Record
5-2 wins–losses
No rank assigned
Results earned. Wins and losses do not account for opponent strength or victory margin.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
SP+ workbook recordApp State
2026 season
Sun Belt
2026 preseason report
Historical preseason snapshot from 2026-07-29, including roster context and illustrative season projections. This is not a live injury feed.
What every system says
App State's rank in each system (1 = best). Middle rank 95.5 across 8 systems; best 90, worst 109, so they disagree by 19 places.
- Lab EPA
- #96
- Through week 82026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- Lab SRS
- #90
- up 122026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
- SP+
- #95
- up 12026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
- Elo
- #106
- up 12026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- FPI
- #95
- up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CORE
- #109
- up 2 · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:002026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8 · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- CFBD SRS
- #94
- up 122026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
- WEPA
- #96
- up 62026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Event cutoff not supplied · captured 2026-10-30T11:02:01.130624+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
FPI context
ESPN FPI via CFBD · 2026
Résumé and schedule
Results earned and schedule difficulty
- Strength of record
- #66 of 138
- Schedule strength
- #125 of 138
- Remaining schedule strength
- #113 of 138
- Game control
- #93 of 138
Unit efficiency
Performance by unit
- Overall
- #91 of 138
- Offense
- #86 of 138
- Defense
- #89 of 138
- Special teams
- #79 of 138
Ranks calculated among rated FBS teams; ties share rank. #1 means strongest résumé, hardest schedule, best game control or highest efficiency. These are separate measures, not a combined forecast. Captured Oct 30, 2026, 06:02:01 CDT. FPI supplies no results-through week; capture time records when we received it.
Why the ratings disagree
App State · 2026. Each system answers a different question. The cards show each source's rank (published or computed here) and coverage, so a rank gap can also reflect which teams have data.
Descriptive EPA
-0.062 net EPA/play
#96
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams · Through week 8. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
Observed per-play efficiency after opponent adjustment. FBS-vs-FBS plays; no preseason strength prior. Sparse schedules can produce sharp early movement.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; opponent adjusted ridge
Lab EPA from CFBD playsLocal predictive SRS
-4.01 points
#90 · Up 12 places since the previous CFBD cutoff
2026 · 138 FBS roster teams, including prior-only teams · Through week 8 · built 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings take separate places, ordered by team name.
This season's 7 games, with recent games counting a bit more: average margin +3.23 (with blowouts capped at 35 points and overtime games counted as a 1-point result, then 2.5 points of home field removed) against opponents averaging -6.88, schedule #114 of 138 (#1 = toughest); 1 FCS opponent counts at −25; FBS opponents alone average -4.29. That is worth -3.65 on its own; the preseason prior of -5.14 still carries 25% of the weight, giving -4.01.
How each game enters this SRS rating
App State · 2026, through CFBD Week 8. Margins are team minus opponent. The fit caps margins and treats overtime as a one-point result before adjusting for venue. Recent games carry more weight; the fit share includes the preseason prior in its denominator.
| Game | Raw margin → transformed | Venue adjustment | Recency weight | Fit share | Opponent rating | Margin term | Opponent term | Total term |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 · Maine home · 2026-09-05 · ID 401866627 | +52.00 → +35.00 | -2.50 | 0.7637 | 9.40% | -25.00 (fixed lower division) | 3.054 | -2.349 | 0.705 |
| Week 2 · East Carolina away · 2026-09-12 · ID 401864571 | +3.00 → +3.00 | +2.50 | 0.7937 | 9.77% | -1.32 | 0.537 | -0.129 | 0.408 |
| Week 3 · Charlotte home · 2026-09-19 · ID 401864574 | +5.00 → +5.00 | -2.50 | 0.8249 | 10.15% | -17.17 | 0.254 | -1.742 | -1.488 |
| Week 4 · NC State away · 2026-09-26 · ID 401864572 | -10.00 → -10.00 | +2.50 | 0.8572 | 10.55% | -2.52 | -0.791 | -0.266 | -1.057 |
| Week 6 · Old Dominion home · 2026-10-10 · ID 401869843 | -7.00 → -7.00 | -2.50 | 0.9259 | 11.39% | -10.09 | -1.082 | -1.150 | -2.232 |
| Week 7 · Coastal Carolina away · 2026-10-17 · ID 401869844 | +3.00 → +3.00 | +2.50 | 0.9622 | 11.84% | -6.06 | 0.651 | -0.717 | -0.066 |
| Week 8 · James Madison home · 2026-10-22 · ID 401869845 | +3.00 → +1.00 (OT) | -2.50 | 1.0000 | 12.30% | +9.51 | -0.185 | 1.170 | 0.985 |
Game terms -2.75 points; prior term -1.27 points. Their unrounded sum is the fitted rating -4.01 points. The preseason prior is -5.14 with 24.61% of the fit weight. Displayed values are rounded; the producer checks the unrounded identity within 0.00000001 points.
These are additive terms of the current fit, not the effect of removing a game. Opponent ratings already reflect the connected schedule. Lower-division opponents use the fixed anchor, not an individually fitted rating. The rating's model-based 95% band is ±9.2 points; this decomposition does not reduce uncertainty or assign causal effects.
Download fitted terms and source hashesEstimated strength from schedule-adjusted scoring margins, margin caps, home-field adjustment and recency weighting. Half of prior-season strength, including postseason, carries forward with two games of weight. SRS includes FCS opponents under a fixed strength assumption. 7 current games; prior available.
