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Georgia Southern

2026 season

Sun Belt
2026 preseason report

Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.

What every system says

Georgia Southern's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 83 across 8 systems; best 56, worst 94, so they disagree by 38 places.

Lab EPA
#58
Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Lab SRS
#82
down 42026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
SP+
#94
down 92026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Elo
#92
up 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI
#90
down 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CORE
#56
down 2 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD SRS
#84
down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
WEPA
#58
down 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
Compare every team

FPI context

ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026

Résumé and schedule

Results earned and schedule difficulty

Strength of record
#103 of 138
Schedule strength
#90 of 138
Remaining schedule strength
#114 of 138
Game control
#71 of 138

Unit efficiency

Performance by unit

Overall
#83 of 138
Offense
#49 of 138
Defense
#82 of 138
Special teams
#138 of 138

Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.

Why the ratings disagree

Georgia Southern · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.

Record

3-4 wins–losses

No rank assigned

Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

SP+ workbook record

Descriptive EPA

0.026 net EPA/play

#58

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge

Lab EPA from CFBD plays

Local predictive SRS

-1.81 points

#82 · Down 4 places since the previous CFBD cutoff

2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.

This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +1.65 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -2.98, schedule #71 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average +0.22. That is worth -1.33 on its own; the preseason prior of -3.24 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -1.81.

How each game enters this SRS rating

Georgia Southern · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.

GameRaw margin → transformedVenue adjustmentRecency weightFit shareOpponent ratingMargin termOpponent termTotal term
Week 1 · Charleston Southern
home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401868170
+31.00 → +31.00-2.500.76379.52%-25.00 (fixed lower division)2.714-2.3810.333
Week 2 · Clemson
away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401858219
-15.00 → -15.00+2.500.79379.90%+1.52-1.2370.151-1.087
Week 3 · Jacksonville State
away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401869948
-4.00 → -4.00+2.500.824910.29%-2.80-0.154-0.288-0.442
Week 4 · Houston
home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401856806
-14.00 → -14.00-2.500.857210.69%+9.98-1.7641.067-0.697
Week 5 · Coastal Carolina
away · 2026-10-03 · ID 401869942
+7.00 → +7.00+2.500.890911.11%-6.061.055-0.6730.383
Week 6 · James Madison
home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401869949
-3.00 → -3.00-2.500.925911.55%+9.51-0.6351.0980.463
Week 7 · Old Dominion
away · 2026-10-15 · ID 401869950
+8.00 → +8.00+2.500.962212.00%-10.091.260-1.2110.049

Game terms -1.00 points; prior term -0.81 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -1.81 points. The preseason prior is -3.24 with 24.94% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.

These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.

Download fitted terms and source hashes

Estimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.

2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00

Lab SRS from CFBD scores

External SP+

-4.8 SP+ points

#94 · Down 9 places

2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.

Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.

2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00

Bill Connelly SP+ workbook

External CORE

2.31 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays

#56 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)

2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.

CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 3.16 on 397 plays; defense 0.85 on 384 plays.

2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00

CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defense

EPA ranks Georgia Southern 24 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.

Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.

Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence

Program context

2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches
Record
3-4 · conf 2-1 · home 1-2 · away 2-2 · expected wins 3.7
Polls (Week 9)
unranked
CFP latest
not published
CFP final
not published
Against the spread
2026: 6-1 ATS (+3.4 avg) · 2025: 7-6 ATS (-2.1 avg)
Head coach
Clay Helton · hired 2021-11-02 · 21-18 over 4 captured seasons
Recruiting classes
2024 #91 (157 pts) · 2025 #80 (165 pts) · 2026 #89 (182 pts)
Returning
6% of production · 21% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
CategoryProductionUsage
Passing-4%7%
Receiving9%20%
Rushing7%38%

Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.

Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.

Recruiting by position group

2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC

Position groupCommitsAvg. starsAvg. ratingTotal rating
Defensive Back123.080.849010.19
Defensive Line163.000.836413.38
Linebacker83.000.84256.74
Offensive Line122.920.83129.97
Quarterback43.000.83993.36
Receiver152.930.830712.46
Running Back13.000.87220.87
Special Teams73.000.83605.85

Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.

