Record
4-3 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook record2026 season
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
Fresno State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 58 across 8 systems; best 42, worst 74, so they disagree by 32 places.
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Results earned and schedule difficulty
Performance by unit
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Fresno State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
4-3 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook record0.030 net EPA/play
#55
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD plays0.87 points
#67 · Down 4 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +6.12 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -4.93, schedule #95 of 138 (#1 = toughest). That is worth +1.19 on its own; the preseason prior of -0.12 still carries 25% of the weight, giving +0.87.
Fresno State · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · USC away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401858436 | -39.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.52% | +7.22 | -3.095 | 0.687 | -2.408 |
| Week 2 · Sacramento State home · 2026-09-13 · ID 401860883 | +46.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.90% | -20.33 | 3.217 | -2.012 | 1.205 |
| Week 3 · San José State away · 2026-09-20 · ID 401860888 | +16.00 → +16.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.29% | -8.63 | 1.903 | -0.888 | 1.015 |
| Week 4 · Rice home · 2026-09-27 · ID 401860891 | +14.00 → +14.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.69% | -9.25 | 1.229 | -0.989 | 0.241 |
| Week 5 · Washington State away · 2026-10-04 · ID 401860921 | +20.00 → +20.00 | +2.50 | 0.8909 | 11.11% | -7.02 | 2.500 | -0.780 | 1.720 |
| Week 6 · Boise State home · 2026-10-11 · ID 401860901 | -7.00 → -7.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.55% | +8.47 | -1.097 | 0.978 | -0.119 |
| Week 7 · San Diego State away · 2026-10-18 · ID 401860904 | -3.00 → -3.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 12.00% | -5.79 | -0.060 | -0.695 | -0.755 |
Game terms +0.90 points; prior term -0.03 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +0.87 points. The preseason prior is -0.12 with 24.94% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.3 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scores2.6 SP+ points
#61 · Down 2 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbook5.02 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#46 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 2.56 on 382 plays; defense -2.46 on 396 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Fresno State 12 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidence| Category | Production | Usage |
|---|---|---|
| Passing | 7% | 1% |
| Receiving | 70% | 75% |
| Rushing | 17% | 71% |
Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 12 | 2.92 | 0.8309 | 9.97 |
| Defensive Line | 9 | 2.89 | 0.8419 | 7.58 |
| Linebacker | 8 | 3.00 | 0.8410 | 6.73 |
| Offensive Line | 8 | 2.88 | 0.8381 | 6.70 |
| Quarterback | 6 | 3.00 | 0.8469 | 5.08 |
| Receiver | 12 | 3.00 | 0.8449 | 10.14 |
| Running Back | 5 | 3.00 | 0.8458 | 4.23 |
| Special Teams | 8 | 2.88 | 0.8282 | 6.63 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Passing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jayden Mandal · QBCFBD athlete 5010409. Fresno State (2023–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.327 | 212 | 56.1% | Pass 97.2% · Rush 18.0%1st 40.1% · 2nd 64.1% · 3rd 80.0% Standard downs 44.5% · Passing downs 81.6% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8444 |
Bryson Donelson · RBCFBD athlete 5175334. Fresno State (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.177 | 69 | 16.6% | Pass 3.8% · Rush 30.3%1st 23.9% · 2nd 11.0% · 3rd 9.4% Standard downs 22.7% · Passing downs 2.9% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8144 |
Rayshon Luke · RBCFBD athlete 4685445. Arizona (2022–2024); Fresno State (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.123 | 52 | 17.4% | Pass 9.2% · Rush 25.9%1st 20.8% · 2nd 19.4% · 3rd 8.9% Standard downs 18.5% · Passing downs 15.1% | 2022: 4★ · 0.9178 |
Jayden Mandal · QBCFBD athlete 5010409. Fresno State (2023–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.198 | 41 | 56.1% | Pass 97.2% · Rush 18.0%1st 40.1% · 2nd 64.1% · 3rd 80.0% Standard downs 44.5% · Passing downs 81.6% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8444 |
Julius Gillick · RBCFBD athlete 5262650. Fresno State (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.182 | 37 | 8.3% | Pass 1.4% · Rush 15.6%1st 9.6% · 2nd 9.7% · 3rd 1.2% Standard downs 10.7% · Passing downs 2.9% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8600 |
Mitchell Watanabe · PKCFBD athlete 3933587. Fresno State (2026–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 9.980 | 14 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Andrew Chavez · RBCFBD athlete 5382524. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.2% | Pass 1.7% · Rush 2.9%1st 3.9% · 2nd 1.3% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 1.5% | Not linked |
