.533	-0.529	-1.062
Week 4 · UAB away · 2026-09-25 · ID 401862778	-4.00 → -4.00	+2.50	0.8572	10.46%	-8.45	-0.157	-0.884	-1.041
Week 5 · Air Force away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401862791	-5.00 → -5.00	+2.50	0.8909	10.87%	-1.75	-0.272	-0.191	-0.463
Week 6 · Tulsa home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401862799	+8.00 → +8.00	-2.50	0.9259	11.30%	-1.22	0.621	-0.138	0.484
Week 7 · UTSA away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401862804	-4.00 → -4.00	+2.50	0.9622	11.74%	+3.69	-0.176	0.433	0.257
Week 8 · North Texas home · 2026-10-24 · ID 401862810	-10.00 → -10.00	-2.50	1.0000	12.20%	+5.88	-1.526	0.718	-0.808

Game terms -2.68 points; prior term +0.40 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -2.28 points. The preseason prior is +1.63 with 24.41% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-1.6 SP+ points

#80 · Down 8 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

1.48 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#60 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 1.87 on 366 plays; defense 0.39 on 380 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE rating CORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Navy 17 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches

Record: 2-5 · conf 1-4 · home 2-1 · away 0-4 · expected wins 3.3
Polls (Week 9): unranked
CFP latest: not published
CFP final: not published
Against the spread: 2026: 2-5 ATS (-3.9 avg) · 2025: 5-8 ATS (-0.5 avg)
Head coach: Brian Newberry · hired 2022-12-19 · 26-12 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes: 2024 #153 (38 pts) · 2025 #132 (65 pts) · 2026 #144 (99 pts)
Returning: 14% of production · 14% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage
Passing -3% 13%
Receiving 15% 13%
Rushing 19% 14%
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Category	Production	Usage
Passing	-3%	13%
Receiving	15%	13%
Rushing	19%	14%

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position group	Commits	Avg. stars	Avg. rating	Total rating
Defensive Back	7	2.86	0.8185	5.73
Defensive Line	6	2.83	0.8168	4.90
Linebacker	2	2.50	0.7842	1.57
Offensive Line	4	3.00	0.8361	3.34
Quarterback	7	3.00	0.8235	5.76
Receiver	7	2.71	0.8219	5.75
Running Back	2	3.00	0.8200	1.64
Special Teams	3	2.33	0.8039	2.41