Player efficiency and usage

2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTC

Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions

Player / historyMetricValuePlays / attemptsOverall usageUsage detailRecruiting
Max Johnson · QB

CFBD athlete 4685740. LSU (2020–2021); North Carolina (2024–2025); Texas A&M (2022–2023); Georgia Southern (2026–2026)

Passing WEPA0.37920352.9%
Pass 83.0% · Rush 11.4%

1st 49.1% · 2nd 53.1% · 3rd 58.2%

Standard downs 48.6% · Passing downs 63.8%

2020: 4★ · 0.9091
David Mbadinga · RB

CFBD athlete 5151112. Georgia Southern (2023–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.1663712.9%
Pass 5.8% · Rush 24.4%

1st 12.8% · 2nd 13.5% · 3rd 12.8%

Standard downs 14.6% · Passing downs 8.6%

Not linked
Weston Bryan · QB

CFBD athlete 5212641. Georgia Southern (2025–2026)

Rushing WEPA0.350338.4%
Pass 2.8% · Rush 17.1%

1st 7.5% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 16.3%

Standard downs 10.3% · Passing downs 3.6%

2025: 4★ · 0.8911
Tripp Bryant · PK

CFBD athlete 5238178. Georgia Southern (2025–2026)

Kicker PAAR0.45011—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Blake Ford · PK

CFBD athlete 4833237. Arkansas (2022–2023); Arkansas (2025–2025); North Texas (2024–2024); Georgia Southern (2026–2026)

Kicker PAAR-5.7403—
Pass — · Rush —

1st — · 2nd — · 3rd —

Standard downs — · Passing downs —

Not linked
Alex Taylor · WR

CFBD athlete 5079736. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——9.3%
Pass 15.6% · Rush 0.5%

1st 9.3% · 2nd 9.3% · 3rd 9.2%

Standard downs 8.3% · Passing downs 11.6%

Not linked
Andre Greene Jr. · WR

CFBD athlete 4685364. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.6%
Pass 13.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 5.6% · 2nd 11.7% · 3rd 4.1%

Standard downs 6.6% · Passing downs 10.1%

Not linked
Ashton Hollins · WR

CFBD athlete 4869962. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——8.5%
Pass 13.3% · Rush 0.9%

1st 10.7% · 2nd 7.5% · 3rd 6.7%

Standard downs 9.5% · Passing downs 5.9%

Not linked
Cam'Ron King · WR

CFBD athlete 5219035. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.3%
Pass 2.1% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
JP Mikhael · TE

CFBD athlete 5119658. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.6%
Pass 4.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 2.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 7.1%

Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 4.5%

Not linked
JQ Crosby · TE

CFBD athlete 5303242. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——1.5%
Pass 2.6% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.1% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0%

Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0%

Not linked
Jamarian Samuel · RB

CFBD athlete 5151111. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——6.7%
Pass 3.7% · Rush 11.3%

1st 8.3% · 2nd 6.6% · 3rd 2.8%

Standard downs 6.7% · Passing downs 6.5%

Not linked
Jeremiah Ware · WR

CFBD athlete 5223093. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.9%
Pass 8.3% · Rush 0.0%

1st 3.3% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 5.8%

Standard downs 4.4% · Passing downs 6.0%

Not linked
Josh Dallas · WR

CFBD athlete 4838527. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——10.5%
Pass 17.0% · Rush 1.6%

1st 11.2% · 2nd 8.6% · 3rd 12.2%

Standard downs 8.6% · Passing downs 15.2%

Not linked
King Phillips · WR

CFBD athlete 5390043. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.1%
Pass 4.0% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.7% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 6.9%

Standard downs 0.9% · Passing downs 6.1%

Not linked
River Helms · TE

CFBD athlete 4698179. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——7.2%
Pass 12.1% · Rush 0.5%

1st 6.1% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 9.2%

Standard downs 6.6% · Passing downs 8.7%

Not linked
Taeo Todd · RB

CFBD athlete 5155780. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——5.8%
Pass 2.5% · Rush 10.9%

1st 6.1% · 2nd 8.0% · 3rd 2.0%

Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 5.8%

Not linked
Taylor Bradshaw · WR

CFBD athlete 5123988. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.3%
Pass 6.7% · Rush 1.2%

1st 4.2% · 2nd 5.5% · 3rd 2.8%

Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 7.0%

Not linked
Terrance Gibbs · RB

CFBD athlete 4685348. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——11.8%
Pass 8.7% · Rush 16.7%

1st 13.6% · 2nd 10.5% · 3rd 7.9%

Standard downs 11.9% · Passing downs 11.3%

Not linked
Turner Helton · QB

CFBD athlete 4912238. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——25.3%
Pass 42.0% · Rush 3.1%

