Record
3-4 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordEast Carolina
2026 season
American Athletic
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
East Carolina's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 86.5 across 8 systems; best 72, worst 106, so they disagree by 34 places.
- Lab EPA
- #87
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #79
- up 82026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #91
- up 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #83
- down 32026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #86
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #72
- no change · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #106
- up 42026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #87
- up 72026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #109 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #72 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #99 of 138
- Game control
- #78 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #84 of 138
- Offense
- #113 of 138
- Defense
- #41 of 138
- Special teams
- #96 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
East Carolina · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.048 net EPA/play
#87
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-1.32 points
#79 · Up 8 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +2.76 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -5.37, schedule #97 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -2.18. That is worth -2.61 on its own; the preseason prior of +2.62 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -1.32.
How each game enters this SRS rating
East Carolina · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Alabama away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401856634 | -38.00 → -35.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.40% | +18.66 | -3.054 | 1.754 | -1.300 |
| Week 2 · App State home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401864571 | -3.00 → -3.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.77% | -4.01 | -0.537 | -0.392 | -0.929 |
| Week 3 · Old Dominion away · 2026-09-19 · ID 401862710 | +3.00 → +3.00 | +2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.15% | -10.09 | 0.558 | -1.024 | -0.466 |
| Week 4 · North Carolina Central home · 2026-09-26 · ID 401862781 | +33.00 → +33.00 | -2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.55% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 3.217 | -2.637 | 0.580 |
| Week 6 · Rice home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401862797 | +16.00 → +16.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.39% | -9.25 | 1.538 | -1.054 | 0.484 |
| Week 7 · UAB away · 2026-10-15 · ID 401862800 | -13.00 → -1.00 (OT) | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 11.84% | -8.45 | 0.178 | -1.000 | -0.823 |
| Week 8 · Memphis away · 2026-10-22 · ID 401862807 | -7.00 → -1.00 (OT) | +2.50 | 1.0000 | 12.30% | +2.46 | 0.185 | 0.303 | 0.487 |
Game terms -1.97 points; prior term +0.64 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -1.32 points. The preseason prior is +2.62 with 24.61% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-4.0 SP+ points
#91 · Up 1 place
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-0.84 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#72 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -6.03 on 380 plays; defense -5.19 on 398 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks East Carolina 8 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 3-4 · conf 1-2 · home 2-1 · away 1-3 · expected wins 2.8
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 3-4 ATS (-3.9 avg) · 2025: 8-5 ATS (+7.0 avg)
- Head coach
- Blake Harrell · hired 2024-11-27 · 14-5 over 3 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #73 (171 pts) · 2025 #77 (173 pts) · 2026 #94 (179 pts)
- Returning
- 14% of production · 14% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 0% 0% Receiving 20% 26% Rushing 27% 16% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 16 | 3.06 | 0.8486 | 13.58 |
| Defensive Line | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8499 | 11.05 |
| Linebacker | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8486 | 5.94 |
| Offensive Line | 12 | 3.00 | 0.8351 | 10.02 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8438 | 3.38 |
| Receiver | 12 | 3.00 | 0.8542 | 10.25 |
| Running Back | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8609 | 2.58 |
| Special Teams | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8563 | 5.99 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mitch Griffis · QBCFBD athlete 4433829. East Carolina (2026–2026); Wake Forest (2020–2023); Texas Tech (2025–2025) | Passing WEPA | 0.293 | 103 | 26.1% | Pass 45.3% · Rush 9.7%1st 24.4% · 2nd 26.1% · 3rd 30.0% Standard downs 24.0% · Passing downs 30.2% | 2020: 3★ · 0.8752 |