Brock Lium · TECFBD athlete 5120905. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.9%1st 3.2% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Dallas Gaius-Anyaegbu · TECFBD athlete 5291743. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.3% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Darrian Anderson · WRCFBD athlete 4837174. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 3.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.2% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Ezekiel Avit · WRCFBD athlete 5121384. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.4% | Pass 14.7% · Rush 0.5%1st 7.6% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 10.6% Standard downs 7.4% · Passing downs 7.4% | Not linked |
Gavin Correia · TECFBD athlete 5295221. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.7% | Pass 7.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.0% · 2nd 4.1% · 3rd 4.7% Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 4.4% | Not linked |
Harold Duvall · WRCFBD athlete 5223768. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.4% | Pass 12.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.3% · 2nd 6.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Jahlil McClain · WRCFBD athlete 4870923. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.7% | Pass 13.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 6.1% · 2nd 8.3% · 3rd 5.9% Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 8.8% | Not linked |
Jake Appleget · TECFBD athlete 4869294. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.0% | Pass 6.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.4% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 3.8% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Jaylen Garrison · WRCFBD athlete 5223892. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 2.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 7.7% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Jayon Farrar · WRCFBD athlete 5295211. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.0% | Pass 7.3% · Rush 0.7%1st 6.7% · 2nd 1.9% · 3rd 1.8% Standard downs 4.7% · Passing downs 2.3% | Not linked |
Jordan Malau'ulu · WRCFBD athlete 5143919. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 2.0% · Rush 1.0%1st 1.1% · 2nd 3.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.7% · Passing downs 3.5% | Not linked |
Josiah Freeman · WRCFBD athlete 5092483. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 12.6% | Pass 25.1% · Rush 0.9%1st 5.1% · 2nd 17.9% · 3rd 21.2% Standard downs 7.7% · Passing downs 23.5% | Not linked |
Keynan Cotton · WRCFBD athlete 5264243. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.5% | Pass 3.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 10.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 7.1% | Not linked |
Khristian Martin · QBCFBD athlete 5146667. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.3% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 4.2%1st 2.7% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 11.5% Standard downs 3.4% · Passing downs 6.7% | Not linked |
Orlando Guevara · RBCFBD athlete 5446767. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 14.3%1st 8.3% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 5.9% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Tariq Thomas · RBCFBD athlete 5225383. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 2.2% · Rush 3.5%1st 4.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 5.0% Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 3.6% | Not linked |
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Croix Stewart · S | UCLA | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Darrian Anderson · WR | Oregon | 2026-02-04 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Dylan Hampsten · EDGE | Sacramento State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jake Appleget · TE | Northern Illinois | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Khristian Martin · QB | Maryland | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Manaki Watanabe · K | Not reported | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Maverick Noonan · EDGE | Nebraska | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Micah Mosley · EDGE | Sacramento State | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Oscar Weigel · OT | San Diego | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Patrick Barnett · IOL | UCF | 2026-01-22 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Preston Okafor · S | Nebraska | 2026-01-09 | — / — | Immediate |
| Tariq Thomas · RB | Bucknell | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Taylor Powell · S | Northern Illinois | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayden Turner · QB | Not reported | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Carson Conklin · QB | Sacramento State | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Damarrion White · EDGE | Not reported | 2025-12-19 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Isiah Chala Jr. · EDGE | Sacramento State | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Jack Metzler · EDGE | Not reported | 2025-12-18 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Jayden Davis · S | UConn | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Josiah Ayon · WR | Not reported | 2025-12-14 | — / — | Immediate |