1st 22.5% · 2nd 29.6% · 3rd 26.9%

Standard downs 20.0% · Passing downs 38.6%

Not linked
Ty Cummings · RB

CFBD athlete 5291806. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——4.1%
Pass 0.0% · Rush 10.9%

1st 4.5% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 3.8%

Standard downs 4.7% · Passing downs 2.6%

Not linked
Tyrese Woodgett · RB

CFBD athlete 5390044. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——16.8%
Pass 6.4% · Rush 31.8%

1st 19.6% · 2nd 17.4% · 3rd 10.5%

Standard downs 18.8% · Passing downs 11.3%

Not linked
Zay Hilliard · WR

CFBD athlete 5303239. Team attribution from the captured season usage record.

Not available——2.2%
Pass 3.9% · Rush 0.0%

1st 1.6% · 2nd 2.3% · 3rd 3.6%

Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 2.9%

Not linked

Transfers

Incoming · 17 reported
PlayerFromDateStars / ratingEligibility
Aaron Sears · CBStephen F. Austin2026-01-183★ / 0.8500Immediate
Aidan McCowan · CBNicholls2026-01-283★ / 0.8200Immediate
Alex Taylor · WRNorth Carolina2026-01-183★ / 0.8600Immediate
Andre Greene Jr. · WRVirginia2026-01-153★ / 0.8400Immediate
Anthony Bynum · EDGEMiddle Tennessee2026-01-123★ / 0.8300Immediate
Ashton Hollins · WRIllinois2026-01-143★ / 0.8200Immediate
Blake Ford · KArkansas2026-01-11— / —Immediate
Cam King · WRAuburn2026-01-123★ / 0.8300Immediate
Gregory Delaine Jr. · CBSyracuse2026-01-153★ / 0.8300Immediate
Josh Raymond · IOLFlorida State2026-01-183★ / 0.8400Immediate
Kam Mikell · WRColorado2026-01-203★ / 0.8600Immediate
King Phillips · WRTexas A&M-Kingsville2026-01-273★ / 0.8400Immediate
Max Johnson · QBNorth Carolina2026-01-103★ / —Immediate
Mo Clipper Jr. · IOLCharlotte2026-01-153★ / 0.8500Immediate
Noah Mangham · CBAbilene Christian2026-01-183★ / 0.8500Immediate
Noble Johnson · WRArizona State2026-01-143★ / 0.8400Immediate
Rashon Myles Jr. · LBAbilene Christian2026-01-193★ / 0.8600Immediate
Outgoing · 18 reported
PlayerToDateStars / ratingEligibility
Amari Wilson · EDGESouthern Miss2026-01-193★ / 0.8500Immediate
Ayden Jackson · SSouth Florida2026-01-06— / —Immediate
Branden Palmer · EDGENot reported2026-01-05— / —Immediate
Brian Green Jr. · WRNot reported2026-01-07— / —Immediate
Caleb Cook · IOLSouth Florida2026-01-063★ / 0.8500Immediate
Carmelo Mays · WRNot reported2026-01-023★ / —Immediate
Chandler Strong · IOLNorth Texas2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
Da'Shawn Davis · DLNot reported2026-01-033★ / —Immediate
Davion Rhodes · EDGENorth Texas2026-01-133★ / 0.8400Immediate
Devan Lowe · DLMemphis2026-01-073★ / —Immediate
Dylan Gary · WRKennesaw State2026-01-223★ / 0.8400Immediate
J'Shawn Anderson · RBNot reported2026-01-03— / —Immediate
JC French IV · QBCincinnati2026-01-073★ / 0.8600Immediate
Johnnie Brown III · IOLLouisville2026-01-073★ / 0.8500Immediate
KD Dorsey · ATHNot reported2026-01-022★ / —Immediate
MJ Stroud · EDGENot reported2026-01-143★ / —Withdrawn
Robert Wright Jr. · OTMichigan State2026-01-083★ / 0.8500Immediate
Tyler Budge · QBRhode Island2026-01-122★ / —Immediate

Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.

Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.

Coaching eras

Continuous appointments at Georgia Southern. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.