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / history	Metric	Value	Plays / attempts	Overall usage	Usage detail	Recruiting
Jackson Gutierrez · QB CFBD athlete 5220473. Navy (2024–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.408	145	45.6%	Pass 76.9% · Rush 38.6% 1st 41.6% · 2nd 46.0% · 3rd 50.0% Standard downs 44.3% · Passing downs 49.2%	2024: stars unavailable
Jackson Gutierrez · QB CFBD athlete 5220473. Navy (2024–2026)	Passing WEPA	0.529	77	45.6%	Pass 76.9% · Rush 38.6% 1st 41.6% · 2nd 46.0% · 3rd 50.0% Standard downs 44.3% · Passing downs 49.2%	2024: stars unavailable
Michael Barrow · WR CFBD athlete 5220469. Navy (2024–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.146	71	18.3%	Pass 9.9% · Rush 20.8% 1st 24.3% · 2nd 18.7% · 3rd 4.9% Standard downs 20.8% · Passing downs 11.3%	Not linked
Vic Listorti · RB CFBD athlete 5158373. Navy (2023–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.107	31	10.3%	Pass 7.7% · Rush 11.2% 1st 8.9% · 2nd 11.3% · 3rd 13.4% Standard downs 10.9% · Passing downs 8.9%	Not linked
Nolan Bartley · PK CFBD athlete 5391330. Navy (2026–2026)	Kicker PAAR	-2.710	7	—	Pass — · Rush — 1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs —	Not linked
Andre Gilbert Jr. · WR CFBD athlete 5220471. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.5%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.7% 1st 2.7% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Braxton Woodson · QB CFBD athlete 5158343. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	22.0%	Pass 33.8% · Rush 19.4% 1st 19.3% · 2nd 22.1% · 3rd 33.9% Standard downs 18.2% · Passing downs 31.5%	Not linked
Charles Robinson · WR CFBD athlete 5220476. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	8.0%	Pass 23.5% · Rush 3.8% 1st 9.0% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 14.3% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 13.1%	Not linked
Chris Daley II · RB CFBD athlete 5391355. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.0%	Pass 5.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 9.1% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.3%	Not linked
Christian Cromer · RB CFBD athlete 5295391. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.4%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 3.1% 1st 2.2% · 2nd 3.0% · 3rd 2.6% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 1.7%	Not linked
Evan Blouir · QB CFBD athlete 5391331. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.1%	Pass 1.4% · Rush 2.4% 1st 2.1% · 2nd 2.8% · 3rd 1.7% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 2.2%	Not linked
Gage Leonard · WR CFBD athlete 5158365. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 1.4% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Isaiah Bryant · WR CFBD athlete 5158374. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.3%	Pass 4.3% · Rush 4.3% 1st 2.2% · 2nd 6.0% · 3rd 7.9% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 6.8%	Not linked
Jacob Williams · RB CFBD athlete 5391358. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 6.8% 1st 8.1% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 5.9%	Not linked
Jake Norris · TE CFBD athlete 5158398. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 16.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jaydn Jones · RB CFBD athlete 5220492. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 1.6% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jordan Collins · TE CFBD athlete 5212655. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.2%	Pass 14.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.4% · 2nd 3.9% · 3rd 3.6% Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 6.9%	Not linked
Joshua Guerin · WR CFBD athlete 5158395. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.2%	Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.2% · 2nd 1.6% · 3rd 5.9% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 3.4%	Not linked
Landon Walker · WR CFBD athlete 5222710. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	5.1%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 5.5% 1st 8.1% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Luke Hutchison · WR CFBD athlete 5158341. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.8%	Pass 11.1% · Rush 0.8% 1st 2.4% · 2nd 6.9% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 3.3%	Not linked
Merrick Barlow · TE CFBD athlete 5211746. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.7%	Pass 12.8% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.2% · 2nd 1.7% · 3rd 3.0% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 3.8%	Not linked
Ryan Brass · QB CFBD athlete 5295377. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 1.4% 1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Stefan Egbe · RB CFBD athlete 5158369. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.6%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.1% 1st 3.0% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 3.1%	Not linked
Theo Elwell · TE CFBD athlete 5220496. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.3%	Pass 16.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.9%	Not linked
Tre Jones · WR CFBD athlete 5220472. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.5%	Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.9% 1st 1.6% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.0% · Passing downs 2.6%	Not linked
Truman Brasfield · WR CFBD athlete 5391321. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.4%	Pass 22.2% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.0% · 2nd 3.5% · 3rd 8.2% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 10.0%	Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 0 reported

No incoming transfers in this capture.

Outgoing · 3 reported

Player	To	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Brady McDonough · QB	Georgetown	2026-01-10	2★ / —	Immediate
Jaylin Acevedo · OT	South Florida	2026-01-16	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Justin Ross · CB	Virginia	2026-01-14	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Navy. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Brian Newberry · career 26–12 across 4 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 30 appointments

