Jacksonville State

2026 season

Conference USA

2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Jacksonville State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 84.5 across 8 systems; best 73, worst 100, so they disagree by 27 places.

Lab EPA: #73; Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS: #87; up 12026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+: #85; down 102026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo: #84; down 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI: #100; down 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE: #80; down 2 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS: #98; down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA: #73; down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record: #71 of 138
Schedule strength: #131 of 138
Remaining schedule strength: #131 of 138
Game control: #96 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall: #99 of 138
Offense: #63 of 138
Defense: #124 of 138
Special teams: #80 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Jacksonville State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

5-2 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

-0.014 net EPA/play

#73

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-2.80 points

#87 · Up 1 place since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +3.30 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -6.24, schedule #106 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -3.45. That is worth -2.94 on its own; the preseason prior of -2.38 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -2.80.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Jacksonville State · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

Game	Raw margin → transformed	Venue adjustment	Recency weight	Fit share	Opponent rating	Margin term	Opponent term	Total term
Week 1 · North Dakota State away · 2026-08-29 · ID 401864577	-26.00 → -26.00	+2.50	0.7637	9.68%	+5.92	-2.274	0.573	-1.702
Week 1 · Eastern Kentucky home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401868140	+42.00 → +35.00	-2.50	0.7637	9.68%	-25.00 (fixed lower division)	3.145	-2.419	0.726
Week 2 · Ohio away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401866418	-2.00 → -1.00 (OT)	+2.50	0.7937	10.06%	-1.24	0.151	-0.125	0.026
Week 3 · Georgia Southern home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401869948	+4.00 → +4.00	-2.50	0.8249	10.45%	-1.81	0.157	-0.189	-0.032
Week 4 · Middle Tennessee home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401871048	+10.00 → +10.00	-2.50	0.8572	10.86%	-8.22	0.815	-0.893	-0.078
Week 6 · Kennesaw State away · 2026-10-07 · ID 401871051	+1.00 → +1.00	+2.50	0.9259	11.73%	-9.30	0.411	-1.091	-0.680
Week 7 · Florida International home · 2026-10-14 · ID 401871053	+3.00 → +3.00	-2.50	0.9622	12.19%	-4.22	0.061	-0.514	-0.453

Game terms -2.19 points; prior term -0.60 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -2.80 points. The preseason prior is -2.38 with 25.34% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.3 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-2.6 SP+ points

#85 · Down 10 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

-3.67 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#80 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 1.94 on 346 plays; defense 5.62 on 379 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE rating CORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Jacksonville State 14 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches

Record: 6-2 · conf 4-0 · home 4-0 · away 2-2 · expected wins 5.4
Polls (Week 9): unranked
CFP latest: not published
CFP final: not published
Against the spread: 2026: 4-2-2 ATS (+2.9 avg) · 2025: 7-7 ATS (+2.4 avg)
Head coach: Charles Kelly · hired 2024-12-21 · 9-5 over 2 captured seasons
Recruiting classes: 2024 #128 (111 pts) · 2025 #110 (135 pts) · 2026 #86 (183 pts)
Returning: 50% of production · 47% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage
Passing 76% 66%
Receiving 49% 29%
Rushing 42% 44%
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Category	Production	Usage
Passing	76%	66%
Receiving	49%	29%
Rushing	42%	44%

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position group	Commits	Avg. stars	Avg. rating	Total rating
Defensive Back	13	3.00	0.8379	10.89
Defensive Line	9	2.89	0.8378	7.54
Linebacker	5	3.00	0.8509	4.25
Offensive Line	11	3.00	0.8361	9.20
Quarterback	4	3.00	0.8536	3.41
Receiver	10	2.90	0.8280	8.28
Running Back	6	3.00	0.8516	5.11
Special Teams	5	3.00	0.8392	4.20