Clay Helton · career 73–49 across 13 seasons and 2 schools

Tenure timeline · 5 appointments
  1. 2022–present · Clay Helton · active at capture

    27–25 · 52 attributed games · 5 seasons

    Hired 2021-11-02. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  2. 2021–2021 · Kevin Whitley

    2–6 · 8 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2021-09-26. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  3. 2017–2021 · Chad Lunsford

    28–21 · 49 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2017-11-27. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  4. 2016–2017 · Tyson Summers

    5–13 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution

    Hired 2015-12-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.

  5. 2014–2015 · Willie Fritz

    18–7 · 25 attributed games · 2 seasons

    Hired 2014-01-10. Exact effective dates unavailable.

Season résumé · 2015–2026

Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.

Season / coachRecordConferencePostseasonSP+SRSRecruiting rankFinal poll
2026 · Clay Helton · incomplete attribution0–0——-2.5-3.789—
2025 · Clay Helton7–64–41–0-9.4-8.680—
2024 · Clay Helton8–56–20–1-1.7-2.591—
2023 · Clay Helton6–73–50–1-5.2-8.6101—
2022 · Clay Helton6–73–50–1-6.4-4.8110—
2021 · Chad Lunsford · incomplete attribution1–3——-15.3-14.992—
2021 · Kevin Whitley · incomplete attribution2–6——-15.3-14.992—
2020 · Chad Lunsford8–54–41–00.21.298—
2019 · Chad Lunsford7–65–30–1-4.5-1121—
2018 · Chad Lunsford10–36–21–0-2.4-0.490—
2017 · Chad Lunsford · incomplete attribution2–4——-15.8-17.4106—
2017 · Tyson Summers · incomplete attribution0–6——-15.8-17.4106—
2016 · Tyson Summers5–74–40–0-3.9-7.877—
2015 · Willie Fritz9–46–21–07.3485—
Download coaching history JSON

Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.

CFBD season overview

2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.

Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data

Stat rankings

CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-23 16:47:56 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.

StatisticOffense rank / populationPercentileDefense rank / populationPercentile
PPA / play68 / 13851.157 / 13859.1
Success rate62 / 13855.541 / 13870.8
Explosiveness101 / 13827.024 / 13883.2
Standard-down success86 / 13838.028 / 13880.3
Passing-down success34 / 13875.983 / 13840.1
Pass PPA47 / 13866.496 / 13830.7
Rush PPA111 / 13819.729 / 13879.6
Pass explosiveness113 / 13818.2114 / 13817.5
Rush explosiveness123 / 13810.92 / 13899.3
Line yards83 / 13840.156 / 13859.9
Second-level yards94 / 13832.175 / 13846.0
Open-field yards78 / 13843.833 / 13876.6
Stuff rate69 / 13850.425 / 13882.5
Power successT107 / 13821.235 / 13875.2
HavocT83 / 13838.7T31 / 13877.4
Front-seven havocT77 / 13844.2T15 / 13889.4
DB havoc100 / 13827.7T81 / 13840.9
Points / opportunity83 / 13840.181 / 13841.6
Average field positionT105 / 13823.7T60 / 13856.6
Field-position expected pointsT115 / 13816.465 / 13853.3

Player PPA and usage

Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.