2026, through CFBD Week 8; generated 2026-10-30T11:17:06.745613+00:00
Lab SRS from CFBD scoresExternal SP+
-4.9 SP+ points
#95 · Up 1 place
2026 · 138 published SP+ teams · Provider week 9 · captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Published provider ranks; tie handling is not documented in this snapshot.
Bill Connelly's published predictive strength estimate. Its method and scale differ from local SRS.
2026, provider Week 9; captured 2026-10-25T21:28:39.844929+00:00
Bill Connelly SP+ workbookExternal CORE
-10.20 net points per 100 offensive + 100 defensive plays
#109 of 138 by overall (ranked here; CORE publishes no rank)
2026 · 138 rated FBS teams in this CORE board · 2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00. Rank 1 is best; lower rank numbers are better. Higher rating values are better. Equal ratings share the best tied rank; the next rank skips places.
CFBD's context- and opponent-relative efficiency. Offense is higher-better; defense is points allowed above average, so lower is better; overall is offense minus defense. It counts only pass and rush plays from FBS-vs-FBS games, with no special teams, overtime or garbage time; early-week values are pulled toward average but are still uncertain, and it is not a résumé ranking. Its scale is not comparable to EPA, SRS or SP+. Offense -4.55 on 410 plays; defense 5.65 on 419 plays.
2026, through regular Week 8; model core-v1; captured 2026-10-30T11:02:06.855798+00:00
CFBD CORE ratingCORE board: offense vs defenseEPA ranks App State 6 places lower than local SRS at the matched cutoff. This identifies a disagreement; it does not isolate its cause. SP+ movement compares provider weeks 8 and 9. Provider weeks may differ from CFBD weeks, so no cross-provider rank gap is calculated. CORE reports its own inclusive cutoff and is shown beside these systems for comparison only; it is an external research rating and is never blended into the lab's opponent-adjusted EPA, local SRS or any pick.
Team ratings and rank gaps are not matchup spreads or win probabilities. Matchup context and a calibrated forecast mapping are required. Do not average EPA, SRS, SP+ and CORE values across their different scales.
Read local SRS assumptions and forecast evidenceProgram context
2026 · CFBD records, polls, recruiting, coaches- Record
- 5-2 · conf 2-1 · home 3-1 · away 2-1 · expected wins 4.4
- Polls (Week 9)
- unranked
- CFP latest
- not published
- CFP final
- not published
- Against the spread
- 2026: 5-2 ATS (+4.9 avg) · 2025: 6-7 ATS (-6.2 avg)
- Head coach
- Dowell Loggains · hired 2024-12-07 · 5-8 over 2 captured seasons
- Recruiting classes
- 2024 #94 (155 pts) · 2025 #116 (126 pts) · 2026 #59 (199 pts)
- Returning
- 38% of production · 52% of usage
Passing, receiving and rushing detail
Category Production Usage Passing -31% 14% Receiving 57% 67% Rushing 85% 88% Shares of prior-season PPA and usage returning in each category. Missing values are unavailable.
Provider values from CFBD captures dated 2026-09-22, 2026-10-30. head coach for the season; tenure counts cover only the captured seasons, hire date is the provider's. Returning usage carries no signal beyond returning production in this repo's research; neither is a model input.
Recruiting by position group
2023–2026 classes · High school · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30 UTC
| Position group | Commits | Avg. stars | Avg. rating | Total rating |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Defensive Back | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8387 | 10.90 |
| Defensive Line | 14 | 3.07 | 0.8507 | 11.91 |
| Linebacker | 5 | 3.00 | 0.8473 | 4.24 |
| Offensive Line | 14 | 2.93 | 0.8421 | 11.79 |
| Quarterback | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8388 | 3.36 |
| Receiver | 13 | 3.00 | 0.8449 | 10.98 |
| Running Back | 4 | 3.00 | 0.8467 | 3.39 |
| Special Teams | 3 | 3.00 | 0.8511 | 2.55 |
Recruiting class aggregates, not current roster strength. Commits count recruits across the window; total rating also reflects class size. JUCO, prep-school and transfer ratings are excluded. These values do not enter the prediction model.
