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Liberty

2026 season

Conference USA
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Liberty's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 28 across 8 systems; best 16, worst 57, so they disagree by 41 places.

Lab EPA
#16
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#38
up 102026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#45
up 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#18
up 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#57
up 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#17
up 5 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#52
up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#16
up 92026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#49 of 138
Schedule strength
#128 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#133 of 138
Game control
#63 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#57 of 138
Offense
#80 of 138
Defense
#40 of 138
Special teams
#46 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Liberty · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

6-1 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.146 net EPA/play

#16

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

6.67 points

#38 · Up 10 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +18.69 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -9.02, schedule #134 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -6.61. That is worth +9.67 on its own; the preseason prior of -2.41 still carries 25% of the weight, giving +6.67.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Liberty · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · James Madison
away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401869960
-7.00 → -7.00+2.500.76379.48%+9.51-0.4270.9010.475
Week 2 · Gardner-Webb
home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401868187
+1.00 → +1.00-2.500.79379.85%-25.00 (fixed lower division)-0.148-2.463-2.611
Week 3 · Ball State
home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401866422
+36.00 → +35.00-2.500.824910.24%-12.593.328-1.2892.038
Week 4 · Coastal Carolina
away · 2026-09-24 · ID 401869941
+17.00 → +17.00+2.500.857210.64%-6.062.075-0.6441.430
Week 5 · Delaware
away · 2026-10-02 · ID 401871050
+16.00 → +16.00+2.500.890911.06%-5.852.046-0.6471.399
Week 6 · Sam Houston
home · 2026-10-08 · ID 401870766
+32.00 → +32.00-2.500.925911.49%-12.923.390-1.4841.906
Week 8 · Kennesaw State
away · 2026-10-22 · ID 401871056
+28.00 → +28.00+2.501.000012.41%-9.303.786-1.1542.632

Game terms +7.27 points; prior term -0.60 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +6.67 points. The preseason prior is -2.41 with 24.83% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

7.5 SP+ points

#45 · Up 1 place

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

15.46 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#17 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 7.84 on 333 plays; defense -7.62 on 292 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Liberty 22 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
6-1 · conf 3-0 · home 3-0 · away 3-1 · expected wins 5.8
Polls (Week 9)
unranked
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 5-2 ATS (+7.8 avg) · 2025: 3-9 ATS (-4.6 avg)
Head coach
Jamey Chadwell · hired 2022-12-04 · 25-13 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #105 (143 pts) · 2025 #86 (161 pts) · 2026 #109 (173 pts)
Returning
38% of production · 43% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing75%83%
Receiving21%28%
Rushing45%22%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back113.000.84529.30
Defensive Line93.000.84647.62
Linebacker33.000.84982.55
Offensive Line123.000.845310.14
Quarterback43.000.86653.47
Receiver93.000.84587.61
Running Back23.000.84521.69
Special Teams23.000.84571.69

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Deshawn Purdie · QB

CFBD athlete 5138131. Wake Forest (2025–2025); Liberty (2026–2026); Charlotte (2024–2024)

Passing WEPA0.41312837.5%
Pass 88.7% · Rush 10.5%

1st 33.2% · 2nd 35.1% · 3rd 54.2%

Standard downs 30.3% · Passing downs 55.8%

2024: 3★ · 0.8511
Kam Davis · RB

CFBD athlete 5079364. Florida State (2024–2025); Liberty (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.4167819.5%
Pass 3.8% · Rush 29.1%

1st 21.3% · 2nd 19.2% · 3rd 14.5%

Standard downs 24.2% · Passing downs 7.8%

2024: 4★ · 0.9523
Peyton Jones · RB

CFBD athlete 4923298. Duke (2023–2025); Liberty (2026–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1185215.4%
Pass 3.8% · Rush 22.5%