Max Johnson · QBUsage 52.9% · Avg PPA 0.194 · Total 49.959
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.19449.95952.9%
Pass0.27764.92783.0%
Rush-0.474-10.41811.4%
1st down-0.043-4.56449.1%
2nd down0.23820.44153.1%
3rd down0.53830.66058.2%
Standard downs0.12821.66948.6%
Passing downs0.32128.29063.8%
Turner Helton · QBUsage 25.3% · Avg PPA 0.390 · Total 15.221
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.39015.22125.3%
Pass0.37413.85442.0%
Rush0.6841.3673.1%
1st down-0.086-1.36922.5%
2nd down0.76012.16029.6%
3rd down0.6334.43126.9%
Standard downs-0.045-0.99420.0%
Passing downs0.95416.21538.6%
Tyrese Woodgett · RBUsage 16.8% · Avg PPA -0.065 · Total -2.214
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.065-2.21416.8%
Pass-0.381-2.6646.4%
Rush0.0170.45031.8%
1st down0.0971.74219.6%
2nd down-0.508-6.09017.4%
3rd down0.5342.13410.5%
Standard downs-0.115-3.21718.8%
Passing downs0.1671.00311.3%
David Mbadinga · RBUsage 12.9% · Avg PPA 0.262 · Total 13.902
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.26213.90212.9%
Pass0.5687.9495.8%
Rush0.1535.95324.4%
1st down0.1313.01212.8%
2nd down0.2875.16913.5%
3rd down0.3774.15112.8%
Standard downs0.1938.29414.6%
Passing downs0.5615.6088.6%
Terrance Gibbs · RBUsage 11.8% · Avg PPA 0.206 · Total 5.363
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2065.36311.8%
Pass0.3413.7518.7%
Rush0.1071.61216.7%
1st down0.2653.71013.6%
2nd down0.4113.29210.5%
3rd down0.8342.5017.9%
Standard downs0.1693.21111.9%
Passing downs0.3072.15211.3%
Josh Dallas · WRUsage 10.5% · Avg PPA 0.359 · Total 18.314
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.35918.31410.5%
Pass0.38518.48217.0%
Rush-0.056-0.1681.6%
1st down-0.072-1.73111.2%
2nd down0.2122.9678.6%
3rd down1.18414.20912.2%
Standard downs-0.023-0.6888.6%
Passing downs0.90519.00215.2%
Alex Taylor · WRUsage 9.3% · Avg PPA 0.333 · Total 14.977
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.33314.9779.3%
Pass0.36616.08515.6%
Rush-1.108-1.1080.5%
1st down0.1603.2089.3%
2nd down0.5157.7329.3%
3rd down0.0230.2109.2%
Standard downs0.37210.7958.3%
Passing downs0.2614.18211.6%
Ashton Hollins · WRUsage 8.5% · Avg PPA 0.060 · Total 1.437
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.0601.4378.5%
Pass0.2856.55513.3%
Rush-5.118-5.1180.9%
1st down-0.082-1.06910.7%
2nd down0.3102.1717.5%
3rd down0.0840.3356.7%
Standard downs0.0300.5779.5%
Passing downs0.1720.8605.9%
Weston Bryan · QBUsage 8.4% · Avg PPA 0.195 · Total 8.012
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1958.0128.4%
Pass-0.588-4.7012.8%
Rush0.38512.71317.1%
1st down0.0490.7797.5%
2nd down0.2892.6005.6%
3rd down0.2904.63316.3%
Standard downs0.31711.41410.3%
Passing downs-0.680-3.4023.6%
Andre Greene Jr. · WRUsage 7.6% · Avg PPA -0.204 · Total -7.554
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.204-7.5547.6%
Pass-0.204-7.55413.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.0921.1095.6%
2nd down0.0801.52711.7%
3rd down-0.497-1.9874.1%
Standard downs-0.106-2.4306.6%
Passing downs-0.366-5.12410.1%
River Helms · TEUsage 7.2% · Avg PPA 0.757 · Total 26.479
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.75726.4797.2%
Pass0.89730.50512.1%
Rush-4.026-4.0260.5%
1st down0.4325.6206.1%
2nd down0.7938.7226.8%
3rd down0.7216.4939.2%
Standard downs0.61714.1986.6%
Passing downs1.02312.2818.7%
Jamarian Samuel · RBUsage 6.7% · Avg PPA -0.233 · Total -5.586
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.233-5.5866.7%
Pass-0.690-5.5173.7%
Rush-0.004-0.06911.3%
1st down-0.128-1.6678.3%
2nd down0.1311.0476.6%
3rd down-0.768-1.5372.8%
Standard downs-0.191-3.2436.7%
Passing downs-0.335-2.3436.5%
Taeo Todd · RBUsage 5.8% · Avg PPA 0.117 · Total 3.289
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.1173.2895.8%
Pass1.0857.5932.5%
Rush-0.205-4.30410.9%
1st down-0.231-2.9996.1%
2nd down0.5437.0638.0%
3rd down-0.388-0.7752.0%
Standard downs0.0090.1865.7%
Passing downs0.3883.1035.8%
Jeremiah Ware · WRUsage 4.9% · Avg PPA 0.853 · Total 17.067
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.85317.0674.9%
Pass0.85317.0678.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.015-0.0903.3%
2nd down0.4644.1726.8%
3rd down2.59712.9855.8%
Standard downs0.3063.9834.4%
Passing downs1.86913.0836.0%
Taylor Bradshaw · WRUsage 4.3% · Avg PPA 0.570 · Total 5.129
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.5705.1294.3%
Pass0.6485.1816.7%
Rush-0.052-0.0521.2%
1st down0.1930.7714.2%
2nd down1.3445.3785.5%
3rd down-1.020-1.0202.8%
Standard downs0.1400.7013.3%
Passing downs1.1074.4287.0%
Ty Cummings · RBUsage 4.1% · Avg PPA 0.423 · Total 2.539
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.4232.5394.1%
Pass—0.0000.0%
Rush0.4232.53910.9%
1st down0.3651.0954.5%
2nd down1.1392.2784.3%
3rd down-0.834-0.8343.8%
Standard downs0.5882.9384.7%
Passing downs-0.399-0.3992.6%
JP Mikhael · TEUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA -0.761 · Total -1.522
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.761-1.5222.6%
Pass-0.761-1.5224.3%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.863-0.8632.7%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down-0.660-0.6607.1%
Standard downs-0.863-0.8631.8%
Passing downs-0.660-0.6604.5%
Zay Hilliard · WRUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA 0.209 · Total 0.626
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.2090.6262.2%
Pass0.2090.6263.9%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.7800.7801.6%
2nd down0.0820.0822.3%
3rd down-0.237-0.2373.6%
Standard downs0.4310.8632.0%
Passing downs-0.237-0.2372.9%
King Phillips · WRUsage 2.1% · Avg PPA -0.183 · Total -0.550
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.183-0.5502.1%
Pass-0.183-0.5504.0%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.351-0.3511.7%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down-0.100-0.1996.9%
Standard downs-0.351-0.3510.9%
Passing downs-0.100-0.1996.1%
JQ Crosby · TEUsage 1.5% · Avg PPA -0.452 · Total -0.452
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall-0.452-0.4521.5%
Pass-0.452-0.4522.6%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down-0.452-0.4523.1%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs-0.452-0.4522.0%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Cam'Ron King · WRUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA 0.652 · Total 0.652
SplitAverage PPATotal PPAUsage
Overall0.6520.6521.3%
Pass0.6520.6522.1%
Rush—0.0000.0%
1st down0.6520.6522.7%
2nd down—0.0000.0%
3rd down—0.0000.0%
Standard downs0.6520.6521.8%
Passing downs—0.0000.0%
Where Georgia Southern sits · 2026 FBS distributions138 teams · raw PPA