Emory Williams · QBCFBD athlete 5075800. East Carolina (2026–2026); Miami (2023–2025) | Passing WEPA | 0.165 | 89 | 35.7% | Pass 64.9% · Rush 10.8%1st 26.9% · 2nd 39.4% · 3rd 47.2% Standard downs 30.2% · Passing downs 46.1% | 2023: 3★ · 0.8789 |
TJ Engleman · RBCFBD athlete 5079419. East Carolina (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.224 | 80 | 21.2% | Pass 5.4% · Rush 37.1%1st 28.8% · 2nd 18.5% · 3rd 11.0% Standard downs 25.2% · Passing downs 13.2% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8525 |
Ashton Gray · RBCFBD athlete 5194306. East Carolina (2026–2026); North Texas (2024–2025) | Rushing WEPA | 0.116 | 54 | 15.2% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 24.4%1st 18.1% · 2nd 12.4% · 3rd 16.1% Standard downs 16.8% · Passing downs 12.1% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8337 |
Noah Perez · PKCFBD athlete 5089443. East Carolina (2024–2026); Akron (2022–2023) | Kicker PAAR | 1.230 | 11 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | 2022: stars unavailable |
Dawson Quarterman · WRCFBD athlete 5159027. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.7% | Pass 7.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.3% · 2nd 1.5% · 3rd 6.0% Standard downs 2.8% · Passing downs 5.3% | Not linked |
DeJuan Lacy · RBCFBD athlete 5293902. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.4% | Pass 2.7% · Rush 6.9%1st 5.2% · 2nd 6.8% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 4.5% · Passing downs 4.3% | Not linked |
Dillon Lorick · WRCFBD athlete 5148837. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.1% | Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.8% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 8.0% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 4.9% | Not linked |
Ja'Keith Hamilton · WRCFBD athlete 5153369. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.9% | Pass 6.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.7% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 3.8% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 2.3% | Not linked |
Jason Dickerson · WRCFBD athlete 5226083. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.7% | Pass 8.0% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.6% · 2nd 4.9% · 3rd 6.6% Standard downs 2.4% · Passing downs 6.3% | Not linked |
Jeremiah Melvin · WRCFBD athlete 5145453. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.6% | Pass 21.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 7.1% · 2nd 9.7% · 3rd 12.5% Standard downs 7.8% · Passing downs 13.3% | Not linked |
Kanen Hamlett · TECFBD athlete 4911906. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.3% | Pass 4.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.0% · 2nd 2.9% · 3rd 3.8% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 2.7% | Not linked |
Kyler Pearson · WRCFBD athlete 4430798. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.6% | Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 2.2% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.1% · Passing downs 2.4% | Not linked |
Landon Sides · WRCFBD athlete 5122006. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.4% | Pass 12.7% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.6% · 2nd 7.6% · 3rd 5.9% Standard downs 5.7% · Passing downs 7.8% | Not linked |
Michael Allen · RBCFBD athlete 4685237. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 10.6% | Pass 4.4% · Rush 16.7%1st 10.5% · 2nd 10.6% · 3rd 8.5% Standard downs 12.1% · Passing downs 7.6% | Not linked |
Michael Beatty · RBCFBD athlete 5261753. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.0% | Pass 2.8% · Rush 5.3%1st 6.7% · 2nd 4.2% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.5% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Nathaniel Joseph · WRCFBD athlete 4870770. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 10.1% | Pass 20.6% · Rush 0.8%1st 6.8% · 2nd 10.2% · 3rd 15.0% Standard downs 7.6% · Passing downs 15.1% | Not linked |
Tyler Johnson · WRCFBD athlete 4869324. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.0% | Pass 10.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.8% · 2nd 7.6% · 3rd 4.0% Standard downs 4.9% · Passing downs 5.3% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 24 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton Gray · RB | North Texas | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Ashton Levells · CB | Florida International | 2026-01-05 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Blake Shirley · LS | Wofford | 2026-02-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| Brandon Best · IOL | Kennesaw State | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Cade Law · LB | Memphis | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8100 | Immediate |
