Situations and tempo
CFBD play-by-play and drives · 2014–2026 · raw PPA
Highlights third downs, net success by half, tempo and offensive half splits. League-wide tables remain unchanged.
2026 regular season through Week 8. Raw PPA; no opponent adjustment.
Compare third-down conversion and distance
Compare net success between halves
PPA by down and distance · 2026
League-wide mean points added per play; stronger shading is further from zero. Success rate in parentheses.
| Down | 1-3 yds | 4-6 yds | 7-10 yds | 11+ yds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.190 (67%) | 0.184 (58%) | 0.040 (45%) | 0.249 (27%) |
| 2 | -0.018 (65%) | 0.153 (51%) | 0.226 (38%) | 0.256 (24%) |
| 3 | 0.596 (65%) | 0.476 (44%) | 0.460 (33%) | 0.281 (17%) |
| 4 | -0.115 (66%) | -1.016 (44%) | -1.387 (36%) | -1.460 (24%) |
By score state · 2026
| Offense is | PPA | Success | Pass rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Trailing 9+ | -0.023 | 39% | 58% |
| Trailing 1-8 | 0.056 | 41% | 51% |
| Tied | 0.109 | 43% | 47% |
| Leading 1-8 | 0.267 | 46% | 45% |
| Leading 9+ | 0.365 | 50% | 39% |
By quarter · 2026
| Quarter | PPA | Success | Pass rate |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0.199 | 45% | 48% |
| 2 | 0.174 | 44% | 51% |
| 3 | 0.177 | 45% | 47% |
| 4 | 0.096 | 42% | 45% |
| Start (yds to goal) | Drives | TD | FG | Turnover | Net pts / drive |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-10 | 76 | 63% | 25% | 5% | 3.72 |
| 11-20 | 143 | 59% | 30% | 6% | 4.08 |
| 21-30 | 221 | 57% | 20% | 14% | 4.26 |
| 31-40 | 322 | 50% | 21% | 11% | 4.07 |
| 41-50 | 507 | 45% | 16% | 16% | 3.50 |
| 51-60 | 803 | 40% | 15% | 17% | 3.10 |
| 61-70 | 1,573 | 36% | 12% | 17% | 2.69 |
| 71-80 | 5,227 | 28% | 9% | 20% | 2.04 |
| 81-90 | 1,343 | 25% | 8% | 17% | 1.80 |
| 91-100 | 683 | 20% | 6% | 20% | 1.22 |
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Largest second-half swings, 2026
| Team | 1st half | 2nd half | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn · SEC | 33.8% | 48.8% | +15.0 pts |
| Miami (OH) · Mid-American | 48.7% | 34.2% | -14.5 pts |
| Boston College · ACC | 36.9% | 49.3% | +12.4 pts |
| Sacramento State · Mid-American | 34.1% | 46.2% | +12.0 pts |
| Arizona · Big 12 | 55.7% | 43.8% | -11.9 pts |
| Arizona State · Big 12 | 49.6% | 37.8% | -11.8 pts |
| New Mexico State · Conference USA | 36.6% | 47.9% | +11.3 pts |
| Western Michigan · Mid-American | 36.6% | 47.6% | +11.0 pts |
| Temple · American Athletic | 48.4% | 37.8% | -10.7 pts |
| TCU · Big 12 | 49.8% | 39.2% | -10.5 pts |
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Fastest and slowest offenses, 2026
| Team | s / play | plays / game |
|---|---|---|
| Baylor · Big 12 | 19.9 | 78.9 |
| Auburn · SEC | 20.4 | 69.4 |
| West Virginia · Big 12 | 20.4 | 74.3 |
| San Diego State · Pac-12 | 20.7 | 61.4 |
| Ole Miss · SEC | 20.9 | 69.0 |
| Penn State · Big Ten | 29.4 | 66.3 |
| Liberty · Conference USA | 29.4 | 63.4 |
| Ohio · Mid-American | 29.9 | 62.4 |
| Boise State · Pac-12 | 30.0 | 69.1 |
| Army · American Athletic | 30.8 | 64.9 |
Expected points of a field-goal attempt from each yards-to-goal (make probability times three), as published by CFBD; distance is yards to goal plus 17. Expected points fall below 1.5 at 32 yards to goal and below 1.0 at 39.
Values by distance
| Yards to goal | Distance | Expected points |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 17 | 2.85 |
| 10 | 27 | 2.65 |
| 20 | 37 | 2.25 |
| 30 | 47 | 1.64 |
| 40 | 57 | 0.82 |
| 50 | 67 | 0.00 |
| 60 | 77 | 0.00 |
| 70 | 87 | 0.00 |
| 80 | 97 | 0.00 |
| 90 | 107 | 0.00 |
Method
Source: starter_pack/data/plays/<season>/regular_*_plays.csv and drives/drives_<season>.csv. FBS offenses, regular season; plays with a PPA value and a down 1-4.
Success: gain >= 50% of distance on 1st down, 70% on 2nd, 100% on 3rd/4th. PPA: CFBD predicted points added per play, provider raw values; no opponent adjustment.
Seconds per play: mean clock difference between consecutive plays in a drive, 0-120 s, same period. Net points per drive: offense points on the drive minus points the defense scored on it. Cells with fewer than 25 plays or drives are omitted.
These are league and team descriptions, not model inputs.