Record
6-1 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordBoise State
2026 season
Pac-12
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
Boise State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 24.5 across 8 systems; best 7, worst 32, so they disagree by 25 places.
- Lab EPA
- #7
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #24
- up 42026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #30
- up 72026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #28
- up 52026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #32
- down 22026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #13
- up 10 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #25
- no change2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #7
- up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #24 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #80 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #88 of 138
- Game control
- #21 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #30 of 138
- Offense
- #8 of 138
- Defense
- #84 of 138
- Special teams
- #54 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
Boise State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
0.208 net EPA/play
#7
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
8.47 points
#24 · Up 4 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +14.68 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -3.99, schedule #86 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -0.68. That is worth +10.69 on its own; the preseason prior of +1.72 still carries 25% of the weight, giving +8.47.
How each game enters this SRS rating
Boise State · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Oregon away · 2026-09-05 · ID 401858433 | -7.00 → -7.00 | +2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.48% | +8.55 | -0.427 | 0.811 | 0.384 |
| Week 2 · Memphis home · 2026-09-12 · ID 401860881 | +18.00 → +18.00 | -2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.85% | +2.46 | 1.527 | 0.242 | 1.769 |
| Week 3 · South Dakota home · 2026-09-20 · ID 401860885 | +14.00 → +14.00 | -2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.24% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 1.177 | -2.560 | -1.382 |
| Week 4 · Western Michigan away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401860897 | +25.00 → +25.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.64% | +0.84 | 2.926 | 0.089 | 3.015 |
| Week 5 · Utah State home · 2026-10-03 · ID 401860898 | +19.00 → +19.00 | -2.50 | 0.8909 | 11.06% | -7.32 | 1.825 | -0.810 | 1.015 |
| Week 6 · Fresno State away · 2026-10-11 · ID 401860901 | +7.00 → +7.00 | +2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.49% | +0.87 | 1.092 | 0.100 | 1.192 |
| Week 8 · Washington State away · 2026-10-24 · ID 401860907 | +21.00 → +21.00 | +2.50 | 1.0000 | 12.41% | -7.02 | 2.917 | -0.871 | 2.046 |
Game terms +8.04 points; prior term +0.43 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating +8.47 points. The preseason prior is +1.72 with 24.83% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
10.9 SP+ points
#30 · Up 7 places
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
18.60 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#13 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense 18.78 on 393 plays; defense 0.18 on 332 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks Boise State 17 places higher than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 6-1 · conf 3-0 · home 3-0 · away 3-1 · expected wins 5.8
- Polls (Week 9)
- AP Top 25 #20 · Coaches Poll #22
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 4-3 ATS (+4.6 avg) · 2025: 9-5 ATS (-3.1 avg)
- Head coach
- Spencer Danielson · hired 2023-12-03 · 24-8 over 4 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #64 (181 pts) · 2025 #62 (189 pts) · 2026 #51 (206 pts)
- Returning
- 66% of production · 73% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing 94% 100% Receiving 40% 35% Rushing 100% 81% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 14 | 2.86 | 0.8385 | 11.74 |
| Defensive Line | 18 | 3.00 | 0.8490 | 15.28 |
| Linebacker | 7 | 3.00 | 0.8542 | 5.98 |
| Offensive Line | 14 | 2.93 | 0.8434 | 11.81 |
| Quarterback | 6 | 2.83 | 0.8395 | 5.04 |
| Receiver | 19 | 3.00 | 0.8507 | 16.16 |
| Running Back | 4 | 3.25 | 0.8812 | 3.52 |
| Special Teams | 15 | 2.93 | 0.8335 | 12.50 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Maddux Madsen · QBCFBD athlete 4870513. Boise State (2022–2026) | Passing WEPA | 0.612 | 150 | 44.2% | Pass 100.0% · Rush 8.6%1st 34.6% · 2nd 39.9% · 3rd 66.7% Standard downs 36.1% · Passing downs 64.3% | 2022: 3★ · 0.8326 |
