Louisiana

2026 season

Sun Belt

2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Louisiana's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 67 across 8 systems; best 50, worst 82, so they disagree by 32 places.

Lab EPA: #50; Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS: #74; down 122026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+: #68; down 52026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo: #66; down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI: #82; down 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE: #57; down 12 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS: #77; down 142026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA: #50; down 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record: #89 of 138
Schedule strength: #109 of 138
Remaining schedule strength: #129 of 138
Game control: #66 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall: #72 of 138
Offense: #90 of 138
Defense: #49 of 138
Special teams: #94 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Louisiana · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

5-3 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.047 net EPA/play

#50

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-0.55 points

#74 · Down 12 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +8.77 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -8.43, schedule #131 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -6.41. That is worth +0.34 on its own; the preseason prior of -3.70 still carries 22% of the weight, giving -0.55.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Louisiana · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

Game	Raw margin → transformed	Venue adjustment	Recency weight	Fit share	Opponent rating	Margin term	Opponent term	Total term
Week 1 · Lamar home · 2026-09-06 · ID 401869142	+31.00 → +31.00	-2.50	0.7637	8.47%	-25.00 (fixed lower division)	2.413	-2.117	0.296
Week 2 · USC away · 2026-09-13 · ID 401858445	-19.00 → -19.00	+2.50	0.7937	8.80%	+7.22	-1.452	0.635	-0.817
Week 3 · UAB home · 2026-09-20 · ID 401862776	+7.00 → +7.00	-2.50	0.8249	9.15%	-8.45	0.412	-0.773	-0.361
Week 4 · Charlotte away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401862780	+27.00 → +27.00	+2.50	0.8572	9.51%	-17.17	2.804	-1.632	1.172
Week 5 · Arkansas State home · 2026-10-04 · ID 401869932	+3.00 → +3.00	-2.50	0.8909	9.88%	-4.89	0.049	-0.483	-0.434
Week 6 · Louisiana Tech away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401869965	-1.00 → -1.00	+2.50	0.9259	10.27%	+1.30	0.154	0.133	0.287
Week 7 · Troy home · 2026-10-17 · ID 401869966	+27.00 → +27.00	-2.50	0.9622	10.67%	-9.91	2.614	-1.058	1.556
Week 8 · Southern Miss away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401869967	-4.00 → -4.00	+2.50	1.0000	11.09%	-11.42	-0.166	-1.266	-1.432

Game terms +0.27 points; prior term -0.82 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -0.55 points. The preseason prior is -3.70 with 22.18% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

0.4 SP+ points

#68 · Down 5 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

2.24 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#57 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -5.52 on 449 plays; defense -7.75 on 426 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE rating CORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Louisiana 24 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches

Record: 5-3 · conf 2-2 · home 4-0 · away 1-3 · expected wins 5.3
Polls (Week 9): unranked
CFP latest: not published
CFP final: not published
Against the spread: 2026: 5-2-1 ATS (+6.1 avg) · 2025: 6-7 ATS (-1.2 avg)
Head coach: Michael Desormeaux · hired 2021-12-05 · 22-18 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes: 2024 #117 (137 pts) · 2025 #81 (165 pts) · 2026 #91 (180 pts)
Returning: 92% of production · 66% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage
Passing 101% 90%
Receiving 92% 87%
Rushing 82% 36%
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Category	Production	Usage
Passing	101%	90%
Receiving	92%	87%
Rushing	82%	36%

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position group	Commits	Avg. stars	Avg. rating	Total rating
Defensive Back	15	3.00	0.8454	12.68
Defensive Line	11	3.00	0.8387	9.23
Linebacker	5	3.00	0.8264	4.13
Offensive Line	16	3.00	0.8380	13.41
Quarterback	2	3.00	0.8301	1.66
Receiver	14	2.93	0.8469	11.86
Running Back	6	3.00	0.8336	5.00
Special Teams	3	3.00	0.8237	2.47