| Christian Peterson · S | UCF | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Crews Law · LB | Memphis | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Elliot Huether · P | Not reported | 2026-01-23 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Emory Williams · QB | Miami | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ethan Kramer · IOL | Northern Arizona | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Hayes Creel · OT | Southern Miss | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Ismael Smith Flores · TE | Not reported | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Ja'Keith Hamilton · WR | Furman | 2026-01-05 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jaylen Bowden · CB | Minnesota | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jeremiah Melvin · WR | Wake Forest | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Kanen Hamlett · TE | App State | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Landon Sides · WR | North Texas | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Michael Allen · RB | Marshall | 2026-01-08 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Mitch Griffis · QB | Texas Tech | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Myles Pollard · S | Memphis | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Niko Paic · IOL | Valparaiso | 2026-04-23 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Rae'mon Mosby · CB | Louisville | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Ray Ray Joseph · WR | Miami | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Zyeir Gamble · S | App State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
Outgoing · 26 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Lackey Jr. · S | Not reported | 2026-02-12 | — / — | Immediate |
| Chaston Ditta · QB | North Texas | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Desirrio Riles · TE | Florida State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Dru McClough · IOL | Presbyterian | 2026-07-01 | — / — | Immediate |
| Emmanuel Poku · IOL | South Carolina | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8800 | Immediate |
| Ja'Marley Riddle · S | Georgia | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Jayvontay Conner · TE | Vanderbilt | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8900 | Immediate |
| Jimarion McCrimon · OT | NC State | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jordy Lowery · CB | Florida | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Justin Benton · DL | North Texas | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jyron Waiters · WR | Campbell | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Katin Houser · QB | Illinois | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8800 | Immediate |
| Kendric Davis · LB | West Georgia | 2026-01-29 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Key Crowell · CB | Illinois State | 2026-01-18 | — / — | Immediate |
| Leivi Semaia · IOL | Midwestern State | 2026-01-27 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| London Montgomery · RB | Florida | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8900 | Immediate |
| Malik Leverett · WR | West Georgia | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| O'Marion Lewis · S | Campbell | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Parker Jenkins · RB | Lamar | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Raheim Jeter · QB | Alcorn State | 2026-02-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Samuel Dankah · LB | Not reported | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / — | Withdrawn |
| Samuel Riddy Jr. · OT | UAB | 2026-01-25 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Trenton Cloud · WR | Not reported | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / — | Withdrawn |
| Xavier McIver · DL | Southern Miss | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Yannick Smith · WR | SMU | 2026-01-05 | 4★ / 0.9200 | Immediate |
| Zion Wilson · DL | Virginia | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8800 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at East Carolina. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Blake Harrell · career 14–5 across 3 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 15 appointments
2024–present · Blake Harrell · active at capture
14–5 · 19 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2024-11-27. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2019–2024 · Mike Houston
27–38 · 65 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2018-12-03. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2018–2018 · David Blackwell
0–1 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2018-11-29. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2016–2018 · Scottie Montgomery
9–26 · 35 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2015-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2010–2015 · Ruffin McNeill
42–34 · 76 attributed games · 6 seasons
Hired 2010-01-21. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2005–2009 · Skip Holtz