Dylan Riley · RBCFBD athlete 5146712. Boise State (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.319 | 104 | 30.7% | Pass 7.2% · Rush 47.6%1st 39.6% · 2nd 33.7% · 3rd 11.1% Standard downs 36.6% · Passing downs 16.1% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8719 |
Sire Gaines · RBCFBD athlete 5147379. Boise State (2024–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.296 | 49 | 23.4% | Pass 8.0% · Rush 35.6%1st 23.6% · 2nd 29.1% · 3rd 16.9% Standard downs 26.3% · Passing downs 15.8% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8731 |
Canaan Moore · PKCFBD athlete 5305874. Boise State (2025–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 4.630 | 10 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | Not linked |
AJ Jones · WRCFBD athlete 5215338. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.5% | Pass 5.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Akeem Wright · WRCFBD athlete 5120669. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.1% | Pass 12.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.1% · 2nd 2.5% · 3rd 8.1% Standard downs 4.3% · Passing downs 7.0% | Not linked |
Austin Terry · TECFBD athlete 4832824. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.9% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 2.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.8% · Passing downs 2.3% | Not linked |
Ben Ford · WRCFBD athlete 4714341. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.5% | Pass 8.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.8% · 2nd 0.7% · 3rd 2.4% Standard downs 3.8% · Passing downs 2.5% | Not linked |
Cameron Bates · WRCFBD athlete 5157187. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 4.2% | Pass 10.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.9% · 2nd 3.5% · 3rd 11.0% Standard downs 3.2% · Passing downs 6.7% | Not linked |
Carter Kuchenbuch · TECFBD athlete 5218647. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.6% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.8% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.6% | Not linked |
Darren Morris · WRCFBD athlete 5084429. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 3.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.1% · 2nd 1.4% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.6% · Passing downs 3.5% | Not linked |
Harry Stewart III · RBCFBD athlete 5126514. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.0% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 9.6%1st 3.5% · 2nd 3.4% · 3rd 12.3% Standard downs 6.2% · Passing downs 5.6% | Not linked |
Juelz Goff · RBCFBD athlete 5124975. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.4% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 10.2%1st 6.1% · 2nd 9.0% · 3rd 3.5% Standard downs 5.1% · Passing downs 9.0% | Not linked |
Keawe Browne · TECFBD athlete 5382290. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.9% | Pass 11.4% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.9% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 7.1% Standard downs 1.2% · Passing downs 9.5% | Not linked |
Matt Wagner · TECFBD athlete 5080888. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.3% | Pass 18.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 4.1% · 2nd 8.6% · 3rd 11.1% Standard downs 6.0% · Passing downs 10.5% | Not linked |
Quinton Brown · WRCFBD athlete 5209425. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.7% | Pass 8.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 5.6% · 2nd 3.6% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 3.3% · Passing downs 4.8% | Not linked |
Qumonte Williams Jr. · WRCFBD athlete 5252200. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.2% | Pass 5.8% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.2% · 2nd 2.5% · 3rd 4.4% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 3.0% | Not linked |
Rasean Jones · WRCFBD athlete 5290573. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 11.1% | Pass 25.0% · Rush 2.4%1st 10.5% · 2nd 11.1% · 3rd 11.6% Standard downs 8.9% · Passing downs 16.4% | Not linked |
Terrious Favors · WRCFBD athlete 5263666. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.8% | Pass 5.5% · Rush 1.2%1st 0.0% · 2nd 6.1% · 3rd 3.8% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 5.1% | Not linked |