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / history	Metric	Value	Plays / attempts	Overall usage	Usage detail	Recruiting
D'Wayne' Winfield · QB CFBD athlete 4871091. Louisiana (2023–2026)	Passing WEPA	0.269	189	55.1%	Pass 94.0% · Rush 30.7% 1st 43.5% · 2nd 58.4% · 3rd 75.7% Standard downs 45.9% · Passing downs 73.1%	Not linked
D'Wayne' Winfield · QB CFBD athlete 4871091. Louisiana (2023–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.300	100	55.1%	Pass 94.0% · Rush 30.7% 1st 43.5% · 2nd 58.4% · 3rd 75.7% Standard downs 45.9% · Passing downs 73.1%	Not linked
Steven Blanco · RB CFBD athlete 5194804. Louisiana (2024–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.143	63	12.7%	Pass 2.3% · Rush 20.1% 1st 16.9% · 2nd 9.2% · 3rd 7.5% Standard downs 15.8% · Passing downs 6.5%	2024: 3★ · 0.8033
Anthony Reagan Jr. · RB CFBD athlete 5227209. Howard (2024–2025); Louisiana (2026–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.129	51	12.0%	Pass 4.2% · Rush 17.6% 1st 14.9% · 2nd 13.5% · 3rd 3.7% Standard downs 15.6% · Passing downs 4.8%	2024: stars unavailable
JJ Garner · RB CFBD athlete 5258999. Louisiana (2025–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.220	50	10.7%	Pass 4.2% · Rush 15.5% 1st 14.5% · 2nd 11.4% · 3rd 1.9% Standard downs 12.8% · Passing downs 6.5%	2025: 3★ · 0.8544
Tony Sterner · PK CFBD athlete 5096880. Louisiana (2023–2026); Incarnate Word (2022–2022)	Kicker PAAR	6.770	12	—	Pass — · Rush — 1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs —	Not linked
Brock Chappell · TE CFBD athlete 5153377. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.3%	Pass 11.1% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.2% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 5.1% Standard downs 4.4% · Passing downs 4.2%	Not linked
Caden Jensen · TE CFBD athlete 5156928. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	5.1%	Pass 12.9% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.2% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 5.7% Standard downs 3.5% · Passing downs 8.8%	Not linked
Daniel Beale · QB CFBD athlete 5146661. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.3%	Pass 13.4% · Rush 2.2% 1st 5.1% · 2nd 7.5% · 3rd 4.9% Standard downs 6.3% · Passing downs 6.1%	Not linked
Darrell Smith · RB CFBD athlete 5222657. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	9.8%	Pass 3.3% · Rush 14.1% 1st 12.3% · 2nd 7.8% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 11.8% · Passing downs 5.5%	Not linked
Ja'Corian Norris · WR CFBD athlete 5197074. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.5%	Pass 4.9% · Rush 0.9% 1st 1.1% · 2nd 2.8% · 3rd 6.1% Standard downs 0.8% · Passing downs 5.8%	Not linked
Jaydon Johnson · WR CFBD athlete 4833238. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.5%	Pass 3.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.9% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Ke'Rynn Smith · RB CFBD athlete 5200377. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.7%	Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.1% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 5.6% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 10.5%	Not linked
Kedarius Wade · WR CFBD athlete 5122096. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.7%	Pass 11.6% · Rush 0.3% 1st 4.4% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 7.5% Standard downs 4.4% · Passing downs 5.4%	Not linked
Kristion Brooks · WR CFBD athlete 5290570. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.2%	Pass 5.6% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.2% · 2nd 3.2% · 3rd 2.8% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 2.7%	Not linked
Landon Strother · WR CFBD athlete 5221103. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	7.3%	Pass 18.0% · Rush 1.2% 1st 3.2% · 2nd 11.0% · 3rd 11.3% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 13.5%	Not linked
Quandre Coates · TE CFBD athlete 5207650. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.9%	Pass 4.5% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.2% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Rahji Dennis · WR CFBD athlete 5146163. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.4%	Pass 1.4% · Rush 1.5% 1st 3.2% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Russell Babineaux · WR CFBD athlete 5141364. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.3%	Pass 9.7% · Rush 0.9% 1st 2.8% · 2nd 5.9% · 3rd 5.6% Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 5.9%	Not linked
Shelton Sampson Jr. · WR CFBD athlete 4871010. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	7.5%	Pass 17.2% · Rush 0.0% 1st 5.3% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 10.6% Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 11.7%	Not linked
Teddy Gawlik · TE CFBD athlete 5221109. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.6%	Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.5% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 4.1% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 3.3%	Not linked
Trenton Chaney · WR CFBD athlete 5222654. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.5%	Pass 13.3% · Rush 2.0% 1st 7.2% · 2nd 3.5% · 3rd 11.1% Standard downs 5.9% · Passing downs 7.8%	Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 5 reported