| RL Miller · S | Cal Poly | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Richie Anderson · TE | Texas A&M | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Tim Thomas · LB | Sacramento State | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Continuous appointments at Fresno State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Matt Entz · career 9–4 across 2 seasons and 1 schools
2025–present · Matt Entz · active at capture
9–4 · 13 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2024-12-05. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2024–2024 · Tim Skipper · interim
6–7 · 13 attributed games · 1 seasons
Hired 2024-07-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2022–2023 · Jeff Tedford
19–8 · 27 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2021-12-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2021–2021 · Lee Marks
1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2021-11-30. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2020–2021 · Kalen DeBoer
12–6 · 18 attributed games · 2 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2019-12-17. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2017–2019 · Jeff Tedford
26–14 · 40 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2019-12-17. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2016–2016 · Eric Kiesau
0–4 · 4 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2016-10-25. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2012–2016 · Tim DeRuyter
30–30 · 60 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2011-12-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1997–2011 · Pat Hill
112–80 · 192 attributed games · 15 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1980–1996 · Jim Sweeney
129–67–3 · 199 attributed games · 17 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1978–1979 · Bob Padilla
7–15 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1976–1977 · Jim Sweeney
14–8 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1973–1975 · J.R. Boone
10–24 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1969–1972 · Darryl Rogers
26–17–1 · 44 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Matt Entz · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | 3.4 | -1.3 | 70 | — |
| 2025 · Matt Entz | 9–4 | 5–3 | 1–0 | 1.8 | -2.7 | 103 | — |
| 2024 · Tim Skipper | 6–7 | 4–3 | 0–1 | -3.8 | -6 | 86 | — |
| 2023 · Jeff Tedford | 9–4 | 4–4 | 1–0 | 2.5 | -3.2 | 83 | — |
| 2022 · Jeff Tedford | 10–4 | 8–1 | 1–0 | 3.3 | 2.4 | 72 | 24 |
| 2021 · Kalen DeBoer · incomplete attribution | 9–3 | — | — | 10.8 | 5.2 | 74 | — |
| 2021 · Lee Marks · incomplete attribution | 1–0 | — | — | 10.8 | 5.2 | 74 | — |
| 2020 · Kalen DeBoer | 3–3 | 3–3 | 0–0 | -5.5 | -6.7 | 121 | — |
| 2019 · Jeff Tedford | 4–8 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -4 | -4.6 | 87 | — |
| 2018 · Jeff Tedford | 12–2 | 8–1 | 1–0 | 17.4 | 12.8 | 92 | — |
| 2017 · Jeff Tedford | 10–4 | 7–2 | 1–0 | -2.7 | 3.3 | 84 | — |
| 2016 · Tim DeRuyter · incomplete attribution | 1–7 | — | — | -16.9 | -20.5 | 85 | — |
| 2016 · Eric Kiesau · incomplete attribution | 0–4 | — | — | -16.9 | -20.5 | 85 | — |
| 2015 · Tim DeRuyter | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -12.6 | -17.9 | 72 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-23 16:47:54 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 84 / 138 | 39.4 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Success rate | 108 / 138 | 21.9 | 85 / 138 | 38.7 |
| Explosiveness | 38 / 138 | 73.0 | 46 / 138 | 67.2 |
| Standard-down success | 122 / 138 | 11.7 | 98 / 138 | 29.2 |
| Passing-down success | 52 / 138 | 62.8 | 45 / 138 | 67.9 |
| Pass PPA | 42 / 138 | 70.1 | 61 / 138 | 56.2 |
| Rush PPA | 115 / 138 | 16.8 | 48 / 138 | 65.7 |
| Pass explosiveness | 81 / 138 | 41.6 | 86 / 138 | 38.0 |
| Rush explosiveness | 37 / 138 | 73.7 | 40 / 138 | 71.5 |
| Line yards | 127 / 138 | 8.0 | 79 / 138 | 43.1 |
| Second-level yards | 101 / 138 | 27.0 | 68 / 138 | 51.1 |
| Open-field yards | 33 / 138 | 76.6 | 112 / 138 | 19.0 |
| Stuff rate | 133 / 138 | 3.6 | 66 / 138 | 52.6 |
| Power success | T133 / 138 | 2.9 | T74 / 138 | 46.0 |
| Havoc | T33 / 138 | 76.3 | T81 / 138 | 40.5 |
| Front-seven havoc | 112 / 138 | 19.0 | 71 / 138 | 48.9 |
| DB havoc | T2 / 138 | 98.9 | T76 / 138 | 44.2 |
| Points / opportunity | 56 / 138 | 59.9 | 38 / 138 | 73.0 |
| Average field position | T11 / 138 | 92.0 | T3 / 138 | 98.2 |
| Field-position expected points | 15 / 138 | 89.8 | 4 / 138 | 97.8 |
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.256 | 62.372 | 56.1% |
| Pass | 0.292 | 59.774 | 97.2% |
| Rush | 0.140 | 5.305 | 18.0% |
| 1st down | 0.027 | 2.115 | 40.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.437 | 40.629 | 64.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.530 | 36.028 | 80.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.157 | 20.820 | 44.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.374 | 41.553 | 81.6% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.049 | 3.314 | 17.4% |
