Record
2-6 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordHawai'i
2026 season
Mountain West
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Hawai'i's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 114 across 8 systems; best 88, worst 124, so they disagree by 36 places.
- Lab EPA
- #124
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #110
- up 162026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #107
- up 122026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #88
- up 122026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #103
- up 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #119
- up 14 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #118
- up 122026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #124
- up 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #130 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #122 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #116 of 138
- Game control
- #130 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #112 of 138
- Offense
- #98 of 138
- Defense
- #117 of 138
- Special teams
- #56 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Hawai'i · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.131 net EPA/play
#124
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-7.39 points
#110 · Up 16 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 8 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin -3.05 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -6.17, schedule #105 of 138 (#1 = toughest). That is worth -9.22 on its own; the preseason prior of -1.03 still carries 22% of the weight, giving -7.39.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Hawai'i · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Stanford away · 2026-08-29 · ID 401858201 | -10.00 → -10.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 8.53% | -7.74 | -0.639 | -0.660 | -1.299 |
| Week 1 · UNLV home · 2026-09-06 · ID 401864497 | -15.00 → -15.00 | -2.50 | 0.7637 | 8.53% | -0.87 | -1.492 | -0.074 | -1.566 |
| Week 2 · New Mexico State home · 2026-09-13 · ID 401864578 | +10.00 → +10.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 8.86% | -6.78 | 0.665 | -0.601 | 0.064 |
| Week 4 · Wyoming away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401864510 | -17.00 → -17.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 9.57% | -8.25 | -1.388 | -0.789 | -2.177 |
| Week 5 · San José State home · 2026-10-04 · ID 401864513 | -4.00 → -4.00 | -2.50 | 0.8909 | 9.95% | -8.63 | -0.646 | -0.859 | -1.505 |
| Week 6 · Arizona State away · 2026-10-11 · ID 401856808 | -18.00 → -18.00 | +2.50 | 0.9259 | 10.34% | -2.90 | -1.602 | -0.300 | -1.902 |
| Week 7 · New Mexico home · 2026-10-18 · ID 401864521 | -11.00 → -11.00 | -2.50 | 0.9622 | 10.74% | +8.10 | -1.450 | 0.871 | -0.580 |
| Week 8 · Northern Illinois away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401864526 | +35.00 → +35.00 | +2.50 | 1.0000 | 11.16% | -21.35 | 4.186 | -2.383 | 1.803 |
Game terms -7.16 points; prior term -0.23 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -7.39 points. The preseason prior is -1.03 with 22.33% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±8.8 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 8 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-9.6 SP+ points
#107 · Up 12 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-13.30 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#119 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -6.53 on 550 plays; defense 6.77 on 475 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Hawai'i 14 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 2-6 · conf 1-4 · home 1-3 · away 1-3 · expected wins 2.1
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 4-4 ATS (-0.3 avg) · 2025: 9-4 ATS (+3.7 avg)
- Head coach
- Timmy Chang · hired 2022-01-22 · 19-19 over 4 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #116 (138 pts) · 2025 #124 (102 pts) · 2026 #124 (161 pts)
- Returning
- 65% of production · 58% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 91% 79% Receiving 52% 45% Rushing 21% 43% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 6 | 2.67 | 0.8218 | 4.93 |
| Defensive Line | 9 | 2.89 | 0.8186 | 7.37 |
| Linebacker | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8245 | 7.42 |
| Offensive Line | 10 | 3.00 | 0.8214 | 8.21 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8395 | 3.36 |
| Receiver | 13 | 2.77 | 0.8197 | 10.66 |
| Special Teams | 8 | 2.88 | 0.8279 | 6.62 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Micah Alejado · QBCFBD athlete 5101124. Hawai'i (2024–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.210 | 360 | 65.4% | Pass 97.0% · Rush 12.3%1st 59.3% · 2nd 65.5% · 3rd 80.6% Standard downs 59.9% · Passing downs 75.4% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8467 |