Player	From	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Anthony Reagan Jr. · RB	Howard	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8200	Immediate
Brodrick Stewart · DL	Tarleton State	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Jayce Mitchell · IOL	Tulane	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Princeton Malbrue · LB	LSU	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8200	Immediate
Tito Chikere · EDGE	East Texas A&M	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate

Outgoing · 8 reported

Player	To	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Bill Davis · RB	Virginia Tech	2026-01-05	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Bryant Williams · OT	Arkansas	2026-01-09	4★ / 0.9300	Immediate
Charles Robertson · WR	Not reported	2026-01-06	3★ / —	Immediate
Drenon Fite III · EDGE	UTSA	2026-01-08	3★ / —	Immediate
Fitzgerald West Jr. · DL	Not reported	2026-01-20	3★ / —	Withdrawn
Trae Tomlinson · CB	Not reported	2026-08-29	3★ / —	Immediate
Walker Howard · QB	Ole Miss	2026-01-13	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Zylan Perry · RB	Cincinnati	2026-01-08	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Louisiana. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Michael Desormeaux · career 29–25 across 6 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 9 appointments

2021–present · Michael Desormeaux · active at capture
29–25 · 54 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2021-12-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2018–2021 · Billy Napier
40–12 · 52 attributed games · 4 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2017-12-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2011–2017 · Mark Hudspeth
51–38 · 89 attributed games · 7 seasons
Hired 2010-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2002–2010 · Rickey Bustle
41–65 · 106 attributed games · 9 seasons
Hired 2001-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1999–2001 · Jerry Baldwin
6–27 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1986–1998 · Nelson Stokley
62–80–1 · 143 attributed games · 13 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1980–1985 · Sam Robertson
29–34–2 · 65 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1974–1979 · Augie Tammariello
30–35–2 · 67 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1973 · Russ Faulkinberry
0–10 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coach	Record	Conference	Postseason	SP+	SRS	Recruiting rank	Final poll
2026 · Michael Desormeaux · incomplete attribution	0–0	—	—	1.9	-2	91	—
2025 · Michael Desormeaux	6–7	5–3	0–1	-10.1	-11.6	81	—
2024 · Michael Desormeaux	10–4	7–2	0–1	4.8	-1.7	117	—
2023 · Michael Desormeaux	6–7	3–5	0–1	0.4	-5.9	89	—
2022 · Michael Desormeaux	6–7	4–4	0–1	2	-1.7	111	—
2021 · Billy Napier · incomplete attribution	12–1	—	—	8.7	5.7	79	16
2021 · Michael Desormeaux · incomplete attribution	1–0	—	—	8.7	5.7	79	16
2020 · Billy Napier	10–1	7–1	1–0	8.1	9	79	15
2019 · Billy Napier	11–3	7–2	1–0	9.6	7.7	76	—
2018 · Billy Napier	7–7	5–4	0–1	-6.9	-7.4	105	—
2017 · Mark Hudspeth	5–7	4–4	0–0	-15.8	-20	121	—
2016 · Mark Hudspeth	6–7	5–3	0–1	-8.7	-9.8	106	—
2015 · Mark Hudspeth	4–8	3–5	0–0	-7.1	-18.9	78	—

Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:17:18 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