1st 15.2% · 2nd 18.5% · 3rd 12.0%

Standard downs 16.2% · Passing downs 13.2%

2023: 3★ · 0.8714
Chase Reeves · PK

CFBD athlete 5086151. Southern Illinois (2022–2023); Liberty (2026–2026); McKendree (2025–2025)

Kicker PAAR7.33011—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

2022: stars unavailable
Bryce Randolph · WR

CFBD athlete 5215242. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.9%
Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.7%

1st 1.9% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 4.8%

Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 4.7%

Not linked
Caleb Ryan · TE

CFBD athlete 5162406. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 3.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.9% · 2nd 2.3% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.1% · Passing downs 2.4%

Not linked
Cam Wood · RB

CFBD athlete 5327553. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 4.9%

1st 3.2% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 4.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Darius Copeland · WR

CFBD athlete 5162399. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.3%
Pass 11.9% · Rush 1.8%

1st 3.3% · 2nd 3.3% · 3rd 14.5%

Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 8.5%

Not linked
Ethan Vasko · QB

CFBD athlete 4832918. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.8%
Pass 0.9% · Rush 3.9%

1st 2.0% · 2nd 4.7% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.7% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Jachin Davis · QB

CFBD athlete 5295943. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 5.3%

1st 7.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 4.2% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Jamari Person · WR

CFBD athlete 5117836. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.5%
Pass 15.7% · Rush 0.0%

1st 6.6% · 2nd 4.6% · 3rd 3.6%

Standard downs 5.2% · Passing downs 6.2%

Not linked
Jaylen Henderson · QB

CFBD athlete 4602923. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.2%
Pass 11.9% · Rush 4.5%

1st 6.2% · 2nd 5.4% · 3rd 11.9%

Standard downs 4.8% · Passing downs 12.1%

Not linked
Jaylin Belford · RB

CFBD athlete 5081710. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.9%
Pass 2.3% · Rush 4.9%

1st 2.5% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 2.2%

Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 4.3%

Not linked
Jaylon Coleman · RB

CFBD athlete 5296294. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.0%
Pass 8.2% · Rush 9.8%

1st 12.3% · 2nd 7.9% · 3rd 3.6%

Standard downs 9.5% · Passing downs 7.8%

Not linked
Jon Montiero · WR

CFBD athlete 5220265. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.6%
Pass 4.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.5% · 2nd 1.2% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.6% · Passing downs 1.4%

Not linked
Kanye Udoh · RB

CFBD athlete 5150313. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.5%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 5.6%

1st 3.3% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 2.5%

Standard downs 2.8% · Passing downs 5.0%

Not linked
Kelsey Johnson · TE

CFBD athlete 4702826. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.5%
Pass 7.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.7% · 2nd 4.7% · 3rd 1.6%

Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 3.6%

Not linked
Makai Jackson · WR

CFBD athlete 5088336. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.0%
Pass 20.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 5.7% · 2nd 7.3% · 3rd 10.8%

Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 10.9%

Not linked
Nasir Newkirk · WR

CFBD athlete 5218484. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.4%
Pass 3.8% · Rush 0.0%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 4.8%

Not linked
Rashawn Cunningham · WR

CFBD athlete 5224354. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 6.2% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.6% · 2nd 1.6% · 3rd 4.5%

Standard downs 1.4% · Passing downs 3.8%

Not linked
Terron Kellman · RB

CFBD athlete 4880964. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.5%
Pass 2.3% · Rush 10.5%

1st 5.4% · 2nd 10.2% · 3rd 7.6%

Standard downs 6.7% · Passing downs 9.6%

Not linked
Zeke Wimbush · TE

CFBD athlete 5091845. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.4%
Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.7% · 2nd 2.7% · 3rd 1.5%

Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 2.1%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 26 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Alex Birchmeier · IOLPenn State2026-01-053★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ashton McShane · CBBoston College2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ashton Whitner · SBall State2026-01-153★ / 0.8400Immediate
Breckan Kirby · TENorth Greenville2026-01-053★ / 0.8300Immediate
D-Icey Hopkins · SGeorgia State2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Deshawn Purdie · QBWake Forest2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Elijah McKenzie · CBBowie State2025-12-033★ / 0.8300Immediate
Greg Rivera · LSGrambling2026-01-12— / —Immediate
Henry Hicks · DLElizabeth City State2026-01-173★ / 0.8300Immediate
Izaiah Guy · CBSouth Florida2026-01-113★ / —Immediate
Jaylen Henderson · QBWest Virginia2026-01-213★ / 0.8300Immediate
John Custis · DLEmory & Henry2026-01-173★ / 0.8400Immediate
Jude Foster · IOLOle Miss2026-01-113★ / 0.8500Immediate
Justin Marshall · RBColorado State2026-01-113★ / 0.8300Immediate
Kam Davis · RBFlorida State2026-01-073★ / 0.8600Immediate
Kanye Udoh · RBArizona State2026-01-223★ / 0.8500Immediate
Kevin Evehe · OTNot reported2026-01-10— / —Immediate
Kyle Ferm · LBSMU2026-01-083★ / 0.8300Immediate
LaKelsey Johnson Jr. · TEBaylor2026-01-133★ / 0.8400Immediate
Lorenzo Payne IV · EDGEWest Florida2026-01-083★ / 0.8200Immediate
Makai Jackson · WRIndiana2026-01-053★ / 0.8600Immediate
Peyton Jones · RBDuke2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Refeno Vangates · WRNorth Carolina Central2026-01-283★ / 0.8500Immediate
Terron Kellman · RBWyoming2026-01-103★ / —Immediate
Tyrell Gainey · CBNot reported2026-01-08— / —Immediate
Val Erickson · OTNC State2026-01-043★ / —Immediate
Outgoing · 20 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Brenton Williams · EDGENot reported2026-01-153★ / —Withdrawn
Brylan Green · SNot reported2026-08-233★ / —Immediate
Cal Grubbs · IOLNot reported2025-12-053★ / —Immediate
Christian Bodnar · CBOklahoma State2026-01-113★ / 0.8400Immediate
Connie Hewitt II · TENot reported2025-12-113★ / —Immediate
Da'Jy'Quwan Jackson-Payne · OTSouthern Miss2026-01-133★ / 0.8200Immediate
Devin Henderson · SApp State2026-01-123★ / 0.8500Immediate
Dexter Ricks Jr. · CBTexas State2026-01-163★ / 0.8400Immediate
Donovan Dozier · EDGENorthwestern State2026-01-27— / —Immediate
Donte Lee Jr. · WRTexas Tech2026-01-043★ / 0.8600Immediate
Eli Hall · EDGEUAB2026-01-193★ / 0.8400Immediate
Eli Sisson · TENot reported2025-12-083★ / —Immediate
Evan Dickens · RBBoston College2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Jayden Bradford · QBSouth Florida2026-01-203★ / 0.8400Immediate
Kaidon Whidby · LBNot reported2025-12-313★ / —Immediate
Malachi Fannin-Render · RBJames Madison2026-01-173★ / 0.8200Immediate
Michael Merdinger · QBMinnesota2026-01-023★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ryan Manis · LSLouisville2026-01-103★ / 0.8300Immediate
Uriah Points · CBNot reported2025-12-203★ / —Immediate
Vaughn Blue · RBCentral Michigan2026-01-09— / —Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Liberty. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Jamey Chadwell · career 64–35 across 9 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 4 appointments
  1. 2023–present · Jamey Chadwell · active at capture

    25–13 · 38 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2022-12-04. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2022–2022 · Josh Aldridge · interim

    0–1 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2022-11-29. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2019–2022 · Hugh Freeze

    34–15 · 49 attributed games · 4 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2018-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2018–2018 · Turner Gill

