Record
3-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordFlorida International
2026 season
Conference USA
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Florida International's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 94.5 across 8 systems; best 81, worst 110, so they disagree by 29 places.
- Lab EPA
- #81
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #91
- down 22026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #100
- down 32026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #90
- down 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #110
- down 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #98
- down 13 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #108
- down 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #81
- down 152026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #119 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #137 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #100 of 138
- Game control
- #114 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #111 of 138
- Offense
- #128 of 138
- Defense
- #47 of 138
- Special teams
- #119 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Florida International · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.031 net EPA/play
#81
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-4.22 points
#91 · Down 2 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +3.50 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -7.85, schedule #125 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -5.06. That is worth -4.35 on its own; the preseason prior of -3.81 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -4.22.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Florida International · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · South Florida away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401862699 | -10.00 → -10.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.40% | +3.08 | -0.705 | 0.290 | -0.415 |
| Week 2 · Buffalo home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401866414 | +13.00 → +13.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.77% | -9.25 | 1.025 | -0.904 | 0.122 |
| Week 3 · Florida Atlantic away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401862771 | -6.00 → -6.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.15% | -5.46 | -0.355 | -0.554 | -0.909 |
| Week 4 · Long Island University home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401867909 | +17.00 → +17.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.55% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 1.529 | -2.637 | -1.107 |
| Week 6 · New Mexico State home · 2026-10-07 · ID 401871066 | +19.00 → +19.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.39% | -6.78 | 1.880 | -0.773 | 1.107 |
| Week 7 · Jacksonville State away · 2026-10-14 · ID 401871053 | -3.00 → -3.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 11.84% | -2.80 | -0.059 | -0.331 | -0.390 |
| Week 8 · Middle Tennessee home · 2026-10-20 · ID 401871055 | -3.00 → -3.00 | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 12.30% | -8.22 | -0.677 | -1.011 | -1.688 |
Game terms -3.28 points; prior term -0.94 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -4.22 points. The preseason prior is -3.81 with 24.61% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-7.9 SP+ points
#100 · Down 3 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-8.13 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#98 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -11.11 on 426 plays; defense -2.99 on 368 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Florida International 10 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 3-4 · conf 1-2 · home 3-1 · away 0-3 · expected wins 3.5
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 3-3-1 ATS (-2.0 avg) · 2025: 8-5 ATS (+0.8 avg)
- Head coach
- Willie Simmons · hired 2024-12-07 · 7-6 over 2 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #109 (141 pts) · 2025 #90 (158 pts) · 2026 #102 (177 pts)
- Returning
- 32% of production · 26% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing -1% 0% Receiving 49% 49% Rushing 16% 34% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 18 | 3.00 | 0.8351 | 15.03 |
| Defensive Line | 8 | 3.00 | 0.8383 | 6.71 |
| Linebacker | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8310 | 3.32 |
| Offensive Line | 9 | 3.00 | 0.8292 | 7.46 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8401 | 3.36 |
| Receiver | 16 | 3.00 | 0.8390 | 13.42 |
| Running Back | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8537 | 3.41 |
| Special Teams | 5 | 2.80 | 0.8232 | 4.12 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J.J. Kohl · QBCFBD athlete 4870883. Iowa State (2023–2024); App State (2025–2025); Florida International (2026–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.269 | 227 | 52.4% | Pass 94.0% · Rush 11.1%1st 42.2% · 2nd 54.9% · 3rd 64.0% Standard downs 45.3% · Passing downs 65.3% | 2023: 4★ · 0.9435 |
Devonte Lyons · RBCFBD athlete 5146722. Florida International (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.069 | 72 | 17.9% | Pass 3.6% · Rush 34.0%1st 22.1% · 2nd 17.1% · 3rd 14.0% Standard downs 23.1% · Passing downs 8.5% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8661 |