Statistic	Offense rank / population	Percentile	Defense rank / population	Percentile
PPA / play	80 / 138	42.3	14 / 138	90.5
Success rate	63 / 138	54.7	74 / 138	46.7
Explosiveness	111 / 138	19.7	15 / 138	89.8
Standard-down success	70 / 138	49.6	75 / 138	46.0
Passing-down success	37 / 138	73.7	T73 / 138	47.1
Pass PPA	87 / 138	37.2	41 / 138	70.8
Rush PPA	54 / 138	61.3	14 / 138	90.5
Pass explosiveness	120 / 138	13.1	13 / 138	91.2
Rush explosiveness	46 / 138	67.2	41 / 138	70.8
Line yards	43 / 138	69.3	70 / 138	49.6
Second-level yards	56 / 138	59.9	95 / 138	31.4
Open-field yards	77 / 138	44.5	58 / 138	58.4
Stuff rate	46 / 138	67.2	65 / 138	53.3
Power success	4 / 138	97.8	14 / 138	90.5
Havoc	T45 / 138	67.5	T47 / 138	65.3
Front-seven havoc	T65 / 138	52.2	T52 / 138	61.7
DB havoc	T35 / 138	74.5	T54 / 138	59.5
Points / opportunity	84 / 138	39.4	80 / 138	42.3
Average field position	T18 / 138	87.2	T38 / 138	71.9
Field-position expected points	18 / 138	87.6	38 / 138	73.0

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

D'Wayne' Winfield · QBUsage 55.1% · Avg PPA 0.220 · Total 66.776

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.220	66.776	55.1%
Pass	0.217	44.015	94.0%
Rush	0.303	29.961	30.7%
1st down	0.103	11.132	43.5%
2nd down	0.327	35.362	58.4%
3rd down	0.358	29.021	75.7%
Standard downs	0.074	12.402	45.9%
Passing downs	0.400	54.373	73.1%

Steven Blanco · RBUsage 12.7% · Avg PPA 0.148 · Total 10.377

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.148	10.377	12.7%
Pass	0.649	3.243	2.3%
Rush	0.110	7.134	20.1%
1st down	0.099	4.143	16.9%
2nd down	0.058	0.990	9.2%
3rd down	0.970	7.763	7.5%
Standard downs	0.150	8.677	15.8%
Passing downs	0.142	1.700	6.5%

Anthony Reagan Jr. · RBUsage 12.0% · Avg PPA 0.094 · Total 6.227

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.094	6.227	12.0%
Pass	0.299	2.690	4.2%
Rush	0.062	3.536	17.6%
1st down	0.039	1.451	14.9%
2nd down	0.100	2.499	13.5%
3rd down	0.569	2.277	3.7%
Standard downs	0.088	4.992	15.6%
Passing downs	0.137	1.234	4.8%

JJ Garner · RBUsage 10.7% · Avg PPA 0.063 · Total 3.724

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.063	3.724	10.7%
Pass	-0.220	-1.978	4.2%
Rush	0.114	5.702	15.5%
1st down	0.068	2.434	14.5%
2nd down	0.040	0.837	11.4%
3rd down	0.226	0.453	1.9%
Standard downs	0.051	2.389	12.8%
Passing downs	0.111	1.335	6.5%

Darrell Smith · RBUsage 9.8% · Avg PPA -0.016 · Total -0.530

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.016	-0.530	9.8%
Pass	-0.482	-1.928	3.3%
Rush	0.048	1.398	14.1%
1st down	-0.237	-4.507	12.3%
2nd down	0.727	6.547	7.8%
3rd down	-0.514	-2.570	8.3%
Standard downs	-0.136	-3.672	11.8%
Passing downs	0.524	3.142	5.5%

Shelton Sampson Jr. · WRUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA 0.020 · Total 0.321

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.020	0.321	7.5%
Pass	0.020	0.321	17.2%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.358	1.789	5.3%
2nd down	0.540	2.700	7.1%
3rd down	-0.155	-0.776	10.6%
Standard downs	0.146	1.022	5.1%
Passing downs	-0.078	-0.701	11.7%

Landon Strother · WRUsage 7.3% · Avg PPA 0.144 · Total 2.886

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.144	2.886	7.3%
Pass	0.100	1.796	18.0%
Rush	0.545	1.090	1.2%
1st down	0.402	1.609	3.2%
2nd down	0.269	2.692	11.0%
3rd down	-0.236	-1.416	11.3%
Standard downs	0.027	0.186	3.9%
Passing downs	0.208	2.699	13.5%

Trenton Chaney · WRUsage 6.5% · Avg PPA 0.562 · Total 15.734

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.562	15.734	6.5%
Pass	0.573	13.185	13.3%
Rush	0.510	2.548	2.0%
1st down	0.081	1.135	7.2%
2nd down	1.060	5.299	3.5%
3rd down	1.033	9.300	11.1%
Standard downs	0.274	4.661	5.9%
Passing downs	1.007	11.073	7.8%