2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.

Offense PPA/playOffense PPA/play: 0.139 (51st percentile; 138 teams)51stOffense success rateOffense success rate: 0.436 (55th percentile; 138 teams)55thOffense explosivenessOffense explosiveness: 1.181 (27th percentile; 138 teams)27thOffense pass PPA/playOffense pass PPA/play: 0.272 (66th percentile; 138 teams)66thOffense rush PPA/playOffense rush PPA/play: 0.020 (20th percentile; 138 teams)20thDefense PPA/playDefense PPA/play: 0.050 (59th percentile; 138 teams)59thDefense success rateDefense success rate: 0.381 (71st percentile; 138 teams)71stDefense explosivenessDefense explosiveness: 1.134 (83rd percentile; 138 teams)83rdDefense havoc createdDefense havoc created: 0.179 (77th percentile; 138 teams)77th
Values and percentiles
Georgia Southern metric values with FBS percentiles, 2026
MetricValuePercentileBetter
Offense PPA/play0.13951st138 teamshigher
Offense success rate0.43655th138 teamshigher
Offense explosiveness1.18127th138 teamshigher
Offense pass PPA/play0.27266th138 teamshigher
Offense rush PPA/play0.02020th138 teamshigher
Defense PPA/play0.05059th138 teamslower
Defense success rate0.38171st138 teamslower
Defense explosiveness1.13483rd138 teamslower
Defense havoc created0.17977th138 teamshigher

Passing profile

2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPA

Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 279 attempts charted. Average depth of target 7.1 yards (11th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.1 per completion. Completion 67.0%, 7.0 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.26.

Completion percentage over expected (CPOE)
SideActualExpectedCPOE (pp)Qualifying / all attempts
Offense65.9%63.4%+2.5229 / 279
Defense allowed63.2%59.8%+3.4163 / 196

Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.

