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Houston

2026 season

Big 12
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Houston's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 23.5 across 8 systems; best 13, worst 44, so they disagree by 31 places.

Lab EPA
#26
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#19
down 12026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#22
down 42026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#44
up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#18
no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#25
down 9 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#13
down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#26
down 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#18 of 138
Schedule strength
#28 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#67 of 138
Game control
#11 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#16 of 138
Offense
#12 of 138
Defense
#60 of 138
Special teams
#24 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Houston · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

6-2 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.102 net EPA/play

#26

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

9.98 points

#19 · Down 1 place since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +9.97 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging +2.57, schedule #18 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average +6.08. That is worth +12.54 on its own; the preseason prior of +1.04 still carries 22% of the weight, giving +9.98.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Houston · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Oregon State
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401856778
+13.00 → +13.00-2.500.76378.47%+7.090.8890.6011.490
Week 2 · Southern
home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401856787
+71.00 → +35.00-2.500.79378.80%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.860-2.2000.660
Week 3 · Texas Tech
away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401856811
-2.00 → -2.00+2.500.82499.15%+10.710.0460.9791.025
Week 4 · Georgia Southern
away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401856806
+14.00 → +14.00+2.500.85729.51%-1.811.568-0.1721.397
Week 5 · UCF
home · 2026-10-03 · ID 401856819
+10.00 → +10.00-2.500.89099.88%+3.510.7410.3471.088
Week 6 · Kansas State
away · 2026-10-10 · ID 401856825
+19.00 → +19.00+2.500.925910.27%+1.972.2070.2022.409
Week 7 · Oklahoma State
home · 2026-10-17 · ID 401856831
+3.00 → +3.00-2.500.962210.67%+7.380.0530.7880.841
Week 8 · Utah
away · 2026-10-25 · ID 401856837
-8.00 → -8.00+2.501.000011.09%+13.12-0.6101.4550.845

Game terms +9.75 points; prior term +0.23 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +9.98 points. The preseason prior is +1.04 with 22.18% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

13.3 SP+ points

#22 · Down 4 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

11.46 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#25 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 12.14 on 493 plays; defense 0.67 on 413 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Houston 7 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
6-2 · conf 3-2 · home 4-0 · away 2-2 · expected wins 6.2
Polls (Week 9)
AP Top 25 #18 · Coaches Poll #19
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 3-5 ATS (+4.1 avg) · 2025: 9-4 ATS (+2.1 avg)
Head coach
Willie Fritz · hired 2023-12-03 · 14-11 over 3 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #60 (184 pts) · 2025 #52 (199 pts) · 2026 #38 (219 pts)
Returning
81% of production · 60% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing92%93%
Receiving61%49%
Rushing523%43%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back93.000.85917.73
Defensive Line143.070.871012.19
Linebacker63.170.86595.20
Offensive Line123.080.860910.33
Quarterback43.500.88473.54
Receiver133.150.872411.34
Running Back63.500.88015.28
Special Teams53.400.89544.48

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Conner Weigman · QB

CFBD athlete 4685574. Texas A&M (2022–2024); Houston (2025–2026)

Passing WEPA0.55224252.2%
Pass 96.8% · Rush 18.7%

1st 43.9% · 2nd 53.5% · 3rd 66.7%

Standard downs 49.1% · Passing downs 63.0%

2022: 5★ · 0.9899
Makhi Hughes · RB

CFBD athlete 4816098. Houston (2026–2026); Oregon (2025–2025); Tulane (2022–2024)

Rushing WEPA0.18111222.9%
Pass 5.7% · Rush 37.0%

1st 24.2% · 2nd 22.5% · 3rd 22.9%

Standard downs 25.6% · Passing downs 13.4%

2022: 3★ · 0.8541
Re'Shaun Sanford II · RB

CFBD athlete 5078223. Houston (2023–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1538317.3%
Pass 5.3% · Rush 27.2%

1st 20.8% · 2nd 17.6% · 3rd 8.6%

Standard downs 16.6% · Passing downs 19.7%

2023: 3★ · 0.8494
Conner Weigman · QB

CFBD athlete 4685574. Texas A&M (2022–2024); Houston (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.3756452.2%
Pass 96.8% · Rush 18.7%

1st 43.9% · 2nd 53.5% · 3rd 66.7%

Standard downs 49.1% · Passing downs 63.0%

2022: 5★ · 0.9899
Jonathan Dimas · PK

CFBD athlete 5192408. Houston (2024–2026)