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / history	Metric	Value	Plays / attempts	Overall usage	Usage detail	Recruiting
Caden Creel · QB CFBD athlete 5122157. Jacksonville State (2023–2026)	Passing WEPA	0.324	177	65.9%	Pass 98.6% · Rush 42.4% 1st 65.7% · 2nd 63.5% · 3rd 68.1% Standard downs 64.0% · Passing downs 71.2%	Not linked
Caden Creel · QB CFBD athlete 5122157. Jacksonville State (2023–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.226	92	65.9%	Pass 98.6% · Rush 42.4% 1st 65.7% · 2nd 63.5% · 3rd 68.1% Standard downs 64.0% · Passing downs 71.2%	Not linked
Jalen Likely · RB CFBD athlete 5226551. Jacksonville State (2024–2026)	Rushing WEPA	0.162	35	14.3%	Pass 6.5% · Rush 22.1% 1st 16.1% · 2nd 11.2% · 3rd 14.5% Standard downs 15.0% · Passing downs 12.4%	Not linked
Garrison Rippa · PK CFBD athlete 5150909. Jacksonville State (2023–2026)	Kicker PAAR	-0.730	13	—	Pass — · Rush — 1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs —	Not linked
Cedric Kouemi · RB CFBD athlete 5294241. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	5.7%	Pass 1.9% · Rush 9.4% 1st 5.7% · 2nd 7.4% · 3rd 3.4% Standard downs 6.0% · Passing downs 4.8%	Not linked
Darius Cannon · WR CFBD athlete 5160197. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.7%	Pass 15.5% · Rush 0.0% 1st 8.4% · 2nd 5.1% · 3rd 6.4% Standard downs 7.0% · Passing downs 6.1%	Not linked
David Alpers · TE CFBD athlete 5104052. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.5%	Pass 5.4% · Rush 0.0% 1st 1.8% · 2nd 5.4% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 3.3%	Not linked
Deondre Johnson · WR CFBD athlete 5069231. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.5%	Pass 15.1% · Rush 0.0% 1st 6.3% · 2nd 6.4% · 3rd 7.4% Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 10.6%	Not linked
Dylan Gentry · WR CFBD athlete 5219036. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.6%	Pass 7.6% · Rush 0.0% 1st 2.4% · 2nd 4.1% · 3rd 4.4% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 4.7%	Not linked
Franklin Baret Jr. · WR CFBD athlete 5193215. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	1.6%	Pass 3.3% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jack Moran · QB CFBD athlete 5222557. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	3.2%	Pass 6.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 8.3% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 0.0%	Not linked
Jameson Scissum · TE CFBD athlete 5265499. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	2.3%	Pass 4.0% · Rush 0.8% 1st 1.5% · 2nd 2.5% · 3rd 4.5% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 1.6%	Not linked
Jamill Williams · WR CFBD athlete 5087930. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.5%	Pass 13.2% · Rush 1.5% 1st 7.5% · 2nd 8.3% · 3rd 1.1% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 6.8%	Not linked
Justus Savage · RB CFBD athlete 5176911. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	9.9%	Pass 4.9% · Rush 13.0% 1st 10.2% · 2nd 5.7% · 3rd 18.2% Standard downs 8.1% · Passing downs 14.3%	Not linked
Khristian Lando · RB CFBD athlete 5226550. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.5%	Pass 1.8% · Rush 10.7% 1st 5.9% · 2nd 7.1% · 3rd 7.4% Standard downs 6.7% · Passing downs 6.1%	Not linked
Lucas Farrington · RB CFBD athlete 5257214. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	10.2%	Pass 5.2% · Rush 14.8% 1st 8.5% · 2nd 10.8% · 3rd 15.5% Standard downs 10.7% · Passing downs 8.8%	Not linked
Luke Gilbert · TE CFBD athlete 5265478. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	4.8%	Pass 11.0% · Rush 0.0% 1st 5.0% · 2nd 4.5% · 3rd 5.3% Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 6.8%	Not linked
Ronnel Johnson · WR CFBD athlete 5161162. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.	Not available	—	—	6.0%	Pass 13.7% · Rush 0.0% 1st 4.2% · 2nd 9.6% · 3rd 4.3% Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 11.4%	Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 21 reported