Devon Rice · RBCFBD athlete 5079651. Hawai'i (2026–2026); Kansas State (2024–2025) | Rushing WEPA | 0.201 | 88 | 18.1% | Pass 6.1% · Rush 40.4%1st 24.7% · 2nd 18.0% · 3rd 7.0% Standard downs 22.2% · Passing downs 10.6% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8633 |
Cam Barfield · RBCFBD athlete 4869582. Hawai'i (2024–2026); Boston College (2022–2023) | Rushing WEPA | 0.068 | 45 | 13.8% | Pass 5.6% · Rush 29.7%1st 14.4% · 2nd 16.9% · 3rd 8.7% Standard downs 16.1% · Passing downs 9.7% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8589 |
Sean Olvera-Harle · PKCFBD athlete 5295256. Hawai'i (2025–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 0.630 | 16 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Audric Harris · WRCFBD athlete 5079499. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.6% | Pass 10.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.7% · 2nd 7.5% · 3rd 9.5% Standard downs 4.8% · Passing downs 9.7% | Not linked |
Bjorn Jurgensen · QBCFBD athlete 5211117. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.6% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 1.8%1st 2.5% · 2nd 3.9% · 3rd 5.4% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 6.0% | Not linked |
Blaze Kamoku · WRCFBD athlete 5218880. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.8% | Pass 6.0% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.3% · 2nd 6.5% · 3rd 4.5% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 5.8% | Not linked |
Carson Brown · WRCFBD athlete 5081863. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.1% | Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.3% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 4.9% Standard downs 3.9% · Passing downs 4.5% | Not linked |
Devin Alves · WRCFBD athlete 4917119. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.9% | Pass 9.2% · Rush 0.6%1st 7.2% · 2nd 7.7% · 3rd 1.8% Standard downs 7.2% · Passing downs 3.8% | Not linked |
Devon Tauaefa · TECFBD athlete 4819259. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.2% | Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.2% · 2nd 2.4% · 3rd 2.8% Standard downs 3.7% · Passing downs 2.3% | Not linked |
Frank Abreu · TECFBD athlete 5173623. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.8% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 4.3% | Not linked |
Josiah Fetui · WRCFBD athlete 5218882. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.4% | Pass 3.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.9% · 2nd 1.2% · 3rd 7.3% Standard downs 0.9% · Passing downs 4.9% | Not linked |
Kainoa Carvalho · WRCFBD athlete 5085972. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.3% | Pass 14.6% · Rush 0.5%1st 9.9% · 2nd 7.7% · 3rd 10.9% Standard downs 9.9% · Passing downs 8.2% | Not linked |
Koa Eldredge · WRCFBD athlete 5150635. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.9% | Pass 3.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.9% · 2nd 1.6% · 3rd 2.6% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 1.7% | Not linked |
Nick Delgadillo · WRCFBD athlete 5158917. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.2% | Pass 7.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.8% · 2nd 8.4% · 3rd 3.1% Standard downs 2.7% · Passing downs 7.0% | Not linked |
Sitani Mikaele · RBCFBD athlete 5218869. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.2% | Pass 2.5% · Rush 13.3%1st 5.3% · 2nd 6.2% · 3rd 6.2% Standard downs 5.6% · Passing downs 7.2% | Not linked |
TJ Fo'ilefutu · RBCFBD athlete 5291002. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 1.1% · Rush 8.2%1st 4.7% · 2nd 4.0% · 3rd 2.9% Standard downs 2.9% · Passing downs 6.1% | Not linked |
Tama Uiliata · WRCFBD athlete 5218881. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.8% | Pass 13.8% · Rush 3.4%1st 7.4% · 2nd 6.7% · 3rd 15.5% Standard downs 8.8% · Passing downs 11.6% | Not linked |
Titan Lacaden · WRCFBD athlete 5148777. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.8% | Pass 7.5% · Rush 0.5%1st 6.6% · 2nd 3.6% · 3rd 3.9% Standard downs 6.1% · Passing downs 2.4% | Not linked |