| Pass | 0.318 | 5.087 | 9.2% |
| Rush | -0.035 | -1.773 | 25.9% |
| 1st down | 0.115 | 4.132 | 20.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.200 | -4.794 | 19.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.568 | 3.976 | 8.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.038 | 1.860 | 18.5% |
| Passing downs | 0.081 | 1.454 | 15.1% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.026 | 1.898 | 16.6% |
| Pass | 0.169 | 1.351 | 3.8% |
| Rush | 0.009 | 0.547 | 30.3% |
| 1st down | -0.106 | -4.998 | 23.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.206 | 3.303 | 11.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.306 | 2.446 | 9.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.040 | 2.743 | 22.7% |
| Passing downs | -0.211 | -0.846 | 2.9% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.576 | 31.658 | 12.6% |
| Pass | 0.551 | 29.216 | 25.1% |
| Rush | 1.221 | 2.442 | 0.9% |
| 1st down | 0.177 | 1.767 | 5.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.949 | 24.665 | 17.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.515 | 9.263 | 21.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.858 | 19.743 | 7.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.372 | 11.915 | 23.5% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.070 | 2.536 | 8.3% |
| Pass | 0.520 | 1.561 | 1.4% |
| Rush | 0.030 | 0.975 | 15.6% |
| 1st down | 0.357 | 6.791 | 9.6% |
| 2nd down | -0.019 | -0.261 | 9.7% |
| 3rd down | -0.656 | -0.656 | 1.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.080 | 2.570 | 10.7% |
| Passing downs | -0.009 | -0.034 | 2.9% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.671 | 21.458 | 7.4% |
| Pass | 0.675 | 20.935 | 14.7% |
| Rush | 0.523 | 0.523 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | 0.682 | 10.225 | 7.6% |
| 2nd down | 1.921 | 13.445 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | 0.207 | 1.867 | 10.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.325 | 7.160 | 7.4% |
| Passing downs | 1.430 | 14.298 | 7.4% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.476 | 13.817 | 6.7% |
| Pass | 0.476 | 13.817 | 13.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.026 | -0.307 | 6.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.806 | 9.672 | 8.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.890 | 4.452 | 5.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.340 | 5.786 | 5.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.669 | 8.031 | 8.8% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.216 | 0.433 | 4.4% |
| Pass | 0.216 | 0.433 | 12.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.296 | 0.296 | 5.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.137 | 0.137 | 6.7% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.216 | 0.433 | 6.5% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.609 | 4.266 | 4.3% |
| Pass | 1.366 | 5.463 | 4.8% |
| Rush | -0.399 | -1.197 | 4.2% |
| 1st down | -0.158 | -0.317 | 2.7% |
| 2nd down | 2.638 | 5.275 | 3.4% |
| 3rd down | -0.231 | -0.692 | 11.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.368 | -1.471 | 3.4% |
| Passing downs | 1.913 | 5.738 | 6.7% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.111 | 1.333 | 4.0% |
| Pass | 0.101 | 1.113 | 7.3% |
| Rush | 0.220 | 0.220 | 0.7% |
| 1st down | 0.026 | 0.235 | 6.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.695 | 1.391 | 1.9% |
| 3rd down | -0.293 | -0.293 | 1.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.160 | 1.599 | 4.7% |
| Passing downs | -0.133 | -0.267 | 2.3% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.971 | -1.942 | 3.9% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.971 | -1.942 | 14.3% |
| 1st down | -0.971 | -1.942 | 8.3% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.971 | -1.942 | 5.9% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.127 | 2.032 | 3.7% |
| Pass | 0.127 | 2.032 | 7.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.786 | -4.716 | 3.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.496 | 2.978 | 4.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.943 | 3.771 | 4.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.355 | -3.549 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.930 | 5.581 | 4.4% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.586 | 4.684 | 3.0% |
| Pass | 0.586 | 4.684 | 6.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.555 | 1.664 | 2.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.698 | 2.095 | 3.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.462 | 0.925 | 3.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.573 | 2.291 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.598 | 2.393 | 4.8% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.333 | 0.998 | 2.7% |
| Pass | -0.354 | -0.354 | 2.2% |
| Rush | 0.676 | 1.352 | 3.5% |
| 1st down | 0.676 | 1.352 | 4.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.354 | -0.354 | 5.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.676 | 1.352 | 2.4% |