Anthony Carrie · RBCFBD athlete 5079372. Georgia Tech (2024–2024); Florida International (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | -0.019 | 70 | 21.1% | Pass 5.0% · Rush 39.3%1st 28.7% · 2nd 19.3% · 3rd 13.0% Standard downs 25.2% · Passing downs 13.9% | 2024: 4★ · 0.9053 |
Robert Czeremcha · PKCFBD athlete 5230751. Florida International (2024–2026) | Kicker PAAR | -0.270 | 17 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
Eric Nelson · WRCFBD athlete 5125595. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.8% | Pass 7.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.1% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 7.4% Standard downs 4.1% · Passing downs 3.4% | Not linked |
Greg Gaines III · WRCFBD athlete 4685356. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.6% | Pass 7.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.8% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 8.5% Standard downs 2.2% · Passing downs 6.1% | Not linked |
Jackson Verdugo · TECFBD athlete 5236210. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.8% | Pass 5.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.0% · 2nd 3.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.1% · Passing downs 2.3% | Not linked |
James Resar · TECFBD athlete 5079684. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.7% | Pass 12.9% · Rush 0.4%1st 5.5% · 2nd 8.5% · 3rd 4.4% Standard downs 7.2% · Passing downs 5.7% | Not linked |
Jayden Ford · RBCFBD athlete 5172097. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.1% | Pass 2.6% · Rush 3.6%1st 3.7% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 1.7% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 4.5% | Not linked |
JoJo Stone · WRCFBD athlete 5218988. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.8% | Pass 10.9% · Rush 0.9%1st 5.5% · 2nd 6.1% · 3rd 6.1% Standard downs 5.0% · Passing downs 7.4% | Not linked |
Kevin Schaeffer · TECFBD athlete 4698120. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.7% | Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 7.1% Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Kyle Mcneal · WRCFBD athlete 5121664. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.5% | Pass 10.2% · Rush 0.5%1st 3.5% · 2nd 9.7% · 3rd 3.0% Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 8.9% | Not linked |
Maguire Anderson · WRCFBD athlete 4879999. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 11.9% | Pass 22.6% · Rush 1.3%1st 11.1% · 2nd 9.1% · 3rd 17.5% Standard downs 10.9% · Passing downs 13.6% | Not linked |
Nate Henry · RBCFBD athlete 5158414. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.3% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 5.7%1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.0% · 3rd 7.7% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 10.5% | Not linked |
Sterling Joseph · RBCFBD athlete 5164324. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.6% | Pass 2.4% · Rush 11.3%1st 5.9% · 2nd 7.2% · 3rd 7.2% Standard downs 5.5% · Passing downs 8.8% | Not linked |
Tyson Carter · WRCFBD athlete 5222534. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.5% | Pass 6.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.1% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 1.2% Standard downs 4.3% · Passing downs 2.2% | Not linked |
Zach Marker · QBCFBD athlete 5153845. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.9% | Pass 13.6% · Rush 1.9%1st 9.5% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 6.7% Standard downs 6.9% · Passing downs 7.0% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 17 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brayshawn Littlejohn · LB | App State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Daveion Harley · IOL | California | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| DeAndre Boykins · S | Oklahoma State | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Elijah Simmons · DL | West Virginia | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8100 | Immediate |
| Greg Gaines III · WR | Rhode Island | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| JJ Kohl · QB | App State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| JaCorey Stewart · LB | Kansas | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jamorie Flagg · DL | Florida State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kevin Schaeffer · TE | Rhode Island | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Lawrence Johnson · CB | Florida Atlantic | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Manasseh Ripert · OT | Western Carolina | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Matt Ivaldi · QB | Fordham | 2026-01-13 | — / — | Immediate |