Troy Grizzle · TECFBD athlete 5219112. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.3% | Pass 3.6% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 6.7% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 11 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Jamerson · CB | TCU | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Darren Morris · WR | Southern | 2026-01-06 | — / — | Immediate |
| Harry Stewart III · RB | Kansas | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| JeRico Washington Jr. · CB | Kennesaw State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Juelz Goff · RB | Pittsburgh | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Logan Brantley · LB | Kansas | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Mikaio Edward · DL | Central Washington | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Roman Tillmon · S | South Dakota | 2026-01-14 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Taebron Bennie-Powell · S | Notre Dame | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Tyler Ethridge · OT | Not reported | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Zander Esty · IOL | Oregon State | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 21 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austin Bolt · WR | Not reported | 2026-01-13 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Braxton Fely · DL | Oklahoma | 2026-09-03 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Breezy Dubar · RB | Missouri State | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Chase Martin · LB | Cal Poly | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Chris Marshall · WR | Arkansas | 2026-01-11 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Clay Martineau · LB | New Mexico | 2026-01-20 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Davon Banks · CB | Not reported | 2025-12-26 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Eyitayo Omotinugbon · IOL | Not reported | 2025-12-28 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Greg Ard · RB | UT Martin | 2026-01-23 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Hall Schmidt · OT | UCLA | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Hayden Hanks · EDGE | Not reported | 2025-12-23 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| JJ Talo · IOL | Not reported | 2025-12-09 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Ja'Bree Bickham · S | North Texas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jarrett Reeser · P | Not reported | 2025-12-25 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jaylen Webb · S | Nevada | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jeremiah Earby · CB | Michigan | 2026-10-14 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kaleb Annett · QB | UCF | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Kamryn Jones · WR | Not reported | 2025-12-19 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Roland Podesta · P | Coastal Carolina | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Ty Benefield · S | LSU | 2026-01-06 | 4★ / 0.9400 | Immediate |
| Tyler Keinath · IOL | New Mexico State | 2026-01-21 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at Boise State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Spencer Danielson · career 24–8 across 4 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 9 appointments
2023–present · Spencer Danielson · active at capture
24–8 · 32 attributed games · 4 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2023-12-03. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2021–2023 · Andy Avalos
22–14 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2021-01-08. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2014–2020 · Bryan Harsin
69–19 · 88 attributed games · 7 seasons
Hired 2013-12-11. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2006–2013 · Chris Petersen
92–12 · 104 attributed games · 8 seasons
Hired 2005-12-16. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2001–2005 · Dan Hawkins
53–11 · 64 attributed games · 5 seasons
Hired 2000-12-02. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1998–2000 · Dirk Koetter
26–10 · 36 attributed games · 3 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1997–1997 · Houston Nutt
4–7 · 11 attributed games · 1 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1996–1996 · Tom Mason
1–9 · 10 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1996–1996 · Pokey Allen
1–1 · 2 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Spencer Danielson · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | 9.4 | 11.8 | 51 | — |
| 2025 · Spencer Danielson | 9–5 | 6–2 | 0–1 | 3.1 | 4.3 | 62 | — |