| Passing downs | -0.354 | -0.354 | 3.6% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.006 | 0.031 | 2.2% |
| Pass | -0.064 | -0.128 | 1.7% |
| Rush | 0.053 | 0.159 | 2.9% |
| 1st down | 0.118 | 0.471 | 3.9% |
| 2nd down | -0.441 | -0.441 | 1.3% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.118 | 0.471 | 2.5% |
| Passing downs | -0.441 | -0.441 | 1.5% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -5.353 | -5.353 | 1.5% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -5.353 | -5.353 | 2.9% |
| 1st down | -5.353 | -5.353 | 3.2% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -5.353 | -5.353 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.905 | 2.714 | 1.5% |
| Pass | 1.604 | 3.208 | 2.0% |
| Rush | -0.494 | -0.494 | 1.0% |
| 1st down | 0.617 | 0.617 | 1.1% |
| 2nd down | 1.048 | 2.097 | 3.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.617 | 0.617 | 0.7% |
| Passing downs | 1.048 | 2.097 | 3.5% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.018 | -0.018 | 1.5% |
| Pass | -0.018 | -0.018 | 3.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.018 | -0.018 | 10.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | -0.018 | -0.018 | 7.1% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.748 | 1.495 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 0.748 | 1.495 | 2.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.748 | 1.495 | 3.3% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.748 | 1.495 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.349 | -0.349 | 1.4% |
| Pass | -0.349 | -0.349 | 3.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.349 | -0.349 | 3.2% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.349 | -0.349 | 2.4% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.784 | 0.784 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 0.784 | 0.784 | 2.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.784 | 0.784 | 7.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.784 | 0.784 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.111 | 39th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.400 | 22nd138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.280 | 73rd138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.302 | 70th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.002 | 17th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.036 | 63rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.419 | 39th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.181 | 67th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.152 | 41st138 teams | higher |
Captured 2026-10-30. Offense: 97% of 201 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.0 yards (25th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.6 per completion. Completion 63.2%, 7.4 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.36.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 62.4% | 61.9% | +0.5 | 194 / 201 |
| Defense allowed | 63.3% | 61.4% | +1.8 | 207 / 208 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Fresno State.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 201 | 97% | 8.0 | 5.6 | 63.2% | 0.36 | +0.5 pp | 194 |
| Passing defense | 208 | 100% | 8.5 | 5.2 | 63.5% | 0.12 | +1.8 pp | 207 |
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 222 | 4.5 | 40.4% | 0.07 | 2.90 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 20.2% | 58.3% |
| Defense allowed | 257 | 4.7 | 44.0% | 0.07 | 3.00 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 18.3% | 71.9% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 220 / 222 | 212 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 202 / 203 · 99.5% |
| Defense allowed | 253 / 257 | 246 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 239 / 241 · 99.2% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +0.5 pp. 7 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | USC | 15 | 15 | 46.7% | 61.6% | -15.0 pp | 7.2 | 0.01 | 26 | 2.2 | -0.23 |
| W2 | Sacramento State | 30 | 25 | 88.0% | 71.9% | +16.1 pp | 2.9 | 0.83 | 33 | 5.9 | 0.16 |
| W3 | San José State | 29 | 28 | 50.0% | 61.3% | -11.3 pp | 8.8 | 0.35 | 38 | 4.3 | -0.10 |
| W4 | Rice | 34 | 34 | 64.7% | 61.6% | +3.1 pp | 6.6 | 0.26 | 34 | 7.3 | 0.41 |
| W5 | Washington State | 33 | 33 | 72.7% | 58.4% | +14.3 pp | 11.1 | 0.41 | 35 | 3.7 | -0.17 |
| W6 | Boise State | 35 | 34 | 55.9% | 61.3% | -5.5 pp | 7.8 | 0.51 | 16 | 4.3 | 0.18 |
| W7 | San Diego State | 25 | 25 | 52.0% | 58.3% | -6.3 pp | 11.0 | -0.08 | 40 | 3.4 | 0.23 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
29 punts · 41.8 gross yards/punt · 40.5 net yards/punt
14 inside the 20 · 0 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 29/29 punts. Known net yards: 22/29 punts.
10 returns · 9.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
0 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 10/10 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 7 · San Diego State | 5 | 42.2 | 37.4 | 5/5 |
| Week 6 · Boise State | 3 | 41.7 | 41.7 | 3/3 |
| Week 5 · Washington State | 5 | 40.4 | 40.7 | 3/5 |
| Week 4 · Rice | 3 | 50.7 | 47.3 | 3/3 |
| Week 3 · San José State | 7 | 40.9 | 43.3 | 4/7 |