| Nathan Jennings · DL | South Alabama | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| RJ Moss Jr. · DL | South Alabama | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Spencer Webb · IOL | Eastern Michigan | 2026-01-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| Vontae Floyd · CB | Duke | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Wesley Miller · S | South Alabama | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 22 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Armitage · DL | Not reported | 2026-01-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Alex Perry · WR | Illinois | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Antonio Tripp Jr. · IOL | Not reported | 2025-12-25 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Ashton Levells · CB | East Carolina | 2026-01-05 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Brian Blades ll · CB | Wake Forest | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Dallas Payne · TE | Not reported | 2025-12-29 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Daniel Michel · OT | James Madison | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Dwight Nunoo · LB | Akron | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Jaheim Buchanon · IOL | TCU | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Jessiah McGrew · S | Arizona State | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kenton Simmons · EDGE | Not reported | 2026-01-17 | — / — | Withdrawn |
| Keyone Jenkins · QB | UCF | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| L'Cier Luter · DL | Not reported | 2026-08-03 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Miguel Cedeno · OT | Not reported | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / — | Withdrawn |
| Mister Clark · S | Purdue | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Mykeal Rabess · OT | California | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Preston Thompson · S | Not reported | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Shaborne Demps · WR | Not reported | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Steven Shannon · DL | Not reported | 2025-12-29 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Toddrick Brewton · EDGE | Rhode Island | 2026-01-29 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Victor Evans III · CB | Nebraska | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Xion Chapman · DL | Minnesota | 2026-01-10 | 4★ / 0.9200 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Florida International. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Willie Simmons · career 7–6 across 2 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 6 appointments
2025–present · Willie Simmons · active at capture
7–6 · 13 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2024-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2022–2024 · Mike MacIntyre
12–24 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2021-12-09. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2017–2021 · Butch Davis
24–32 · 56 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2016-11-15. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2013–2016 · Ron Turner
10–30 · 40 attributed games · 4 seasons
Hired 2013-01-03. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2007–2012 · Mario Cristobal
27–47 · 74 attributed games · 6 seasons
Hired 2006-12-19. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2004–2006 · Don Strock
8–25 · 33 attributed games · 3 seasons
Hired 2000-09-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Willie Simmons · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -6.2 | -10.1 | 102 | — |
| 2025 · Willie Simmons | 7–6 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -10.5 | -10.4 | 90 | — |
| 2024 · Mike MacIntyre | 4–8 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -12.1 | -11.6 | 109 | — |
| 2023 · Mike MacIntyre | 4–8 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -21.2 | -19.4 | 95 | — |
| 2022 · Mike MacIntyre | 4–8 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -25.5 | -22.8 | — | — |
| 2021 · Butch Davis | 1–11 | 0–8 | 0–0 | -21.6 | -27.5 | 83 | — |
| 2020 · Butch Davis | 0–5 | 0–3 | 0–0 | -10.7 | -17.8 | 74 | — |
| 2019 · Butch Davis | 6–7 | 3–5 | 0–1 | -7 | -11.5 | 88 | — |
| 2018 · Butch Davis | 9–4 | 6–2 | 1–0 | -7.4 | -3.4 | 69 | — |
| 2017 · Butch Davis | 8–5 | 5–3 | 0–1 | -10.4 | -10.9 | 83 | — |
| 2016 · Ron Turner · incomplete attribution | 0–4 | — | — | -19 | -19.1 | 104 | — |
| 2015 · Ron Turner | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -16.6 | -13.5 | 100 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:17:14 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 117 / 138 | 15.3 | 32 / 138 | 77.4 |
| Success rate | 110 / 138 | 20.4 | 30 / 138 | 78.8 |
| Explosiveness | 113 / 138 | 18.2 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Standard-down success | 112 / 138 | 19.0 | 40 / 138 | 71.5 |
| Passing-down success | 70 / 138 | 49.6 | 28 / 138 | 80.3 |
| Pass PPA | 97 / 138 | 29.9 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Rush PPA | 125 / 138 | 9.5 | 49 / 138 | 65.0 |
| Pass explosiveness | 61 / 138 | 56.2 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Rush explosiveness | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 60 / 138 | 56.9 |
| Line yards | 111 / 138 | 19.7 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Second-level yards | 120 / 138 | 13.1 | 89 / 138 | 35.8 |
| Open-field yards | 138 / 138 | 0.0 | 31 / 138 | 78.1 |
| Stuff rate | 84 / 138 | 39.4 | 47 / 138 | 66.4 |
| Power success | T51 / 138 | 63.1 | T22 / 138 | 84.3 |
| Havoc | T68 / 138 | 50.0 | T51 / 138 | 63.1 |
| Front-seven havoc | T27 / 138 | 80.3 | 41 / 138 | 70.8 |
| DB havoc | T118 / 138 | 13.9 | T67 / 138 | 50.7 |
| Points / opportunity | T123 / 138 | 10.6 | 17 / 138 | 88.3 |
| Average field position | T44 / 138 | 67.5 | T122 / 138 | 10.6 |
| Field-position expected points | T28 / 138 | 79.9 | 129 / 138 | 6.6 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
J.J. Kohl · QBUsage 52.4% · Avg PPA 0.091 · Total 23.679
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.091 | 23.679 | 52.4% |