38–27 · 65 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2004-12-03. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2003–2004 · John Thompson
3–20 · 23 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2002-12-20. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1992–2002 · Steve Logan
69–58 · 127 attributed games · 11 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1989–1991 · Bill Lewis
21–12–1 · 34 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1985–1988 · Art Baker
12–32 · 44 attributed games · 4 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1980–1984 · Ed Emory
26–29 · 55 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1974–1979 · Pat Dye
48–18–1 · 67 attributed games · 6 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1971–1973 · Sonny Randle
22–10 · 32 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1970–1970 · Mike McGee
3–8 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1965–1969 · Clarence Stasavich
27–21–1 · 49 attributed games · 5 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Blake Harrell · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -3.8 | -9.7 | 94 | — |
| 2025 · Blake Harrell | 9–4 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 8 | 5.7 | 77 | — |
| 2024 · Mike Houston · incomplete attribution | 3–4 | — | — | -1 | -5.3 | 73 | — |
| 2024 · Blake Harrell · incomplete attribution | 5–1 | — | — | -1 | -5.3 | 73 | — |
| 2023 · Mike Houston | 2–10 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -12.8 | -9.2 | 65 | — |
| 2022 · Mike Houston | 8–5 | 4–4 | 1–0 | 1.1 | 3.8 | 85 | — |
| 2021 · Mike Houston | 7–5 | 5–3 | 0–0 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 96 | — |
| 2020 · Mike Houston | 3–6 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -11 | — | 70 | — |
| 2019 · Mike Houston | 4–8 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -14 | -15.2 | 78 | — |
| 2018 · Scottie Montgomery · incomplete attribution | 3–8 | — | — | -14.9 | -15.7 | 89 | — |
| 2018 · David Blackwell · incomplete attribution | 0–1 | — | — | -14.9 | -15.7 | 89 | — |
| 2017 · Scottie Montgomery | 3–9 | 2–6 | 0–0 | -14 | -14.8 | 79 | — |
| 2016 · Scottie Montgomery | 3–9 | 1–7 | 0–0 | -9 | -13.2 | 79 | — |
| 2015 · Ruffin McNeill | 5–7 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -0.5 | 1.8 | 93 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:13:25 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 118 / 138 | 14.6 | 35 / 138 | 75.2 |
| Success rate | 128 / 138 | 7.3 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Explosiveness | 67 / 138 | 51.8 | 92 / 138 | 33.6 |
| Standard-down success | 115 / 138 | 16.8 | 15 / 138 | 89.8 |
| Passing-down success | 127 / 138 | 8.0 | 93 / 138 | 32.8 |
| Pass PPA | 108 / 138 | 21.9 | 34 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Rush PPA | 119 / 138 | 13.9 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Pass explosiveness | 67 / 138 | 51.8 | 108 / 138 | 21.9 |
| Rush explosiveness | 80 / 138 | 42.3 | 96 / 138 | 30.7 |
| Line yards | 105 / 138 | 24.1 | 7 / 138 | 95.6 |
| Second-level yards | 107 / 138 | 22.6 | 69 / 138 | 50.4 |
| Open-field yards | 54 / 138 | 61.3 | 51 / 138 | 63.5 |
| Stuff rate | 72 / 138 | 48.2 | 3 / 138 | 98.5 |
| Power success | 103 / 138 | 25.5 | 25 / 138 | 82.5 |
| Havoc | 134 / 138 | 2.9 | T13 / 138 | 90.5 |
| Front-seven havoc | 129 / 138 | 6.6 | 3 / 138 | 98.5 |
| DB havoc | T113 / 138 | 17.9 | 126 / 138 | 8.8 |
| Points / opportunity | 115 / 138 | 16.8 | 60 / 138 | 56.9 |
| Average field position | T79 / 138 | 40.5 | T63 / 138 | 54.0 |
| Field-position expected points | 81 / 138 | 41.6 | 64 / 138 | 54.0 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Emory Williams · QBUsage 35.7% · Avg PPA 0.069 · Total 9.927
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.069 | 9.927 | 35.7% |
| Pass | 0.116 | 13.944 | 64.9% |
| Rush | -0.037 | -0.810 | 10.8% |
| 1st down | -0.060 | -2.741 | 26.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.134 | 6.991 | 39.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.402 | 16.892 | 47.2% |
| Standard downs | 0.027 | 2.118 | 30.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.120 | 7.810 | 46.1% |
Mitch Griffis · QBUsage 26.1% · Avg PPA 0.085 · Total 10.543
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.085 | 10.543 | 26.1% |
| Pass | 0.089 | 8.939 | 45.3% |
| Rush | 0.070 | 1.604 | 9.7% |
| 1st down | 0.038 | 1.924 | 24.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.130 | 5.326 | 26.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.001 | -0.027 | 30.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.110 | 8.330 | 24.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.046 | 2.213 | 30.2% |
TJ Engleman · RBUsage 21.2% · Avg PPA 0.302 · Total 30.463
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.302 | 30.463 | 21.2% |
| Pass | 0.366 | 4.390 | 5.4% |
| Rush | 0.269 | 23.682 | 37.1% |