| 2024 · Spencer Danielson | 12–2 | 8–0 | 0–1 | 10.1 | 9.9 | 64 | 8 |
| 2023 · Andy Avalos · incomplete attribution | 5–5 | — | — | 5.9 | 6.4 | 67 | — |
| 2023 · Spencer Danielson · incomplete attribution | 3–1 | — | — | 5.9 | 6.4 | 67 | — |
| 2022 · Andy Avalos | 10–4 | 8–1 | 1–0 | 5.7 | 1 | 62 | — |
| 2021 · Andy Avalos | 7–5 | 5–3 | 0–0 | 9.4 | 12.4 | 70 | — |
| 2020 · Bryan Harsin | 5–2 | 5–1 | 0–0 | 6.7 | 7.7 | 65 | — |
| 2019 · Bryan Harsin | 12–2 | 9–0 | 0–1 | 8.1 | 8.9 | 50 | 23 |
| 2018 · Bryan Harsin | 10–3 | 7–2 | 0–0 | 12.2 | 9.3 | 57 | — |
| 2017 · Bryan Harsin | 11–3 | 8–1 | 1–0 | 9.1 | 7.7 | 64 | 22 |
| 2016 · Bryan Harsin | 10–3 | 6–2 | 0–1 | 11.5 | 6.9 | 68 | — |
| 2015 · Bryan Harsin | 9–4 | 5–3 | 1–0 | 11.8 | 8.1 | 58 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 23:10:12 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 10 / 138 | 93.4 | 41 / 138 | 70.8 |
| Success rate | 25 / 138 | 82.5 | 25 / 138 | 82.5 |
| Explosiveness | 59 / 138 | 57.7 | 138 / 138 | 0.0 |
| Standard-down success | 47 / 138 | 66.4 | 23 / 138 | 83.9 |
| Passing-down success | 9 / 138 | 94.2 | T55 / 138 | 60.2 |
| Pass PPA | 14 / 138 | 90.5 | 26 / 138 | 81.8 |
| Rush PPA | 8 / 138 | 94.9 | 94 / 138 | 32.1 |
| Pass explosiveness | 60 / 138 | 56.9 | 137 / 138 | 0.7 |
| Rush explosiveness | 30 / 138 | 78.8 | 131 / 138 | 5.1 |
| Line yards | 13 / 138 | 91.2 | 33 / 138 | 76.6 |
| Second-level yards | 86 / 138 | 38.0 | 38 / 138 | 73.0 |
| Open-field yards | 23 / 138 | 83.9 | 127 / 138 | 8.0 |
| Stuff rate | 8 / 138 | 94.9 | 7 / 138 | 95.6 |
| Power success | 16 / 138 | 89.1 | T109 / 138 | 20.1 |
| Havoc | 5 / 138 | 97.1 | 26 / 138 | 81.8 |
| Front-seven havoc | T7 / 138 | 95.3 | T35 / 138 | 74.8 |
| DB havoc | T14 / 138 | 90.1 | T31 / 138 | 77.7 |
| Points / opportunity | T22 / 138 | 84.3 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Average field position | 135 / 138 | 2.2 | T86 / 138 | 36.1 |
| Field-position expected points | 132 / 138 | 4.4 | 72 / 138 | 48.2 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Maddux Madsen · QBUsage 44.2% · Avg PPA 0.475 · Total 104.069
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.475 | 104.069 | 44.2% |
| Pass | 0.430 | 83.481 | 100.0% |
| Rush | 0.823 | 20.587 | 8.6% |
| 1st down | 0.283 | 21.248 | 34.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.505 | 32.847 | 39.9% |
| 3rd down | 0.540 | 35.628 | 66.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.360 | 45.768 | 36.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.634 | 58.300 | 64.3% |
Dylan Riley · RBUsage 30.7% · Avg PPA 0.294 · Total 44.708
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.294 | 44.708 | 30.7% |
| Pass | 0.479 | 6.712 | 7.2% |
| Rush | 0.275 | 37.996 | 47.6% |
| 1st down | 0.227 | 19.483 | 39.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.388 | 21.347 | 33.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.353 | 3.878 | 11.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.261 | 33.731 | 36.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.477 | 10.977 | 16.1% |
Sire Gaines · RBUsage 23.4% · Avg PPA 0.274 · Total 23.565
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.274 | 23.565 | 23.4% |
| Pass | 0.333 | 4.001 | 8.0% |
| Rush | 0.264 | 19.564 | 35.6% |
| 1st down | 0.292 | 11.379 | 23.6% |
| 2nd down | 0.328 | 11.152 | 29.1% |
| 3rd down | 0.731 | 8.767 | 16.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.232 | 16.264 | 26.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.456 | 7.302 | 15.8% |
Rasean Jones · WRUsage 11.1% · Avg PPA 0.703 · Total 32.357
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.703 | 32.357 | 11.1% |
| Pass | 0.757 | 30.263 | 25.0% |
| Rush | 0.349 | 2.094 | 2.4% |
| 1st down | 0.520 | 9.883 | 10.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.537 | 8.051 | 11.1% |
| 3rd down | 1.026 | 10.257 | 11.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.569 | 14.806 | 8.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.878 | 17.551 | 16.4% |
Matt Wagner · TEUsage 7.3% · Avg PPA 0.537 · Total 19.349
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.537 | 19.349 | 7.3% |
| Pass | 0.537 | 19.349 | 18.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.040 | 0.359 | 4.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.620 | 8.677 | 8.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.404 | 4.441 | 11.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.461 | 9.690 | 6.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.644 | 9.659 | 10.5% |
Juelz Goff · RBUsage 6.4% · Avg PPA -0.137 · Total -2.332