Player	From	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Amarii Atchison · OT	Mercer	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Andrew Rumph · DL	UCF	2026-01-09	3★ / —	Immediate
Angel Toombs · EDGE	Wisconsin	2026-01-11	— / —	Immediate
Bo Burkes · IOL	North Carolina	2026-01-08	3★ / —	Immediate
Britin Witt · IOL	VMI	2026-01-17	— / —	Immediate
Caleb Holmes · IOL	Pittsburgh	2026-01-16	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Cameron Stancil · OT	Murray State	2026-01-09	— / —	Immediate
Darius Cannon · WR	Murray State	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Hadine Diaby · IOL	Nevada	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Jackson Bunn · IOL	Kentucky	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8100	Immediate
Jamill Williams · WR	Not reported	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Jonavan Carr · CB	Not reported	2026-01-08	— / —	Immediate
Kaden Cook · CB	California	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Keiyon Turner · CB	Fort Hays	2026-01-09	3★ / —	Immediate
Marquis Hood · DL	North Carolina A&T	2026-01-10	— / —	Immediate
Marvin Stringfellow · DL	Not reported	2026-01-06	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Nii Addy · DL	Harding	2026-01-09	— / —	Immediate
Rob Billings IV · S	Clemson	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Ronnel Johnson · WR	Missouri State	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Ryan Walker · IOL	North Alabama	2026-01-10	— / —	Immediate
Vernon Woodward III · CB	Illinois	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate

Outgoing · 14 reported

Player	To	Date	Stars / rating	Eligibility
Amare Grayson · IOL	West Virginia	2026-01-10	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Cam Cook · RB	West Virginia	2026-01-06	3★ / 0.8700	Immediate
Cameron Griffin · IOL	West Virginia	2026-01-09	3★ / 0.8400	Immediate
Cole Marszalek · LS	Kentucky	2026-01-21	— / —	Immediate
Darrell Prater · DL	Illinois	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Emmanuel Oyebadejo · DL	Florida	2026-01-06	3★ / 0.8800	Immediate
Jackson Veasy · DL	Not reported	2026-01-12	— / —	Immediate
Jayke Jones · CB	Austin Peay	2026-01-23	— / —	Immediate
Khari Bendolph · LB	Massachusetts	2026-01-12	3★ / 0.8300	Immediate
Malcolm Jones · S	Iowa State	2026-01-21	3★ / 0.8600	Immediate
Reggie Jackson · OT	Boston College	2026-01-05	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Talan Carter · DL	Vanderbilt	2026-01-05	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate
Timothy Taylor Jr. · DL	Bowling Green	2026-01-17	3★ / 0.8000	Immediate
Travis Franklin Jr. · S	Wyoming	2026-01-15	3★ / 0.8500	Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Jacksonville State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Charles Kelly · career 9–5 across 2 seasons and 1 schools

Tenure timeline · 2 appointments

2025–present · Charles Kelly · active at capture
9–5 · 14 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2024-12-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2023–2024 · Rich Rodriguez
18–9 · 27 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2021-11-30. Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coach	Record	Conference	Postseason	SP+	SRS	Recruiting rank	Final poll
2026 · Charles Kelly · incomplete attribution	0–0	—	—	-0.5	-7.6	86	—
2025 · Charles Kelly	9–5	7–1	1–0	-6.7	-8.4	110	—
2024 · Rich Rodriguez	9–5	8–1	0–1	-1	-2.8	128	—
2023 · Rich Rodriguez	9–4	6–2	1–0	-1.6	-1.2	163	—

Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-23 16:44:47 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