Daniel Beale · QBUsage 6.3% · Avg PPA 0.318 · Total 4.450

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.318	4.450	6.3%
Pass	0.278	3.062	13.4%
Rush	0.463	1.388	2.2%
1st down	0.124	0.618	5.1%
2nd down	0.740	4.440	7.5%
3rd down	-0.573	-1.147	4.9%
Standard downs	0.689	6.894	6.3%
Passing downs	-0.611	-2.444	6.1%

Caden Jensen · TEUsage 5.1% · Avg PPA 0.424 · Total 8.053

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.424	8.053	5.1%
Pass	0.424	8.053	12.9%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.930	6.508	4.2%
2nd down	0.619	4.336	5.6%
3rd down	0.207	0.829	5.7%
Standard downs	0.631	5.682	3.5%
Passing downs	0.237	2.371	8.8%

Kedarius Wade · WRUsage 4.7% · Avg PPA 0.537 · Total 13.966

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.537	13.966	4.7%
Pass	0.574	14.340	11.6%
Rush	-0.375	-0.375	0.3%
1st down	0.329	3.618	4.4%
2nd down	1.170	8.190	3.8%
3rd down	0.270	2.157	7.5%
Standard downs	0.420	6.725	4.4%
Passing downs	0.724	7.241	5.4%

Brock Chappell · TEUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA 0.342 · Total 7.177

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.342	7.177	4.3%
Pass	0.342	7.177	11.1%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.420	3.783	4.2%
2nd down	0.778	4.669	3.7%
3rd down	-0.383	-1.917	5.1%
Standard downs	0.271	3.793	4.4%
Passing downs	0.483	3.384	4.2%

Russell Babineaux · WRUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA 0.485 · Total 11.641

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.485	11.641	4.3%
Pass	0.528	11.097	9.7%
Rush	0.181	0.544	0.9%
1st down	0.305	2.134	2.8%
2nd down	0.158	1.734	5.9%
3rd down	1.295	7.773	5.6%
Standard downs	0.422	5.488	3.6%
Passing downs	0.559	6.153	5.9%

Ke'Rynn Smith · RBUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA -0.376 · Total -0.752

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.376	-0.752	2.7%
Pass	—	0.000	0.0%
Rush	-0.376	-0.752	4.1%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	-0.806	-0.806	3.8%
3rd down	0.053	0.053	5.6%
Standard downs	—	0.000	0.0%
Passing downs	-0.376	-0.752	10.5%

Teddy Gawlik · TEUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.531 · Total 3.719

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.531	3.719	2.6%
Pass	0.531	3.719	6.9%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.958	2.875	2.5%
2nd down	-0.206	-0.411	2.1%
3rd down	0.627	1.255	4.1%
Standard downs	0.539	2.156	2.2%
Passing downs	0.521	1.563	3.3%

Ja'Corian Norris · WRUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA -0.145 · Total -0.727

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.145	-0.727	2.5%
Pass	-0.165	-0.661	4.9%
Rush	-0.066	-0.066	0.9%
1st down	1.049	1.049	1.1%
2nd down	-0.870	-1.740	2.8%
3rd down	-0.018	-0.036	6.1%
Standard downs	1.049	1.049	0.8%
Passing downs	-0.444	-1.776	5.8%

Kristion Brooks · WRUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA 0.857 · Total 10.280

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.857	10.280	2.2%
Pass	0.857	10.280	5.6%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.808	2.425	1.2%
2nd down	0.855	5.131	3.2%
3rd down	0.908	2.724	2.8%
Standard downs	0.560	3.918	1.9%
Passing downs	1.272	6.362	2.7%

Quandre Coates · TEUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA 1.469 · Total 1.469

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.469	1.469	1.9%
Pass	1.469	1.469	4.5%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	1.469	1.469	4.2%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	1.469	1.469	3.2%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Jaydon Johnson · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 0.605 · Total 0.605

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.605	0.605	1.5%
Pass	0.605	0.605	3.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.605	0.605	2.9%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.605	0.605	2.0%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Rahji Dennis · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 1.085 · Total 2.171