    6–6 · 12 attributed games · 1 seasons

    Hired 2011-12-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Jamey Chadwell · incomplete attribution0–0——7.54.8109—
2025 · Jamey Chadwell4–83–50–0-9-1086—
2024 · Jamey Chadwell8–45–30–10.2-9.9105—
2023 · Jamey Chadwell13–19–00–187.311125
2022 · Hugh Freeze · incomplete attribution8–4——-1.5-3.598—
2022 · Josh Aldridge · incomplete attribution0–1——-1.5-3.598—
2021 · Hugh Freeze8–50–01–08.43.4111—
2020 · Hugh Freeze10–10–01–06.51.79517
2019 · Hugh Freeze8–50–01–0-2.6-6.7135—
2018 · Turner Gill6–60–00–0-19.7-10.3137—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:17:20 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play48 / 13865.715 / 13889.8
Success rate29 / 13879.610 / 13893.4
Explosiveness112 / 13819.0103 / 13825.5
Standard-down success31 / 13878.15 / 13897.1
Passing-down successT39 / 13871.9T55 / 13860.2
Pass PPA46 / 13867.211 / 13892.7
Rush PPA35 / 13875.263 / 13854.7
Pass explosiveness14 / 13890.565 / 13853.3
Rush explosiveness96 / 13830.7108 / 13821.9
Line yards15 / 13889.859 / 13857.7
Second-level yards3 / 13898.582 / 13840.9
Open-field yards41 / 13870.891 / 13834.3
Stuff rate16 / 13889.110 / 13893.4
Power success14 / 13890.55 / 13897.1
Havoc37 / 13873.7T28 / 13879.9
Front-seven havocT59 / 13855.8T46 / 13865.7
DB havocT30 / 13877.4T24 / 13882.5
Points / opportunity61 / 13856.24 / 13897.8
Average field position7 / 13895.6T9 / 13893.8
Field-position expected points8 / 13894.917 / 13888.3