| Pass | 0.152 | 35.424 | 94.0% |
| Rush | -0.234 | -6.083 | 11.1% |
| 1st down | 0.004 | 0.355 | 42.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.022 | -1.975 | 54.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.711 | 51.908 | 64.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.048 | 6.959 | 45.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.145 | 16.719 | 65.3% |
Anthony Carrie · RBUsage 21.1% · Avg PPA -0.075 · Total -6.884
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.075 | -6.884 | 21.1% |
| Pass | 0.069 | 0.759 | 5.0% |
| Rush | -0.094 | -7.643 | 39.3% |
| 1st down | -0.209 | -10.444 | 28.7% |
| 2nd down | -0.144 | -4.027 | 19.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.449 | 5.837 | 13.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.069 | -4.814 | 25.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.094 | -2.070 | 13.9% |
Devonte Lyons · RBUsage 17.9% · Avg PPA 0.037 · Total 3.311
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.037 | 3.311 | 17.9% |
| Pass | 0.356 | 3.202 | 3.6% |
| Rush | 0.001 | 0.109 | 34.0% |
| 1st down | -0.122 | -5.388 | 22.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.179 | 5.017 | 17.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.097 | 1.555 | 14.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.019 | -1.421 | 23.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.315 | 4.732 | 8.5% |
Maguire Anderson · WRUsage 11.9% · Avg PPA 0.748 · Total 44.160
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.748 | 44.160 | 11.9% |
| Pass | 0.757 | 42.377 | 22.6% |
| Rush | 0.594 | 1.783 | 1.3% |
| 1st down | 0.308 | 6.786 | 11.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.865 | 12.980 | 9.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.962 | 19.239 | 17.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.635 | 22.220 | 10.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.914 | 21.940 | 13.6% |
Zach Marker · QBUsage 6.9% · Avg PPA -0.044 · Total -0.618
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.044 | -0.618 | 6.9% |
| Pass | -0.142 | -1.706 | 13.6% |
| Rush | 0.544 | 1.088 | 1.9% |
| 1st down | -0.203 | -1.623 | 9.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.287 | 0.860 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.048 | 0.145 | 6.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.148 | -1.333 | 6.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.143 | 0.715 | 7.0% |
James Resar · TEUsage 6.7% · Avg PPA -0.015 · Total -0.497
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.015 | -0.497 | 6.7% |
| Pass | -0.118 | -3.774 | 12.9% |
| Rush | 3.278 | 3.278 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | 0.226 | 2.491 | 5.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.129 | -1.810 | 8.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.773 | 3.865 | 4.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.173 | -3.972 | 7.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.348 | 3.476 | 5.7% |
Sterling Joseph · RBUsage 6.6% · Avg PPA -0.087 · Total -2.444
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.087 | -2.444 | 6.6% |
| Pass | -0.039 | -0.196 | 2.4% |
| Rush | -0.098 | -2.248 | 11.3% |
| 1st down | -0.093 | -0.931 | 5.9% |
| 2nd down | -0.030 | -0.303 | 7.2% |
| 3rd down | -0.321 | -2.247 | 7.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.035 | 0.522 | 5.5% |
| Passing downs | -0.228 | -2.966 | 8.8% |
JoJo Stone · WRUsage 5.8% · Avg PPA 0.205 · Total 5.933
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.205 | 5.933 | 5.8% |
| Pass | 0.209 | 5.655 | 10.9% |
| Rush | 0.139 | 0.278 | 0.9% |
| 1st down | 0.164 | 1.809 | 5.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.050 | -0.502 | 6.1% |
| 3rd down | 1.257 | 8.796 | 6.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.235 | 3.756 | 5.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.167 | 2.177 | 7.4% |
Kyle Mcneal · WRUsage 5.5% · Avg PPA 0.027 · Total 0.660
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.027 | 0.660 | 5.5% |
| Pass | 0.217 | 4.986 | 10.2% |
| Rush | -4.327 | -4.327 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | -0.037 | -0.223 | 3.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.060 | 0.842 | 9.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.456 | 4.368 | 3.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.190 | -1.898 | 3.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.183 | 2.558 | 8.9% |
Eric Nelson · WRUsage 3.8% · Avg PPA 0.849 · Total 13.584
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.849 | 13.584 | 3.8% |
| Pass | 0.849 | 13.584 | 7.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.071 | 0.495 | 4.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.224 | 0.449 | 1.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.806 | 12.641 | 7.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.531 | 5.836 | 4.1% |
| Passing downs | 1.550 | 7.748 | 3.4% |
Greg Gaines III · WRUsage 3.6% · Avg PPA -0.129 · Total -1.934
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.129 | -1.934 | 3.6% |
| Pass | -0.129 | -1.934 | 7.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -1.152 | -3.455 | 1.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.398 | -0.796 | 1.4% |
| 3rd down | 1.255 | 10.042 | 8.5% |
| Standard downs | -1.390 | -8.340 | 2.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.712 | 6.406 | 6.1% |