Player efficiency and usage
2026 · observed 2026-10-30 UTCPassing and rushing WEPA adjust efficiency for opponents. Kicker PAAR measures points added above replacement. Higher is better within each metric. Metric rows are ordered by sample size, followed by usage-only players. Usage is the share of team plays involving the player within each category; categories overlap and should not be added. CFBD definitions
| Player / history | Metric | Value | Plays / attempts | Overall usage | Usage detail | Recruiting |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Malachi Singleton · QBCFBD athlete 4870999. Arkansas (2023–2024); App State (2026–2026); Purdue (2025–2025) | Passing WEPA | 0.295 | 196 | 49.9% | Pass 87.1% · Rush 14.0%1st 43.7% · 2nd 48.4% · 3rd 65.7% Standard downs 44.6% · Passing downs 60.6% | 2023: 4★ · 0.8950 |
Jaquari Lewis · RBCFBD athlete 5156152. App State (2025–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.302 | 78 | 18.8% | Pass 4.8% · Rush 34.7%1st 22.7% · 2nd 17.2% · 3rd 11.8% Standard downs 21.3% · Passing downs 13.9% | 2025: 3★ · 0.8636 |
Henry Hasselbeck · QBCFBD athlete 5146664. UCLA (2024–2025); App State (2026–2026) | Rushing WEPA | 0.198 | 38 | 14.0% | Pass 10.9% · Rush 17.8%1st 14.4% · 2nd 14.0% · 3rd 13.7% Standard downs 15.0% · Passing downs 12.1% | 2024: 3★ · 0.8583 |
James London · PKCFBD athlete 5166106. Murray State (2023–2024); Pittsburgh (2025–2025); App State (2026–2026) | Kicker PAAR | 5.660 | 14 | — | Pass — · Rush —1st — · 2nd — · 3rd — Standard downs — · Passing downs — | 2023: stars unavailable |
Alex Sanchez · WRCFBD athlete 5199951. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.9% | Pass 6.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 2.5% · 3rd 4.1% Standard downs 2.3% · Passing downs 4.2% | Not linked |
Chris Lofton · WRCFBD athlete 5092352. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.1% | Pass 13.5% · Rush 0.5%1st 5.3% · 2nd 6.0% · 3rd 10.6% Standard downs 5.8% · Passing downs 9.3% | Not linked |
Darrin Fugitt · TECFBD athlete 4885469. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.4% | Pass 14.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 6.1% · 2nd 12.1% · 3rd 3.9% Standard downs 7.2% · Passing downs 7.9% | Not linked |
Dazmin James · WRCFBD athlete 5150276. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.6% | Pass 2.4% · Rush 3.0%1st 3.0% · 2nd 4.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.0% · Passing downs 3.6% | Not linked |
Dillon Galloway · TECFBD athlete 5228759. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 3.0% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.5% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Gavin Barber · TECFBD athlete 5290180. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 2.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 1.0% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 4.9% Standard downs 1.9% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
J'Marion Burnette · RBCFBD athlete 5079360. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.7% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 12.2%1st 8.3% · 2nd 11.5% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 8.9% · Passing downs 4.5% | Not linked |
Ja'Quez Cross · RBCFBD athlete 4700811. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.2% | Pass 1.6% · Rush 13.6%1st 7.9% · 2nd 8.9% · 3rd 3.9% Standard downs 7.2% · Passing downs 7.3% | Not linked |
Jackson Grier · WRCFBD athlete 5077670. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.8% | Pass 5.6% · Rush 0.5%1st 1.8% · 2nd 1.7% · 3rd 7.2% Standard downs 2.1% · Passing downs 4.1% | Not linked |
Jamel Howse · TECFBD athlete 5209334. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 3.4% | Pass 6.9% · Rush 0.0%1st 3.9% · 2nd 3.8% · 3rd 2.0% Standard downs 3.6% · Passing downs 3.0% | Not linked |
Kanye Roberts · RBCFBD athlete 4900025. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 5.4% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 10.3%1st 5.0% · 2nd 8.7% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 6.8% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Luke Douglas · TECFBD athlete 5218246. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.7% | Pass 3.3% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.8% · 2nd 1.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 2.5% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Max Guest · RBCFBD athlete 5213354. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.4% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 2.6%1st 2.5% · 2nd 0.0% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 0.0% | Not linked |
Nate Branch · WRCFBD athlete 5224355. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 9.0% | Pass 16.9% · Rush 1.3%1st 8.3% · 2nd 11.5% · 3rd 6.9% Standard downs 8.7% · Passing downs 9.7% | Not linked |
Sam Mbake · WRCFBD athlete 4685469. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 1.6% | Pass 2.5% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 5.6% · 3rd 0.0% Standard downs 0.0% · Passing downs 5.0% | Not linked |
Sam Pickett III · WRCFBD athlete 5300543. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 11.2% | Pass 22.2% · Rush 0.4%1st 10.9% · 2nd 9.6% · 3rd 15.7% Standard downs 9.9% · Passing downs 13.9% | Not linked |
Semaj Fleming · WRCFBD athlete 5141450. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 2.7% | Pass 6.1% · Rush 0.0%1st 0.0% · 2nd 4.3% · 3rd 12.5% Standard downs 1.7% · Passing downs 6.7% | Not linked |
Tommy Ulatowski · QBCFBD athlete 5082965. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 6.8% | Pass 15.2% · Rush 0.0%1st 2.5% · 2nd 8.7% · 3rd 25.0% Standard downs 6.8% · Passing downs 6.7% | Not linked |
Treyaun Webb · RBCFBD athlete 4871065. Team attribution from the captured season usage record. | Not available | — | — | 7.5% | Pass 0.0% · Rush 15.2%1st 8.5% · 2nd 7.7% · 3rd 1.9% Standard downs 9.9% · Passing downs 3.0% | Not linked |
Transfers
Incoming · 38 reported
| Player | From | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aaron Clark · DL | Towson | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Alex Mitchell · LB | Middle Tennessee | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Carson Sloan · LB | Samford | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Cary Grant · S | Charlotte | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Chris Lofton · WR | Gardner-Webb | 2026-01-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| Darrin Fugitt · TE | Lindenwood | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Dazmin James · WR | California | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Devin Henderson · S | Liberty | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Devon Manuel · OT | Florida | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Dre Walker · CB | Virginia | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Eric Adams · S | North Carolina Central | 2026-01-12 | — / — | Immediate |
| Greydon Grimes · OT | Kansas | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Henry Hasselbeck · QB | UCLA | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| J'Marion Burnette · RB | Houston | 2026-01-15 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Ja'Cari Henderson · CB | UCF | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ja'Quez Cross · RB | Arkansas State | 2026-06-01 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jakob Gude · S | UCF | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| James London · K | Murray State | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jaxson Dunn · P | Arkansas State | 2026-01-10 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jehchys Brown · DL | Southeast Missouri State | 2026-01-05 | — / — | Immediate |