2023–present · Brian Newberry · active at capture
26–12 · 38 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2022-12-19. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2007–2022 · Ken Niumatalolo
109–83 · 192 attributed games · 16 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2007-12-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2002–2007 · Paul Johnson
45–29 · 74 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2001-12-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1995–2001 · Charlie Weatherbie
30–45 · 75 attributed games · 7 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1990–1994 · George Chaump
14–41 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1987–1989 · Elliot Uzelac
8–25 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1982–1986 · Gary Tranquill
20–34–1 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1981 · George Welsh
55–46–1 · 102 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1969–1972 · Rick Forzano
10–33 · 43 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1965–1968 · William Elias
15–22–3 · 40 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1959–1964 · Wayne Hardin
38–22–2 · 62 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1950–1958 · Eddie Erdelatz
50–26–8 · 84 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1948–1949 · George Sauer
3–13–2 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1946–1947 · Thomas Hamilton
2–15–1 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1944–1945 · Oscar Hagberg
13–4–1 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1942–1943 · John Whelchel
13–5 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1939–1941 · Swede Larson
16–8–3 · 27 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1937–1938 · Hank Hardwick
8–7–3 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1934–1936 · Thomas Hamilton
19–8 · 27 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1931–1933 · Rip Miller
12–15–2 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1926–1930 · William Ingram
32–13–4 · 49 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1925–1925 · Jack Owsley
5–2–1 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1917–1919 · Gilmour Dobie
17–3 · 20 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1915–1916 · Jonas Ingram
9–8–2 · 19 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1911–1914 · Douglas Legate Howard
25–7–4 · 36 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1908–1910 · Frank Berrien
21–5–3 · 29 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1907–1907 · Joe Reeves
9–2–1 · 12 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1904–1906 · Paul Dashiell
25–5–4 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1900–1900 · Garrett Cochran
6–3 · 9 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1896–1896 · Johnny Poe
5–3 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coach	Record	Conference	Postseason	SP+	SRS	Recruiting rank	Final poll
2026 · Brian Newberry · incomplete attribution	0–0	—	—	0.2	-7	144	—
2025 · Brian Newberry	11–2	7–1	1–0	6.2	2.1	132	23
2024 · Brian Newberry	10–3	6–2	1–0	3.5	5.7	153	—
2023 · Brian Newberry	5–7	4–4	0–0	-13.7	-11.4	131	—
2022 · Ken Niumatalolo	4–8	4–4	0–0	-7.2	-1.9	138	—
2021 · Ken Niumatalolo	4–8	3–5	0–0	-8.5	-5.5	107	—
2020 · Ken Niumatalolo	3–7	3–4	0–0	-9.3	—	126	—
2019 · Ken Niumatalolo	11–2	7–1	1–0	9.9	12.9	124	20
2018 · Ken Niumatalolo	3–10	2–6	0–0	-10.2	-9.7	106	—
2017 · Ken Niumatalolo	7–6	4–4	1–0	-0.7	6.1	88	—
2016 · Ken Niumatalolo	9–5	7–2	0–1	6.8	2.5	91	—
2015 · Ken Niumatalolo	11–2	7–1	1–0	12.1	13.5	112	18

Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:13:05 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

Statistic	Offense rank / population	Percentile	Defense rank / population	Percentile
PPA / play	41 / 138	70.8	112 / 138	19.0
Success rate	27 / 138	81.0	66 / 138	52.6
Explosiveness	86 / 138	38.0	128 / 138	7.3
Standard-down success	7 / 138	95.6	T70 / 138	49.3
Passing-down success	118 / 138	14.6	59 / 138	57.7
Pass PPA	65 / 138	53.3	127 / 138	8.0
Rush PPA	12 / 138	92.0	60 / 138	56.9
Pass explosiveness	1 / 138	100.0	134 / 138	2.9
Rush explosiveness	25 / 138	82.5	75 / 138	46.0
Line yards	4 / 138	97.8	38 / 138	73.0
Second-level yards	29 / 138	79.6	11 / 138	92.7
Open-field yards	14 / 138	90.5	26 / 138	81.8
Stuff rate	5 / 138	97.1	57 / 138	59.1
Power success	2 / 138	99.3	113 / 138	18.2
Havoc	T38 / 138	70.8	T115 / 138	16.4
Front-seven havoc	T97 / 138	29.6	T77 / 138	43.8
DB havoc	11 / 138	92.7	T127 / 138	7.7
Points / opportunity	57 / 138	59.1	T106 / 138	23.0
Average field position	T130 / 138	5.5	118 / 138	14.6
Field-position expected points	131 / 138	5.1	118 / 138	14.6

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Jackson Gutierrez · QBUsage 45.6% · Avg PPA 0.350 · Total 74.161