Statistic	Offense rank / population	Percentile	Defense rank / population	Percentile
PPA / play	49 / 138	65.0	76 / 138	45.3
Success rate	36 / 138	74.5	86 / 138	38.0
Explosiveness	94 / 138	32.1	13 / 138	91.2
Standard-down success	41 / 138	70.8	100 / 138	27.7
Passing-down success	36 / 138	74.5	40 / 138	71.5
Pass PPA	29 / 138	79.6	57 / 138	59.1
Rush PPA	76 / 138	45.3	89 / 138	35.8
Pass explosiveness	85 / 138	38.7	33 / 138	76.6
Rush explosiveness	84 / 138	39.4	36 / 138	74.5
Line yards	60 / 138	56.9	87 / 138	37.2
Second-level yards	48 / 138	65.7	55 / 138	60.6
Open-field yards	102 / 138	26.3	49 / 138	65.0
Stuff rate	92 / 138	33.6	111 / 138	19.7
Power success	15 / 138	89.8	135 / 138	2.2
Havoc	T60 / 138	56.6	T86 / 138	37.6
Front-seven havoc	T46 / 138	66.4	T84 / 138	38.7
DB havoc	T71 / 138	48.2	T67 / 138	50.7
Points / opportunity	89 / 138	35.8	79 / 138	43.1
Average field position	128 / 138	7.3	T42 / 138	69.3
Field-position expected points	125 / 138	9.5	T50 / 138	63.5

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Caden Creel · QBUsage 67.0% · Avg PPA 0.274 · Total 80.442

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.274	80.442	67.0%
Pass	0.330	65.317	98.5%
Rush	0.213	20.232	42.2%
1st down	0.161	22.736	67.5%
2nd down	0.076	6.593	64.0%
3rd down	0.744	42.380	69.5%
Standard downs	0.161	34.310	65.3%
Passing downs	0.570	46.132	71.7%

Jalen Likely · RBUsage 15.7% · Avg PPA 0.257 · Total 12.592

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.257	12.592	15.7%
Pass	0.425	4.680	7.2%
Rush	0.208	7.912	25.5%
1st down	0.170	4.071	16.0%
2nd down	-0.185	-2.399	13.5%
3rd down	0.630	6.300	17.5%
Standard downs	0.395	14.620	15.8%
Passing downs	-0.169	-2.029	15.4%

Justus Savage · RBUsage 14.3% · Avg PPA 0.468 · Total 3.741

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.468	3.741	14.3%
Pass	-0.121	-0.121	4.3%
Rush	0.552	3.863	22.6%
1st down	0.350	1.399	13.8%
2nd down	1.431	1.431	6.7%
3rd down	0.304	0.911	30.0%
Standard downs	0.564	2.822	12.5%
Passing downs	0.306	0.919	18.8%

Lucas Farrington · RBUsage 10.2% · Avg PPA 0.285 · Total 11.123

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.285	11.123	10.2%
Pass	0.413	4.128	5.7%
Rush	0.241	6.995	14.7%
1st down	0.345	5.178	8.2%
2nd down	-0.327	-4.252	10.9%
3rd down	0.927	10.196	15.3%
Standard downs	0.353	10.599	10.4%
Passing downs	0.058	0.524	9.5%

Darius Cannon · WRUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA 0.087 · Total 2.856

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.087	2.856	7.5%
Pass	0.087	2.856	16.4%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.094	-1.877	9.6%
2nd down	0.191	1.337	5.1%
3rd down	0.566	3.396	7.3%
Standard downs	-0.055	-1.430	8.0%
Passing downs	0.612	4.287	6.2%

Jamill Williams · WRUsage 7.3% · Avg PPA 0.629 · Total 20.139

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.629	20.139	7.3%
Pass	0.743	20.815	13.9%
Rush	-0.169	-0.676	1.8%
1st down	0.687	11.673	8.1%
2nd down	0.173	2.243	9.6%
3rd down	3.715	3.715	1.2%
Standard downs	0.698	16.045	7.1%
Passing downs	0.455	4.095	8.0%