| Joseph Reddish · CB | Virginia Tech | 2026-01-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| Josh Williams · CB | Dayton | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Kaleb Purdy · S | Tennessee Tech | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kamron Burris · OT | Not reported | 2025-12-03 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Keshawn Thomas · LB | Old Dominion | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Kevin Henderson · LB | Findlay | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Khalil Conley · CB | North Carolina | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Ki'Shawn Harvey · DL | East Tennessee State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Luke Douglas · TE | Florida State | 2026-01-09 | — / — | Immediate |
| Mac Walters · OT | South Carolina | 2026-01-09 | — / — | Immediate |
| Malachi Singleton · QB | Purdue | 2026-01-07 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Parker Stone · LS | Tulsa | 2026-01-10 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Ricky Lolohea · DL | Oklahoma | 2026-05-14 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Sam Pickett III · WR | Samford | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
| Semaj Fleming · WR | Boston College | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Tommy Ulatowski · QB | Kennesaw State | 2026-01-19 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Treyaun Webb · RB | Florida | 2026-01-12 | 4★ / — | Immediate |
| Zach Taylor · WR | Arkansas | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8200 | Immediate |
Outgoing · 43 reported
| Player | To | Date | Stars / rating | Eligibility |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Swann · QB | Mississippi State | 2026-01-06 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Anthony Mebane · EDGE | Gardner-Webb | 2026-01-04 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Brayshawn Littlejohn · LB | Florida International | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Bucci Farmer · DL | Old Dominion | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Chris Lawson Jr. · WR | Not reported | 2025-12-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Cristian Conyer · CB | Eastern Kentucky | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| DJ Burks · S | Tennessee | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Davion Dozier · WR | NC State | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| DeNigel Cooper · DL | Wisconsin | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Denell Nix Jr. · OT | Sam Houston | 2026-02-04 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Dominic De Freitas · K | North Texas | 2026-01-08 | — / — | Immediate |
| Dylan Manuel · DL | Colorado | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Elijah Mc-Cantos · S | Colorado State | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Emory Floyd · CB | Colorado | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Ethan Johnson · CB | South Carolina | 2026-08-20 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Felix Doege · IOL | Rhode Island | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Gabriel Funk · OT | Bowling Green | 2026-01-07 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Griffin Scroggs · IOL | UNLV | 2026-01-23 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Ian Ratliff · P | North Texas | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| JJ Kohl · QB | Florida International | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Ja'Torian Mack · S | Western Carolina | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Jacob Poff · LS | North Texas | 2026-01-07 | — / — | Immediate |
| Jaden Barnes · WR | Charlotte | 2026-01-18 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Jayden Bethea · LB | Valdosta State | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jaylon Calhoun · RB | North Alabama | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Jose Leon · WR | Bryant | 2026-02-02 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| KJ Liles · DL | North Carolina Central | 2026-01-11 | — / — | Immediate |
| Kaleb Neal · S | Eastern Kentucky | 2026-01-17 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Kanen Hamlett · TE | East Carolina | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Khalifa Keith · RB | Alabama | 2026-01-31 | 3★ / 0.8500 | Immediate |
| Khamani Alexander · RB | Charlotte | 2026-01-05 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Marquis Lane-Owens · LB | South Carolina State | 2026-01-17 | — / — | Immediate |
| Matthew Wilson · QB | Austin Peay | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Mitch Lake · P | Not reported | 2026-01-13 | 2★ / — | Immediate |
| Moritz Schmoranzer · IOL | Wofford | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8300 | Immediate |
| Rashod Dubinion · RB | Not reported | 2026-08-27 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Rondo Porter · DL | Rutgers | 2026-01-08 | 3★ / 0.8400 | Immediate |
| Saint Farrior · DL | Auburn | 2026-01-10 | 3★ / 0.8700 | Immediate |
| Thomas Davis · EDGE | Tulsa | 2026-01-12 | 3★ / 0.8600 | Immediate |
| Tyshawn Sanders · CB | Gardner-Webb | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| William Fowles · WR | Austin Peay | 2026-01-24 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
| Zahn Coakley · WR | UTSA | 2026-01-16 | 3★ / 0.8000 | Immediate |
| Zyeir Gamble · S | East Carolina | 2026-01-09 | 3★ / — | Immediate |
Transfer observations can include unresolved destinations. CFBD supplies no timezone for transfer dates and no athlete ID linking these records to the efficiency table. These observations do not establish current roster membership or game availability.
Descriptive context only; no player or transfer value enters the prediction model. Adjusted metrics require unambiguous season/team history. Usage-only rows use the captured athlete ID and team; conflicting usage identities are omitted. Missing values are unavailable, not zero. Provider coverage is incomplete.
Coaching eras
Continuous appointments at App State. Records are CFBD-attributed results; active tenures and the current season may be incomplete.
Dowell Loggains · career 5–8 across 2 seasons and 1 schools
Tenure timeline · 7 appointments
2025–present · Dowell Loggains · active at capture
5–8 · 13 attributed games · 2 seasons
Hired 2024-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2019–2019 · Eli Drinkwitz
12–1 · 13 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2018-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2019–2024 · Shawn Clark
40–24 · 64 attributed games · 6 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2019-12-13. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2018–2018 · Mark Ivey
1–0 · 1 attributed games · 1 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2018-12-07. Exact effective dates unavailable.
2014–2018 · Scott Satterfield
47–16 · 63 attributed games · 5 seasons · incomplete attribution
Hired 2012-12-14. Exact effective dates unavailable.