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.350	74.161	45.6%
Pass	0.386	27.037	76.9%
Rush	0.362	51.052	38.6%
1st down	0.160	14.259	41.6%
2nd down	0.500	34.467	46.0%
3rd down	0.680	27.891	50.0%
Standard downs	0.309	46.594	44.3%
Passing downs	0.452	27.567	49.2%

Braxton Woodson · QBUsage 22.0% · Avg PPA 0.389 · Total 27.621

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.389	27.621	22.0%
Pass	-0.140	-3.221	33.8%
Rush	0.643	30.842	19.4%
1st down	0.022	0.652	19.3%
2nd down	0.590	13.568	22.1%
3rd down	0.705	13.401	33.9%
Standard downs	0.485	20.380	18.2%
Passing downs	0.250	7.242	31.5%

Michael Barrow · WRUsage 18.3% · Avg PPA 0.193 · Total 16.437

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.193	16.437	18.3%
Pass	0.576	5.184	9.9%
Rush	0.148	11.253	20.8%
1st down	0.011	0.550	24.3%
2nd down	0.468	13.102	18.7%
3rd down	-0.128	-0.513	4.9%
Standard downs	0.143	10.148	20.8%
Passing downs	0.449	6.289	11.3%

Vic Listorti · RBUsage 10.3% · Avg PPA 0.091 · Total 4.387

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.091	4.387	10.3%
Pass	0.181	1.264	7.7%
Rush	0.076	3.123	11.2%
1st down	-0.508	-9.652	8.9%
2nd down	0.213	3.614	11.3%
3rd down	0.707	7.774	13.4%
Standard downs	0.101	3.728	10.9%
Passing downs	0.060	0.659	8.9%

Charles Robinson · WRUsage 8.0% · Avg PPA 0.141 · Total 4.371

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.141	4.371	8.0%
Pass	-0.041	-0.824	23.5%
Rush	0.472	5.194	3.8%
1st down	0.239	3.829	9.0%
2nd down	0.286	1.145	3.3%
3rd down	0.322	3.224	14.3%
Standard downs	0.322	5.467	6.1%
Passing downs	-0.078	-1.097	13.1%

Jacob Williams · RBUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA 0.540 · Total 2.699

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.540	2.699	6.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.540	2.699	6.8%
1st down	0.255	0.766	8.1%
2nd down	-0.393	-0.393	3.7%
3rd down	2.326	2.326	8.3%
Standard downs	0.093	0.373	6.5%
Passing downs	2.326	2.326	5.9%

Landon Walker · WRUsage 5.1% · Avg PPA 0.622 · Total 2.489

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.622	2.489	5.1%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.622	2.489	5.5%
1st down	0.876	2.628	8.1%
2nd down	-0.139	-0.139	3.7%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.622	2.489	6.5%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Truman Brasfield · WRUsage 4.4% · Avg PPA 0.973 · Total 11.677

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.973	11.677	4.4%
Pass	0.973	11.677	22.2%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	1.373	6.863	4.0%
2nd down	-0.230	-0.690	3.5%
3rd down	1.376	5.504	8.2%
Standard downs	1.373	6.863	2.5%
Passing downs	0.688	4.814	10.0%

Isaiah Bryant · WRUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA -0.290 · Total -2.606

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.290	-2.606	4.3%
Pass	0.416	0.831	4.3%
Rush	-0.491	-3.438	4.3%
1st down	-1.056	-2.112	2.2%
2nd down	-0.284	-1.136	6.0%
3rd down	0.214	0.641	7.9%
Standard downs	-0.596	-2.980	3.4%
Passing downs	0.093	0.374	6.8%

Luke Hutchison · WRUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA 0.161 · Total 1.126

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.161	1.126	3.8%
Pass	0.776	4.655	11.1%
Rush	-3.528	-3.528	0.8%
1st down	0.516	1.031	2.4%
2nd down	0.906	3.623	6.9%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.431	-2.154	4.0%
Passing downs	1.640	3.280	3.3%