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.137 | -2.332 | 6.4% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.137 | -2.332 | 10.2% |
| 1st down | -0.129 | -0.906 | 6.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.255 | -2.037 | 9.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.306 | 0.611 | 3.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.177 | -1.596 | 5.1% |
| Passing downs | -0.092 | -0.736 | 9.0% |
Harry Stewart III · RBUsage 6.0% · Avg PPA -0.097 · Total -1.547
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.097 | -1.547 | 6.0% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.097 | -1.547 | 9.6% |
| 1st down | -0.511 | -2.043 | 3.5% |
| 2nd down | -0.275 | -0.824 | 3.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.525 | 3.675 | 12.3% |
| Standard downs | -0.192 | -2.112 | 6.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.113 | 0.564 | 5.6% |
Akeem Wright · WRUsage 5.1% · Avg PPA 0.414 · Total 10.339
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.414 | 10.339 | 5.1% |
| Pass | 0.414 | 10.339 | 12.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.287 | 3.158 | 5.1% |
| 2nd down | -0.264 | -1.056 | 2.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.161 | 1.285 | 8.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.125 | 1.875 | 4.3% |
| Passing downs | 0.846 | 8.464 | 7.0% |
Cameron Bates · WRUsage 4.2% · Avg PPA 0.628 · Total 9.415
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.628 | 9.415 | 4.2% |
| Pass | 0.628 | 9.415 | 10.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.255 | 0.764 | 1.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.599 | 2.394 | 3.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.782 | 6.257 | 11.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.995 | 7.960 | 3.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.208 | 1.455 | 6.7% |
Keawe Browne · TEUsage 3.9% · Avg PPA 0.264 · Total 1.319
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.264 | 1.319 | 3.9% |
| Pass | 0.264 | 1.319 | 11.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.402 | 0.804 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | -0.198 | -0.395 | 7.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.910 | 0.910 | 1.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.102 | 0.408 | 9.5% |
Quinton Brown · WRUsage 3.7% · Avg PPA -0.040 · Total -0.120
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.040 | -0.120 | 3.7% |
| Pass | -0.040 | -0.120 | 8.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.769 | -1.538 | 5.6% |
| 2nd down | 1.419 | 1.419 | 3.6% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.769 | -1.538 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | 1.419 | 1.419 | 4.8% |
Ben Ford · WRUsage 3.5% · Avg PPA 0.659 · Total 9.878
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.659 | 9.878 | 3.5% |
| Pass | 0.659 | 9.878 | 8.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.799 | 8.793 | 5.8% |
| 2nd down | 2.344 | 2.344 | 0.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.457 | 2.914 | 2.4% |
| Standard downs | 0.385 | 4.620 | 3.8% |
| Passing downs | 1.753 | 5.258 | 2.5% |
Terrious Favors · WRUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA 0.881 · Total 3.525
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.881 | 3.525 | 2.8% |
| Pass | 0.955 | 2.865 | 5.5% |
| Rush | 0.660 | 0.660 | 1.2% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.061 | 0.184 | 6.1% |
| 3rd down | 3.341 | 3.341 | 3.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.240 | 0.480 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | 1.523 | 3.045 | 5.1% |
AJ Jones · WRUsage 2.5% · Avg PPA 0.936 · Total 1.871
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.936 | 1.871 | 2.5% |
| Pass | 0.936 | 1.871 | 5.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.798 | -0.798 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.936 | 1.871 | 3.3% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Qumonte Williams Jr. · WRUsage 2.2% · Avg PPA 0.174 · Total 1.395
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.174 | 1.395 | 2.2% |
| Pass | 0.174 | 1.395 | 5.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.137 | 0.275 | 1.2% |
| 2nd down | 0.035 | 0.104 | 2.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.339 | 1.016 | 4.4% |
| Standard downs | -0.118 | -0.591 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.662 | 1.986 | 3.0% |
Austin Terry · TEUsage 1.9% · Avg PPA -0.499 · Total -1.497