Deondre Johnson · WRUsage 7.1% · Avg PPA 1.178 · Total 36.511

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.178	36.511	7.1%
Pass	1.178	36.511	15.4%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	1.003	14.039	6.7%
2nd down	1.139	10.252	6.6%
3rd down	1.635	11.444	8.5%
Standard downs	0.846	15.220	5.5%
Passing downs	1.638	21.291	11.5%

Ronnel Johnson · WRUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA 0.309 · Total 8.968

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.309	8.968	6.6%
Pass	0.309	8.968	14.4%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.104	1.043	4.8%
2nd down	-0.062	-0.861	10.3%
3rd down	1.323	5.291	4.9%
Standard downs	-0.108	-1.617	4.6%
Passing downs	0.756	10.585	12.4%

Cedric Kouemi · RBUsage 5.7% · Avg PPA -0.036 · Total -0.677

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.036	-0.677	5.7%
Pass	-0.276	-0.829	1.9%
Rush	0.009	0.152	9.4%
1st down	-0.447	-4.020	5.7%
2nd down	0.261	2.085	7.4%
3rd down	0.629	1.258	3.4%
Standard downs	-0.125	-1.870	6.0%
Passing downs	0.298	1.193	4.8%

Khristian Lando · RBUsage 5.5% · Avg PPA -0.147 · Total -3.527

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.147	-3.527	5.5%
Pass	0.766	2.297	1.5%
Rush	-0.277	-5.824	9.3%
1st down	-0.169	-1.855	5.3%
2nd down	0.432	3.022	5.1%
3rd down	-0.120	-0.602	6.1%
Standard downs	-0.266	-5.058	5.8%
Passing downs	0.306	1.530	4.4%

Luke Gilbert · TEUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.883 · Total 15.011

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.883	15.011	3.9%
Pass	0.883	15.011	8.5%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	1.079	10.786	4.8%
2nd down	0.846	3.384	2.9%
3rd down	0.280	0.841	3.7%
Standard downs	1.196	13.160	3.4%
Passing downs	0.309	1.851	5.3%

Dylan Gentry · WRUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA -0.235 · Total -2.112

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	-0.235	-2.112	3.6%
Pass	-0.235	-2.112	7.6%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	-0.173	-0.520	2.4%
2nd down	0.957	2.871	4.1%
3rd down	-0.274	-0.548	4.4%
Standard downs	-0.836	-5.015	3.2%
Passing downs	0.968	2.904	4.7%

Jack Moran · QBUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA 1.257 · Total 2.514

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	1.257	2.514	3.2%
Pass	1.257	2.514	6.7%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	0.647	0.647	5.0%
3rd down	1.866	1.866	8.3%
Standard downs	1.257	2.514	3.9%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

David Alpers · TEUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA 0.964 · Total 2.892

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.964	2.892	2.5%
Pass	0.964	2.892	5.4%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	0.403	0.403	1.8%
2nd down	1.245	2.490	5.4%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.334	0.669	2.3%
Passing downs	2.223	2.223	3.3%

Jameson Scissum · TEUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.605 · Total 3.631

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.605	3.631	2.3%
Pass	0.718	3.588	4.0%
Rush	0.042	0.042	0.8%
1st down	0.306	0.611	1.5%
2nd down	0.457	0.914	2.5%
3rd down	1.053	2.106	4.5%
Standard downs	0.678	3.392	2.5%
Passing downs	0.239	0.239	1.6%

Franklin Baret Jr. · WRUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 0.647 · Total 0.647

Split	Average PPA	Total PPA	Usage
Overall	0.647	0.647	1.6%
Pass	0.647	0.647	3.3%
Rush	—	0.000	0.0%
1st down	—	0.000	0.0%
2nd down	0.647	0.647	5.0%
3rd down	—	0.000	0.0%
Standard downs	0.647	0.647	2.0%
Passing downs	—	0.000	0.0%

Where Jacksonville State sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Values and percentiles