Kicker PAAR3.4209—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Amare Thomas · WR

CFBD athlete 5077060. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——11.0%
Pass 25.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 10.0% · 2nd 10.2% · 3rd 15.2%

Standard downs 9.2% · Passing downs 17.3%

Not linked
Braeden Robinson · WR

CFBD athlete 5381557. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.2%

1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
DJ Butler · RB

CFBD athlete 5149563. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.1%
Pass 0.8% · Rush 6.7%

1st 2.8% · 2nd 6.5% · 3rd 4.0%

Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 4.7%

Not linked
Jaquise Martin · WR

CFBD athlete 5220975. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 5.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.6% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
John Hebert · RB

CFBD athlete 5292032. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.2%
Pass 5.3% · Rush 11.1%

1st 10.5% · 2nd 5.3% · 3rd 12.5%

Standard downs 10.5% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Kaleb Thomas · TE

CFBD athlete 5148827. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.3%
Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.4% · 2nd 2.1% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Keisean Henderson · QB

CFBD athlete 5159035. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.5%
Pass 15.7% · Rush 1.2%

1st 11.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 4.8%

Standard downs 7.3% · Passing downs 3.4%

Not linked
Koby Young · WR

CFBD athlete 5146728. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.1%
Pass 11.3% · Rush 1.9%

1st 9.3% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 1.0%

Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 4.7%

Not linked
Luke Carney · QB

CFBD athlete 5208138. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.2%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 8.9%

1st 5.3% · 2nd 10.5% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.5% · Passing downs 25.0%

Not linked
Luke Mcgary · TE

CFBD athlete 5125734. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.5%
Pass 8.5% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.5% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 1.8%

Standard downs 4.0% · Passing downs 1.7%

Not linked
Nehemiah Warmate · RB

CFBD athlete 5296225. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.7%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 11.1%

1st 7.9% · 2nd 10.5% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 8.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Patrick Overmyer · TE

CFBD athlete 5120299. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——10.1%
Pass 22.7% · Rush 0.6%

1st 8.9% · 2nd 11.8% · 3rd 7.6%

Standard downs 10.3% · Passing downs 9.4%

Not linked
Traville Frederick Jr. · TE

CFBD athlete 5136180. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——3.1%
Pass 9.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.9% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Trent Walker · WR

CFBD athlete 4879567. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.9%
Pass 18.2% · Rush 0.0%

1st 4.1% · 2nd 7.5% · 3rd 18.1%

Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 12.6%

Not linked
Zane Smith · RB

CFBD athlete 5296226. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——15.4%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 22.2%

1st 10.5% · 2nd 15.8% · 3rd 37.5%

Standard downs 17.5% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 18 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Anthony Boswell · IOLToledo2026-01-073★ / 0.8800Immediate
Ashton Porter · DLOregon2026-01-163★ / 0.8800Immediate
De'Marion Thomas · DLOklahoma State2026-01-073★ / 0.8600Immediate
Drew Terrill · OTMiami (OH)2026-01-043★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ejiroghene Egodogbare · DLYale2026-01-083★ / 0.8700Immediate
Evan Noel · KFlorida2026-01-123★ / 0.8000Immediate
Hayden Wright · OTNorthwestern2026-01-053★ / —Immediate
Jack Carson-Wentz · LSFlorida A&M2026-01-22— / —Immediate
Jaden Yates · LBOle Miss2026-01-103★ / 0.8600Immediate
Javion White · STulane2026-01-133★ / 0.8700Immediate
Luke Carney · QBSyracuse2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Makhi Hughes · RBOregon2026-01-043★ / 0.8800Immediate
Miller Malone · LBWestern Kentucky2026-01-093★ / 0.8500Immediate
Muizz Tounkara · WRFlorida2026-01-153★ / 0.8600Immediate
Patrick Overmyer · TEUTSA2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Shadre Hurst · IOLTulane2026-01-043★ / 0.8700Immediate
Trent Walker · WROregon State2026-01-073★ / 0.8700Immediate
Tyson Turner · WRTexas Tech2026-01-103★ / 0.8500Immediate
Outgoing · 17 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Austin Carlisle · QBUL Monroe2026-01-133★ / 0.8600Immediate
Cavan Tuley · EDGEMissouri2026-01-133★ / 0.8300Immediate
Cayden Bowie · IOLNot reported2026-01-043★ / —Immediate
Corey Platt Jr. · LBTexas Tech2026-01-133★ / 0.8800Immediate
David Ndukwe · OTNot reported2026-01-163★ / —Immediate
Demetrius Hunter · IOLColorado2026-01-143★ / 0.8600Immediate
Derek Joiner · IOLTarleton State2026-02-043★ / —Immediate
Devan Williams · WRNot reported2026-01-233★ / —Immediate
Ethan Sanchez · KSouth Carolina2026-08-28— / —Immediate
J'Marion Burnette · RBApp State2026-01-153★ / 0.8600Immediate
Jayden York · TENot reported2026-01-12— / —Immediate
Jesus Machado · LBRice2026-01-123★ / 0.8400Immediate
Joshua Donald · DLLouisville2026-01-163★ / 0.8400Immediate
Reshad Sterling · EDGETulane2026-01-093★ / —Immediate
Zavian Tibbs · EDGENot reported2025-12-30— / —Immediate
Zeon Chriss-Gremillion · QBTulane2026-01-083★ / —Immediate
Zion Taylor · EDGESam Houston2026-01-123★ / 0.8300Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Houston. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Willie Fritz · career 86–65 across 13 seasons and 3 schools