Tre Griffiths · WRCFBD athlete 5146748. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.2% | Pass 5.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.4% · 2nd 1.9% · 3rd 5.1% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 3.0% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 16 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adam Tomczyk · EDGE | West Virginia | 2026-01-29 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Audric Harris · WR | Washington | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Bjorn Jurgensen · QB | Virginia | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Caleb Brown · CB | Virginia Tech | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Carson Brown · WR | Iowa State | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| DeVon Rice · RB | Kansas State | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Devin Alves · WR | Virginia Tech | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Geoffrey Speight Jr. · DL | West Georgia | 2026-01-23 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Jeremiah Hughes · CB | Michigan State | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Joenel Figueroa · S | West Georgia | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Khalil Walker · IOL | South Florida | 2026-01-22 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kodi DeCambra · S | UNLV | 2026-01-07 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Lipe Moala · IOL | Oregon | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Ozzy Pollard · DL | Not reported | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Spencer Elliott · EDGE | Portland State | 2026-01-11 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Tre' Griffiths · WR | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 9 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Billy Gowers · P | Indiana | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Brandon White · WR | Kansas State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Deliyon Freeman · CB | Not reported | 2025-12-15 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Dermaricus Davis · QB | Cal Poly | 2026-01-27 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Jackson Harris · WR | LSU | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8900 | Immediate |
| Joey Farthing · WR | Not reported | 2025-12-28 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Luke Weaver · QB | San José State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Semaj James · S | Not reported | 2025-12-30 | — / — | Immediate |
| Tim Malo · S | Not reported | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Hawai'i. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Timmy Chang · career 22–29 across 5 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 12 appointments
2022–present · Timmy Chang · active at capture
22–29 · 51 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2022-01-22. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2020–2021 · Todd Graham
11–11 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2020-01-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2016–2019 · Nick Rolovich
28–27 · 55 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2015-11-27. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2015–2015 · Chris Naeole
1–3 · 4 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2015-11-01. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2012–2015 · Norm Chow
10–36 · 46 attributed games · 4 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2011-12-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2008–2011 · Greg McMackin
29–25 · 53 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2008-01-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1999–2007 · June Jones
76–41 · 117 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1996–1998 · Fred Vonappen
5–31 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1987–1995 · Bob Wagner
58–49–3 · 110 attributed games · 9 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1977–1986 · Dick Tomey
63–46–3 · 112 attributed games · 10 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1974–1976 · Larry Price
15–18 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1971–1971 · Dave Holmes
7–4 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Timmy Chang · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -12.6 | -13.6 | 124 | — |
| 2025 · Timmy Chang | 9–4 | 5–3 | 1–0 | 1.7 | -3.3 | 124 | — |
| 2024 · Timmy Chang | 5–7 | 3–4 | 0–0 | -10.9 | -12.9 | 116 | — |
| 2023 · Timmy Chang | 5–8 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -16.4 | -12.7 | 117 | — |
| 2022 · Timmy Chang | 3–10 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -24.7 | -18.4 | 126 | — |
| 2021 · Todd Graham | 6–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -2.3 | -7.8 | 127 | — |
| 2020 · Todd Graham | 5–4 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -7.1 | -3.3 | 127 | — |
| 2019 · Nick Rolovich | 10–5 | 5–4 | 1–0 | -1.9 | -2.3 | 115 | — |
| 2018 · Nick Rolovich | 8–6 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -10.4 | -10.1 | 96 | — |
| 2017 · Nick Rolovich | 3–9 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -19.7 | -20.3 | 86 | — |
| 2016 · Nick Rolovich | 7–7 | 4–4 | 1–0 | -10.1 | -11.4 | 108 | — |