| 1st down | 0.205 | 12.078 | 28.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.027 | -0.779 | 18.5% |
| 3rd down | 1.509 | 16.597 | 11.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.301 | 24.058 | 25.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.305 | 6.406 | 13.2% |
Ashton Gray · RBUsage 15.2% · Avg PPA -0.037 · Total -2.347
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.037 | -2.347 | 15.2% |
| Pass | -0.053 | -0.477 | 4.8% |
| Rush | -0.027 | -1.442 | 24.4% |
| 1st down | -0.289 | -9.262 | 18.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.004 | -0.075 | 12.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.499 | 6.989 | 16.1% |
| Standard downs | -0.070 | -3.201 | 16.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.050 | 0.854 | 12.1% |
Michael Allen · RBUsage 10.6% · Avg PPA -0.487 · Total -20.444
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.487 | -20.444 | 10.6% |
| Pass | -0.221 | -1.766 | 4.4% |
| Rush | -0.549 | -18.678 | 16.7% |
| 1st down | -0.520 | -9.351 | 10.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.099 | 1.387 | 10.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.060 | -0.420 | 8.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.393 | -12.561 | 12.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.788 | -7.883 | 7.6% |
Nathaniel Joseph · WRUsage 10.1% · Avg PPA 0.226 · Total 10.858
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.226 | 10.858 | 10.1% |
| Pass | 0.166 | 7.615 | 20.6% |
| Rush | 1.621 | 3.243 | 0.8% |
| 1st down | 0.042 | 0.583 | 6.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.141 | 2.263 | 10.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.843 | 12.650 | 15.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.188 | 4.514 | 7.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.264 | 6.344 | 15.1% |
Jeremiah Melvin · WRUsage 9.6% · Avg PPA 0.076 · Total 1.670
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.076 | 1.670 | 9.6% |
| Pass | 0.076 | 1.670 | 21.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.291 | -2.034 | 7.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.763 | 5.343 | 9.7% |
| 3rd down | -0.144 | -0.863 | 12.5% |
| Standard downs | 0.426 | 5.110 | 7.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.344 | -3.440 | 13.3% |
Landon Sides · WRUsage 6.4% · Avg PPA 0.785 · Total 14.924
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.785 | 14.924 | 6.4% |
| Pass | 0.753 | 13.548 | 12.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.268 | 1.879 | 5.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.385 | 2.695 | 7.6% |
| 3rd down | 1.564 | 6.255 | 5.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.499 | 5.487 | 5.7% |
| Passing downs | 1.180 | 9.437 | 7.8% |
Tyler Johnson · WRUsage 5.0% · Avg PPA -0.289 · Total -5.210
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.289 | -5.210 | 5.0% |
| Pass | -0.289 | -5.210 | 10.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.573 | -3.437 | 3.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.081 | -0.729 | 7.6% |
| 3rd down | -0.348 | -1.045 | 4.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.451 | -5.413 | 4.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.034 | 0.203 | 5.3% |
DeJuan Lacy · RBUsage 4.4% · Avg PPA -0.520 · Total -3.118
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.520 | -3.118 | 4.4% |
| Pass | -1.099 | -2.198 | 2.7% |
| Rush | -0.230 | -0.920 | 6.9% |
| 1st down | -0.692 | -2.075 | 5.2% |
| 2nd down | -0.348 | -1.043 | 6.8% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.625 | -2.501 | 4.5% |
| Passing downs | -0.309 | -0.617 | 4.3% |
Michael Beatty · RBUsage 4.0% · Avg PPA 0.099 · Total 0.296
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.099 | 0.296 | 4.0% |
| Pass | 0.083 | 0.083 | 2.8% |
| Rush | 0.107 | 0.213 | 5.3% |
| 1st down | 0.025 | 0.049 | 6.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.247 | 0.247 | 4.2% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.099 | 0.296 | 6.5% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Dawson Quarterman · WRUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA 0.335 · Total 2.681
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.335 | 2.681 | 3.7% |
| Pass | 0.335 | 2.681 | 7.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.073 | -0.291 | 4.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.038 | 0.038 | 1.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.978 | 2.934 | 6.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.073 | -0.291 | 2.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.743 | 2.971 | 5.3% |
Jason Dickerson · WRUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA 0.914 · Total 14.631
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.914 | 14.631 | 3.7% |
| Pass | 0.914 | 14.631 | 8.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.524 | -1.572 | 1.6% |
| 2nd down | 1.205 | 8.433 | 4.9% |