Depth of target vs yards after catch, FBS offenses
Air Force: ADOT 13.1, YAC 3.9Akron: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.5Alabama: ADOT 9.9, YAC 5.3App State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 5.5Arizona: ADOT 8.3, YAC 5.6Arizona State: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Arkansas: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.7Arkansas State: ADOT 9.0, YAC 5.3Army: ADOT 12.7, YAC 3.7Auburn: ADOT 8.2, YAC 4.9BYU: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.4Ball State: ADOT 7.5, YAC 5.0Baylor: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.8Boise State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.3Boston College: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.0Bowling Green: ADOT 6.5, YAC 5.9Buffalo: ADOT 9.5, YAC 2.0California: ADOT 6.1, YAC 5.9Central Michigan: ADOT 8.9, YAC 5.6Charlotte: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.6Cincinnati: ADOT 7.1, YAC 6.5Clemson: ADOT 6.7, YAC 5.7Coastal Carolina: ADOT 11.2, YAC 5.6Colorado: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.1Colorado State: ADOT 5.1, YAC 8.8Delaware: ADOT 9.4, YAC 6.3Duke: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.4East Carolina: ADOT 8.4, YAC 6.2Eastern Michigan: ADOT 7.4, YAC 5.4Florida: ADOT 7.2, YAC 6.9Florida Atlantic: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.7Florida International: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.3Florida State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 8.5Fresno State: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.6Georgia: ADOT 8.3, YAC 7.6Georgia State: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.5Georgia Tech: ADOT 7.3, YAC 5.0Hawai'i: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.2Houston: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.7Illinois: ADOT 9.7, YAC 4.0Indiana: ADOT 11.4, YAC 5.2Iowa: ADOT 7.7, YAC 6.2Iowa State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Jacksonville State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.8James Madison: ADOT 8.6, YAC 4.8Kansas: ADOT 12.6, YAC 5.3Kansas State: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.3Kennesaw State: ADOT 6.8, YAC 4.9Kent State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 4.9Kentucky: ADOT 6.7, YAC 7.0LSU: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Liberty: ADOT 11.3, YAC 6.2Louisiana: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.1Louisiana Tech: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.6Louisville: ADOT 9.0, YAC 7.7Marshall: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.5Maryland: ADOT 7.0, YAC 6.2Massachusetts: ADOT 10.1, YAC 4.2Memphis: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.7Miami: ADOT 7.3, YAC 7.2Miami (OH): ADOT 10.5, YAC 6.6Michigan: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.6Michigan State: ADOT 7.6, YAC 4.1Middle Tennessee: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.5Minnesota: ADOT 6.4, YAC 6.3Mississippi State: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.8Missouri: ADOT 10.4, YAC 5.2Missouri State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 5.7NC State: ADOT 8.7, YAC 5.4Navy: ADOT 14.2, YAC 8.6Nebraska: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.8Nevada: ADOT 7.9, YAC 6.3New Mexico: ADOT 10.4, YAC 6.0New Mexico State: ADOT 9.6, YAC 4.3North Carolina: ADOT 7.8, YAC 6.3North Dakota State: ADOT 10.6, YAC 4.6North Texas: ADOT 9.2, YAC 6.0Northern Illinois: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Northwestern: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.5Notre Dame: ADOT 9.6, YAC 5.0Ohio: ADOT 9.4, YAC 5.6Ohio State: ADOT 11.0, YAC 4.9Oklahoma: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.5Oklahoma State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.2Old Dominion: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.1Ole Miss: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.3Oregon: ADOT 7.5, YAC 6.4Oregon State: ADOT 9.1, YAC 8.3Penn State: ADOT 9.7, YAC 5.0Pittsburgh: ADOT 9.1, YAC 5.6Purdue: ADOT 8.0, YAC 6.9Rice: ADOT 10.8, YAC 4.9Rutgers: ADOT 10.9, YAC 5.2SMU: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.9Sacramento State: ADOT 8.4, YAC 4.3Sam Houston: ADOT 7.8, YAC 5.5San Diego State: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.3San José State: ADOT 10.0, YAC 3.8South Alabama: ADOT 10.1, YAC 5.2South Carolina: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.9South Florida: ADOT 8.2, YAC 6.1Southern Miss: ADOT 8.0, YAC 5.0Stanford: ADOT 8.9, YAC 4.6Syracuse: ADOT 9.3, YAC 5.7TCU: ADOT 9.0, YAC 4.7Temple: ADOT 8.7, YAC 7.1Tennessee: ADOT 6.9, YAC 6.8Texas: ADOT 8.5, YAC 6.2Texas A&M: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.3Texas State: ADOT 8.6, YAC 6.5Texas Tech: ADOT 8.8, YAC 4.7Toledo: ADOT 8.8, YAC 6.2Troy: ADOT 8.9, YAC 6.5Tulane: ADOT 9.5, YAC 5.0Tulsa: ADOT 8.7, YAC 4.7UAB: ADOT 10.0, YAC 4.3UCF: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.5UCLA: ADOT 9.0, YAC 6.0UConn: ADOT 10.8, YAC 6.5UL Monroe: ADOT 7.9, YAC 5.7UNLV: ADOT 10.3, YAC 4.0USC: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0UTEP: ADOT 8.5, YAC 5.2UTSA: ADOT 6.6, YAC 5.8Utah: ADOT 10.0, YAC 5.6Utah State: ADOT 9.8, YAC 4.7Vanderbilt: ADOT 9.2, YAC 5.1Virginia: ADOT 8.8, YAC 5.9Virginia Tech: ADOT 6.5, YAC 7.0Wake Forest: ADOT 8.3, YAC 6.0Washington: ADOT 8.1, YAC 6.4Washington State: ADOT 7.4, YAC 3.7West Virginia: ADOT 13.8, YAC 8.5Western Kentucky: ADOT 6.9, YAC 5.4Western Michigan: ADOT 8.1, YAC 5.3Wisconsin: ADOT 6.9, YAC 7.4Wyoming: ADOT 8.4, YAC 5.6Georgia Southern: ADOT 7.1, YAC 5.1Average depth of target (yards) →Yards after catch per completion →