| 2015 · Norm Chow · incomplete attribution | 2–7 | — | — | -16.3 | -21.7 | 122 | — |
| 2015 · Chris Naeole · incomplete attribution | 1–3 | — | — | -16.3 | -21.7 | 122 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:25:10 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 106 / 138 | 23.4 | 115 / 138 | 16.8 |
| Success rate | 94 / 138 | 32.1 | 116 / 138 | 16.1 |
| Explosiveness | 118 / 138 | 14.6 | 50 / 138 | 64.2 |
| Standard-down success | 74 / 138 | 46.7 | 111 / 138 | 19.7 |
| Passing-down success | 101 / 138 | 27.0 | 102 / 138 | 26.3 |
| Pass PPA | 104 / 138 | 24.8 | 95 / 138 | 31.4 |
| Rush PPA | 109 / 138 | 21.2 | 107 / 138 | 22.6 |
| Pass explosiveness | 132 / 138 | 4.4 | 32 / 138 | 77.4 |
| Rush explosiveness | 118 / 138 | 14.6 | 80 / 138 | 42.3 |
| Line yards | 91 / 138 | 34.3 | 112 / 138 | 19.0 |
| Second-level yards | 93 / 138 | 32.8 | 109 / 138 | 21.2 |
| Open-field yards | 88 / 138 | 36.5 | 96 / 138 | 30.7 |
| Stuff rate | 96 / 138 | 30.7 | 101 / 138 | 27.0 |
| Power success | 47 / 138 | 66.4 | 62 / 138 | 55.5 |
| Havoc | 113 / 138 | 18.2 | T110 / 138 | 20.1 |
| Front-seven havoc | T84 / 138 | 37.2 | T103 / 138 | 25.2 |
| DB havoc | 125 / 138 | 9.5 | T88 / 138 | 35.4 |
| Points / opportunity | 101 / 138 | 27.0 | 114 / 138 | 17.5 |
| Average field position | T107 / 138 | 21.5 | T27 / 138 | 80.3 |
| Field-position expected points | T115 / 138 | 16.4 | 35 / 138 | 75.2 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Micah Alejado · QBUsage 65.4% · Avg PPA 0.076 · Total 28.916
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.076 | 28.916 | 65.4% |
| Pass | 0.111 | 39.121 | 97.0% |
| Rush | 0.133 | 3.335 | 12.3% |
| 1st down | 0.022 | 3.132 | 59.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.010 | 1.306 | 65.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.358 | 37.200 | 80.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.040 | 9.021 | 59.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.128 | 19.895 | 75.4% |
Devon Rice · RBUsage 18.1% · Avg PPA 0.056 · Total 5.898
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.056 | 5.898 | 18.1% |
| Pass | -0.347 | -7.632 | 6.1% |
| Rush | 0.172 | 14.088 | 40.4% |
| 1st down | -0.069 | -4.155 | 24.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.275 | 9.622 | 18.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.517 | 4.653 | 7.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.007 | 0.595 | 22.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.241 | 5.302 | 10.6% |
Cam Barfield · RBUsage 13.8% · Avg PPA -0.012 · Total -0.696
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.012 | -0.696 | 13.8% |
| Pass | 0.222 | 3.336 | 5.6% |
| Rush | -0.092 | -4.032 | 29.7% |
| 1st down | -0.172 | -4.480 | 14.4% |
| 2nd down | -0.020 | -0.492 | 16.9% |
| 3rd down | 1.063 | 8.502 | 8.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.102 | -4.485 | 16.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.253 | 3.788 | 9.7% |
Tama Uiliata · WRUsage 9.8% · Avg PPA 0.557 · Total 31.731
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.557 | 31.731 | 9.8% |
| Pass | 0.482 | 24.115 | 13.8% |
| Rush | 1.088 | 7.616 | 3.4% |
| 1st down | 0.022 | 0.396 | 7.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.249 | 3.234 | 6.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.734 | 14.676 | 15.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.631 | 20.812 | 8.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.455 | 10.918 | 11.6% |
Kainoa Carvalho · WRUsage 9.3% · Avg PPA 0.265 · Total 14.337
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.265 | 14.337 | 9.3% |
| Pass | 0.241 | 12.753 | 14.6% |
| Rush | 1.584 | 1.584 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | 0.348 | 8.357 | 9.9% |
| 2nd down | -0.071 | -1.064 | 7.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.745 | 10.434 | 10.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.306 | 11.308 | 9.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.178 | 3.029 | 8.2% |
Audric Harris · WRUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA 0.363 · Total 12.354
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.363 | 12.354 | 6.6% |
| Pass | 0.363 | 12.354 | 10.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.487 | 4.869 | 4.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.737 | 9.580 | 7.5% |
| 3rd down | -0.190 | -2.095 | 9.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.802 | 12.836 | 4.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.027 | -0.482 | 9.7% |
Sitani Mikaele · RBUsage 6.2% · Avg PPA -0.040 · Total -1.424
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.040 | -1.424 | 6.2% |
| Pass | 0.369 | 3.317 | 2.5% |
| Rush | -0.176 | -4.741 | 13.3% |