1980–1981 · Mike Working
9–11–2 · 22 attributed games · 2 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
1972–1979 · Jim Brakefield
40–45–3 · 88 attributed games · 8 seasons
Exact effective dates unavailable.
Season résumé · 2015–2026
Coach-attributed records appear beside team-season ratings, recruiting and poll context. Shared seasons appear once per coach; rows are not assigned to individual stints. Ratings describe team performance, not a causal coaching effect.
| Season / coach | Record | Conference | Postseason | SP+ | SRS | Recruiting rank | Final poll |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 · Dowell Loggains · incomplete attribution | 0–0 | — | — | -5.3 | -7.4 | 59 | — |
| 2025 · Dowell Loggains | 5–8 | 2–6 | 0–1 | -11.4 | -12.2 | 116 | — |
| 2024 · Shawn Clark | 5–6 | 3–5 | 0–0 | -8.1 | -7.6 | 94 | — |
| 2023 · Shawn Clark | 9–5 | 6–3 | 1–0 | 3.8 | 0.8 | 80 | — |
| 2022 · Shawn Clark | 6–6 | 3–5 | 0–0 | 1.7 | -0.8 | 83 | — |
| 2021 · Shawn Clark | 10–4 | 7–2 | 0–1 | 10.3 | 8 | 69 | — |
| 2020 · Shawn Clark | 9–3 | 6–2 | 1–0 | 10.3 | 8 | 83 | — |
| 2019 · Shawn Clark · incomplete attribution | 1–0 | — | — | 11.3 | 11.5 | 101 | 19 |
| 2019 · Eli Drinkwitz · incomplete attribution | 12–1 | — | — | 11.3 | 11.5 | 101 | 19 |
| 2018 · Scott Satterfield · incomplete attribution | 10–2 | — | — | 11.9 | 10.7 | 113 | — |
| 2018 · Mark Ivey · incomplete attribution | 1–0 | — | — | 11.9 | 10.7 | 113 | — |
| 2017 · Scott Satterfield | 9–4 | 7–1 | 1–0 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 107 | — |
| 2016 · Scott Satterfield | 10–3 | 7–1 | 1–0 | 9.2 | 5 | 109 | — |
| 2015 · Scott Satterfield | 11–2 | 7–1 | 1–0 | 7.9 | 2.4 | 114 | — |
Source: CFBD · captured 2026-10-26T02:02:59.394463+00:00 UTC. Season résumé covers 2015–2026; timeline spans all returned tenures. — means unavailable. Career summaries cover active coaches at capture. This snapshot is descriptive and is not a pregame cutoff.
CFBD season overview
2026 stored season snapshot, including postseason and garbage time. Raw CFBD PPA is not opponent-adjusted EPA or player WEPA. No week cutoff; these values do not enter our forecasts.
Captured 2026-10-26 04:10:14.047809 UTC · Source data
Stat rankings
CFBD FBS ranks · source updated 2026-10-25 13:14:21 UTC · calculated 2026-10-26 04:10:14 UTC · provider cache expiry 2026-10-26 04:20:14 UTC. Rank 1 is best; percentiles use CFBD’s 0–100 scale.
| Statistic | Offense rank / population | Percentile | Defense rank / population | Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PPA / play | 60 / 138 | 56.9 | 65 / 138 | 53.3 |
| Success rate | 60 / 138 | 56.9 | 75 / 138 | 46.0 |
| Explosiveness | 61 / 138 | 56.2 | 27 / 138 | 81.0 |
| Standard-down success | 72 / 138 | 48.2 | 81 / 138 | 41.6 |
| Passing-down success | 32 / 138 | 77.4 | 52 / 138 | 62.8 |
| Pass PPA | 36 / 138 | 74.5 | 74 / 138 | 46.7 |
| Rush PPA | 104 / 138 | 24.8 | 65 / 138 | 53.3 |
| Pass explosiveness | 106 / 138 | 23.4 | 34 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Rush explosiveness | 50 / 138 | 64.2 | 35 / 138 | 75.2 |
| Line yards | 121 / 138 | 12.4 | 24 / 138 | 83.2 |
| Second-level yards | 66 / 138 | 52.6 | 36 / 138 | 74.5 |
| Open-field yards | 103 / 138 | 25.5 | 21 / 138 | 85.4 |
| Stuff rate | 118 / 138 | 14.6 | 39 / 138 | 72.3 |
| Power success | T75 / 138 | 44.2 | 126 / 138 | 8.8 |
| Havoc | T74 / 138 | 46.4 | T47 / 138 | 65.3 |
| Front-seven havoc | T79 / 138 | 41.6 | T65 / 138 | 52.9 |
| DB havoc | T56 / 138 | 58.0 | T33 / 138 | 75.9 |
| Points / opportunity | 68 / 138 | 51.1 | 75 / 138 | 46.0 |
| Average field position | T59 / 138 | 56.9 | 54 / 138 | 61.3 |
| Field-position expected points | 64 / 138 | 54.0 | T50 / 138 | 63.5 |
Player PPA and usage
Ordered by overall usage. Open a player for pass, rush, down and situation splits. Usage is the provider’s share of team plays in each situation; PPA is the provider’s average or total for that player. Missing values stay blank (—); play counts are not supplied here. Standard downs are 1st down, 2nd-and-7 or shorter, and 3rd/4th-and-4 or shorter; other situations are passing downs.