Jacksonville State metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
Metric	Value	Percentile	Better
Offense PPA/play	0.184	65th138 teams	higher
Offense success rate	0.469	74th138 teams	higher
Offense explosiveness	1.194	32nd138 teams	higher
Offense pass PPA/play	0.345	80th138 teams	higher
Offense rush PPA/play	0.088	45th138 teams	higher
Defense PPA/play	0.076	45th138 teams	lower
Defense success rate	0.419	38th138 teams	lower
Defense explosiveness	1.105	91st138 teams	lower
Defense havoc created	0.150	38th138 teams	higher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 98% of 213 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.4 yards (40th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.8 per completion. Completion 67.6%, 8.4 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.32.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
Side	Actual	Expected	CPOE (pp)	Qualifying / all attempts
Offense	65.7%	63.1%	+2.6	181 / 213
Defense allowed	63.1%	64.5%	-1.4	195 / 218

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Jacksonville State.

Target mix by zone, Jacksonville State offense

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail

Jacksonville State passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
Side	Attempts	Charted	ADOT	YAC	Comp %	PPA	CPOE	CPOE att
Passing offense	213	98%	8.4	5.8	67.6%	0.32	+2.6 pp	181
Passing defense	218	98%	6.0	5.2	62.4%	0.10	-1.4 pp	195

Rushing production

Side	Attempts	Yards / carry	Success	PPA	Line yards / rush	Second-level yards / rush	Open-field yards / rush	Stuff rate	Power success
Offense	281	4.9	49.1%	0.19	3.20	1.20	1.30	15.8%	78.6%
Defense allowed	292	4.5	43.6%	0.13	3.10	1.00	0.90	13.9%	86.5%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

Side	Yards recorded	Individual	Unattributed	Sacks	Kneels	Team rushes	Multiple carriers	Direction located / eligible
Offense	273 / 281	264	17	8	6	8	0	264 / 265 · 99.6%
Defense allowed	283 / 292	268	24	11	1	1	0	279 / 280 · 99.6%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

MetricSide

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +2.6 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage

Week	Opponent	Pass att	CPOE att	Comp %*	Expected %*	CPOE	ADOT	Pass PPA	Rush att	Rush yds/carry	Rush PPA
W1	North Dakota State	23	23	52.2%	64.1%	-11.9 pp	8.0	-0.37	31	2.6	-0.04
W1	Eastern Kentucky	30	0	—	—	—	10.2	0.91	31	5.5	0.23
W2	Ohio	26	25	76.0%	68.9%	+7.1 pp	4.5	0.81	46	3.5	-0.02
W3	Georgia Southern	24	24	70.8%	59.6%	+11.2 pp	10.4	0.45	25	4.4	0.38
W4	Middle Tennessee	27	27	70.4%	62.7%	+7.7 pp	7.7	0.01	39	7.1	0.42
W6	Kennesaw State	44	44	59.1%	61.6%	-2.5 pp	8.5	0.33	30	2.5	-0.11
W7	Florida International	22	22	72.7%	62.9%	+9.8 pp	8.9	0.23	32	5.6	0.22
W9	New Mexico State	17	16	62.5%	63.5%	-1.0 pp	9.0	-0.12	47	6.7	0.36

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

17 punts · 47.2 gross yards/punt · 45.1 net yards/punt

4 inside the 20 · 0 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 17/17 punts. Known net yards: 11/17 punts.

Our punt returns

7 returns · 15.7 yards/return · 1 touchdowns

0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 7/7 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games

Game	Punts	Gross yd/punt	Net yd/punt	Known net yards
Week 9 · New Mexico State	1	46.0	—	0/1
Week 7 · Florida International	2	48.0	42.0	2/2
Week 6 · Kennesaw State	3	46.3	43.3	3/3
Week 4 · Middle Tennessee	0	—	—	0/0
Week 3 · Georgia Southern	3	52.3	52.3	3/3

Team style

Rating history