Stefan Egbe · RBUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA 0.121 · Total 0.604

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.121	0.604	3.6%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.121	0.604	4.1%
1st down	0.133	0.266	3.0%
2nd down	-0.143	-0.285	4.3%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.162	0.649	3.8%
Passing downs	-0.045	-0.045	3.1%

Jordan Collins · TEUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA 1.243 · Total 12.434

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.243	12.434	3.2%
Pass	1.243	12.434	14.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	3.924	7.847	1.4%
2nd down	1.371	5.482	3.9%
3rd down	-0.174	-0.347	3.6%
Standard downs	2.517	10.067	1.8%
Passing downs	0.394	2.367	6.9%

Merrick Barlow · TEUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA -0.192 · Total -0.961

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.192	-0.961	2.7%
Pass	-0.192	-0.961	12.8%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	2.121	4.241	2.2%
2nd down	-1.161	-1.161	1.7%
3rd down	-0.014	-0.014	3.0%
Standard downs	1.027	3.080	2.2%
Passing downs	-2.021	-4.041	3.8%

Andre Gilbert Jr. · WRUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA -0.607 · Total -1.214

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.607	-1.214	2.5%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.607	-1.214	2.7%
1st down	-0.425	-0.425	2.7%
2nd down	-0.789	-0.789	3.7%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.607	-1.214	3.2%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Christian Cromer · RBUsage 2.4% · Avg PPA -0.283 · Total -1.414

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.283	-1.414	2.4%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.283	-1.414	3.1%
1st down	-0.442	-0.883	2.2%
2nd down	-0.002	-0.003	3.0%
3rd down	-0.528	-0.528	2.6%
Standard downs	-0.287	-1.147	2.7%
Passing downs	-0.267	-0.267	1.7%

Joshua Guerin · WRUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA -0.604 · Total -2.416

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.604	-2.416	2.2%
Pass	-0.604	-2.416	8.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-1.139	-1.139	1.2%
2nd down	0.346	0.346	1.6%
3rd down	-0.811	-1.623	5.9%
Standard downs	-0.396	-0.793	1.6%
Passing downs	-0.811	-1.623	3.4%

Evan Blouir · QBUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA 0.110 · Total 0.769

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.110	0.769	2.1%
Pass	0.736	0.736	1.4%
Rush	0.005	0.032	2.4%
1st down	0.536	1.608	2.1%
2nd down	-0.525	-1.575	2.8%
3rd down	0.736	0.736	1.7%
Standard downs	0.366	1.831	2.1%
Passing downs	-0.531	-1.063	2.2%

Chris Daley II · RBUsage 2.0% · Avg PPA -0.097 · Total -0.097

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.097	-0.097	2.0%
Pass	-0.097	-0.097	5.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	-0.097	-0.097	9.1%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	-0.097	-0.097	5.3%

Tre Jones · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.353 · Total -0.706

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.353	-0.706	1.5%
Pass	-0.692	-0.692	3.4%
Rush	-0.014	-0.014	0.9%
1st down	-0.014	-0.014	1.6%
2nd down	-0.692	-0.692	2.2%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.014	-0.014	1.0%
Passing downs	-0.692	-0.692	2.6%

Gage Leonard · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 1.081 · Total 1.081

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.081	1.081	1.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	1.081	1.081	1.4%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	1.081	1.081	8.3%
Standard downs	1.081	1.081	1.6%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jake Norris · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -1.150 · Total -1.150

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-1.150	-1.150	1.3%
Pass	-1.150	-1.150	16.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-1.150	-1.150	2.7%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-1.150	-1.150	1.6%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jaydn Jones · RBUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 0.227 · Total 0.227

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.227	0.227	1.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	0.227	0.227	1.6%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	0.227	0.227	8.3%
Standard downs	0.227	0.227	1.7%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Ryan Brass · QBUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -0.284 · Total -0.284