Malachi Singleton · QBUsage 49.9% · Avg PPA 0.280 · Total 69.611
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.280 | 69.611 | 49.9% |
| Pass | 0.365 | 78.927 | 87.1% |
| Rush | -0.282 | -9.316 | 14.0% |
| 1st down | 0.024 | 2.447 | 43.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.546 | 41.505 | 48.4% |
| 3rd down | 0.438 | 29.321 | 65.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.175 | 26.025 | 44.6% |
| Passing downs | 0.436 | 43.586 | 60.6% |
Jaquari Lewis · RBUsage 18.8% · Avg PPA 0.172 · Total 16.143
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.172 | 16.143 | 18.8% |
| Pass | -0.382 | -4.586 | 4.8% |
| Rush | 0.253 | 20.730 | 34.7% |
| 1st down | 0.188 | 9.797 | 22.7% |
| 2nd down | 0.365 | 9.863 | 17.2% |
| 3rd down | 0.297 | 3.563 | 11.8% |
| Standard downs | 0.266 | 18.912 | 21.3% |
| Passing downs | -0.120 | -2.769 | 13.9% |
Henry Hasselbeck · QBUsage 14.0% · Avg PPA 0.286 · Total 20.047
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.286 | 20.047 | 14.0% |
| Pass | 0.330 | 8.915 | 10.9% |
| Rush | 0.304 | 12.765 | 17.8% |
| 1st down | 0.226 | 7.468 | 14.4% |
| 2nd down | 0.300 | 6.610 | 14.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.543 | 7.602 | 13.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.179 | 8.946 | 15.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.555 | 11.101 | 12.1% |
Sam Pickett III · WRUsage 11.2% · Avg PPA 0.619 · Total 34.688
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.619 | 34.688 | 11.2% |
| Pass | 0.596 | 32.781 | 22.2% |
| Rush | 1.907 | 1.907 | 0.4% |
| 1st down | 0.381 | 9.514 | 10.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.749 | 11.233 | 9.6% |
| 3rd down | 0.871 | 13.941 | 15.7% |
| Standard downs | 0.567 | 18.706 | 9.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.695 | 15.981 | 13.9% |
Nate Branch · WRUsage 9.0% · Avg PPA 0.263 · Total 11.851
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.263 | 11.851 | 9.0% |
| Pass | 0.271 | 11.368 | 16.9% |
| Rush | 0.161 | 0.484 | 1.3% |
| 1st down | 0.175 | 3.316 | 8.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.328 | 5.899 | 11.5% |
| 3rd down | 0.976 | 6.834 | 6.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.030 | -0.872 | 8.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.795 | 12.723 | 9.7% |
J'Marion Burnette · RBUsage 7.7% · Avg PPA -0.208 · Total -1.249
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.208 | -1.249 | 7.7% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.208 | -1.249 | 12.2% |
| 1st down | -0.341 | -1.024 | 8.3% |
| 2nd down | -0.075 | -0.224 | 11.5% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.281 | -1.406 | 8.9% |
| Passing downs | 0.157 | 0.157 | 4.5% |
Treyaun Webb · RBUsage 7.5% · Avg PPA -0.407 · Total -8.546
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.407 | -8.546 | 7.5% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | -0.407 | -8.546 | 15.2% |
| 1st down | -0.574 | -6.318 | 8.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.214 | 1.499 | 7.7% |
| 3rd down | -0.241 | -0.241 | 1.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.643 | -11.568 | 9.9% |
| Passing downs | 1.007 | 3.022 | 3.0% |
Darrin Fugitt · TEUsage 7.4% · Avg PPA 0.244 · Total 9.040
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.244 | 9.040 | 7.4% |
| Pass | 0.244 | 9.040 | 14.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.163 | 2.275 | 6.1% |
| 2nd down | 0.368 | 6.988 | 12.1% |
| 3rd down | -0.056 | -0.223 | 3.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.234 | 5.626 | 7.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.263 | 3.414 | 7.9% |
Ja'Quez Cross · RBUsage 7.2% · Avg PPA -0.065 · Total -2.329
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | -0.065 | -2.329 | 7.2% |
| Pass | 0.534 | 2.135 | 1.6% |
| Rush | -0.140 | -4.464 | 13.6% |
| 1st down | -0.240 | -4.316 | 7.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.176 | 2.464 | 8.9% |
| 3rd down | -0.119 | -0.477 | 3.9% |
| Standard downs | -0.217 | -5.198 | 7.2% |
| Passing downs | 0.239 | 2.869 | 7.3% |
Chris Lofton · WRUsage 7.1% · Avg PPA 0.582 · Total 17.473
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.582 | 17.473 | 7.1% |
| Pass | 0.616 | 17.862 | 13.5% |
| Rush | -0.389 | -0.389 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | 0.357 | 3.574 | 5.3% |
| 2nd down | 0.632 | 5.055 | 6.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.625 | 6.253 | 10.6% |
| Standard downs | 0.311 | 4.981 | 5.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.892 | 12.491 | 9.3% |
Tommy Ulatowski · QBUsage 6.8% · Avg PPA 0.139 · Total 0.693
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.139 | 0.693 | 6.8% |
| Pass | 0.139 | 0.693 | 15.2% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.103 | 0.103 | 2.5% |
| 2nd down | 0.099 | 0.199 | 8.7% |
| 3rd down | 0.196 | 0.391 | 25.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.066 | -0.264 | 6.8% |
| Passing downs | 0.957 | 0.957 | 6.7% |
Kanye Roberts · RBUsage 5.4% · Avg PPA 0.437 · Total 1.750
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.437 | 1.750 | 5.4% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.437 | 1.750 | 10.3% |
| 1st down | -0.134 | -0.267 | 5.0% |
| 2nd down | 1.009 | 2.017 | 8.7% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.437 | 1.750 | 6.8% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Jamel Howse · TEUsage 3.4% · Avg PPA 0.705 · Total 11.980
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.705 | 11.980 | 3.4% |
| Pass | 0.705 | 11.980 | 6.9% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.563 | 5.067 | 3.9% |