| 1st down | -0.232 | -3.016 | 5.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.091 | -1.094 | 6.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.328 | 2.622 | 6.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.000 | -0.002 | 5.6% |
| Passing downs | -0.095 | -1.422 | 7.2% |
Devin Alves · WRUsage 5.9% · Avg PPA 0.476 · Total 14.285
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.476 | 14.285 | 5.9% |
| Pass | 0.434 | 12.577 | 9.2% |
| Rush | 1.708 | 1.708 | 0.6% |
| 1st down | 0.446 | 6.688 | 7.2% |
| 2nd down | 0.390 | 5.069 | 7.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.264 | 2.528 | 1.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.374 | 8.604 | 7.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.812 | 5.681 | 3.8% |
Titan Lacaden · WRUsage 4.8% · Avg PPA 0.453 · Total 12.670
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.453 | 12.670 | 4.8% |
| Pass | 0.460 | 12.412 | 7.5% |
| Rush | 0.258 | 0.258 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | 0.434 | 6.938 | 6.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.180 | 1.258 | 3.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.895 | 4.474 | 3.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.345 | 7.924 | 6.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.949 | 4.747 | 2.4% |
Nick Delgadillo · WRUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA -0.389 · Total -4.665
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.389 | -4.665 | 4.2% |
| Pass | -0.389 | -4.665 | 7.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -1.074 | -1.074 | 0.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.077 | -0.617 | 8.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.266 | 0.531 | 3.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.199 | -0.997 | 2.7% |
| Passing downs | -0.524 | -3.668 | 7.0% |
Carson Brown · WRUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 0.032 · Total 0.482
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.032 | 0.482 | 4.1% |
| Pass | 0.032 | 0.482 | 6.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.011 | -0.055 | 3.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.080 | -0.480 | 5.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.254 | 1.016 | 4.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.048 | -0.436 | 3.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.153 | 0.918 | 4.5% |
TJ Fo'ilefutu · RBUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.455 · Total 2.728
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.455 | 2.728 | 3.9% |
| Pass | -0.703 | -0.703 | 1.1% |
| Rush | 0.686 | 3.431 | 8.2% |
| 1st down | -0.060 | -0.180 | 4.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.042 | 0.084 | 4.0% |
| 3rd down | 2.824 | 2.824 | 2.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.060 | -0.180 | 2.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.969 | 2.908 | 6.1% |
Blaze Kamoku · WRUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA 0.197 · Total 2.756
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.197 | 2.756 | 3.8% |
| Pass | 0.197 | 2.756 | 6.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.681 | -1.362 | 1.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.005 | -0.042 | 6.5% |
| 3rd down | 1.040 | 4.160 | 4.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.001 | 0.004 | 2.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.344 | 2.752 | 5.8% |
Bjorn Jurgensen · QBUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA -0.386 · Total -4.250
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.386 | -4.250 | 3.6% |
| Pass | -0.407 | -3.662 | 4.8% |
| Rush | -0.294 | -0.588 | 1.8% |
| 1st down | -0.697 | -2.092 | 2.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.178 | -0.713 | 3.9% |
| 3rd down | -0.361 | -1.446 | 5.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.613 | -2.451 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.257 | -1.799 | 6.0% |
Devon Tauaefa · TEUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA 0.042 · Total 0.665
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.042 | 0.665 | 3.2% |
| Pass | 0.042 | 0.665 | 5.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.016 | -0.140 | 4.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.287 | -1.146 | 2.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.650 | 1.951 | 2.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.051 | 0.613 | 3.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.013 | 0.053 | 2.3% |
Tre Griffiths · WRUsage 3.2% · Avg PPA -0.415 · Total -2.073
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.415 | -2.073 | 3.2% |
| Pass | -0.415 | -2.073 | 5.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.799 | -1.598 | 3.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.218 | 0.218 | 1.9% |