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.499 | -1.497 | 1.9% |
| Pass | -0.499 | -1.497 | 4.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.701 | -1.402 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.095 | -0.095 | 2.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.701 | -1.402 | 1.8% |
| Passing downs | -0.095 | -0.095 | 2.3% |
Carter Kuchenbuch · TEUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 1.773 · Total 1.773
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.773 | 1.773 | 1.6% |
| Pass | 1.773 | 1.773 | 4.8% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 1.773 | 1.773 | 4.8% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | 1.773 | 1.773 | 5.6% |
Darren Morris · WRUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA -1.399 · Total -4.196
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -1.399 | -4.196 | 1.4% |
| Pass | -1.399 | -4.196 | 3.4% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | -0.321 | -0.321 | 1.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.061 | 0.061 | 1.4% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.321 | -0.321 | 0.6% |
| Passing downs | -1.937 | -3.875 | 3.5% |
Troy Grizzle · TEUsage 1.3% · Avg PPA -0.307 · Total -0.307
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.307 | -0.307 | 1.3% |
| Pass | -0.307 | -0.307 | 3.6% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | -0.307 | -0.307 | 6.7% |
| Standard downs | -0.307 | -0.307 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.316 | 93rd138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.477 | 82nd138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.252 | 58th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.430 | 91st138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.247 | 95th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.019 | 71st138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.361 | 82nd138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.565 | 0th138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.183 | 82nd138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 98% of 190 attempts charted. Average depth of target 7.4 yards (15th percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.3 per completion. Completion 65.3%, 7.6 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.49.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 64.1% | 61.3% | +2.8 | 156 / 190 |
| Defense allowed | 59.0% | 61.4% | -2.4 | 188 / 222 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is Boise State.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 190 | 98% | 7.4 | 5.3 | 65.3% | 0.49 | +2.8 pp | 156 |
| Passing defense | 222 | 98% | 9.4 | 6.9 | 57.7% | 0.16 | -2.4 pp | 188 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 297 | 5.6 | 48.9% | 0.28 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 1.60 | 9.5% | 81.8% |
| Defense allowed | 178 | 3.9 | 36.3% | 0.10 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 1.70 | 26.3% | 80.0% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 292 / 297 | 284 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 281 / 284 · 98.9% |
| Defense allowed | 177 / 178 | 177 | 1 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 156 / 160 · 97.5% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +2.8 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Oregon | 29 | 28 | 50.0% | 62.3% | -12.3 pp | 7.3 | 0.26 | 37 | 2.6 | 0.00 |
| W2 | Memphis | 28 | 27 | 59.3% | 62.7% | -3.4 pp | 6.5 | 0.25 | 47 | 7.9 | 0.55 |
| W3 | South Dakota | 31 | 0 | — | — | — | 6.7 | 0.53 | 48 | 6.7 | 0.28 |
| W4 | Western Michigan | 23 | 23 | 69.6% | 54.6% | +15.0 pp | 10.6 | 0.61 | 42 | 4.0 | 0.22 |
| W5 | Utah State | 21 | 21 | 81.0% | 64.8% | +16.1 pp | 7.0 | 1.00 | 41 | 4.5 | 0.05 |
| W6 | Fresno State | 34 | 34 | 67.6% | 63.0% | +4.6 pp | 6.8 | 0.54 | 45 | 6.2 | 0.33 |
| W8 | Washington State | 24 | 23 | 60.9% | 59.7% | +1.2 pp | 7.9 | 0.38 | 37 | 7.0 | 0.45 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
16 punts · 43.8 gross yards/punt · 41.7 net yards/punt
6 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 16/16 punts. Known net yards: 15/16 punts.
Our punt returns
6 returns · 11.8 yards/return · 1 touchdowns
3 muffs · 0 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 6/6 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 6 · Fresno State | 1 | 37.0 | 37.0 | 1/1 |
| Week 5 · Utah State | 2 | 43.0 | 43.5 | 2/2 |
| Week 4 · Western Michigan | 2 | 42.0 | 42.0 | 2/2 |
| Week 3 · South Dakota | 2 | 45.0 | 35.0 | 1/2 |
| Week 2 · Memphis | 3 | 49.7 | 43.0 | 3/3 |