| 2nd down | 0.788 | 4.728 | 3.8% |
| 3rd down | 1.093 | 2.185 | 2.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.542 | 6.501 | 3.6% |
| Passing downs | 1.096 | 5.480 | 3.0% |
Alex Sanchez · WRUsage 2.9% · Avg PPA 1.267 · Total 13.942
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 1.267 | 13.942 | 2.9% |
| Pass | 1.267 | 13.942 | 6.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.440 | 2.200 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | 1.745 | 5.234 | 2.5% |
| 3rd down | 2.169 | 6.508 | 4.1% |
| Standard downs | 0.853 | 5.115 | 2.3% |
| Passing downs | 1.765 | 8.827 | 4.2% |
Jackson Grier · WRUsage 2.8% · Avg PPA 0.883 · Total 8.835
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.883 | 8.835 | 2.8% |
| Pass | 0.675 | 6.071 | 5.6% |
| Rush | 2.764 | 2.764 | 0.5% |
| 1st down | 0.579 | 1.737 | 1.8% |
| 2nd down | 0.191 | 0.381 | 1.7% |
| 3rd down | 1.343 | 6.717 | 7.2% |
| Standard downs | 1.028 | 5.139 | 2.1% |
| Passing downs | 0.739 | 3.695 | 4.1% |
Semaj Fleming · WRUsage 2.7% · Avg PPA 0.122 · Total 0.243
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.122 | 0.243 | 2.7% |
| Pass | 0.122 | 0.243 | 6.1% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | -0.714 | -0.714 | 4.3% |
| 3rd down | 0.957 | 0.957 | 12.5% |
| Standard downs | -0.714 | -0.714 | 1.7% |
| Passing downs | 0.957 | 0.957 | 6.7% |
Dazmin James · WRUsage 2.6% · Avg PPA 0.218 · Total 0.435
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.218 | 0.435 | 2.6% |
| Pass | 0.546 | 0.546 | 2.4% |
| Rush | -0.111 | -0.111 | 3.0% |
| 1st down | -0.111 | -0.111 | 3.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.546 | 0.546 | 4.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | -0.111 | -0.111 | 2.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.546 | 0.546 | 3.6% |
Luke Douglas · TEUsage 1.7% · Avg PPA 0.276 · Total 1.382
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.276 | 1.382 | 1.7% |
| Pass | 0.276 | 1.382 | 3.3% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.523 | 2.091 | 2.8% |
| 2nd down | -0.709 | -0.709 | 1.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.276 | 1.382 | 2.5% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Sam Mbake · WRUsage 1.6% · Avg PPA 0.064 · Total 0.064
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.064 | 0.064 | 1.6% |
| Pass | 0.064 | 0.064 | 2.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 2nd down | 0.064 | 0.064 | 5.6% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Passing downs | 0.064 | 0.064 | 5.0% |
Dillon Galloway · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 3.446 · Total 3.446
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3.446 | 3.446 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 3.446 | 3.446 | 3.0% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 3.446 | 3.446 | 2.5% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 3.446 | 3.446 | 1.7% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Gavin Barber · TEUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.733 · Total 2.199
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.733 | 2.199 | 1.4% |
| Pass | 0.733 | 2.199 | 2.5% |
| Rush | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 1st down | 0.224 | 0.224 | 1.0% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | 0.987 | 1.975 | 4.9% |
| Standard downs | 0.733 | 2.199 | 1.9% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
Max Guest · RBUsage 1.4% · Avg PPA 0.082 · Total 0.082
| Split | Average PPA | Total PPA | Usage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Overall | 0.082 | 0.082 | 1.4% |
| Pass | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Rush | 0.082 | 0.082 | 2.6% |
| 1st down | 0.082 | 0.082 | 2.5% |
| 2nd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| 3rd down | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
| Standard downs | 0.082 | 0.082 | 1.7% |
| Passing downs | — | 0.000 | 0.0% |
2026 · Through provider Week 8. Each metric uses only published FBS teams with a numeric value. Higher percentile is better; tied values receive the midpoint of their positions, rounded to a whole percentile. Missing values are unranked.
Values and percentiles
| Metric | Value | Percentile | Better |
|---|---|---|---|
| Offense PPA/play | 0.155 | 57th138 teams | higher |
| Offense success rate | 0.437 | 57th138 teams | higher |
| Offense explosiveness | 1.248 | 56th138 teams | higher |
| Offense pass PPA/play | 0.324 | 74th138 teams | higher |
| Offense rush PPA/play | 0.031 | 25th138 teams | higher |
| Defense PPA/play | 0.065 | 53rd138 teams | lower |
| Defense success rate | 0.412 | 46th138 teams | lower |
| Defense explosiveness | 1.145 | 81st138 teams | lower |
| Defense havoc created | 0.168 | 65th138 teams | higher |
Passing profile
2026 · CFBD passing family · raw PPACaptured 2026-10-30. Offense: 99% of 241 attempts charted. Average depth of target 8.2 yards (31st percentile of FBS). Yards after catch 5.5 per completion. Completion 67.2%, 7.9 yards per attempt, pass PPA 0.39.
| Side | Actual | Expected | CPOE (pp) | Qualifying / all attempts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 64.2% | 60.9% | +3.3 | 204 / 241 |
| Defense allowed | 59.2% | 60.2% | -1.0 | 201 / 235 |
Actual and expected use the same qualifying attempts, which can be fewer than all passes. CPOE is their difference in percentage points (pp); higher is better on offense, lower allowed is better on defense. CFBD models FBS-vs-FBS passes, excluding spikes, throwaways, intentional grounding and attempts without air yards. — means unavailable; small samples have fewer than 40 qualifying attempts.