138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Georgia Southern.

Target mix by zone, Georgia Southern offense
Short left44% · 120Short middle14% · 39Short right31% · 85Deep left4% · 11Deep middle1% · 3Deep right5% · 13

Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.

Defense and rushing detail
Georgia Southern passing defense and rushing profile, 2026
SideAttemptsChartedADOTYACComp %PPACPOECPOE att
Passing offense27999%7.15.167.0%0.26+2.5 pp229
Passing defense19698%9.45.558.7%0.29+3.4 pp163

Rushing production

SideAttemptsYards / carrySuccessPPALine yards / rushSecond-level yards / rushOpen-field yards / rushStuff ratePower success
Offense1994.443.2%0.083.001.001.1016.3%66.7%
Defense allowed2523.441.2%0.022.801.000.6019.0%66.7%

Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.

Rushing sample and attribution

SideYards recordedIndividualUnattributedSacksKneelsTeam rushesMultiple carriersDirection located / eligible
Offense195 / 19919187220184 / 190 · 96.8%
Defense allowed241 / 2522331918580224 / 226 · 99.1%

Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.

Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.

Game-by-game passing and rushing

2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +2.5 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.

-5.72.310.3W1W2W2 vs Clemson: -5.7 ppW3W3 vs Jacksonville State: +2.7 ppW4W4 vs Houston: +8.4 ppW5W5 vs Coastal Carolina: -2.3 ppW6W6 vs James Madison: +2.0 ppW7W7 vs Old Dominion: +10.3 pp

CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.

Game log and attempt coverage
WeekOpponentPass attCPOE attComp %*Expected %*CPOEADOTPass PPARush attRush yds/carryRush PPA
W1Charleston Southern470———6.30.25315.10.09
W2Clemson484856.3%61.9%-5.7 pp8.9-0.04181.2-0.13
W3Jacksonville State333369.7%67.0%+2.7 pp4.50.07394.70.24
W4Houston393868.4%60.0%+8.4 pp9.40.61253.2-0.17
W5Coastal Carolina312958.6%60.9%-2.3 pp9.50.38266.40.16
W6James Madison404065.0%62.9%+2.0 pp7.40.31255.00.01
W7Old Dominion414178.0%67.7%+10.3 pp4.10.32353.90.15

*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.

Punting and returns

2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.

Our punts

30 punts · 42.6 gross yards/punt · 32.2 net yards/punt

6 inside the 20 · 4 touchbacks · 0 blocked

Known gross yards: 30/30 punts. Known net yards: 27/30 punts.

Our punt returns

15 returns · 7.1 yards/return · 0 touchdowns

3 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked

Known return yards: 15/15 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.

Recent games
GamePuntsGross yd/puntNet yd/puntKnown net yards
Week 7 · Old Dominion344.027.01/3
Week 6 · James Madison238.038.02/2
Week 5 · Coastal Carolina443.820.54/4
Week 4 · Houston241.042.02/2
Week 3 · Jacksonville State444.018.03/4
Team style
Rating history