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Deshawn Purdie · QBUsage 37.5% · Avg PPA 0.222 · Total 37.944
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.22237.94437.5%
Pass0.27839.26888.7%
Rush-0.044-1.32510.5%
1st down0.40028.02333.2%
2nd down0.23612.49735.1%
3rd down0.22410.08054.2%
Standard downs0.27727.42930.3%
Passing downs0.14610.51555.8%
Kam Davis · RBUsage 19.5% · Avg PPA 0.436 · Total 38.775
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.43638.77519.5%
Pass0.0050.0303.8%
Rush0.46738.74529.1%
1st down0.27112.18821.3%
2nd down0.2988.63619.2%
3rd down1.13613.62714.5%
Standard downs0.46136.45824.2%
Passing downs0.2322.3167.8%
Peyton Jones · RBUsage 15.4% · Avg PPA -0.009 · Total -0.629
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.009-0.62915.4%
Pass-0.168-1.0063.8%
Rush0.0060.37722.5%
1st down-0.161-5.14415.2%
2nd down0.0752.11018.5%
3rd down0.2412.40612.0%
Standard downs-0.108-5.71016.2%
Passing downs0.2995.08113.2%
Jaylon Coleman · RBUsage 9.0% · Avg PPA 0.476 · Total 19.508
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.47619.5089.0%
Pass0.3474.5148.2%
Rush0.53614.9949.8%
1st down0.50313.08512.3%
2nd down0.4195.0237.9%
3rd down0.4661.3993.6%
Standard downs0.42613.2139.5%
Passing downs0.6306.2957.8%
Terron Kellman · RBUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA 0.227 · Total 6.581
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2276.5817.5%
Pass0.6962.0872.3%
Rush0.1734.49410.5%
1st down-0.190-1.8985.4%
2nd down0.5847.59610.2%
3rd down0.9894.9457.6%
Standard downs0.1122.1316.7%
Passing downs0.4454.4509.6%
Jaylen Henderson · QBUsage 7.2% · Avg PPA 0.074 · Total 1.780
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0741.7807.2%
Pass0.3595.38711.9%
Rush-0.401-3.6074.5%
1st down-0.692-6.2256.2%
2nd down0.4062.4365.4%
3rd down1.1359.08211.9%
Standard downs-0.548-6.0264.8%
Passing downs0.6007.80612.1%
Makai Jackson · WRUsage 7.0% · Avg PPA 1.166 · Total 37.324
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.16637.3247.0%
Pass1.16637.32420.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down1.15413.8465.7%
2nd down1.90620.9637.3%
3rd down0.2792.51510.8%
Standard downs1.13320.3905.5%
Passing downs1.21016.93410.9%
Jamari Person · WRUsage 5.5% · Avg PPA 0.393 · Total 9.816
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3939.8165.5%
Pass0.3939.81615.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.93613.1106.6%
2nd down0.1811.2674.6%
3rd down-0.211-0.6343.6%
Standard downs0.86614.7295.2%
Passing downs-0.614-4.9136.2%
Darius Copeland · WRUsage 5.3% · Avg PPA 0.293 · Total 7.034
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2937.0345.3%
Pass0.4628.77611.9%
Rush-0.349-1.7431.8%
1st down0.2992.0923.3%
2nd down-0.380-1.9003.3%
3rd down0.5706.84214.5%
Standard downs0.1181.5404.0%
Passing downs0.4995.4948.5%
Jaylin Belford · RBUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.455 · Total 4.548
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4554.5483.9%
Pass-1.054-2.1082.3%
Rush0.8326.6564.9%
1st down0.1950.5862.5%
2nd down0.2511.5087.1%
3rd down2.4542.4542.2%
Standard downs0.1751.2253.8%
Passing downs1.1083.3234.3%
Kanye Udoh · RBUsage 3.5% · Avg PPA 0.098 · Total 0.684
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0980.6843.5%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.0980.6845.6%
1st down-0.455-1.3663.3%
2nd down0.0740.2214.5%
3rd down1.8301.8302.5%
Standard downs0.1160.4632.8%
Passing downs0.0740.2215.0%
Cam Wood · RBUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA 0.514 · Total 1.027
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.5141.0273.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.5141.0274.9%
1st down0.0950.0953.2%
2nd down0.9330.9334.3%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.5141.0274.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Jachin Davis · QBUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA 0.334 · Total 0.668
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3340.6683.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.3340.6685.3%
1st down0.3340.6687.1%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.3340.6684.2%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Bryce Randolph · WRUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 0.777 · Total 10.098
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.77710.0982.9%
Pass0.7778.5446.9%
Rush0.7771.5540.7%
1st down-0.116-0.4661.9%
2nd down0.8774.3843.3%
3rd down1.5456.1794.8%
Standard downs-0.092-0.6442.1%
Passing downs1.79010.7424.7%
Ethan Vasko · QBUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA 1.128 · Total 10.148
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.12810.1482.8%
Pass2.5292.5290.9%
Rush0.9527.6193.9%
1st down-0.344-1.0312.0%
2nd down1.6528.2614.7%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs1.12810.1483.7%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Kelsey Johnson · TEUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA -0.390 · Total -3.121
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.390-3.1212.5%
Pass-0.390-3.1217.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.291-0.2910.7%
2nd down0.1610.8054.7%
3rd down0.5310.5311.6%
Standard downs-0.649-3.2472.1%
Passing downs0.0420.1263.6%
Zeke Wimbush · TEUsage 2.4% · Avg PPA 0.710 · Total 5.676
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.7105.6762.4%
Pass0.7105.6766.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.2430.9702.7%
2nd down1.2273.6802.7%
3rd down1.0261.0261.5%
Standard downs0.2561.5342.5%
Passing downs2.0714.1432.1%
Rashawn Cunningham · WRUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA -0.185 · Total -1.481
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.185-1.4812.1%
Pass-0.185-1.4816.2%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.717-2.1501.6%
2nd down-0.552-1.1041.6%
3rd down0.5911.7734.5%
Standard downs-0.889-3.5581.4%
Passing downs0.5192.0763.8%
Jon Montiero · WRUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA -0.369 · Total -1.477
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.369-1.4771.6%
Pass-0.369-1.4774.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.356-1.0692.5%
2nd down-0.408-0.4081.2%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.356-1.0691.6%
Passing downs-0.408-0.4081.4%
Caleb Ryan · TEUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 0.126 · Total 0.252
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1260.2521.5%
Pass0.1260.2523.7%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.281-0.2811.9%
2nd down0.5330.5332.3%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.281-0.2811.1%
Passing downs0.5330.5332.4%
Nasir Newkirk · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA -3.513 · Total -3.513
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-3.513-3.5131.4%
Pass-3.513-3.5133.8%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs—0.0000.0%
Passing downs-3.513-3.5134.8%
Where Liberty sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.190 (66th percentile; 138 teams)66thOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.474 (80th percentile; 138 teams)80thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.152 (19th percentile; 138 teams)19thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.277 (67th percentile; 138 teams)67thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.170 (75th percentile; 138 teams)75thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: -0.050 (90th percentile; 138 teams)90thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.343 (93rd percentile; 138 teams)93rdDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.286 (26th percentile; 138 teams)26thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.181 (80th percentile; 138 teams)80th
Values and percentiles
Liberty metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.19066th138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.47480th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.15219th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.27767th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.17075th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play-0.05090th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.34393rd138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.28626th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.18180th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 151 attempts charted. Average depth of target 11.3 yards (95th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.2 per completion. Completion 58.3%, 8.9 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.41.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense61.7%56.6%+5.1128 / 151
Defense allowed55.6%63.0%-7.5180 / 219