Tyson Carter · WRUsage 3.5% · Avg PPA 0.840 · Total 10.922
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.840 | 10.922 | 3.5% |
| Pass | 0.840 | 10.922 | 6.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.043 | 0.258 | 4.1% |
| 2nd down | 1.780 | 8.902 | 4.2% |
| 3rd down | -0.734 | -0.734 | 1.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.896 | 8.961 | 4.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.654 | 1.961 | 2.2% |
Nate Henry · RBUsage 3.3% · Avg PPA 0.342 · Total 0.683
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.342 | 0.683 | 3.3% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.342 | 0.683 | 5.7% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.636 | 0.636 | 5.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.047 | 0.047 | 7.7% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.342 | 0.683 | 10.5% |
Jayden Ford · RBUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA -0.068 · Total -0.540
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.068 | -0.540 | 3.1% |
| Pass | -0.350 | -1.049 | 2.6% |
| Rush | 0.102 | 0.509 | 3.6% |
| 1st down | -0.145 | -0.578 | 3.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.258 | 0.775 | 3.4% |
| 3rd down | -0.737 | -0.737 | 1.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.145 | -0.578 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.009 | 0.038 | 4.5% |
Jackson Verdugo · TEUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA -0.435 · Total -6.086
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.435 | -6.086 | 2.8% |
| Pass | -0.435 | -6.086 | 5.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.095 | 0.573 | 3.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.160 | 0.961 | 3.7% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.247 | -2.471 | 3.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.904 | -3.615 | 2.3% |
Kevin Schaeffer · TEUsage 1.7% · Avg PPA 2.454 · Total 2.454
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 2.454 | 2.454 | 1.7% |
| Pass | 2.454 | 2.454 | 3.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 2.454 | 2.454 | 7.1% |
| Standard downs | 2.454 | 2.454 | 2.4% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.025 | 15th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.397 | 20th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.151 | 18th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.127 | 30th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | -0.053 | 9th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.005 | 77th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.371 | 79th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.192 | 63rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.167 | 63rd138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 98% of 243 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.5 yards (46th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.3 per completion. Completion 57.2%, 7.0 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.15.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 57.8% | 61.8% | -4.0 | 218 / 243 |
| Defense allowed | 57.7% | 61.3% | -3.6 | 175 / 195 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Florida International.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 243 | 98% | 8.5 | 5.3 | 57.2% | 0.15 | -4.0 pp | 218 |
| Passing defense | 195 | 100% | 8.9 | 4.0 | 56.4% | 0.09 | -3.6 pp | 175 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 246 | 3.6 | 38.1% | -0.04 | 2.80 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 17.6% | 75.8% |
| Defense allowed | 228 | 3.7 | 37.7% | 0.05 | 2.80 | 1.10 | 0.70 | 17.9% | 66.7% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 237 / 246 | 236 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 237 / 239 · 99.2% |
| Defense allowed | 223 / 228 | 192 | 36 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 212 / 212 · 100.0% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -4.0 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | South Florida | 50 | 49 | 61.2% | 64.9% | -3.7 pp | 7.1 | 0.03 | 25 | 3.2 | -0.37 |
| W2 | Buffalo | 38 | 37 | 59.5% | 57.5% | +2.0 pp | 10.6 | 0.41 | 42 | 3.7 | -0.15 |
| W3 | Florida Atlantic | 43 | 43 | 51.2% | 58.5% | -7.3 pp | 9.5 | 0.03 | 36 | 2.5 | -0.05 |
| W4 | Long Island University | 21 | 0 | — | — | — | 11.6 | 0.12 | 38 | 4.6 | 0.18 |
| W6 | New Mexico State | 22 | 22 | 59.1% | 62.3% | -3.2 pp | 6.7 | 0.05 | 44 | 2.6 | -0.02 |
| W7 | Jacksonville State | 41 | 40 | 62.5% | 64.2% | -1.6 pp | 7.1 | 0.40 | 32 | 3.6 | 0.05 |
| W8 | Middle Tennessee | 28 | 27 | 51.9% | 63.2% | -11.4 pp | 7.5 | -0.09 | 29 | 5.7 | 0.03 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
21 punts · 38.7 gross yards/punt · 36.1 net yards/punt
6 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 21/21 punts. Known net yards: 15/21 punts.
Our punt returns
12 returns · 7.0 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
1 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 12/12 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 · Middle Tennessee | 5 | 33.0 | 33.0 | 5/5 |
| Week 7 · Jacksonville State | 4 | 37.0 | 33.0 | 1/4 |
| Week 6 · New Mexico State | 4 | 40.5 | 41.5 | 2/4 |
| Week 4 · Long Island University | 1 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 1/1 |
| Week 3 · Florida Atlantic | 2 | 47.0 | 43.0 | 2/2 |