138 teams with at least 40 charted attempts. The highlighted point is App State.
Highlighted bars are deep zones. Shares are of located attempts only.
Defense and rushing detail
| Side | Attempts | Charted | ADOT | YAC | Comp % | PPA | CPOE | CPOE att |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Passing offense | 241 | 99% | 8.2 | 5.5 | 67.2% | 0.39 | +3.3 pp | 204 |
| Passing defense | 235 | 100% | 9.3 | 5.0 | 58.7% | 0.16 | -1.0 pp | 201 |
Rushing production
| Side | Attempts | Yards / carry | Success | PPA | Line yards / rush | Second-level yards / rush | Open-field yards / rush | Stuff rate | Power success |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 248 | 4.1 | 41.9% | 0.08 | 3.00 | 1.10 | 1.00 | 18.1% | 71.4% |
| Defense allowed | 253 | 3.6 | 42.3% | 0.07 | 2.70 | 0.90 | 0.60 | 19.2% | 81.8% |
Second-level yards are gained 5–10 yards past the line; open-field yards are beyond 10. These are provider per-rush averages, not totals. Power success measures success with two or fewer yards needed. Exact line-metric and power-success denominators are not supplied in this feed.
Rushing sample and attribution
| Side | Yards recorded | Individual | Unattributed | Sacks | Kneels | Team rushes | Multiple carriers | Direction located / eligible |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Offense | 247 / 248 | 237 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 227 / 227 · 100.0% |
| Defense allowed | 249 / 253 | 243 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 239 / 239 · 100.0% |
Counts are attempts. Team totals include sacks, kneels, team-only rushes and unresolved attribution; these categories can overlap and must not be summed. Direction coverage uses ordinary direction-eligible rushes, not all attempts. Missing fields in older captures remain unavailable.
Raw provider values, no opponent adjustment; not model inputs. CFBD metric definitions.
Game-by-game passing and rushing
2026 · Passing CPOE · percentage points. Dashed line: season +3.3 pp. 6 of 7 captured games have this metric. Missing observations break the line.
CPOE is completion percentage over expected on qualifying FBS-vs-FBS attempts; positive means more completions than expected. PPA is raw provider PPA. These are game observations, not opponent-adjusted forecasts. P labels postseason weeks.
Game log and attempt coverage
| Week | Opponent | Pass att | CPOE att | Comp %* | Expected %* | CPOE | ADOT | Pass PPA | Rush att | Rush yds/carry | Rush PPA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W1 | Maine | 33 | 0 | — | — | — | 4.0 | 0.74 | 39 | 7.8 | 0.57 |
| W2 | East Carolina | 28 | 28 | 71.4% | 64.6% | +6.8 pp | 7.4 | 0.66 | 44 | 2.9 | -0.03 |
| W3 | Charlotte | 44 | 42 | 69.0% | 60.1% | +9.0 pp | 7.9 | 0.43 | 33 | 2.7 | -0.23 |
| W4 | NC State | 39 | 38 | 68.4% | 63.0% | +5.5 pp | 7.6 | 0.34 | 22 | 2.8 | -0.11 |
| W6 | Old Dominion | 27 | 27 | 25.9% | 57.9% | -31.9 pp | 11.8 | -0.70 | 28 | 3.5 | -0.21 |
| W7 | Coastal Carolina | 26 | 26 | 80.8% | 61.4% | +19.4 pp | 8.3 | 0.85 | 51 | 5.0 | 0.23 |
| W8 | James Madison | 44 | 43 | 65.1% | 59.0% | +6.1 pp | 10.2 | 0.33 | 31 | 2.6 | 0.05 |
*Completion and expected rates use the same CPOE-eligible attempts. ADOT uses available air-yard attempts; a game needs at least one. No missing family is filled with the other family’s data.
Punting and returns
2026 season to date · CFBD · captured 2026-10-30T11:16:37.416814+00:00. Descriptive totals, including postseason when present.
Our punts
35 punts · 41.9 gross yards/punt · 38.7 net yards/punt
8 inside the 20 · 1 touchbacks · 0 blocked
Known gross yards: 35/35 punts. Known net yards: 28/35 punts.
Our punt returns
6 returns · 5.5 yards/return · 0 touchdowns
1 muffs · 1 opponent punts blocked
Known return yards: 6/6 returns. Return totals include team-only and unattributed plays.
Recent games
| Game | Punts | Gross yd/punt | Net yd/punt | Known net yards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 8 · James Madison | 8 | 40.5 | 36.5 | 6/8 |
| Week 7 · Coastal Carolina | 3 | 45.3 | 36.5 | 2/3 |
| Week 6 · Old Dominion | 8 | 44.1 | 41.0 | 5/8 |
| Week 4 · NC State | 5 | 39.6 | 37.2 | 5/5 |
| Week 3 · Charlotte | 4 | 36.3 | 36.3 | 4/4 |