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Liberty.

Target mix by zone, Liberty offense
Short left25% · 37Short middle23% · 34Short right35% · 52Deep left7% · 11Deep middle5% · 8Deep right5% · 8

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Liberty passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense15199%11.36.258.3%0.41+5.1 pp128
Passing defense219100%8.14.953.0%-0.01-7.5 pp180

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense2935.452.7%0.283.601.401.4011.6%85.3%
Defense allowed2113.735.2%0.022.600.901.2024.0%54.2%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense286 / 2932821111450277 / 277 · 100.0%
Defense allowed202 / 2112011014110196 / 196 · 100.0%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +5.1 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-7.13.313.8W1W1 vs James Madison: +5.8 ppW2W3W3 vs Ball State: +13.1 ppW4W4 vs Coastal Carolina: +13.8 ppW5W5 vs Delaware: -7.1 ppW6W6 vs Sam Houston: +11.6 ppW8W8 vs Kennesaw State: -2.6 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1James Madison282763.0%57.2%+5.8 pp10.30.23373.1-0.07
W2Gardner-Webb210———14.10.39444.40.05
W3Ball State242466.7%53.5%+13.1 pp13.90.87405.30.40
W4Coastal Carolina181866.7%52.9%+13.8 pp12.60.84455.90.27
W5Delaware252450.0%57.1%-7.1 pp9.0-0.11476.00.34
W6Sam Houston141471.4%59.8%+11.6 pp9.50.53397.60.51
W8Kennesaw State212157.1%59.7%-2.6 pp9.70.25415.50.41

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

25 punts · 40.9 gross yards/punt · 37.6 net yards/punt

7 inside the 20 · 3 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 25/25 punts. Known net yards: 20/25 punts.

Our punt returns

9 returns · 3.8 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

1 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 9/9 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 8 · Kennesaw State441.840.84/4
Week 6 · Sam Houston342.338.03/3
Week 5 · Delaware532.833.33/5
Week 4 · Coastal Carolina244.034.02/2
Week 3 · Ball State151.051.01/1
Team style
Rating history