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.085	2.171	1.4%
Pass	0.091	0.091	1.4%
Rush	2.080	2.080	1.5%
1st down	1.085	2.171	3.2%
2nd down	—	0.000	0.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	1.085	2.171	2.5%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Where Louisiana sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Values and percentiles

Louisiana metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
Metric	Value	Percentile	Better
Offense PPA/play	0.117	42nd138 teams	higher
Offense success rate	0.435	55th138 teams	higher
Offense explosiveness	1.152	20th138 teams	higher
Offense pass PPA/play	0.181	37th138 teams	higher
Offense rush PPA/play	0.138	61st138 teams	higher
Defense PPA/play	-0.054	91st138 teams	lower
Defense success rate	0.411	47th138 teams	lower
Defense explosiveness	1.111	90th138 teams	lower
Defense havoc created	0.168	65th138 teams	higher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 100% of 207 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.5 yards (46th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.1 per completion. Completion 66.2%, 7.5 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.21.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
Side	Actual	Expected	CPOE (pp)	Qualifying / all attempts
Offense	65.7%	60.9%	+4.8	178 / 207
Defense allowed	62.3%	62.9%	-0.6	223 / 257

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Louisiana.

Target mix by zone, Louisiana offense

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail

Louisiana passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
Side	Attempts	Charted	ADOT	YAC	Comp %	PPA	CPOE	CPOE att
Passing offense	207	100%	8.5	5.1	66.2%	0.21	+4.8 pp	178
Passing defense	257	99%	7.7	4.6	61.5%	0.08	-0.6 pp	223

Rushing production

Side	Attempts	Yards / carry	Success	PPA	Line yards / rush	Second-level yards / rush	Open-field yards / rush	Stuff rate	Power success
Offense	335	4.4	44.2%	0.16	3.10	1.10	0.90	16.2%	85.3%
Defense allowed	244	4.3	45.9%	-0.04	3.00	1.10	1.00	16.6%	58.1%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

Side	Yards recorded	Individual	Unattributed	Sacks	Kneels	Team rushes	Multiple carriers	Direction located / eligible
Offense	331 / 335	329	6	12	2	2	0	319 / 321 · 99.4%
Defense allowed	238 / 244	234	10	12	3	3	0	228 / 229 · 99.6%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

MetricSide

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +4.8 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage

Week	Opponent	Pass att	CPOE att	Comp %*	Expected %*	CPOE	ADOT	Pass PPA	Rush att	Rush yds/carry	Rush PPA
W1	Lamar	28	0	—	—	—	7.5	0.05	41	5.9	0.45
W2	USC	22	22	72.7%	66.5%	+6.3 pp	5.6	0.76	30	4.9	0.27
W3	UAB	19	19	73.7%	64.2%	+9.5 pp	6.5	0.11	53	4.4	0.11
W4	Charlotte	29	29	69.0%	63.2%	+5.8 pp	7.8	0.20	48	3.0	0.09
W5	Arkansas State	21	21	85.7%	60.6%	+25.1 pp	8.1	0.47	42	6.0	0.22
W6	Louisiana Tech	24	24	58.3%	55.8%	+2.5 pp	12.6	0.17	33	4.6	0.11
W7	Troy	23	23	56.5%	60.1%	-3.6 pp	8.8	0.09	48	4.2	0.14
W8	Southern Miss	41	40	55.0%	58.2%	-3.2 pp	10.0	0.06	40	3.0	-0.10

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

33 punts · 39.6 gross yards/punt · 34.0 net yards/punt

12 inside the 20 · 0 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 33/33 punts. Known net yards: 29/33 punts.

Our punt returns

5 returns · 13.4 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

1 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 5/5 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games

Game	Punts	Gross yd/punt	Net yd/punt	Known net yards
Week 8 · Southern Miss	5	36.8	34.5	4/5
Week 7 · Troy	5	43.4	43.0	4/5
Week 6 · Louisiana Tech	3	41.0	39.7	3/3
Week 5 · Arkansas State	2	34.5	39.0	1/2
Week 4 · Charlotte	5	40.0	39.8	5/5

Team style

Rating history