Tenure timeline · 16 appointments
  1. 2024–present · Willie Fritz · active at capture

    14–11 · 25 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2023-12-03. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2019–2024 · Dana Holgorsen

    31–28 · 59 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2019-01-01. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2016–2018 · Major Applewhite

    15–11 · 26 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2016-12-09. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2015–2016 · Tom Herman

    22–4 · 26 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2014-12-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 2014–2014 · David Gibbs

    1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2014-12-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  6. 2012–2014 · Tony Levine

    20–17 · 37 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2012-12-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  7. 2008–2011 · Kevin Sumlin

    35–17 · 52 attributed games · 4 seasons

    Hired 2007-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  8. 2003–2007 · Art Briles

    34–28 · 62 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Hired 2002-12-06. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  9. 2000–2002 · Dana Dimel

    8–26 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Hired 1999-12-12. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  10. 1993–1999 · Kim Helton

    24–53–1 · 78 attributed games · 7 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  11. 1990–1992 · John Jenkins

    18–15 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  12. 1987–1989 · Jack Pardee

    22–11–1 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  13. 1962–1986 · Bill Yeoman

    160–108–8 · 276 attributed games · 25 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  14. 1957–1961 · Hal Lahar

    24–23–2 · 49 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  15. 1955–1956 · Bill Meek

    13–6–1 · 20 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

  16. 1949–1954 · Clyde Lee

    32–26–2 · 60 attributed games · 6 seasons

    Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Willie Fritz · incomplete attribution0–0——14.316.238—
2025 · Willie Fritz10–36–31–07.46.35222
2024 · Willie Fritz · incomplete attribution4–8——-8.2-260—
2024 · Dana Holgorsen · incomplete attribution0–0——-8.2-260—
2023 · Dana Holgorsen4–82–70–0-7.8-3.355—
2022 · Dana Holgorsen8–55–31–04.52.850—
2021 · Dana Holgorsen12–28–11–010.97.78117
2020 · Dana Holgorsen3–53–30–13.3—82—
2019 · Dana Holgorsen4–82–60–0-4.3-0.172—
2018 · Major Applewhite8–55–30–12.3-1.173—
2017 · Major Applewhite7–55–30–17.72.769—
2016 · Major Applewhite · incomplete attribution0–1——10.15.436—
2016 · Tom Herman · incomplete attribution9–3——10.15.436—
2015 · Tom Herman13–18–11–06.214.3898
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 23:13:21 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play11 / 13892.7105 / 13824.1
Success rate1 / 138100.095 / 13831.4
Explosiveness123 / 13810.9102 / 13826.3
Standard-down success8 / 13894.994 / 13832.1
Passing-down success2 / 13899.3101 / 13827.0
Pass PPA7 / 13895.6101 / 13827.0
Rush PPA34 / 13875.968 / 13851.1
Pass explosiveness42 / 13870.183 / 13840.1
Rush explosiveness134 / 1382.942 / 13870.1
Line yards5 / 13897.132 / 13877.4
Second-level yards47 / 13866.454 / 13861.3
Open-field yards85 / 13838.768 / 13851.1
Stuff rate12 / 13892.033 / 13876.6
Power success65 / 13853.3T63 / 13854.4
Havoc8 / 13894.919 / 13886.9
Front-seven havocT9 / 13893.4T72 / 13847.4
DB havocT44 / 13867.52 / 13899.3
Points / opportunity31 / 13878.1130 / 1385.8
Average field position14 / 13890.51 / 138100.0
Field-position expected points12 / 13892.01 / 138100.0