| 3rd down | -0.347 | -0.693 | 5.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.653 | -1.959 | 3.4% |
| Passing downs | -0.057 | -0.114 | 3.0% |
Frank Abreu · TEUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA 0.951 · Total 9.508
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.951 | 9.508 | 2.8% |
| Pass | 0.951 | 9.508 | 4.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.208 | 3.623 | 2.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.471 | 2.827 | 5.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 1.337 | 6.685 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.565 | 2.823 | 4.3% |
Josiah Fetui · WRUsage 2.4% · Avg PPA 1.141 · Total 13.695
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.141 | 13.695 | 2.4% |
| Pass | 1.141 | 13.695 | 3.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.647 | -1.294 | 0.9% |
| 2nd down | 1.062 | 2.125 | 1.2% |
| 3rd down | 1.608 | 12.864 | 7.3% |
| Standard downs | -0.478 | -1.435 | 0.9% |
| Passing downs | 1.681 | 15.130 | 4.9% |
Koa Eldredge · WRUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA -0.414 · Total -2.895
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.414 | -2.895 | 1.9% |
| Pass | -0.414 | -2.895 | 3.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.039 | -0.118 | 1.9% |
| 2nd down | -0.919 | -1.838 | 1.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.470 | -0.939 | 2.6% |
| Standard downs | -0.391 | -1.956 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.470 | -0.939 | 1.7% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.058 | 23rd138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.408 | 32nd138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.141 | 15th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.105 | 25th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.025 | 21st138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.175 | 17th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.447 | 16th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.190 | 64th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.136 | 20th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 350 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.4 yards (40th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 4.2 per completion. Completion 58.6%, 6.3 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.16.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 59.0% | 61.0% | -2.1 | 346 / 350 |
| Defense allowed | 62.1% | 60.8% | +1.3 | 206 / 207 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Hawai'i.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 350 | 99% | 8.4 | 4.2 | 58.6% | 0.16 | -2.1 pp | 346 |
| Passing defense | 207 | 100% | 9.3 | 4.9 | 62.3% | 0.30 | +1.3 pp | 206 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 219 | 3.3 | 46.4% | 0.10 | 3.10 | 1.00 | 0.50 | 16.5% | 76.5% |
| Defense allowed | 284 | 4.8 | 45.7% | 0.16 | 3.40 | 1.10 | 1.30 | 12.8% | 72.2% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 216 / 219 | 211 | 8 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 193 / 194 · 99.5% |
| Defense allowed | 279 / 284 | 270 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 263 / 265 · 99.2% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -2.1 pp. 8 of 8 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Stanford | 52 | 52 | 59.6% | 63.9% | -4.3 pp | 6.7 | 0.20 | 21 | 2.2 | 0.20 |
| W1 | UNLV | 44 | 44 | 38.6% | 59.4% | -20.8 pp | 8.8 | -0.02 | 33 | 3.6 | 0.06 |
| W2 | New Mexico State | 47 | 47 | 72.3% | 61.5% | +10.9 pp | 7.6 | 0.39 | 26 | 2.7 | -0.09 |
| W4 | Wyoming | 44 | 44 | 63.6% | 61.7% | +1.9 pp | 7.4 | 0.14 | 23 | 4.4 | 0.27 |
| W5 | San José State | 38 | 35 | 65.7% | 58.6% | +7.1 pp | 10.3 | 0.21 | 25 | 3.8 | -0.11 |
| W6 | Arizona State | 51 | 51 | 51.0% | 62.8% | -11.8 pp | 7.6 | -0.09 | 22 | 2.9 | 0.11 |
| W7 | New Mexico | 40 | 40 | 57.5% | 58.5% | -1.0 pp | 9.8 | 0.02 | 27 | 1.6 | -0.10 |
| W8 | Northern Illinois | 34 | 33 | 66.7% | 60.2% | +6.5 pp | 11.0 | 0.53 | 42 | 4.2 | 0.34 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
38 punts · 43.6 gross yards/punt · 37.8 net yards/punt
10 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 38/38 punts. Known net yards: 26/38 punts.
Our punt returns
9 returns · 5.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
0 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 9/9 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 · Northern Illinois | 3 | 45.0 | 41.0 | 2/3 |
| Week 7 · New Mexico | 6 | 37.8 | 32.3 | 4/6 |
| Week 6 · Arizona State | 5 | 51.4 | 30.0 | 2/5 |
| Week 5 · San José State | 3 | 40.7 | 30.5 | 2/3 |
| Week 4 · Wyoming | 3 | 43.3 | 35.0 | 2/3 |