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.284	-0.284	1.3%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.284	-0.284	1.4%
1st down	-0.284	-0.284	2.7%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	-0.284	-0.284	1.6%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Theo Elwell · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -1.062 · Total -1.062

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-1.062	-1.062	1.3%
Pass	-1.062	-1.062	16.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	-1.062	-1.062	8.3%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	-1.062	-1.062	5.9%

Where Navy sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Values and percentiles

Navy metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
Metric	Value	Percentile	Better
Offense PPA/play	0.198	71st138 teams	higher
Offense success rate	0.475	81st138 teams	higher
Offense explosiveness	1.205	38th138 teams	higher
Offense pass PPA/play	0.226	53rd138 teams	higher
Offense rush PPA/play	0.228	92nd138 teams	higher
Defense PPA/play	0.164	19th138 teams	lower
Defense success rate	0.403	53rd138 teams	lower
Defense explosiveness	1.385	7th138 teams	lower
Defense havoc created	0.133	16th138 teams	higher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 97% of 87 attempts charted. Average depth of target 14.2 yards (99th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 8.6 per completion. Completion 47.1%, 9.6 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.26.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
Side	Actual	Expected	CPOE (pp)	Qualifying / all attempts
Offense	43.1%	52.8%	-9.7	72 / 87
Defense allowed	71.8%	60.6%	+11.2	124 / 183

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Navy.

Target mix by zone, Navy offense

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail

Navy passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
Side	Attempts	Charted	ADOT	YAC	Comp %	PPA	CPOE	CPOE att
Passing offense	87	97%	14.2	8.6	47.1%	0.26	-9.7 pp	72
Passing defense	183	97%	10.0	5.1	70.5%	0.55	+11.2 pp	124

Rushing production

Side	Attempts	Yards / carry	Success	PPA	Line yards / rush	Second-level yards / rush	Open-field yards / rush	Stuff rate	Power success
Offense	376	5.8	51.1%	0.29	3.50	1.20	1.70	11.8%	86.7%
Defense allowed	245	3.3	39.3%	0.06	2.80	0.80	0.70	17.4%	80.0%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

Side	Yards recorded	Individual	Unattributed	Sacks	Kneels	Team rushes	Multiple carriers	Direction located / eligible
Offense	371 / 376	367	9	9	1	3	1	362 / 364 · 99.5%
Defense allowed	244 / 245	238	7	15	6	6	0	224 / 224 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

MetricSide

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -9.7 pp. 5 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage

Week	Opponent	Pass att	CPOE att	Comp %*	Expected %*	CPOE	ADOT	Pass PPA	Rush att	Rush yds/carry	Rush PPA
W1	Towson	6	0	—	—	—	8.8	-0.38	73	7.0	0.55
W2	Florida Atlantic	23	21	33.3%	58.8%	-25.5 pp	10.0	-0.10	36	6.8	0.28
W4	UAB	13	13	30.8%	48.2%	-17.4 pp	20.2	-0.15	58	4.4	0.23
W5	Air Force	18	18	44.4%	53.9%	-9.5 pp	14.7	0.41	30	3.7	-0.23
W6	Tulsa	7	0	—	—	—	10.0	0.52	67	5.8	0.29
W7	UTSA	8	8	50.0%	43.8%	+6.2 pp	22.4	0.98	48	6.2	0.40
W8	North Texas	12	12	66.7%	51.3%	+15.3 pp	13.8	0.83	64	5.7	0.17

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

22 punts · 43.1 gross yards/punt · 32.7 net yards/punt

2 inside the 20 · 2 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 22/22 punts. Known net yards: 19/22 punts.

Our punt returns

9 returns · 5.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 9/9 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games

Game	Punts	Gross yd/punt	Net yd/punt	Known net yards
Week 8 · North Texas	3	42.7	17.3	3/3
Week 7 · UTSA	3	44.3	35.7	3/3
Week 6 · Tulsa	0	—	—	0/0
Week 5 · Air Force	7	49.3	42.6	5/7
Week 4 · UAB	3	25.7	25.7	3/3

Team style

Rating history