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Conner Weigman · QBUsage 52.2% · Avg PPA 0.450 · Total 134.438
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.450134.43852.2%
Pass0.477114.05096.8%
Rush0.34320.20818.7%
1st down0.15217.90543.9%
2nd down0.46045.97053.5%
3rd down1.05673.88766.7%
Standard downs0.31268.37249.1%
Passing downs0.82666.06763.0%
Makhi Hughes · RBUsage 22.9% · Avg PPA 0.066 · Total 8.608
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0668.60822.9%
Pass0.0851.1845.7%
Rush0.0637.42537.0%
1st down-0.044-2.83824.2%
2nd down-0.120-5.03722.5%
3rd down0.68716.48322.9%
Standard downs0.09711.03725.6%
Passing downs-0.143-2.42913.4%
Re'Shaun Sanford II · RBUsage 17.3% · Avg PPA 0.137 · Total 13.529
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.13713.52917.3%
Pass0.80710.4915.3%
Rush0.0353.03827.2%
1st down0.1307.30420.8%
2nd down0.1264.17017.6%
3rd down0.6926.2298.6%
Standard downs0.0785.74816.6%
Passing downs0.3117.78119.7%
Zane Smith · RBUsage 15.4% · Avg PPA 0.508 · Total 5.075
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.5085.07515.4%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.5085.07522.2%
1st down0.7533.01110.5%
2nd down0.0840.25215.8%
3rd down0.6041.81237.5%
Standard downs0.5085.07517.5%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Amare Thomas · WRUsage 11.0% · Avg PPA 0.743 · Total 46.779
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.74346.77911.0%
Pass0.74346.77925.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.1684.52510.0%
2nd down0.55610.55510.2%
3rd down1.75628.10115.2%
Standard downs0.42117.2699.2%
Passing downs1.34129.51017.3%
Patrick Overmyer · TEUsage 10.1% · Avg PPA 0.453 · Total 26.290
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.45326.29010.1%
Pass0.55631.10922.7%
Rush-2.410-4.8190.6%
1st down0.3688.8278.9%
2nd down0.69315.24511.8%
3rd down0.2602.0767.6%
Standard downs0.43219.87410.3%
Passing downs0.5356.4169.4%
John Hebert · RBUsage 9.2% · Avg PPA 1.190 · Total 7.142
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.1907.1429.2%
Pass2.6182.6185.3%
Rush0.9054.52411.1%
1st down1.0864.34210.5%
2nd down0.2840.2845.3%
3rd down2.5152.51512.5%
Standard downs1.1907.14210.5%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Trent Walker · WRUsage 7.9% · Avg PPA 0.615 · Total 27.665
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.61527.6657.9%
Pass0.61527.66518.2%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.5115.6234.1%
2nd down0.3625.0677.5%
3rd down1.11621.19918.1%
Standard downs0.45013.0516.5%
Passing downs0.91314.61412.6%
Nehemiah Warmate · RBUsage 7.7% · Avg PPA 0.240 · Total 1.201
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2401.2017.7%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.2401.20111.1%
1st down0.1330.3997.9%
2nd down0.4010.80310.5%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.2401.2018.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Keisean Henderson · QBUsage 6.5% · Avg PPA 1.476 · Total 13.280
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall1.47613.2806.5%
Pass1.1379.09515.7%
Rush4.1854.1851.2%
1st down1.78414.27311.1%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down-0.993-0.9934.8%
Standard downs1.78414.2737.3%
Passing downs-0.993-0.9933.4%
Luke Carney · QBUsage 6.2% · Avg PPA 0.735 · Total 2.939
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.7352.9396.2%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.7352.9398.9%
1st down0.0210.0435.3%
2nd down1.4482.89610.5%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.0210.0433.5%
Passing downs1.4482.89625.0%
Koby Young · WRUsage 6.1% · Avg PPA 0.547 · Total 19.144
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.54719.1446.1%
Pass0.53915.09811.3%
Rush0.6443.8661.9%
1st down0.54813.6989.3%
2nd down0.6345.0724.3%
3rd down3.7073.7071.0%
Standard downs0.52915.3496.5%
Passing downs0.6323.7954.7%
DJ Butler · RBUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 0.348 · Total 4.174
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.3484.1744.1%
Pass-0.889-0.8890.8%
Rush0.4605.0636.7%
1st down0.5942.3782.8%
2nd down0.2081.2506.5%
3rd down0.2730.5464.0%
Standard downs0.3603.2384.0%
Passing downs0.3120.9364.7%
Luke Mcgary · TEUsage 3.5% · Avg PPA 0.766 · Total 7.659
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.7667.6593.5%
Pass0.7667.6598.5%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.5433.2604.5%
2nd down0.3541.0623.4%
3rd down3.3373.3371.8%
Standard downs0.4804.3224.0%
Passing downs3.3373.3371.7%
Traville Frederick Jr. · TEUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA 0.651 · Total 1.302
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.6511.3023.1%
Pass0.6511.3029.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.766-0.7662.9%
2nd down2.0682.0684.8%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.6511.3023.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Braeden Robinson · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.021 · Total -0.021
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.021-0.0211.5%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush-0.021-0.0212.2%
1st down—0.0000.0%
2nd down-0.021-0.0215.3%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.021-0.0211.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Jaquise Martin · WRUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA 0.931 · Total 0.931
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.9310.9311.5%
Pass0.9310.9315.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.9310.9312.6%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.9310.9311.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Kaleb Thomas · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -0.261 · Total -0.521
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.261-0.5211.3%
Pass-0.261-0.5212.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.167-0.1671.4%
2nd down-0.354-0.3542.1%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.261-0.5211.7%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Where Houston sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.315 (93rd percentile; 138 teams)93rdOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.530 (100th percentile; 138 teams)100thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.119 (11th percentile; 138 teams)11thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.499 (96th percentile; 138 teams)96thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.173 (76th percentile; 138 teams)76thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.149 (24th percentile; 138 teams)24thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.426 (31st percentile; 138 teams)31stDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.284 (26th percentile; 138 teams)26thDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.190 (87th percentile; 138 teams)87th
Values and percentiles
Houston metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.31593rd138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.530100th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.11911th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.49996th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.17376th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.14924th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.42631st138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.28426th138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.19087th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 241 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.3 yards (35th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.7 per completion. Completion 66.0%, 8.9 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.54.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense64.5%60.5%+4.1220 / 241
Defense allowed63.1%60.8%+2.3241 / 263