| 3rd down | 1.295 | 7.770 | 6.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.270 | 1.891 | 2.4% |
| Passing downs | 1.416 | 12.740 | 6.3% |
Dillon Lorick · WRUsage 3.1% · Avg PPA 1.647 · Total 6.589
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.647 | 6.589 | 3.1% |
| Pass | 1.647 | 6.589 | 6.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.458 | 0.458 | 1.8% |
| 2nd down | 3.347 | 3.347 | 2.2% |
| 3rd down | 1.392 | 2.783 | 8.0% |
| Standard downs | 1.903 | 3.805 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | 1.392 | 2.783 | 4.9% |
Ja'Keith Hamilton · WRUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 0.633 · Total 5.067
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.633 | 5.067 | 2.9% |
| Pass | 0.633 | 5.067 | 6.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 1.151 | 2.303 | 1.7% |
| 2nd down | 1.001 | 4.003 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | -0.619 | -1.238 | 3.8% |
| Standard downs | 1.051 | 6.305 | 3.2% |
| Passing downs | -0.619 | -1.238 | 2.3% |
Kanen Hamlett · TEUsage 2.3% · Avg PPA 0.439 · Total 2.195
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.439 | 2.195 | 2.3% |
| Pass | 0.439 | 2.195 | 4.7% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 2.648 | 2.648 | 1.0% |
| 2nd down | -1.074 | -2.148 | 2.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.848 | 1.695 | 3.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.167 | 0.500 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.848 | 1.695 | 2.7% |
Kyler Pearson · WRUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA -1.693 · Total -3.387
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -1.693 | -3.387 | 1.6% |
| Pass | -1.693 | -3.387 | 3.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.238 | 0.238 | 2.2% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.238 | 0.238 | 1.1% |
| Passing downs | -3.625 | -3.625 | 2.4% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.020 | 15th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.372 | 7th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.242 | 52nd138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.100 | 22nd138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | -0.020 | 14th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.013 | 75th138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.363 | 81st138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.259 | 34th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.196 | 91st138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 90% of 215 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.4 yards (40th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 6.2 per completion. Completion 58.6%, 6.3 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.14.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 55.8% | 60.3% | -4.4 | 154 / 215 |
| Defense allowed | 55.7% | 60.0% | -4.3 | 140 / 201 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is East Carolina.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 215 | 90% | 8.4 | 6.2 | 58.6% | 0.14 | -4.4 pp | 154 |
| Passing defense | 201 | 83% | 9.5 | 4.7 | 57.2% | 0.16 | -4.3 pp | 140 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 256 | 4.3 | 38.0% | 0.06 | 3.10 | 1.00 | 1.40 | 15.0% | 65.5% |
| Defense allowed | 299 | 3.4 | 38.3% | 0.04 | 2.50 | 1.00 | 0.90 | 27.8% | 63.6% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 251 / 256 | 246 | 10 | 17 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 216 / 234 · 92.3% |
| Defense allowed | 293 / 299 | 288 | 11 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 229 / 277 · 82.7% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season -4.4 pp. 5 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Alabama | 19 | 0 | — | — | — | — | 0.08 | 22 | 0.1 | -0.30 |
| W2 | App State | 38 | 37 | 56.8% | 56.9% | -0.2 pp | 11.1 | 0.24 | 35 | 5.1 | 0.36 |
| W3 | Old Dominion | 20 | 18 | 44.4% | 57.5% | -13.1 pp | 4.8 | -0.28 | 47 | 3.8 | -0.04 |
| W4 | North Carolina Central | 38 | 0 | — | — | — | 9.9 | 0.55 | 23 | 6.7 | 0.16 |
| W6 | Rice | 34 | 34 | 61.8% | 63.6% | -1.8 pp | 6.9 | -0.04 | 41 | 5.7 | 0.14 |
| W7 | UAB | 27 | 26 | 65.4% | 69.3% | -3.9 pp | 3.5 | -0.16 | 50 | 3.9 | -0.17 |
| W8 | Memphis | 39 | 39 | 48.7% | 55.8% | -7.1 pp | 10.4 | 0.26 | 38 | 4.4 | 0.24 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
40 punts · 46.9 gross yards/punt · 42.7 net yards/punt
10 inside the 20 · 2 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 40/40 punts. Known net yards: 35/40 punts.
Our punt returns
16 returns · 2.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
3 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 15/16 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 · Memphis | 6 | 47.0 | 39.3 | 6/6 |
| Week 7 · UAB | 5 | 46.6 | 45.3 | 3/5 |
| Week 6 · Rice | 5 | 44.6 | 40.0 | 4/5 |
| Week 4 · North Carolina Central | 4 | 48.3 | 48.5 | 4/4 |
| Week 3 · Old Dominion | 6 | 48.2 | 39.6 | 5/6 |