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Houston.

Target mix by zone, Houston offense
Short left31% · 72Short middle22% · 51Short right37% · 88Deep left5% · 11Deep middle1% · 3Deep right5% · 11

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Houston passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense24199%8.36.766.0%0.54+4.1 pp220
Passing defense26399%9.26.062.4%0.31+2.3 pp241

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense3235.053.3%0.233.601.201.1010.8%73.8%
Defense allowed2143.842.1%0.052.801.001.1019.3%70.4%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense319 / 3233121110670303 / 306 · 99.0%
Defense allowed211 / 214207713441196 / 197 · 99.5%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +4.1 pp. 7 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-8.44.818.1W1W1 vs Oregon State: +5.0 ppW2W3W3 vs Texas Tech: +4.8 ppW4W4 vs Georgia Southern: +18.1 ppW5W5 vs UCF: -5.7 ppW6W6 vs Kansas State: +4.6 ppW7W7 vs Oklahoma State: +16.0 ppW8W8 vs Utah: -8.4 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Oregon State313164.5%59.5%+5.0 pp11.40.47415.60.17
W2Southern190———6.81.18458.60.62
W3Texas Tech383770.3%65.5%+4.8 pp6.40.41374.80.28
W4Georgia Southern222176.2%58.1%+18.1 pp9.21.03414.90.24
W5UCF333354.5%60.3%-5.7 pp7.8-0.11443.50.14
W6Kansas State303063.3%58.7%+4.6 pp8.50.80445.30.18
W7Oklahoma State333372.7%56.7%+16.0 pp9.90.85404.00.09
W8Utah353554.3%62.7%-8.4 pp6.90.19312.80.02

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

20 punts · 46.9 gross yards/punt · 42.3 net yards/punt

5 inside the 20 · 2 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 20/20 punts. Known net yards: 14/20 punts.

Our punt returns

7 returns · 11.4 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

1 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 7/7 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 8 · Utah452.049.02/4
Week 7 · Oklahoma State241.526.01/2
Week 6 · Kansas State359.344.73/3
Week 5 · UCF337.738.02/3
Week 4 · Georgia Southern148.028.01/1
Team style
Rating history